{smcl}
{com}{sf}{ul off}{txt}{.-}
      name:  {res}<unnamed>
       {txt}log:  {res}C:\Users\matt_zarit\Dropbox\Pitt\Krause\May 2019 Work\Log files\welfare_federal_funding_05_01_2019_3.smcl
  {txt}log type:  {res}smcl
 {txt}opened on:  {res} 1 May 2019, 13:43:33

{com}. *** Correlation Among Original Income Per Capita Measure, Adjusted Per Capita Income Measure, Federal Revenue to States Measure,

. 
. *** & Federal Welfare Funding Measure BY REGIONS

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. 
. 
. correlate  real_pc_inc_ann  adjpercapita_resid   csi_real_fedwelfare    csi_real_fedfund if nonsouth==1
{txt}(obs=2,369)

             {c |} real_p~n adjper~d csi_re~e csi_re~d
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 36}
real_pc_in~n {c |}{res}   1.0000
{txt}adjpercapi~d {c |}{res}   0.8337   1.0000
{txt}csi_real_f~e {c |}{res}   0.4594  -0.0848   1.0000
{txt}csi_real_f~d {c |}{res}   0.4756  -0.0857   0.9865   1.0000


{com}. 
. *

. 
. correlate  real_pc_inc_ann  adjpercapita_resid   csi_real_fedwelfare    csi_real_fedfund if nonsouth==0
{txt}(obs=966)

             {c |} real_p~n adjper~d csi_re~e csi_re~d
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 36}
real_pc_in~n {c |}{res}   1.0000
{txt}adjpercapi~d {c |}{res}   0.9134   1.0000
{txt}csi_real_f~e {c |}{res}   0.7203   0.3996   1.0000
{txt}csi_real_f~d {c |}{res}   0.7317   0.3939   0.9831   1.0000


{com}. 
. *

. 
. *

. 
. correlate  real_pc_inc_ann  adjpercapita_resid   csi_real_fedwelfare    csi_real_fedfund if newsouth==1
{txt}(obs=345)

             {c |} real_p~n adjper~d csi_re~e csi_re~d
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 36}
real_pc_in~n {c |}{res}   1.0000
{txt}adjpercapi~d {c |}{res}   0.8254   1.0000
{txt}csi_real_f~e {c |}{res}   0.7012   0.1979   1.0000
{txt}csi_real_f~d {c |}{res}   0.7223   0.2086   0.9888   1.0000


{com}. 
. *

. 
. correlate  real_pc_inc_ann  adjpercapita_resid   csi_real_fedwelfare    csi_real_fedfund if oldsouth==1
{txt}(obs=621)

             {c |} real_p~n adjper~d csi_re~e csi_re~d
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 36}
real_pc_in~n {c |}{res}   1.0000
{txt}adjpercapi~d {c |}{res}   0.9888   1.0000
{txt}csi_real_f~e {c |}{res}   0.8444   0.7829   1.0000
{txt}csi_real_f~d {c |}{res}   0.8825   0.8064   0.9641   1.0000


{com}. 
. 
. 
. *

. set more off

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. 
. 
. 
. 
. tsset state_fips year, yearly
{res}{txt}{col 8}panel variable:  {res}state_fips (unbalanced)
{txt}{col 9}time variable:  {res}{col 25}year, 1942 to 2010
{txt}{col 17}delta:  {res}1 year

{com}. 
. preserve

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. *************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

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. ************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

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. ************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

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. ************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

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. *****************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

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. ************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

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. ************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

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. ************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

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. 
. *** I.A: NON-SOUTHERN STATES (N = 35): FULL TIME PERIOD (1942 - 2010): BIVARIATE DYNAMIC PANEL ARDL(4,3)--ECM REGRESSION MODELS OF STATE REAL PER CAPITA PERSONAL INCOME [adjpercapita_resid] /// 

. 
. ///       & STATE klarnerranney INDEX FOR PARTISAN COMPETITION IN LEGISLATURE/REPRESENTATIVE ASSEMBLIES [klarnerranney] WITH TWO-WAY FIXED EFFECTS [STATE AND TIME UNIT EFFECTS]  ***
{bf}{err}/{sf} is not a valid command name
{txt}{search r(199), local:r(199);}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. // (4,3)  MODEL
{bf}{err}/{sf} is not a valid command name
{txt}{search r(199), local:r(199);}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. 
. 
. qui reg d.adjpercapita_resid  l.adjpercapita_resid l.klarnerranney   l.d.adjpercapita_resid d.klarnerranney  l2.d.adjpercapita_resid  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.adjpercapita_resid l2.d.klarnerranney l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work  l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified i.state_fips i.year if nonsouth==1

. 
. 
. 
. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}     2,230{col 27}-16911.89{col 38}-16162.93{col 49}   121{col 58} 32567.86{col 69} 33258.74
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ******INCOME EQUATION*********

. 
. 
. 
. newey d.adjpercapita_resid  l.adjpercapita_resid l.klarnerranney   l.d.adjpercapita_resid d.klarnerranney  l2.d.adjpercapita_resid  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.adjpercapita_resid l2.d.klarnerranney l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work  l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified i.state_fips i.year if nonsouth==1, lag(8) force

{txt}Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}     2,230
{txt}maximum lag: {res}8{col 49}{txt}F(120,      2109){col 67}= {res}     22.93
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}  Newey-West
{col 1}D.adjpercapita_resid{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      t{col 54}   P>|t|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 2}adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0012849{col 34}{space 2} .0076232{col 45}{space 1}   -0.17{col 54}{space 3}0.866{col 62}{space 4}-.0162348{col 75}{space 3}  .013665
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.6311178{col 34}{space 2}  .528582{col 45}{space 1}   -1.19{col 54}{space 3}0.233{col 62}{space 4}-1.667714{col 75}{space 3} .4054788
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 2}adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .2463897{col 34}{space 2} .0490603{col 45}{space 1}    5.02{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  .150178{col 75}{space 3} .3426014
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}D1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.788127{col 34}{space 2} .8982231{col 45}{space 1}   -1.99{col 54}{space 3}0.047{col 62}{space 4}-3.549622{col 75}{space 3}-.0266308
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 2}adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0782223{col 34}{space 2} .0414976{col 45}{space 1}   -1.88{col 54}{space 3}0.060{col 62}{space 4}-.1596027{col 75}{space 3} .0031581
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.708923{col 34}{space 2} .7783712{col 45}{space 1}    2.20{col 54}{space 3}0.028{col 62}{space 4} .1824672{col 75}{space 3} 3.235378
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 2}adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 16}L3D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0777396{col 34}{space 2} .0398238{col 45}{space 1}   -1.95{col 54}{space 3}0.051{col 62}{space 4}-.1558377{col 75}{space 3} .0003585
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .1579482{col 34}{space 2} .8570823{col 45}{space 1}    0.18{col 54}{space 3}0.854{col 62}{space 4}-1.522867{col 75}{space 3} 1.838763
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
csi_perc_cap_outlays {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-28.89956{col 34}{space 2} 289.4302{col 45}{space 1}   -0.10{col 54}{space 3}0.920{col 62}{space 4}-596.4981{col 75}{space 3} 538.6989
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 100.7217{col 34}{space 2} 345.6469{col 45}{space 1}    0.29{col 54}{space 3}0.771{col 62}{space 4}-577.1227{col 75}{space 3} 778.5661
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}right_to_work {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-19.89444{col 34}{space 2} 43.12263{col 45}{space 1}   -0.46{col 54}{space 3}0.645{col 62}{space 4}-104.4618{col 75}{space 3}  64.6729
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  69.4742{col 34}{space 2} 140.9768{col 45}{space 1}    0.49{col 54}{space 3}0.622{col 62}{space 4}-206.9938{col 75}{space 3} 345.9422
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 1}csi_welf_perc_total {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 536.0729{col 34}{space 2} 207.6953{col 45}{space 1}    2.58{col 54}{space 3}0.010{col 62}{space 4} 128.7639{col 75}{space 3} 943.3819
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 133.2411{col 34}{space 2} 769.2784{col 45}{space 1}    0.17{col 54}{space 3}0.863{col 62}{space 4}-1375.383{col 75}{space 3} 1641.865
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}nonfarm_persinc {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1362.333{col 34}{space 2} 328.2154{col 45}{space 1}    4.15{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 718.6731{col 75}{space 3} 2005.992
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 5525.005{col 34}{space 2}  898.022{col 45}{space 1}    6.15{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 3763.903{col 75}{space 3} 7286.106
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 11}gov_party {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 7.117765{col 34}{space 2} 23.39462{col 45}{space 1}    0.30{col 54}{space 3}0.761{col 62}{space 4}-38.76117{col 75}{space 3}  52.9967
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 12.24802{col 34}{space 2} 28.62616{col 45}{space 1}    0.43{col 54}{space 3}0.669{col 62}{space 4}-43.89045{col 75}{space 3} 68.38649
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}dem_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 8.739376{col 34}{space 2} 26.54453{col 45}{space 1}    0.33{col 54}{space 3}0.742{col 62}{space 4}-43.31683{col 75}{space 3} 60.79558
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-48.74967{col 34}{space 2} 31.10021{col 45}{space 1}   -1.57{col 54}{space 3}0.117{col 62}{space 4}  -109.74{col 75}{space 3} 12.24062
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}rep_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 9.754776{col 34}{space 2} 25.69739{col 45}{space 1}    0.38{col 54}{space 3}0.704{col 62}{space 4}-40.64011{col 75}{space 3} 60.14967
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-37.81308{col 34}{space 2} 34.81858{col 45}{space 1}   -1.09{col 54}{space 3}0.278{col 62}{space 4}-106.0954{col 75}{space 3} 30.46928
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 10}state_fips {c |}
{space 18}4  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-92.12565{col 34}{space 2} 114.7237{col 45}{space 1}   -0.80{col 54}{space 3}0.422{col 62}{space 4}-317.1091{col 75}{space 3} 132.8578
{txt}{space 18}6  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-410.5077{col 34}{space 2} 134.6625{col 45}{space 1}   -3.05{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4}-674.5928{col 75}{space 3}-146.4225
{txt}{space 18}8  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -69.0357{col 34}{space 2} 114.1722{col 45}{space 1}   -0.60{col 54}{space 3}0.545{col 62}{space 4}-292.9375{col 75}{space 3} 154.8661
{txt}{space 18}9  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-16.92301{col 34}{space 2} 117.3993{col 45}{space 1}   -0.14{col 54}{space 3}0.885{col 62}{space 4}-247.1535{col 75}{space 3} 213.3075
{txt}{space 17}10  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-31.96666{col 34}{space 2} 113.8522{col 45}{space 1}   -0.28{col 54}{space 3}0.779{col 62}{space 4}-255.2409{col 75}{space 3} 191.3076
{txt}{space 17}15  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-21.59502{col 34}{space 2} 129.4781{col 45}{space 1}   -0.17{col 54}{space 3}0.868{col 62}{space 4}-275.5131{col 75}{space 3}  232.323
{txt}{space 17}16  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 2.945182{col 34}{space 2} 118.3477{col 45}{space 1}    0.02{col 54}{space 3}0.980{col 62}{space 4}-229.1452{col 75}{space 3} 235.0355
{txt}{space 17}17  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -161.123{col 34}{space 2}  112.447{col 45}{space 1}   -1.43{col 54}{space 3}0.152{col 62}{space 4}-381.6417{col 75}{space 3} 59.39567
{txt}{space 17}18  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-108.9128{col 34}{space 2} 112.7622{col 45}{space 1}   -0.97{col 54}{space 3}0.334{col 62}{space 4}-330.0496{col 75}{space 3}  112.224
{txt}{space 17}19  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 34.78546{col 34}{space 2} 116.2914{col 45}{space 1}    0.30{col 54}{space 3}0.765{col 62}{space 4}-193.2724{col 75}{space 3} 262.8434
{txt}{space 17}20  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-16.95356{col 34}{space 2} 114.6401{col 45}{space 1}   -0.15{col 54}{space 3}0.882{col 62}{space 4}-241.7731{col 75}{space 3}  207.866
{txt}{space 17}23  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-82.74385{col 34}{space 2} 112.2428{col 45}{space 1}   -0.74{col 54}{space 3}0.461{col 62}{space 4}-302.8621{col 75}{space 3} 137.3744
{txt}{space 17}24  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-70.36889{col 34}{space 2} 112.4378{col 45}{space 1}   -0.63{col 54}{space 3}0.531{col 62}{space 4}-290.8694{col 75}{space 3} 150.1317
{txt}{space 17}25  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -107.669{col 34}{space 2} 119.9383{col 45}{space 1}   -0.90{col 54}{space 3}0.369{col 62}{space 4}-342.8787{col 75}{space 3} 127.5407
{txt}{space 17}26  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-195.2741{col 34}{space 2} 114.0855{col 45}{space 1}   -1.71{col 54}{space 3}0.087{col 62}{space 4} -419.006{col 75}{space 3} 28.45771
{txt}{space 17}27  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-35.65652{col 34}{space 2} 109.5371{col 45}{space 1}   -0.33{col 54}{space 3}0.745{col 62}{space 4}-250.4686{col 75}{space 3} 179.1555
{txt}{space 17}29  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-142.3847{col 34}{space 2} 114.2196{col 45}{space 1}   -1.25{col 54}{space 3}0.213{col 62}{space 4}-366.3795{col 75}{space 3} 81.61006
{txt}{space 17}30  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 15.67956{col 34}{space 2} 121.7377{col 45}{space 1}    0.13{col 54}{space 3}0.898{col 62}{space 4}-223.0589{col 75}{space 3}  254.418
{txt}{space 17}32  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-39.58704{col 34}{space 2} 120.3617{col 45}{space 1}   -0.33{col 54}{space 3}0.742{col 62}{space 4}-275.6271{col 75}{space 3} 196.4531
{txt}{space 17}33  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-32.62725{col 34}{space 2} 115.5643{col 45}{space 1}   -0.28{col 54}{space 3}0.778{col 62}{space 4}-259.2591{col 75}{space 3} 194.0047
{txt}{space 17}34  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  -87.553{col 34}{space 2} 113.5336{col 45}{space 1}   -0.77{col 54}{space 3}0.441{col 62}{space 4}-310.2025{col 75}{space 3} 135.0965
{txt}{space 17}35  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-63.82403{col 34}{space 2} 114.7788{col 45}{space 1}   -0.56{col 54}{space 3}0.578{col 62}{space 4}-288.9155{col 75}{space 3} 161.2675
{txt}{space 17}36  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  -284.26{col 34}{space 2} 134.1877{col 45}{space 1}   -2.12{col 54}{space 3}0.034{col 62}{space 4}-547.4142{col 75}{space 3} -21.1059
{txt}{space 17}38  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  147.401{col 34}{space 2} 142.7589{col 45}{space 1}    1.03{col 54}{space 3}0.302{col 62}{space 4}-132.5619{col 75}{space 3} 427.3639
{txt}{space 17}39  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-193.9809{col 34}{space 2}  114.049{col 45}{space 1}   -1.70{col 54}{space 3}0.089{col 62}{space 4}-417.6412{col 75}{space 3} 29.67945
{txt}{space 17}41  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-86.60011{col 34}{space 2} 108.6555{col 45}{space 1}   -0.80{col 54}{space 3}0.426{col 62}{space 4}-299.6833{col 75}{space 3} 126.4831
{txt}{space 17}42  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-171.2323{col 34}{space 2} 113.2368{col 45}{space 1}   -1.51{col 54}{space 3}0.131{col 62}{space 4}-393.2998{col 75}{space 3}  50.8351
{txt}{space 17}44  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-100.7243{col 34}{space 2} 113.6286{col 45}{space 1}   -0.89{col 54}{space 3}0.375{col 62}{space 4}-323.5602{col 75}{space 3} 122.1115
{txt}{space 17}46  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 128.5858{col 34}{space 2} 136.7884{col 45}{space 1}    0.94{col 54}{space 3}0.347{col 62}{space 4}-139.6686{col 75}{space 3} 396.8401
{txt}{space 17}49  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -76.6996{col 34}{space 2} 116.9444{col 45}{space 1}   -0.66{col 54}{space 3}0.512{col 62}{space 4} -306.038{col 75}{space 3} 152.6388
{txt}{space 17}50  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-20.99018{col 34}{space 2} 113.2616{col 45}{space 1}   -0.19{col 54}{space 3}0.853{col 62}{space 4}-243.1062{col 75}{space 3} 201.1259
{txt}{space 17}53  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-84.31937{col 34}{space 2}  109.385{col 45}{space 1}   -0.77{col 54}{space 3}0.441{col 62}{space 4}-298.8332{col 75}{space 3} 130.1945
{txt}{space 17}55  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-78.27572{col 34}{space 2} 108.5663{col 45}{space 1}   -0.72{col 54}{space 3}0.471{col 62}{space 4} -291.184{col 75}{space 3} 134.6325
{txt}{space 17}56  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 70.80332{col 34}{space 2} 135.0357{col 45}{space 1}    0.52{col 54}{space 3}0.600{col 62}{space 4}-194.0137{col 75}{space 3} 335.6203
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 16}year {c |}
{space 15}1947  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 30.44875{col 34}{space 2} 90.26308{col 45}{space 1}    0.34{col 54}{space 3}0.736{col 62}{space 4}-146.5652{col 75}{space 3} 207.4627
{txt}{space 15}1948  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 416.2197{col 34}{space 2} 82.78472{col 45}{space 1}    5.03{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 253.8714{col 75}{space 3} 578.5679
{txt}{space 15}1949  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 66.57774{col 34}{space 2} 104.0435{col 45}{space 1}    0.64{col 54}{space 3}0.522{col 62}{space 4}-137.4609{col 75}{space 3} 270.6163
{txt}{space 15}1950  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 599.4067{col 34}{space 2}  94.3358{col 45}{space 1}    6.35{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 414.4057{col 75}{space 3} 784.4076
{txt}{space 15}1951  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 409.2693{col 34}{space 2} 92.99667{col 45}{space 1}    4.40{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 226.8945{col 75}{space 3} 591.6441
{txt}{space 15}1952  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 454.5865{col 34}{space 2} 88.29639{col 45}{space 1}    5.15{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 281.4293{col 75}{space 3} 627.7436
{txt}{space 15}1953  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 356.7715{col 34}{space 2} 86.78854{col 45}{space 1}    4.11{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 186.5714{col 75}{space 3} 526.9716
{txt}{space 15}1954  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 110.4988{col 34}{space 2} 79.97157{col 45}{space 1}    1.38{col 54}{space 3}0.167{col 62}{space 4}-46.33262{col 75}{space 3} 267.3302
{txt}{space 15}1955  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 651.6168{col 34}{space 2} 81.61139{col 45}{space 1}    7.98{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 491.5695{col 75}{space 3}  811.664
{txt}{space 15}1956  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 359.6154{col 34}{space 2} 90.70214{col 45}{space 1}    3.96{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 181.7404{col 75}{space 3} 537.4904
{txt}{space 15}1957  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 239.0917{col 34}{space 2}   95.154{col 45}{space 1}    2.51{col 54}{space 3}0.012{col 62}{space 4} 52.48616{col 75}{space 3} 425.6972
{txt}{space 15}1958  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 164.6778{col 34}{space 2} 86.97854{col 45}{space 1}    1.89{col 54}{space 3}0.058{col 62}{space 4}-5.894877{col 75}{space 3} 335.2505
{txt}{space 15}1959  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 448.4384{col 34}{space 2} 87.30419{col 45}{space 1}    5.14{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 277.2271{col 75}{space 3} 619.6497
{txt}{space 15}1960  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 267.7735{col 34}{space 2}  97.3666{col 45}{space 1}    2.75{col 54}{space 3}0.006{col 62}{space 4} 76.82886{col 75}{space 3} 458.7181
{txt}{space 15}1961  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 358.5751{col 34}{space 2} 95.73351{col 45}{space 1}    3.75{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 170.8331{col 75}{space 3} 546.3171
{txt}{space 15}1962  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 568.1298{col 34}{space 2} 95.30023{col 45}{space 1}    5.96{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 381.2376{col 75}{space 3} 755.0221
{txt}{space 15}1963  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 320.4172{col 34}{space 2} 85.98049{col 45}{space 1}    3.73{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 151.8017{col 75}{space 3} 489.0326
{txt}{space 15}1964  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 478.7513{col 34}{space 2} 88.74925{col 45}{space 1}    5.39{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 304.7061{col 75}{space 3} 652.7965
{txt}{space 15}1965  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 609.5217{col 34}{space 2} 90.38656{col 45}{space 1}    6.74{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 432.2656{col 75}{space 3} 786.7779
{txt}{space 15}1966  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 481.9322{col 34}{space 2}  94.9602{col 45}{space 1}    5.08{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 295.7067{col 75}{space 3} 668.1576
{txt}{space 15}1967  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  428.603{col 34}{space 2} 88.00623{col 45}{space 1}    4.87{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 256.0149{col 75}{space 3} 601.1911
{txt}{space 15}1968  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 551.7193{col 34}{space 2} 90.66566{col 45}{space 1}    6.09{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 373.9159{col 75}{space 3} 729.5228
{txt}{space 15}1969  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 539.5478{col 34}{space 2} 99.50655{col 45}{space 1}    5.42{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 344.4065{col 75}{space 3}  734.689
{txt}{space 15}1970  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 280.8506{col 34}{space 2} 91.61478{col 45}{space 1}    3.07{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4} 101.1858{col 75}{space 3} 460.5153
{txt}{space 15}1971  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 400.0166{col 34}{space 2} 80.61797{col 45}{space 1}    4.96{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 241.9175{col 75}{space 3} 558.1156
{txt}{space 15}1972  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 685.1454{col 34}{space 2} 87.80337{col 45}{space 1}    7.80{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 512.9551{col 75}{space 3} 857.3357
{txt}{space 15}1973  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 674.1001{col 34}{space 2} 134.5422{col 45}{space 1}    5.01{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 410.2509{col 75}{space 3} 937.9493
{txt}{space 15}1974  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  176.894{col 34}{space 2} 112.3693{col 45}{space 1}    1.57{col 54}{space 3}0.116{col 62}{space 4}-43.47232{col 75}{space 3} 397.2604
{txt}{space 15}1975  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 177.9158{col 34}{space 2} 100.9817{col 45}{space 1}    1.76{col 54}{space 3}0.078{col 62}{space 4}-20.11831{col 75}{space 3} 375.9499
{txt}{space 15}1976  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 457.8379{col 34}{space 2}  92.2635{col 45}{space 1}    4.96{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 276.9009{col 75}{space 3} 638.7748
{txt}{space 15}1977  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 343.2703{col 34}{space 2} 110.6867{col 45}{space 1}    3.10{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4} 126.2039{col 75}{space 3} 560.3368
{txt}{space 15}1978  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 566.6378{col 34}{space 2} 105.6619{col 45}{space 1}    5.36{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 359.4254{col 75}{space 3} 773.8502
{txt}{space 15}1979  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 118.4109{col 34}{space 2} 90.45318{col 45}{space 1}    1.31{col 54}{space 3}0.191{col 62}{space 4}-58.97593{col 75}{space 3} 295.7976
{txt}{space 15}1980  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -149.718{col 34}{space 2} 98.29918{col 45}{space 1}   -1.52{col 54}{space 3}0.128{col 62}{space 4}-342.4915{col 75}{space 3} 43.05545
{txt}{space 15}1981  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 390.3536{col 34}{space 2}  83.7385{col 45}{space 1}    4.66{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 226.1349{col 75}{space 3} 554.5723
{txt}{space 15}1982  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 352.2742{col 34}{space 2} 98.36156{col 45}{space 1}    3.58{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 159.3784{col 75}{space 3}   545.17
{txt}{space 15}1983  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 358.7179{col 34}{space 2}  105.761{col 45}{space 1}    3.39{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 151.3111{col 75}{space 3} 566.1247
{txt}{space 15}1984  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 620.2288{col 34}{space 2} 83.05639{col 45}{space 1}    7.47{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 457.3478{col 75}{space 3} 783.1098
{txt}{space 15}1985  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 313.2828{col 34}{space 2} 81.68122{col 45}{space 1}    3.84{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 153.0986{col 75}{space 3}  473.467
{txt}{space 15}1986  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 463.4951{col 34}{space 2} 83.76881{col 45}{space 1}    5.53{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  299.217{col 75}{space 3} 627.7732
{txt}{space 15}1987  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 439.2431{col 34}{space 2} 87.06474{col 45}{space 1}    5.05{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 268.5013{col 75}{space 3} 609.9848
{txt}{space 15}1988  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 466.4674{col 34}{space 2} 96.22007{col 45}{space 1}    4.85{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 277.7712{col 75}{space 3} 655.1635
{txt}{space 15}1989  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 459.9387{col 34}{space 2} 89.34854{col 45}{space 1}    5.15{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 284.7182{col 75}{space 3} 635.1592
{txt}{space 15}1990  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 108.6508{col 34}{space 2} 88.41625{col 45}{space 1}    1.23{col 54}{space 3}0.219{col 62}{space 4}-64.74133{col 75}{space 3}  282.043
{txt}{space 15}1991  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-24.34711{col 34}{space 2} 87.39844{col 45}{space 1}   -0.28{col 54}{space 3}0.781{col 62}{space 4}-195.7433{col 75}{space 3}  147.049
{txt}{space 15}1992  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 367.4325{col 34}{space 2} 98.96774{col 45}{space 1}    3.71{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 173.3479{col 75}{space 3} 561.5171
{txt}{space 15}1993  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 24.01935{col 34}{space 2} 94.94331{col 45}{space 1}    0.25{col 54}{space 3}0.800{col 62}{space 4} -162.173{col 75}{space 3} 210.2117
{txt}{space 15}1994  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 332.1901{col 34}{space 2} 96.84453{col 45}{space 1}    3.43{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 142.2693{col 75}{space 3} 522.1109
{txt}{space 15}1995  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 222.6864{col 34}{space 2} 86.06436{col 45}{space 1}    2.59{col 54}{space 3}0.010{col 62}{space 4}  53.9065{col 75}{space 3} 391.4663
{txt}{space 15}1996  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 510.9737{col 34}{space 2} 97.53423{col 45}{space 1}    5.24{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 319.7004{col 75}{space 3} 702.2471
{txt}{space 15}1997  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 449.6893{col 34}{space 2} 98.40211{col 45}{space 1}    4.57{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  256.714{col 75}{space 3} 642.6647
{txt}{space 15}1998  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 796.0778{col 34}{space 2} 87.48714{col 45}{space 1}    9.10{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 624.5077{col 75}{space 3} 967.6479
{txt}{space 15}1999  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 265.8412{col 34}{space 2} 99.17848{col 45}{space 1}    2.68{col 54}{space 3}0.007{col 62}{space 4} 71.34331{col 75}{space 3} 460.3391
{txt}{space 15}2000  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 713.1446{col 34}{space 2} 93.53592{col 45}{space 1}    7.62{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 529.7123{col 75}{space 3} 896.5769
{txt}{space 15}2001  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 19.39362{col 34}{space 2} 123.4547{col 45}{space 1}    0.16{col 54}{space 3}0.875{col 62}{space 4} -222.712{col 75}{space 3} 261.4993
{txt}{space 15}2002  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 22.47932{col 34}{space 2} 95.60419{col 45}{space 1}    0.24{col 54}{space 3}0.814{col 62}{space 4}-165.0091{col 75}{space 3} 209.9677
{txt}{space 15}2003  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 172.4885{col 34}{space 2} 108.8183{col 45}{space 1}    1.59{col 54}{space 3}0.113{col 62}{space 4}-40.91397{col 75}{space 3}  385.891
{txt}{space 15}2004  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 417.4711{col 34}{space 2} 119.7696{col 45}{space 1}    3.49{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 182.5922{col 75}{space 3}   652.35
{txt}{space 15}2005  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 307.6477{col 34}{space 2} 124.4504{col 45}{space 1}    2.47{col 54}{space 3}0.014{col 62}{space 4} 63.58932{col 75}{space 3}  551.706
{txt}{space 15}2006  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 688.8614{col 34}{space 2} 117.3997{col 45}{space 1}    5.87{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 458.6301{col 75}{space 3} 919.0927
{txt}{space 15}2007  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 493.4881{col 34}{space 2} 115.2877{col 45}{space 1}    4.28{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 267.3986{col 75}{space 3} 719.5776
{txt}{space 15}2008  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 288.1677{col 34}{space 2} 106.3674{col 45}{space 1}    2.71{col 54}{space 3}0.007{col 62}{space 4} 79.57174{col 75}{space 3} 496.7636
{txt}{space 15}2009  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1073.568{col 34}{space 2} 168.3219{col 45}{space 1}   -6.38{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-1403.663{col 75}{space 3}-743.4739
{txt}{space 15}2010  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 169.9055{col 34}{space 2} 126.8849{col 45}{space 1}    1.34{col 54}{space 3}0.181{col 62}{space 4}-78.92717{col 75}{space 3} 418.7381
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -1513.06{col 34}{space 2} 320.3235{col 45}{space 1}   -4.72{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-2141.243{col 75}{space 3}-884.8768
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. predict adjpercapita_residhatallfull if nonsouth==1
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(1,109 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME ERROR CORRECTION RATE *

. 
. 
. 
. test l.adjpercapita_resid = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.adjpercapita_resid = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,  2109) ={res}    0.03
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.8662

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *Weak Exogeneity Tests*

. 
. 
. 
. testnl _b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.adjpercapita_resid] = 0

{col 3}{txt}(1){res}{col 8}{bind:_b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.adjpercapita_resid] = 0}

{txt}{ralign 22:chi2({res:1})} =  {res}      0.03
{txt}{ralign 22:Prob > chi2} =  {res}      0.8642{txt}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * GRANGER CAUSLITY TEST*

. 
. 
. 
. test  d.klarnerranney = l.d.klarnerranney  =  l2.d.klarnerranney = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.klarnerranney - LD.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} D.klarnerranney - L2D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 3)}{space 1} D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  3,  2109) ={res}    2.59
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0514

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENEITY) *

. 
. 
. 
. test l.adjpercapita_resid = l.klarnerranney = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.adjpercapita_resid - L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.adjpercapita_resid = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,  2109) ={res}    0.71
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.4900

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *

. 
. 
. 
. lincom  d.klarnerranney +  l.d.klarnerranney +  l2.d.klarnerranney 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.klarnerranney + LD.klarnerranney + L2D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}adjpercapi~d{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0787442{col 26}{space 2} 1.384685{col 37}{space 1}    0.06{col 46}{space 3}0.955{col 54}{space 4}-2.636747{col 67}{space 3} 2.794235
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *

. 
. 
. 
. nlcom _b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.adjpercapita_resid] 

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.adjpercapita_resid]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}adjpercapi~d{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-491.1801{col 26}{space 2} 2871.693{col 37}{space 1}   -0.17{col 46}{space 3}0.864{col 54}{space 4}-6119.595{col 67}{space 3} 5137.235
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
.  
. 
. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. qui reg d.klarnerranney  l.klarnerranney l.adjpercapita_resid l.d.klarnerranney d.adjpercapita_resid  l2.d.klarnerranney  l.d.adjpercapita_resid  l3.d.klarnerranney l2.d.adjpercapita_resid  l4.d.klarnerranney l3.d.adjpercapita_resid l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1  i.state_fips i.year if nonsouth==1

. 
. 
. 
. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}     2,196{col 27}-8271.919{col 38}-7965.995{col 49}   116{col 58} 16163.99{col 69} 16824.54
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ******PARTISAN COMPETITION EQUATION*********

. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. newey d.klarnerranney  l.klarnerranney l.adjpercapita_resid l.d.klarnerranney d.adjpercapita_resid  l2.d.klarnerranney  l.d.adjpercapita_resid  l3.d.klarnerranney l2.d.adjpercapita_resid  l4.d.klarnerranney l3.d.adjpercapita_resid l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1  i.state_fips i.year if nonsouth==1, lag(8) force

{txt}Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}     2,196
{txt}maximum lag: {res}8{col 49}{txt}F(115,      2080){col 67}= {res}      3.58
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 19}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 20}{c |}{col 32}  Newey-West
{col 1}   D.klarnerranney{col 20}{c |}      Coef.{col 32}   Std. Err.{col 44}      t{col 52}   P>|t|{col 60}     [95% Con{col 73}f. Interval]
{hline 19}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 15}L1. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.1427398{col 32}{space 2}  .017772{col 43}{space 1}   -8.03{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4}-.1775924{col 73}{space 3}-.1078871
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 15}L1. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0000368{col 32}{space 2} .0000952{col 43}{space 1}   -0.39{col 52}{space 3}0.699{col 60}{space 4}-.0002235{col 73}{space 3} .0001498
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 5}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 15}LD. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  .046866{col 32}{space 2} .0139179{col 43}{space 1}    3.37{col 52}{space 3}0.001{col 60}{space 4} .0195716{col 73}{space 3} .0741605
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 15}D1. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0013149{col 32}{space 2} .0005992{col 43}{space 1}   -2.19{col 52}{space 3}0.028{col 60}{space 4}  -.00249{col 73}{space 3}-.0001398
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 5}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 14}L2D. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.2291586{col 32}{space 2} .0404869{col 43}{space 1}   -5.66{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4}-.3085576{col 73}{space 3}-.1497596
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 15}LD. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0002254{col 32}{space 2} .0006116{col 43}{space 1}   -0.37{col 52}{space 3}0.712{col 60}{space 4}-.0014249{col 73}{space 3} .0009741
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 5}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 14}L3D. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0211483{col 32}{space 2} .0101879{col 43}{space 1}    2.08{col 52}{space 3}0.038{col 60}{space 4} .0011686{col 73}{space 3} .0411279
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 14}L2D. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  .000225{col 32}{space 2} .0006743{col 43}{space 1}    0.33{col 52}{space 3}0.739{col 60}{space 4}-.0010973{col 73}{space 3} .0015474
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 5}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 14}L4D. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.1056704{col 32}{space 2}   .03692{col 43}{space 1}   -2.86{col 52}{space 3}0.004{col 60}{space 4}-.1780745{col 73}{space 3}-.0332663
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 14}L3D. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0007644{col 32}{space 2} .0007598{col 43}{space 1}   -1.01{col 52}{space 3}0.315{col 60}{space 4}-.0022544{col 73}{space 3} .0007257
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 9}gov_party {c |}
{space 15}L1. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .2170726{col 32}{space 2} .6294679{col 43}{space 1}    0.34{col 52}{space 3}0.730{col 60}{space 4} -1.01738{col 73}{space 3} 1.451525
{txt}{space 15}LD. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.3917155{col 32}{space 2} .4549738{col 43}{space 1}   -0.86{col 52}{space 3}0.389{col 60}{space 4}-1.283967{col 73}{space 3} .5005359
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 7}dem_unified {c |}
{space 15}L1. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .9825197{col 32}{space 2} 1.016631{col 43}{space 1}    0.97{col 52}{space 3}0.334{col 60}{space 4}-1.011201{col 73}{space 3}  2.97624
{txt}{space 15}LD. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.4683477{col 32}{space 2}  .645311{col 43}{space 1}   -0.73{col 52}{space 3}0.468{col 60}{space 4} -1.73387{col 73}{space 3} .7971751
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 7}rep_unified {c |}
{space 15}L1. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 1.615913{col 32}{space 2} .8250372{col 43}{space 1}    1.96{col 52}{space 3}0.050{col 60}{space 4}-.0020713{col 73}{space 3} 3.233898
{txt}{space 15}LD. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-1.561886{col 32}{space 2} .5473829{col 43}{space 1}   -2.85{col 52}{space 3}0.004{col 60}{space 4}-2.635361{col 73}{space 3}-.4884104
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 4}electedjudges1 {c |}
{space 15}L1. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .4784905{col 32}{space 2} .8509106{col 43}{space 1}    0.56{col 52}{space 3}0.574{col 60}{space 4}-1.190235{col 73}{space 3} 2.147216
{txt}{space 15}LD. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-4.188767{col 32}{space 2} 3.694018{col 43}{space 1}   -1.13{col 52}{space 3}0.257{col 60}{space 4}-11.43313{col 73}{space 3} 3.055591
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 8}state_fips {c |}
{space 16}4  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-2.035904{col 32}{space 2} 1.749423{col 43}{space 1}   -1.16{col 52}{space 3}0.245{col 60}{space 4}-5.466707{col 73}{space 3} 1.394898
{txt}{space 16}6  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} -2.21164{col 32}{space 2} 1.969137{col 43}{space 1}   -1.12{col 52}{space 3}0.262{col 60}{space 4}-6.073324{col 73}{space 3} 1.650044
{txt}{space 16}8  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.3937386{col 32}{space 2} 1.732238{col 43}{space 1}   -0.23{col 52}{space 3}0.820{col 60}{space 4}-3.790839{col 73}{space 3} 3.003362
{txt}{space 16}9  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-1.497754{col 32}{space 2} 1.759951{col 43}{space 1}   -0.85{col 52}{space 3}0.395{col 60}{space 4}-4.949204{col 73}{space 3} 1.953695
{txt}{space 15}10  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.2326203{col 32}{space 2} 1.710667{col 43}{space 1}   -0.14{col 52}{space 3}0.892{col 60}{space 4}-3.587418{col 73}{space 3} 3.122177
{txt}{space 15}15  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-7.768605{col 32}{space 2} 1.996474{col 43}{space 1}   -3.89{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} -11.6839{col 73}{space 3} -3.85331
{txt}{space 15}16  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-4.639627{col 32}{space 2} 2.265942{col 43}{space 1}   -2.05{col 52}{space 3}0.041{col 60}{space 4}-9.083377{col 73}{space 3} -.195876
{txt}{space 15}17  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .1079592{col 32}{space 2} 1.592606{col 43}{space 1}    0.07{col 52}{space 3}0.946{col 60}{space 4}-3.015308{col 73}{space 3} 3.231226
{txt}{space 15}18  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-1.211212{col 32}{space 2} 1.777912{col 43}{space 1}   -0.68{col 52}{space 3}0.496{col 60}{space 4}-4.697883{col 73}{space 3}  2.27546
{txt}{space 15}19  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-1.342023{col 32}{space 2} 1.831445{col 43}{space 1}   -0.73{col 52}{space 3}0.464{col 60}{space 4}-4.933678{col 73}{space 3} 2.249632
{txt}{space 15}20  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-2.895439{col 32}{space 2} 1.834779{col 43}{space 1}   -1.58{col 52}{space 3}0.115{col 60}{space 4}-6.493635{col 73}{space 3}  .702756
{txt}{space 15}23  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.7262083{col 32}{space 2} 1.906427{col 43}{space 1}   -0.38{col 52}{space 3}0.703{col 60}{space 4}-4.464912{col 73}{space 3} 3.012495
{txt}{space 15}24  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-6.453594{col 32}{space 2} 2.180398{col 43}{space 1}   -2.96{col 52}{space 3}0.003{col 60}{space 4}-10.72958{col 73}{space 3}-2.177604
{txt}{space 15}25  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-5.312789{col 32}{space 2} 2.137229{col 43}{space 1}   -2.49{col 52}{space 3}0.013{col 60}{space 4} -9.50412{col 73}{space 3}-1.121458
{txt}{space 15}26  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.7043291{col 32}{space 2} 1.930969{col 43}{space 1}   -0.36{col 52}{space 3}0.715{col 60}{space 4}-4.491162{col 73}{space 3} 3.082503
{txt}{space 15}27  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-1.531537{col 32}{space 2} 1.961065{col 43}{space 1}   -0.78{col 52}{space 3}0.435{col 60}{space 4}-5.377393{col 73}{space 3} 2.314318
{txt}{space 15}29  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-2.389261{col 32}{space 2} 1.812841{col 43}{space 1}   -1.32{col 52}{space 3}0.188{col 60}{space 4}-5.944433{col 73}{space 3}  1.16591
{txt}{space 15}30  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .2601751{col 32}{space 2} 1.726594{col 43}{space 1}    0.15{col 52}{space 3}0.880{col 60}{space 4}-3.125857{col 73}{space 3} 3.646207
{txt}{space 15}32  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.5364808{col 32}{space 2}  2.16717{col 43}{space 1}   -0.25{col 52}{space 3}0.805{col 60}{space 4} -4.78653{col 73}{space 3} 3.713568
{txt}{space 15}33  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-2.927825{col 32}{space 2} 1.778317{col 43}{space 1}   -1.65{col 52}{space 3}0.100{col 60}{space 4}-6.415291{col 73}{space 3} .5596412
{txt}{space 15}34  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-1.168491{col 32}{space 2} 1.826177{col 43}{space 1}   -0.64{col 52}{space 3}0.522{col 60}{space 4}-4.749815{col 73}{space 3} 2.412833
{txt}{space 15}35  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-2.977154{col 32}{space 2} 2.167971{col 43}{space 1}   -1.37{col 52}{space 3}0.170{col 60}{space 4}-7.228773{col 73}{space 3} 1.274466
{txt}{space 15}36  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.3260003{col 32}{space 2} 1.751899{col 43}{space 1}   -0.19{col 52}{space 3}0.852{col 60}{space 4}-3.761659{col 73}{space 3} 3.109658
{txt}{space 15}38  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-3.748298{col 32}{space 2} 2.432089{col 43}{space 1}   -1.54{col 52}{space 3}0.123{col 60}{space 4}-8.517881{col 73}{space 3} 1.021284
{txt}{space 15}39  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-1.925423{col 32}{space 2} 1.962939{col 43}{space 1}   -0.98{col 52}{space 3}0.327{col 60}{space 4}-5.774952{col 73}{space 3} 1.924106
{txt}{space 15}41  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.6835722{col 32}{space 2} 1.958294{col 43}{space 1}   -0.35{col 52}{space 3}0.727{col 60}{space 4}-4.523992{col 73}{space 3} 3.156848
{txt}{space 15}42  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .2114597{col 32}{space 2} 1.695993{col 43}{space 1}    0.12{col 52}{space 3}0.901{col 60}{space 4}-3.114561{col 73}{space 3}  3.53748
{txt}{space 15}44  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-5.825425{col 32}{space 2} 2.131724{col 43}{space 1}   -2.73{col 52}{space 3}0.006{col 60}{space 4}-10.00596{col 73}{space 3}-1.644891
{txt}{space 15}46  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-3.925202{col 32}{space 2} 2.137257{col 43}{space 1}   -1.84{col 52}{space 3}0.066{col 60}{space 4}-8.116586{col 73}{space 3} .2661833
{txt}{space 15}49  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-2.979971{col 32}{space 2} 2.287994{col 43}{space 1}   -1.30{col 52}{space 3}0.193{col 60}{space 4}-7.466969{col 73}{space 3} 1.507027
{txt}{space 15}50  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-2.345232{col 32}{space 2} 1.906485{col 43}{space 1}   -1.23{col 52}{space 3}0.219{col 60}{space 4}-6.084049{col 73}{space 3} 1.393585
{txt}{space 15}53  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.2699573{col 32}{space 2}  1.96347{col 43}{space 1}   -0.14{col 52}{space 3}0.891{col 60}{space 4}-4.120529{col 73}{space 3} 3.580614
{txt}{space 15}55  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.7250304{col 32}{space 2} 1.827123{col 43}{space 1}   -0.40{col 52}{space 3}0.692{col 60}{space 4} -4.30821{col 73}{space 3} 2.858149
{txt}{space 15}56  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-3.351671{col 32}{space 2}  1.74456{col 43}{space 1}   -1.92{col 52}{space 3}0.055{col 60}{space 4}-6.772936{col 73}{space 3} .0695941
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 14}year {c |}
{space 13}1948  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  8.32518{col 32}{space 2} 2.819631{col 43}{space 1}    2.95{col 52}{space 3}0.003{col 60}{space 4} 2.795588{col 73}{space 3} 13.85477
{txt}{space 13}1949  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  25.5088{col 32}{space 2} 4.928007{col 43}{space 1}    5.18{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 15.84446{col 73}{space 3} 35.17314
{txt}{space 13}1950  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 10.70915{col 32}{space 2} 3.103476{col 43}{space 1}    3.45{col 52}{space 3}0.001{col 60}{space 4} 4.622908{col 73}{space 3} 16.79539
{txt}{space 13}1951  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 8.032283{col 32}{space 2} 3.374285{col 43}{space 1}    2.38{col 52}{space 3}0.017{col 60}{space 4} 1.414956{col 73}{space 3} 14.64961
{txt}{space 13}1952  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 9.560057{col 32}{space 2} 3.113058{col 43}{space 1}    3.07{col 52}{space 3}0.002{col 60}{space 4} 3.455023{col 73}{space 3} 15.66509
{txt}{space 13}1953  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 7.450319{col 32}{space 2} 4.115166{col 43}{space 1}    1.81{col 52}{space 3}0.070{col 60}{space 4}-.6199549{col 73}{space 3} 15.52059
{txt}{space 13}1954  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 9.738262{col 32}{space 2} 3.091298{col 43}{space 1}    3.15{col 52}{space 3}0.002{col 60}{space 4} 3.675901{col 73}{space 3} 15.80062
{txt}{space 13}1955  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 16.54789{col 32}{space 2} 4.039323{col 43}{space 1}    4.10{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 8.626357{col 73}{space 3} 24.46943
{txt}{space 13}1956  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  11.0976{col 32}{space 2} 3.161007{col 43}{space 1}    3.51{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 4.898534{col 73}{space 3} 17.29667
{txt}{space 13}1957  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 15.96609{col 32}{space 2} 4.256945{col 43}{space 1}    3.75{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 7.617775{col 73}{space 3} 24.31441
{txt}{space 13}1958  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 11.98504{col 32}{space 2} 3.240463{col 43}{space 1}    3.70{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 5.630149{col 73}{space 3} 18.33993
{txt}{space 13}1959  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 15.72251{col 32}{space 2}  4.45788{col 43}{space 1}    3.53{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 6.980142{col 73}{space 3} 24.46488
{txt}{space 13}1960  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 12.28065{col 32}{space 2}  3.26362{col 43}{space 1}    3.76{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 5.880346{col 73}{space 3} 18.68095
{txt}{space 13}1961  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 12.08349{col 32}{space 2} 4.040559{col 43}{space 1}    2.99{col 52}{space 3}0.003{col 60}{space 4} 4.159532{col 73}{space 3} 20.00746
{txt}{space 13}1962  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 12.30021{col 32}{space 2} 3.219129{col 43}{space 1}    3.82{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 5.987162{col 73}{space 3} 18.61326
{txt}{space 13}1963  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 11.92601{col 32}{space 2} 3.539975{col 43}{space 1}    3.37{col 52}{space 3}0.001{col 60}{space 4} 4.983752{col 73}{space 3} 18.86828
{txt}{space 13}1964  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 11.76161{col 32}{space 2} 3.237045{col 43}{space 1}    3.63{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 5.413424{col 73}{space 3}  18.1098
{txt}{space 13}1965  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  14.6704{col 32}{space 2}  4.04284{col 43}{space 1}    3.63{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 6.741971{col 73}{space 3} 22.59884
{txt}{space 13}1966  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 12.04645{col 32}{space 2} 3.321046{col 43}{space 1}    3.63{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 5.533527{col 73}{space 3} 18.55937
{txt}{space 13}1967  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  14.6018{col 32}{space 2} 5.084914{col 43}{space 1}    2.87{col 52}{space 3}0.004{col 60}{space 4} 4.629746{col 73}{space 3} 24.57385
{txt}{space 13}1968  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 12.52128{col 32}{space 2} 3.306566{col 43}{space 1}    3.79{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4}  6.03676{col 73}{space 3} 19.00581
{txt}{space 13}1969  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 12.06556{col 32}{space 2}  3.81605{col 43}{space 1}    3.16{col 52}{space 3}0.002{col 60}{space 4} 4.581882{col 73}{space 3} 19.54923
{txt}{space 13}1970  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 11.84991{col 32}{space 2} 3.145856{col 43}{space 1}    3.77{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 5.680559{col 73}{space 3} 18.01927
{txt}{space 13}1971  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 17.48276{col 32}{space 2} 3.700756{col 43}{space 1}    4.72{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 10.22518{col 73}{space 3} 24.74033
{txt}{space 13}1972  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 14.28794{col 32}{space 2} 3.409241{col 43}{space 1}    4.19{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 7.602061{col 73}{space 3} 20.97382
{txt}{space 13}1973  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 13.33629{col 32}{space 2} 3.920666{col 43}{space 1}    3.40{col 52}{space 3}0.001{col 60}{space 4} 5.647454{col 73}{space 3} 21.02513
{txt}{space 13}1974  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 11.99505{col 32}{space 2} 3.401966{col 43}{space 1}    3.53{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 5.323434{col 73}{space 3} 18.66666
{txt}{space 13}1975  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  9.76487{col 32}{space 2} 4.438309{col 43}{space 1}    2.20{col 52}{space 3}0.028{col 60}{space 4}  1.06088{col 73}{space 3} 18.46886
{txt}{space 13}1976  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 12.99027{col 32}{space 2}  3.32497{col 43}{space 1}    3.91{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 6.469655{col 73}{space 3} 19.51089
{txt}{space 13}1977  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 11.36243{col 32}{space 2} 3.945032{col 43}{space 1}    2.88{col 52}{space 3}0.004{col 60}{space 4} 3.625808{col 73}{space 3} 19.09905
{txt}{space 13}1978  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 13.09919{col 32}{space 2} 3.367143{col 43}{space 1}    3.89{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 6.495872{col 73}{space 3} 19.70252
{txt}{space 13}1979  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 12.66824{col 32}{space 2} 3.679986{col 43}{space 1}    3.44{col 52}{space 3}0.001{col 60}{space 4} 5.451396{col 73}{space 3} 19.88508
{txt}{space 13}1980  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 12.52996{col 32}{space 2} 3.284022{col 43}{space 1}    3.82{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4}  6.08965{col 73}{space 3} 18.97027
{txt}{space 13}1981  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  13.9972{col 32}{space 2} 3.711589{col 43}{space 1}    3.77{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 6.718382{col 73}{space 3} 21.27602
{txt}{space 13}1982  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 13.31303{col 32}{space 2} 3.353645{col 43}{space 1}    3.97{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 6.736179{col 73}{space 3} 19.88988
{txt}{space 13}1983  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 12.73842{col 32}{space 2} 3.753197{col 43}{space 1}    3.39{col 52}{space 3}0.001{col 60}{space 4} 5.378005{col 73}{space 3} 20.09883
{txt}{space 13}1984  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 13.42014{col 32}{space 2} 3.273513{col 43}{space 1}    4.10{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 7.000433{col 73}{space 3} 19.83984
{txt}{space 13}1985  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 14.27808{col 32}{space 2} 3.661764{col 43}{space 1}    3.90{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 7.096974{col 73}{space 3} 21.45918
{txt}{space 13}1986  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 13.52236{col 32}{space 2} 3.258111{col 43}{space 1}    4.15{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 7.132858{col 73}{space 3} 19.91186
{txt}{space 13}1987  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 15.92344{col 32}{space 2}  3.42464{col 43}{space 1}    4.65{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 9.207363{col 73}{space 3} 22.63952
{txt}{space 13}1988  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 13.58694{col 32}{space 2} 3.262089{col 43}{space 1}    4.17{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4}  7.18964{col 73}{space 3} 19.98424
{txt}{space 13}1989  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 15.26189{col 32}{space 2} 3.462885{col 43}{space 1}    4.41{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4}  8.47081{col 73}{space 3} 22.05297
{txt}{space 13}1990  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 13.42609{col 32}{space 2} 3.238182{col 43}{space 1}    4.15{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 7.075671{col 73}{space 3}  19.7765
{txt}{space 13}1991  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 15.32108{col 32}{space 2}  3.58429{col 43}{space 1}    4.27{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 8.291908{col 73}{space 3} 22.35025
{txt}{space 13}1992  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 13.35878{col 32}{space 2} 3.402042{col 43}{space 1}    3.93{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 6.687015{col 73}{space 3} 20.03054
{txt}{space 13}1993  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 13.74354{col 32}{space 2} 3.679555{col 43}{space 1}    3.74{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 6.527543{col 73}{space 3} 20.95953
{txt}{space 13}1994  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 13.92431{col 32}{space 2}  3.34771{col 43}{space 1}    4.16{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4}   7.3591{col 73}{space 3} 20.48952
{txt}{space 13}1995  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 10.46862{col 32}{space 2} 3.833834{col 43}{space 1}    2.73{col 52}{space 3}0.006{col 60}{space 4} 2.950072{col 73}{space 3} 17.98718
{txt}{space 13}1996  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 13.91166{col 32}{space 2} 3.293256{col 43}{space 1}    4.22{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 7.453237{col 73}{space 3} 20.37008
{txt}{space 13}1997  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 11.83386{col 32}{space 2} 3.511291{col 43}{space 1}    3.37{col 52}{space 3}0.001{col 60}{space 4} 4.947852{col 73}{space 3} 18.71987
{txt}{space 13}1998  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 14.03941{col 32}{space 2} 3.282222{col 43}{space 1}    4.28{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 7.602626{col 73}{space 3} 20.47619
{txt}{space 13}1999  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 13.72067{col 32}{space 2} 3.465142{col 43}{space 1}    3.96{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 6.925159{col 73}{space 3} 20.51617
{txt}{space 13}2000  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 14.28328{col 32}{space 2}   3.2769{col 43}{space 1}    4.36{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 7.856931{col 73}{space 3} 20.70962
{txt}{space 13}2001  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  12.9959{col 32}{space 2} 3.500641{col 43}{space 1}    3.71{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 6.130777{col 73}{space 3} 19.86103
{txt}{space 13}2002  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 13.36463{col 32}{space 2} 3.322066{col 43}{space 1}    4.02{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 6.849707{col 73}{space 3} 19.87955
{txt}{space 13}2003  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 11.59569{col 32}{space 2}  3.46521{col 43}{space 1}    3.35{col 52}{space 3}0.001{col 60}{space 4} 4.800052{col 73}{space 3} 18.39133
{txt}{space 13}2004  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 13.33025{col 32}{space 2} 3.349823{col 43}{space 1}    3.98{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 6.760896{col 73}{space 3} 19.89961
{txt}{space 13}2005  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 11.72904{col 32}{space 2} 3.456102{col 43}{space 1}    3.39{col 52}{space 3}0.001{col 60}{space 4} 4.951261{col 73}{space 3} 18.50682
{txt}{space 13}2006  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 13.59385{col 32}{space 2} 3.338743{col 43}{space 1}    4.07{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 7.046226{col 73}{space 3} 20.14148
{txt}{space 13}2007  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 13.23986{col 32}{space 2}  3.66994{col 43}{space 1}    3.61{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 6.042723{col 73}{space 3}   20.437
{txt}{space 13}2008  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 13.12831{col 32}{space 2} 3.326474{col 43}{space 1}    3.95{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4}  6.60474{col 73}{space 3} 19.65187
{txt}{space 13}2009  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 8.676209{col 32}{space 2} 3.604508{col 43}{space 1}    2.41{col 52}{space 3}0.016{col 60}{space 4} 1.607391{col 73}{space 3} 15.74503
{txt}{space 13}2010  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 7.253333{col 32}{space 2} 4.209724{col 43}{space 1}    1.72{col 52}{space 3}0.085{col 60}{space 4}-1.002378{col 73}{space 3} 15.50904
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 13}_cons {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.6410589{col 32}{space 2} 3.517417{col 43}{space 1}   -0.18{col 52}{space 3}0.855{col 60}{space 4}-7.539084{col 73}{space 3} 6.256966
{txt}{hline 19}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. predict klarnerranneyhatallfull if nonsouth==1
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(1,143 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION ERROR CORRECTION RATE *

. 
. 
. 
. test l.klarnerranney = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,  2080) ={res}   64.51
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0000

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *Weak Exogeneity Tests*

. 
. 
. 
. testnl _b[l.adjpercapita_resid]/-_b[l.klarnerranney] = 0

{col 3}{txt}(1){res}{col 8}{bind:_b[l.adjpercapita_resid]/-_b[l.klarnerranney] = 0}

{txt}{ralign 22:chi2({res:1})} =  {res}      0.15
{txt}{ralign 22:Prob > chi2} =  {res}      0.7006{txt}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * GRANGER CAUSLITY TEST *

. 
. 
. 
. test d.adjpercapita_resid  =  l.d.adjpercapita_resid  =  l2.d.adjpercapita_resid =  l3.d.adjpercapita_resid = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.adjpercapita_resid - LD.adjpercapita_resid = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} D.adjpercapita_resid - L2D.adjpercapita_resid = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 3)}{space 1} D.adjpercapita_resid - L3D.adjpercapita_resid = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 4)}{space 1} D.adjpercapita_resid = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  4,  2080) ={res}    1.37
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.2431

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENEITY) *

. 
. 
. 
. test l.klarnerranney = l.adjpercapita_resid = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.klarnerranney - L.adjpercapita_resid = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,  2080) ={res}   33.15
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0000

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *

. 
. 
. 
. lincom  d.adjpercapita_resid +  l.d.adjpercapita_resid  +  l2.d.adjpercapita_resid +  l3.d.adjpercapita_resid 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.adjpercapita_resid + LD.adjpercapita_resid + L2D.adjpercapita_resid + L3D.adjpercapita_resid = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}klarnerran~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0020796{col 26}{space 2} .0011355{col 37}{space 1}   -1.83{col 46}{space 3}0.067{col 54}{space 4}-.0043065{col 67}{space 3} .0001472
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *

. 
. 
. 
. nlcom _b[l.adjpercapita_resid]/-_b[l.klarnerranney]

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.adjpercapita_resid]/-_b[l.klarnerranney]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}klarnerran~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0002581{col 26}{space 2} .0006713{col 37}{space 1}   -0.38{col 46}{space 3}0.701{col 54}{space 4}-.0015738{col 67}{space 3} .0010576
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. // (5,4)  MODEL
{bf}{err}/{sf} is not a valid command name
{txt}{search r(199), local:r(199);}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** I.B: NON-SOUTHERN STATES (N = 35): PRE-PARTISAN ALIGNMENT TIME PERIOD (1942 -1980) ***

. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. qui reg d.adjpercapita_resid  l.adjpercapita_resid l.klarnerranney   l.d.adjpercapita_resid d.klarnerranney  l2.d.adjpercapita_resid  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.adjpercapita_resid l2.d.klarnerranney  l4.d.adjpercapita_resid l3.d.klarnerranney l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work  l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified  i.state_fips i.year if year <=1980 & nonsouth==1

. 
. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}     1,148{col 27}-8536.547{col 38}-8206.111{col 49}    92{col 58} 16596.22{col 69} 17060.43
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ******INCOME EQUATION*********

. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. newey d.adjpercapita_resid  l.adjpercapita_resid l.klarnerranney   l.d.adjpercapita_resid d.klarnerranney  l2.d.adjpercapita_resid  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.adjpercapita_resid l2.d.klarnerranney  l4.d.adjpercapita_resid l3.d.klarnerranney l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work  l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified  i.state_fips i.year if year <=1980 & nonsouth==1, lag(6) force

{txt}Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}     1,148
{txt}maximum lag: {res}6{col 49}{txt}F( 91,      1056){col 67}= {res}     15.85
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}  Newey-West
{col 1}D.adjpercapita_resid{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      t{col 54}   P>|t|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 2}adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0877792{col 34}{space 2}  .021205{col 45}{space 1}   -4.14{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} -.129388{col 75}{space 3}-.0461704
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.409882{col 34}{space 2} .8143479{col 45}{space 1}   -1.73{col 54}{space 3}0.084{col 62}{space 4}-3.007806{col 75}{space 3} .1880419
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 2}adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .2025956{col 34}{space 2} .1032573{col 45}{space 1}    1.96{col 54}{space 3}0.050{col 62}{space 4}-.0000172{col 75}{space 3} .4052084
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}D1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.936008{col 34}{space 2} 1.025693{col 45}{space 1}   -1.89{col 54}{space 3}0.059{col 62}{space 4}-3.948637{col 75}{space 3}   .07662
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 2}adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0799858{col 34}{space 2} .0596868{col 45}{space 1}   -1.34{col 54}{space 3}0.181{col 62}{space 4}-.1971041{col 75}{space 3} .0371325
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 2.222631{col 34}{space 2} 1.097231{col 45}{space 1}    2.03{col 54}{space 3}0.043{col 62}{space 4} .0696293{col 75}{space 3} 4.375632
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 2}adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 16}L3D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0346336{col 34}{space 2} .0608393{col 45}{space 1}   -0.57{col 54}{space 3}0.569{col 62}{space 4}-.1540132{col 75}{space 3} .0847461
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .3533938{col 34}{space 2} .9860686{col 45}{space 1}    0.36{col 54}{space 3}0.720{col 62}{space 4}-1.581483{col 75}{space 3}  2.28827
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 2}adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 16}L4D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0410554{col 34}{space 2} .0576422{col 45}{space 1}    0.71{col 54}{space 3}0.476{col 62}{space 4}-.0720508{col 75}{space 3} .1541616
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 16}L3D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .7864394{col 34}{space 2} .9318672{col 45}{space 1}    0.84{col 54}{space 3}0.399{col 62}{space 4}-1.042082{col 75}{space 3} 2.614961
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
csi_perc_cap_outlays {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-125.8813{col 34}{space 2} 235.0824{col 45}{space 1}   -0.54{col 54}{space 3}0.592{col 62}{space 4} -587.163{col 75}{space 3} 335.4004
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-4.733062{col 34}{space 2} 335.2004{col 45}{space 1}   -0.01{col 54}{space 3}0.989{col 62}{space 4}-662.4676{col 75}{space 3} 653.0015
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}right_to_work {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 6.161863{col 34}{space 2} 72.89944{col 45}{space 1}    0.08{col 54}{space 3}0.933{col 62}{space 4}-136.8824{col 75}{space 3} 149.2061
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 188.4385{col 34}{space 2} 225.9341{col 45}{space 1}    0.83{col 54}{space 3}0.404{col 62}{space 4}-254.8923{col 75}{space 3} 631.7692
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 1}csi_welf_perc_total {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-95.07044{col 34}{space 2} 289.1483{col 45}{space 1}   -0.33{col 54}{space 3}0.742{col 62}{space 4} -662.441{col 75}{space 3} 472.3001
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-388.3238{col 34}{space 2} 939.4233{col 45}{space 1}   -0.41{col 54}{space 3}0.679{col 62}{space 4}-2231.672{col 75}{space 3} 1455.025
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}nonfarm_persinc {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1661.807{col 34}{space 2} 671.0244{col 45}{space 1}    2.48{col 54}{space 3}0.013{col 62}{space 4} 345.1138{col 75}{space 3} 2978.499
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 3705.006{col 34}{space 2}  1434.53{col 45}{space 1}    2.58{col 54}{space 3}0.010{col 62}{space 4} 890.1524{col 75}{space 3} 6519.859
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 11}gov_party {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 78.37193{col 34}{space 2} 34.55067{col 45}{space 1}    2.27{col 54}{space 3}0.024{col 62}{space 4} 10.57615{col 75}{space 3} 146.1677
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-30.16396{col 34}{space 2}  39.0473{col 45}{space 1}   -0.77{col 54}{space 3}0.440{col 62}{space 4}-106.7831{col 75}{space 3} 46.45515
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}dem_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-38.08104{col 34}{space 2} 37.27704{col 45}{space 1}   -1.02{col 54}{space 3}0.307{col 62}{space 4}-111.2265{col 75}{space 3} 35.06444
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 2.442373{col 34}{space 2} 38.98081{col 45}{space 1}    0.06{col 54}{space 3}0.950{col 62}{space 4}-74.04629{col 75}{space 3} 78.93103
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}rep_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 29.59397{col 34}{space 2} 36.23538{col 45}{space 1}    0.82{col 54}{space 3}0.414{col 62}{space 4}-41.50756{col 75}{space 3} 100.6955
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-80.78562{col 34}{space 2}  49.0044{col 45}{space 1}   -1.65{col 54}{space 3}0.100{col 62}{space 4}-176.9427{col 75}{space 3} 15.37145
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 10}state_fips {c |}
{space 18}4  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-642.8004{col 34}{space 2} 247.4173{col 45}{space 1}   -2.60{col 54}{space 3}0.010{col 62}{space 4}-1128.286{col 75}{space 3}-157.3149
{txt}{space 18}6  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-938.2871{col 34}{space 2} 280.6848{col 45}{space 1}   -3.34{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} -1489.05{col 75}{space 3}-387.5238
{txt}{space 18}8  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-552.3667{col 34}{space 2} 242.0104{col 45}{space 1}   -2.28{col 54}{space 3}0.023{col 62}{space 4}-1027.243{col 75}{space 3} -77.4907
{txt}{space 18}9  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-433.6625{col 34}{space 2} 232.2474{col 45}{space 1}   -1.87{col 54}{space 3}0.062{col 62}{space 4}-889.3813{col 75}{space 3} 22.05632
{txt}{space 17}10  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-441.6824{col 34}{space 2} 226.3738{col 45}{space 1}   -1.95{col 54}{space 3}0.051{col 62}{space 4} -885.876{col 75}{space 3} 2.511268
{txt}{space 17}15  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-330.9604{col 34}{space 2} 235.2976{col 45}{space 1}   -1.41{col 54}{space 3}0.160{col 62}{space 4}-792.6645{col 75}{space 3} 130.7437
{txt}{space 17}16  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -540.006{col 34}{space 2} 261.5746{col 45}{space 1}   -2.06{col 54}{space 3}0.039{col 62}{space 4}-1053.271{col 75}{space 3}-26.74096
{txt}{space 17}17  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-631.2613{col 34}{space 2}  236.539{col 45}{space 1}   -2.67{col 54}{space 3}0.008{col 62}{space 4}-1095.401{col 75}{space 3}-167.1213
{txt}{space 17}18  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-649.2829{col 34}{space 2} 243.0851{col 45}{space 1}   -2.67{col 54}{space 3}0.008{col 62}{space 4}-1126.268{col 75}{space 3}-172.2981
{txt}{space 17}19  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -486.448{col 34}{space 2}   259.31{col 45}{space 1}   -1.88{col 54}{space 3}0.061{col 62}{space 4}-995.2694{col 75}{space 3} 22.37352
{txt}{space 17}20  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-563.1722{col 34}{space 2} 249.3546{col 45}{space 1}   -2.26{col 54}{space 3}0.024{col 62}{space 4}-1052.459{col 75}{space 3} -73.8853
{txt}{space 17}23  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-767.9647{col 34}{space 2} 253.1282{col 45}{space 1}   -3.03{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4}-1264.656{col 75}{space 3}-271.2733
{txt}{space 17}24  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-602.8621{col 34}{space 2} 237.0607{col 45}{space 1}   -2.54{col 54}{space 3}0.011{col 62}{space 4}-1068.026{col 75}{space 3}-137.6986
{txt}{space 17}25  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-647.0879{col 34}{space 2} 238.9848{col 45}{space 1}   -2.71{col 54}{space 3}0.007{col 62}{space 4}-1116.027{col 75}{space 3}-178.1488
{txt}{space 17}26  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-712.9374{col 34}{space 2} 242.5529{col 45}{space 1}   -2.94{col 54}{space 3}0.003{col 62}{space 4}-1188.878{col 75}{space 3}-236.9969
{txt}{space 17}27  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-582.7985{col 34}{space 2} 247.2633{col 45}{space 1}   -2.36{col 54}{space 3}0.019{col 62}{space 4}-1067.982{col 75}{space 3}-97.61525
{txt}{space 17}29  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-665.3648{col 34}{space 2} 244.4705{col 45}{space 1}   -2.72{col 54}{space 3}0.007{col 62}{space 4}-1145.068{col 75}{space 3}-185.6617
{txt}{space 17}30  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -484.339{col 34}{space 2} 255.8873{col 45}{space 1}   -1.89{col 54}{space 3}0.059{col 62}{space 4}-986.4443{col 75}{space 3} 17.76631
{txt}{space 17}32  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-406.8899{col 34}{space 2} 241.6539{col 45}{space 1}   -1.68{col 54}{space 3}0.093{col 62}{space 4}-881.0662{col 75}{space 3} 67.28643
{txt}{space 17}33  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-636.0219{col 34}{space 2} 245.0931{col 45}{space 1}   -2.60{col 54}{space 3}0.010{col 62}{space 4}-1116.947{col 75}{space 3}-155.0971
{txt}{space 17}34  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-581.4135{col 34}{space 2} 233.8968{col 45}{space 1}   -2.49{col 54}{space 3}0.013{col 62}{space 4}-1040.369{col 75}{space 3}-122.4581
{txt}{space 17}35  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-725.1841{col 34}{space 2} 255.2768{col 45}{space 1}   -2.84{col 54}{space 3}0.005{col 62}{space 4}-1226.092{col 75}{space 3}-224.2766
{txt}{space 17}36  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-858.6639{col 34}{space 2} 262.0707{col 45}{space 1}   -3.28{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4}-1372.902{col 75}{space 3}-344.4253
{txt}{space 17}38  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-458.3484{col 34}{space 2} 334.1095{col 45}{space 1}   -1.37{col 54}{space 3}0.170{col 62}{space 4}-1113.942{col 75}{space 3} 197.2455
{txt}{space 17}39  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-742.9706{col 34}{space 2} 245.0606{col 45}{space 1}   -3.03{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4}-1223.832{col 75}{space 3}-262.1095
{txt}{space 17}41  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-605.3013{col 34}{space 2}  237.157{col 45}{space 1}   -2.55{col 54}{space 3}0.011{col 62}{space 4}-1070.654{col 75}{space 3}-139.9487
{txt}{space 17}42  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-765.4876{col 34}{space 2} 247.0411{col 45}{space 1}   -3.10{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4}-1250.235{col 75}{space 3}-280.7404
{txt}{space 17}44  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-658.1089{col 34}{space 2} 244.6375{col 45}{space 1}   -2.69{col 54}{space 3}0.007{col 62}{space 4} -1138.14{col 75}{space 3}-178.0779
{txt}{space 17}46  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-474.6012{col 34}{space 2} 312.3703{col 45}{space 1}   -1.52{col 54}{space 3}0.129{col 62}{space 4}-1087.538{col 75}{space 3} 138.3359
{txt}{space 17}49  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-726.7221{col 34}{space 2} 256.5434{col 45}{space 1}   -2.83{col 54}{space 3}0.005{col 62}{space 4}-1230.115{col 75}{space 3}-223.3293
{txt}{space 17}50  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-705.1072{col 34}{space 2} 253.5473{col 45}{space 1}   -2.78{col 54}{space 3}0.006{col 62}{space 4}-1202.621{col 75}{space 3}-207.5934
{txt}{space 17}53  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-541.2124{col 34}{space 2} 232.4802{col 45}{space 1}   -2.33{col 54}{space 3}0.020{col 62}{space 4} -997.388{col 75}{space 3}-85.03679
{txt}{space 17}55  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-628.3941{col 34}{space 2} 243.7813{col 45}{space 1}   -2.58{col 54}{space 3}0.010{col 62}{space 4}-1106.745{col 75}{space 3}-150.0433
{txt}{space 17}56  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -431.464{col 34}{space 2} 256.8633{col 45}{space 1}   -1.68{col 54}{space 3}0.093{col 62}{space 4}-935.4844{col 75}{space 3} 72.55645
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 16}year {c |}
{space 15}1948  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 381.2919{col 34}{space 2} 99.33927{col 45}{space 1}    3.84{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 186.3671{col 75}{space 3} 576.2167
{txt}{space 15}1949  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 91.37388{col 34}{space 2} 169.1889{col 45}{space 1}    0.54{col 54}{space 3}0.589{col 62}{space 4}-240.6108{col 75}{space 3} 423.3585
{txt}{space 15}1950  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 650.7747{col 34}{space 2} 172.3629{col 45}{space 1}    3.78{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  312.562{col 75}{space 3} 988.9873
{txt}{space 15}1951  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 465.1187{col 34}{space 2} 180.3601{col 45}{space 1}    2.58{col 54}{space 3}0.010{col 62}{space 4} 111.2137{col 75}{space 3} 819.0237
{txt}{space 15}1952  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 515.8813{col 34}{space 2} 143.7371{col 45}{space 1}    3.59{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 233.8386{col 75}{space 3} 797.9241
{txt}{space 15}1953  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 429.7765{col 34}{space 2} 135.7264{col 45}{space 1}    3.17{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4} 163.4525{col 75}{space 3} 696.1005
{txt}{space 15}1954  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 184.3421{col 34}{space 2} 119.6876{col 45}{space 1}    1.54{col 54}{space 3}0.124{col 62}{space 4}-50.51036{col 75}{space 3} 419.1946
{txt}{space 15}1955  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 681.1509{col 34}{space 2} 110.4456{col 45}{space 1}    6.17{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 464.4331{col 75}{space 3} 897.8687
{txt}{space 15}1956  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  430.082{col 34}{space 2} 151.1036{col 45}{space 1}    2.85{col 54}{space 3}0.005{col 62}{space 4} 133.5845{col 75}{space 3} 726.5795
{txt}{space 15}1957  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 327.5164{col 34}{space 2} 138.5974{col 45}{space 1}    2.36{col 54}{space 3}0.018{col 62}{space 4} 55.55883{col 75}{space 3} 599.4739
{txt}{space 15}1958  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 209.8233{col 34}{space 2} 118.9758{col 45}{space 1}    1.76{col 54}{space 3}0.078{col 62}{space 4}-23.63244{col 75}{space 3} 443.2791
{txt}{space 15}1959  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 468.8596{col 34}{space 2} 102.2088{col 45}{space 1}    4.59{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 268.3041{col 75}{space 3} 669.4151
{txt}{space 15}1960  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  345.947{col 34}{space 2} 145.1507{col 45}{space 1}    2.38{col 54}{space 3}0.017{col 62}{space 4} 61.13037{col 75}{space 3} 630.7637
{txt}{space 15}1961  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 439.9286{col 34}{space 2}   142.78{col 45}{space 1}    3.08{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4} 159.7637{col 75}{space 3} 720.0935
{txt}{space 15}1962  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 668.9653{col 34}{space 2} 142.1832{col 45}{space 1}    4.70{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 389.9716{col 75}{space 3} 947.9589
{txt}{space 15}1963  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 401.6449{col 34}{space 2} 138.5569{col 45}{space 1}    2.90{col 54}{space 3}0.004{col 62}{space 4} 129.7667{col 75}{space 3} 673.5231
{txt}{space 15}1964  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 579.1049{col 34}{space 2} 127.9613{col 45}{space 1}    4.53{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 328.0174{col 75}{space 3} 830.1923
{txt}{space 15}1965  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 721.0196{col 34}{space 2} 140.2083{col 45}{space 1}    5.14{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  445.901{col 75}{space 3} 996.1381
{txt}{space 15}1966  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 613.1686{col 34}{space 2} 145.2017{col 45}{space 1}    4.22{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 328.2519{col 75}{space 3} 898.0852
{txt}{space 15}1967  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 606.6891{col 34}{space 2}   134.34{col 45}{space 1}    4.52{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 343.0855{col 75}{space 3} 870.2927
{txt}{space 15}1968  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 743.7704{col 34}{space 2} 129.2391{col 45}{space 1}    5.75{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 490.1756{col 75}{space 3} 997.3651
{txt}{space 15}1969  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 747.9916{col 34}{space 2} 141.6356{col 45}{space 1}    5.28{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 470.0724{col 75}{space 3} 1025.911
{txt}{space 15}1970  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 533.9969{col 34}{space 2} 144.7179{col 45}{space 1}    3.69{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 250.0295{col 75}{space 3} 817.9643
{txt}{space 15}1971  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 652.1707{col 34}{space 2}  120.583{col 45}{space 1}    5.41{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 415.5611{col 75}{space 3} 888.7803
{txt}{space 15}1972  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 938.7444{col 34}{space 2} 133.9536{col 45}{space 1}    7.01{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 675.8989{col 75}{space 3}  1201.59
{txt}{space 15}1973  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 985.8494{col 34}{space 2} 180.4101{col 45}{space 1}    5.46{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 631.8463{col 75}{space 3} 1339.852
{txt}{space 15}1974  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 525.3525{col 34}{space 2} 151.1558{col 45}{space 1}    3.48{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 228.7527{col 75}{space 3} 821.9524
{txt}{space 15}1975  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 507.8504{col 34}{space 2}  120.782{col 45}{space 1}    4.20{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 270.8504{col 75}{space 3} 744.8504
{txt}{space 15}1976  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 745.8938{col 34}{space 2} 126.1387{col 45}{space 1}    5.91{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 498.3829{col 75}{space 3} 993.4047
{txt}{space 15}1977  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 703.8545{col 34}{space 2} 159.7654{col 45}{space 1}    4.41{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 390.3608{col 75}{space 3} 1017.348
{txt}{space 15}1978  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 968.8825{col 34}{space 2} 182.6586{col 45}{space 1}    5.30{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 610.4675{col 75}{space 3} 1327.298
{txt}{space 15}1979  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 536.0254{col 34}{space 2} 165.6594{col 45}{space 1}    3.24{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 210.9664{col 75}{space 3} 861.0844
{txt}{space 15}1980  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 247.9952{col 34}{space 2} 125.5285{col 45}{space 1}    1.98{col 54}{space 3}0.048{col 62}{space 4} 1.681579{col 75}{space 3} 494.3089
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1446.236{col 34}{space 2} 679.6072{col 45}{space 1}   -2.13{col 54}{space 3}0.034{col 62}{space 4}-2779.771{col 75}{space 3}-112.7023
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. predict adjpercapita_residhatallpre if year<=1980 & nonsouth==1
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(2,191 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME ERROR CORRECTION RATE *

. 
. 
. 
. test l.adjpercapita_resid = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.adjpercapita_resid = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,  1056) ={res}   17.14
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0000

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *Weak Exogeneity Tests*

. 
. 
. 
. testnl _b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.adjpercapita_resid] = 0

{col 3}{txt}(1){res}{col 8}{bind:_b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.adjpercapita_resid] = 0}

{txt}{ralign 22:chi2({res:1})} =  {res}      3.04
{txt}{ralign 22:Prob > chi2} =  {res}      0.0813{txt}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * GRANGER CAUSLITY TEST*

. 
. 
. 
. test  d.klarnerranney = l.d.klarnerranney  =  l2.d.klarnerranney = l3.d.klarnerranney = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.klarnerranney - LD.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} D.klarnerranney - L2D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 3)}{space 1} D.klarnerranney - L3D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 4)}{space 1} D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  4,  1056) ={res}    1.59
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.1752

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENEITY) *

. 
. 
. 
. test l.adjpercapita_resid = l.klarnerranney = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.adjpercapita_resid - L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.adjpercapita_resid = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,  1056) ={res}    8.90
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0001

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *

. 
. 
. 
. lincom  d.klarnerranney +  l.d.klarnerranney +  l2.d.klarnerranney +  l3.d.klarnerranney 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.klarnerranney + LD.klarnerranney + L2D.klarnerranney + L3D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}adjpercapi~d{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.426455{col 26}{space 2} 2.094431{col 37}{space 1}    0.68{col 46}{space 3}0.496{col 54}{space 4}-2.683264{col 67}{space 3} 5.536175
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *

. 
. 
. 
. nlcom _b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.adjpercapita_resid] 

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.adjpercapita_resid]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}adjpercapi~d{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-16.06169{col 26}{space 2} 9.212488{col 37}{space 1}   -1.74{col 46}{space 3}0.081{col 54}{space 4}-34.11783{col 67}{space 3} 1.994458
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. sum klarnerranney   if adjpercapita_residhatallpre!=. & year <= 1980 & nonsouth==1, detail

         {txt}Annual Ranney Measure of State Legislative
               Partisan Balance (Klarner Data)
{hline 61}
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%    {res} 7.846587       2.666667
{txt} 5%    {res}       26       2.666667
{txt}10%    {res} 35.89286       4.966588       {txt}Obs         {res}      1,148
{txt}25%    {res} 57.88889       4.966588       {txt}Sum of Wgt. {res}      1,148

{txt}50%    {res} 74.40371                      {txt}Mean          {res} 69.93211
                        {txt}Largest       Std. Dev.     {res} 22.52059
{txt}75%    {res}       88            100
{txt}90%    {res}       96            100       {txt}Variance      {res} 507.1771
{txt}95%    {res} 98.35601            100       {txt}Skewness      {res}-.7979719
{txt}99%    {res} 99.78022            100       {txt}Kurtosis      {res} 2.982485

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * TOTAL/DYNAMIC MULTIPLIER & BASELINE LONG-RUN EFFECTS  OF klarnerranney ON adjpercapita_resid:  75TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF klarnerranney MINUS 25TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF klarnerranney FOR EFFECTIVE SAMPLE PERIOD *

. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. nlcom  (_b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.adjpercapita_resid])*88  - (_b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.adjpercapita_resid])*57.88889

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}(_b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.adjpercapita_resid])*88 - (_b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.adjpercapita_resid])*57.88889

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}adjpercapi~d{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-483.6352{col 26}{space 2} 277.3982{col 37}{space 1}   -1.74{col 46}{space 3}0.081{col 54}{space 4}-1027.326{col 67}{space 3} 60.05534
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
.  
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. qui reg d.klarnerranney  l.klarnerranney l.adjpercapita_resid l.d.klarnerranney d.adjpercapita_resid  l2.d.klarnerranney  l.d.adjpercapita_resid  l3.d.klarnerranney l2.d.adjpercapita_resid  l4.d.klarnerranney l3.d.adjpercapita_resid l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1  i.state_fips i.year if year <=1980 & nonsouth==1

. 
. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}     1,148{col 27}-4553.793{col 38}-4349.463{col 49}    86{col 58} 8870.926{col 69} 9304.863
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ******PARTISAN COMPETITION EQUATION*********

. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. newey d.klarnerranney  l.klarnerranney l.adjpercapita_resid l.d.klarnerranney d.adjpercapita_resid  l2.d.klarnerranney  l.d.adjpercapita_resid  l3.d.klarnerranney l2.d.adjpercapita_resid  l4.d.klarnerranney l3.d.adjpercapita_resid l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1  i.state_fips i.year if year <=1980 & nonsouth==1, lag(6) force

{txt}Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}     1,148
{txt}maximum lag: {res}6{col 49}{txt}F( 85,      1062){col 67}= {res}      3.92
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 19}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 20}{c |}{col 32}  Newey-West
{col 1}   D.klarnerranney{col 20}{c |}      Coef.{col 32}   Std. Err.{col 44}      t{col 52}   P>|t|{col 60}     [95% Con{col 73}f. Interval]
{hline 19}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 15}L1. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.1942923{col 32}{space 2} .0312365{col 43}{space 1}   -6.22{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4}-.2555845{col 73}{space 3}-.1330001
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 15}L1. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0003575{col 32}{space 2} .0004057{col 43}{space 1}   -0.88{col 52}{space 3}0.378{col 60}{space 4}-.0011535{col 73}{space 3} .0004386
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 5}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 15}LD. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0880508{col 32}{space 2} .0220549{col 43}{space 1}    3.99{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} .0447747{col 73}{space 3} .1313269
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 15}D1. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0022157{col 32}{space 2} .0011312{col 43}{space 1}   -1.96{col 52}{space 3}0.050{col 60}{space 4}-.0044353{col 73}{space 3} 3.87e-06
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 5}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 14}L2D. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.2725822{col 32}{space 2} .0515194{col 43}{space 1}   -5.29{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4}-.3736736{col 73}{space 3}-.1714908
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 15}LD. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  -.00027{col 32}{space 2} .0012123{col 43}{space 1}   -0.22{col 52}{space 3}0.824{col 60}{space 4}-.0026487{col 73}{space 3} .0021087
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 5}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 14}L3D. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0515253{col 32}{space 2} .0142748{col 43}{space 1}    3.61{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} .0235154{col 73}{space 3} .0795353
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 14}L2D. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  .000387{col 32}{space 2} .0010897{col 43}{space 1}    0.36{col 52}{space 3}0.723{col 60}{space 4}-.0017513{col 73}{space 3} .0025252
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 5}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 14}L4D. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.1361017{col 32}{space 2} .0458732{col 43}{space 1}   -2.97{col 52}{space 3}0.003{col 60}{space 4}-.2261142{col 73}{space 3}-.0460893
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 14}L3D. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0005371{col 32}{space 2} .0013379{col 43}{space 1}    0.40{col 52}{space 3}0.688{col 60}{space 4}-.0020882{col 73}{space 3} .0031624
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 9}gov_party {c |}
{space 15}L1. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 1.310729{col 32}{space 2}  1.16372{col 43}{space 1}    1.13{col 52}{space 3}0.260{col 60}{space 4}-.9727223{col 73}{space 3} 3.594179
{txt}{space 15}LD. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.8520312{col 32}{space 2} .7827513{col 43}{space 1}   -1.09{col 52}{space 3}0.277{col 60}{space 4}-2.387946{col 73}{space 3} .6838836
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 7}dem_unified {c |}
{space 15}L1. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-2.289282{col 32}{space 2}  1.92708{col 43}{space 1}   -1.19{col 52}{space 3}0.235{col 60}{space 4}-6.070599{col 73}{space 3} 1.492034
{txt}{space 15}LD. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 1.195732{col 32}{space 2} 1.111423{col 43}{space 1}    1.08{col 52}{space 3}0.282{col 60}{space 4}-.9851019{col 73}{space 3} 3.376566
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 7}rep_unified {c |}
{space 15}L1. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 1.906469{col 32}{space 2} 1.451256{col 43}{space 1}    1.31{col 52}{space 3}0.189{col 60}{space 4}-.9411868{col 73}{space 3} 4.754124
{txt}{space 15}LD. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-1.489707{col 32}{space 2} .9019676{col 43}{space 1}   -1.65{col 52}{space 3}0.099{col 60}{space 4}-3.259548{col 73}{space 3} .2801339
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 4}electedjudges1 {c |}
{space 15}L1. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0669876{col 32}{space 2} 1.461319{col 43}{space 1}   -0.05{col 52}{space 3}0.963{col 60}{space 4}-2.934388{col 73}{space 3} 2.800413
{txt}{space 15}LD. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-4.809884{col 32}{space 2} 4.515553{col 43}{space 1}   -1.07{col 52}{space 3}0.287{col 60}{space 4} -13.6703{col 73}{space 3} 4.050536
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 8}state_fips {c |}
{space 16}4  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-3.848824{col 32}{space 2} 3.674899{col 43}{space 1}   -1.05{col 52}{space 3}0.295{col 60}{space 4}-11.05971{col 73}{space 3} 3.362064
{txt}{space 16}6  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-3.260549{col 32}{space 2} 3.692022{col 43}{space 1}   -0.88{col 52}{space 3}0.377{col 60}{space 4}-10.50503{col 73}{space 3} 3.983937
{txt}{space 16}8  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-1.159478{col 32}{space 2} 3.349927{col 43}{space 1}   -0.35{col 52}{space 3}0.729{col 60}{space 4}-7.732706{col 73}{space 3}  5.41375
{txt}{space 16}9  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-2.898818{col 32}{space 2} 3.184825{col 43}{space 1}   -0.91{col 52}{space 3}0.363{col 60}{space 4}-9.148082{col 73}{space 3} 3.350446
{txt}{space 15}10  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-1.527929{col 32}{space 2} 2.929632{col 43}{space 1}   -0.52{col 52}{space 3}0.602{col 60}{space 4}-7.276453{col 73}{space 3} 4.220596
{txt}{space 15}15  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-5.522107{col 32}{space 2} 2.699577{col 43}{space 1}   -2.05{col 52}{space 3}0.041{col 60}{space 4}-10.81922{col 73}{space 3}-.2249953
{txt}{space 15}16  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} -3.19248{col 32}{space 2} 3.818005{col 43}{space 1}   -0.84{col 52}{space 3}0.403{col 60}{space 4}-10.68417{col 73}{space 3} 4.299211
{txt}{space 15}17  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.7866095{col 32}{space 2} 3.193884{col 43}{space 1}   -0.25{col 52}{space 3}0.806{col 60}{space 4}-7.053649{col 73}{space 3}  5.48043
{txt}{space 15}18  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-2.349087{col 32}{space 2} 3.728904{col 43}{space 1}   -0.63{col 52}{space 3}0.529{col 60}{space 4}-9.665944{col 73}{space 3} 4.967771
{txt}{space 15}19  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-5.113339{col 32}{space 2} 3.851426{col 43}{space 1}   -1.33{col 52}{space 3}0.185{col 60}{space 4}-12.67061{col 73}{space 3}  2.44393
{txt}{space 15}20  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-4.963114{col 32}{space 2} 3.962314{col 43}{space 1}   -1.25{col 52}{space 3}0.211{col 60}{space 4}-12.73797{col 73}{space 3} 2.811739
{txt}{space 15}23  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} -4.46425{col 32}{space 2}  4.15291{col 43}{space 1}   -1.07{col 52}{space 3}0.283{col 60}{space 4}-12.61309{col 73}{space 3} 3.684591
{txt}{space 15}24  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-8.295101{col 32}{space 2} 3.645929{col 43}{space 1}   -2.28{col 52}{space 3}0.023{col 60}{space 4}-15.44914{col 73}{space 3}-1.141058
{txt}{space 15}25  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-5.013219{col 32}{space 2} 3.739948{col 43}{space 1}   -1.34{col 52}{space 3}0.180{col 60}{space 4}-12.35175{col 73}{space 3} 2.325308
{txt}{space 15}26  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-2.428144{col 32}{space 2} 3.699274{col 43}{space 1}   -0.66{col 52}{space 3}0.512{col 60}{space 4}-9.686861{col 73}{space 3} 4.830573
{txt}{space 15}27  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-3.120194{col 32}{space 2}   3.6528{col 43}{space 1}   -0.85{col 52}{space 3}0.393{col 60}{space 4}-10.28772{col 73}{space 3}  4.04733
{txt}{space 15}29  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-3.454809{col 32}{space 2} 3.406387{col 43}{space 1}   -1.01{col 52}{space 3}0.311{col 60}{space 4}-10.13882{col 73}{space 3} 3.229205
{txt}{space 15}30  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0255474{col 32}{space 2} 3.177443{col 43}{space 1}    0.01{col 52}{space 3}0.994{col 60}{space 4}-6.209232{col 73}{space 3} 6.260327
{txt}{space 15}32  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-1.576692{col 32}{space 2} 3.724818{col 43}{space 1}   -0.42{col 52}{space 3}0.672{col 60}{space 4}-8.885532{col 73}{space 3} 5.732147
{txt}{space 15}33  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-4.221462{col 32}{space 2} 3.630143{col 43}{space 1}   -1.16{col 52}{space 3}0.245{col 60}{space 4}-11.34453{col 73}{space 3} 2.901606
{txt}{space 15}34  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-3.275516{col 32}{space 2} 3.295039{col 43}{space 1}   -0.99{col 52}{space 3}0.320{col 60}{space 4}-9.741044{col 73}{space 3} 3.190011
{txt}{space 15}35  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-6.284885{col 32}{space 2} 4.068598{col 43}{space 1}   -1.54{col 52}{space 3}0.123{col 60}{space 4}-14.26829{col 73}{space 3} 1.698519
{txt}{space 15}36  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-1.610327{col 32}{space 2} 3.728763{col 43}{space 1}   -0.43{col 52}{space 3}0.666{col 60}{space 4}-8.926908{col 73}{space 3} 5.706253
{txt}{space 15}38  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-8.035553{col 32}{space 2} 4.727601{col 43}{space 1}   -1.70{col 52}{space 3}0.089{col 60}{space 4}-17.31205{col 73}{space 3} 1.240947
{txt}{space 15}39  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-3.318685{col 32}{space 2}  3.72231{col 43}{space 1}   -0.89{col 52}{space 3}0.373{col 60}{space 4} -10.6226{col 73}{space 3} 3.985232
{txt}{space 15}41  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-2.668428{col 32}{space 2} 3.666697{col 43}{space 1}   -0.73{col 52}{space 3}0.467{col 60}{space 4}-9.863222{col 73}{space 3} 4.526365
{txt}{space 15}42  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.4807631{col 32}{space 2} 3.543723{col 43}{space 1}   -0.14{col 52}{space 3}0.892{col 60}{space 4}-7.434257{col 73}{space 3} 6.472731
{txt}{space 15}44  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-6.421767{col 32}{space 2} 3.601719{col 43}{space 1}   -1.78{col 52}{space 3}0.075{col 60}{space 4}-13.48906{col 73}{space 3} .6455266
{txt}{space 15}46  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-5.793336{col 32}{space 2} 4.706816{col 43}{space 1}   -1.23{col 52}{space 3}0.219{col 60}{space 4}-15.02905{col 73}{space 3} 3.442379
{txt}{space 15}49  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} -1.57862{col 32}{space 2}  3.98324{col 43}{space 1}   -0.40{col 52}{space 3}0.692{col 60}{space 4}-9.394534{col 73}{space 3} 6.237295
{txt}{space 15}50  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} -7.33521{col 32}{space 2}  4.03502{col 43}{space 1}   -1.82{col 52}{space 3}0.069{col 60}{space 4}-15.25273{col 73}{space 3} .5823066
{txt}{space 15}53  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .4456831{col 32}{space 2} 3.538589{col 43}{space 1}    0.13{col 52}{space 3}0.900{col 60}{space 4}-6.497738{col 73}{space 3} 7.389104
{txt}{space 15}55  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-3.001998{col 32}{space 2} 3.621102{col 43}{space 1}   -0.83{col 52}{space 3}0.407{col 60}{space 4}-10.10733{col 73}{space 3} 4.103329
{txt}{space 15}56  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-2.901169{col 32}{space 2} 3.344757{col 43}{space 1}   -0.87{col 52}{space 3}0.386{col 60}{space 4}-9.464252{col 73}{space 3} 3.661915
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 14}year {c |}
{space 13}1948  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 8.654029{col 32}{space 2} 2.927267{col 43}{space 1}    2.96{col 52}{space 3}0.003{col 60}{space 4} 2.910144{col 73}{space 3} 14.39791
{txt}{space 13}1949  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 25.70654{col 32}{space 2}  4.89695{col 43}{space 1}    5.25{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 16.09774{col 73}{space 3} 35.31534
{txt}{space 13}1950  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  12.3211{col 32}{space 2}  3.36446{col 43}{space 1}    3.66{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 5.719357{col 73}{space 3} 18.92284
{txt}{space 13}1951  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  10.2569{col 32}{space 2}  3.67842{col 43}{space 1}    2.79{col 52}{space 3}0.005{col 60}{space 4} 3.039107{col 73}{space 3}  17.4747
{txt}{space 13}1952  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 10.53655{col 32}{space 2} 3.276609{col 43}{space 1}    3.22{col 52}{space 3}0.001{col 60}{space 4} 4.107182{col 73}{space 3} 16.96591
{txt}{space 13}1953  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 8.003767{col 32}{space 2} 4.450067{col 43}{space 1}    1.80{col 52}{space 3}0.072{col 60}{space 4}-.7281561{col 73}{space 3} 16.73569
{txt}{space 13}1954  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  10.2842{col 32}{space 2} 3.229465{col 43}{space 1}    3.18{col 52}{space 3}0.001{col 60}{space 4} 3.947341{col 73}{space 3} 16.62106
{txt}{space 13}1955  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 16.90518{col 32}{space 2} 3.835968{col 43}{space 1}    4.41{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 9.378245{col 73}{space 3} 24.43212
{txt}{space 13}1956  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 12.18914{col 32}{space 2} 3.338844{col 43}{space 1}    3.65{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 5.637663{col 73}{space 3} 18.74063
{txt}{space 13}1957  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 17.68937{col 32}{space 2} 4.351903{col 43}{space 1}    4.06{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 9.150064{col 73}{space 3} 26.22867
{txt}{space 13}1958  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 12.54574{col 32}{space 2} 3.344362{col 43}{space 1}    3.75{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 5.983434{col 73}{space 3} 19.10805
{txt}{space 13}1959  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  17.3962{col 32}{space 2} 4.687593{col 43}{space 1}    3.71{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 8.198209{col 73}{space 3}  26.5942
{txt}{space 13}1960  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 14.17099{col 32}{space 2} 3.548666{col 43}{space 1}    3.99{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 7.207798{col 73}{space 3} 21.13418
{txt}{space 13}1961  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 14.71897{col 32}{space 2} 4.362079{col 43}{space 1}    3.37{col 52}{space 3}0.001{col 60}{space 4} 6.159693{col 73}{space 3} 23.27824
{txt}{space 13}1962  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 14.59524{col 32}{space 2} 3.548268{col 43}{space 1}    4.11{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 7.632824{col 73}{space 3} 21.55765
{txt}{space 13}1963  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  14.0345{col 32}{space 2} 3.812147{col 43}{space 1}    3.68{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 6.554309{col 73}{space 3}  21.5147
{txt}{space 13}1964  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 13.77442{col 32}{space 2} 3.502708{col 43}{space 1}    3.93{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4}  6.90141{col 73}{space 3} 20.64744
{txt}{space 13}1965  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 16.56393{col 32}{space 2} 4.228498{col 43}{space 1}    3.92{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 8.266768{col 73}{space 3} 24.86109
{txt}{space 13}1966  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 14.53267{col 32}{space 2}  3.68889{col 43}{space 1}    3.94{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 7.294332{col 73}{space 3} 21.77101
{txt}{space 13}1967  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  17.2466{col 32}{space 2} 5.420564{col 43}{space 1}    3.18{col 52}{space 3}0.002{col 60}{space 4} 6.610363{col 73}{space 3} 27.88283
{txt}{space 13}1968  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 14.58608{col 32}{space 2} 3.687174{col 43}{space 1}    3.96{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 7.351105{col 73}{space 3} 21.82105
{txt}{space 13}1969  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 14.40709{col 32}{space 2} 4.264342{col 43}{space 1}    3.38{col 52}{space 3}0.001{col 60}{space 4} 6.039593{col 73}{space 3} 22.77458
{txt}{space 13}1970  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 13.91676{col 32}{space 2} 3.501329{col 43}{space 1}    3.97{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 7.046456{col 73}{space 3} 20.78707
{txt}{space 13}1971  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 19.55863{col 32}{space 2} 3.952149{col 43}{space 1}    4.95{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 11.80373{col 73}{space 3} 27.31354
{txt}{space 13}1972  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 16.71446{col 32}{space 2}  3.93744{col 43}{space 1}    4.25{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 8.988413{col 73}{space 3} 24.44051
{txt}{space 13}1973  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 16.72206{col 32}{space 2} 4.410584{col 43}{space 1}    3.79{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 8.067611{col 73}{space 3} 25.37651
{txt}{space 13}1974  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 14.60631{col 32}{space 2} 3.882849{col 43}{space 1}    3.76{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 6.987379{col 73}{space 3} 22.22523
{txt}{space 13}1975  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 12.06565{col 32}{space 2} 4.669782{col 43}{space 1}    2.58{col 52}{space 3}0.010{col 60}{space 4} 2.902602{col 73}{space 3}  21.2287
{txt}{space 13}1976  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 15.85409{col 32}{space 2} 4.042635{col 43}{space 1}    3.92{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 7.921631{col 73}{space 3} 23.78655
{txt}{space 13}1977  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 15.08409{col 32}{space 2} 4.654332{col 43}{space 1}    3.24{col 52}{space 3}0.001{col 60}{space 4} 5.951355{col 73}{space 3} 24.21682
{txt}{space 13}1978  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 17.21676{col 32}{space 2} 4.317128{col 43}{space 1}    3.99{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 8.745691{col 73}{space 3} 25.68783
{txt}{space 13}1979  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 15.78388{col 32}{space 2} 4.419174{col 43}{space 1}    3.57{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 7.112574{col 73}{space 3} 24.45518
{txt}{space 13}1980  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 15.10203{col 32}{space 2} 4.014019{col 43}{space 1}    3.76{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 7.225722{col 73}{space 3} 22.97834
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 13}_cons {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 2.079269{col 32}{space 2} 4.289205{col 43}{space 1}    0.48{col 52}{space 3}0.628{col 60}{space 4} -6.33701{col 73}{space 3} 10.49555
{txt}{hline 19}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. predict klarnerranneyhatallpre if year<=1980 & nonsouth==1
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(2,191 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
. 
.  
. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION ERROR CORRECTION RATE *

. 
. 
. 
. test l.klarnerranney = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,  1062) ={res}   38.69
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0000

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *Weak Exogeneity Tests*

. 
. 
. 
. testnl _b[l.adjpercapita_resid]/-_b[l.klarnerranney] = 0

{col 3}{txt}(1){res}{col 8}{bind:_b[l.adjpercapita_resid]/-_b[l.klarnerranney] = 0}

{txt}{ralign 22:chi2({res:1})} =  {res}      0.76
{txt}{ralign 22:Prob > chi2} =  {res}      0.3822{txt}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * GRANGER CAUSLITY TEST *

. 
. 
. 
. test d.adjpercapita_resid  =  l.d.adjpercapita_resid  =  l2.d.adjpercapita_resid =  l3.d.adjpercapita_resid = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.adjpercapita_resid - LD.adjpercapita_resid = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} D.adjpercapita_resid - L2D.adjpercapita_resid = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 3)}{space 1} D.adjpercapita_resid - L3D.adjpercapita_resid = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 4)}{space 1} D.adjpercapita_resid = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  4,  1062) ={res}    1.22
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.3018

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENEITY) *

. 
. 
. 
. test l.klarnerranney = l.adjpercapita_resid = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.klarnerranney - L.adjpercapita_resid = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,  1062) ={res}   19.67
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0000

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *

. 
. 
. 
. lincom  d.adjpercapita_resid +  l.d.adjpercapita_resid +  l2.d.adjpercapita_resid +  l3.d.adjpercapita_resid 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.adjpercapita_resid + LD.adjpercapita_resid + L2D.adjpercapita_resid + L3D.adjpercapita_resid = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}klarnerran~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0015617{col 26}{space 2} .0026419{col 37}{space 1}   -0.59{col 46}{space 3}0.555{col 54}{space 4}-.0067457{col 67}{space 3} .0036223
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *

. 
. 
. 
. nlcom _b[l.adjpercapita_resid]/-_b[l.klarnerranney]

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.adjpercapita_resid]/-_b[l.klarnerranney]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}klarnerran~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0018398{col 26}{space 2} .0021056{col 37}{space 1}   -0.87{col 46}{space 3}0.382{col 54}{space 4}-.0059668{col 67}{space 3} .0022871
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. sum adjpercapita_resid   if klarnerranneyhatallpre!=. & year<=1980 & nonsouth==1, detail

                          {txt}Residuals
{hline 61}
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%    {res}-4921.538      -5427.588
{txt} 5%    {res}-4406.987      -5302.222
{txt}10%    {res}-3925.006      -5258.438       {txt}Obs         {res}      1,148
{txt}25%    {res}-3103.158      -5237.248       {txt}Sum of Wgt. {res}      1,148

{txt}50%    {res}-1785.797                      {txt}Mean          {res}-1399.187
                        {txt}Largest       Std. Dev.     {res} 2225.344
{txt}75%    {res} 52.64061       8689.943
{txt}90%    {res} 1458.879        9389.87       {txt}Variance      {res}  4952158
{txt}95%    {res} 2611.714       9989.229       {txt}Skewness      {res} .9395585
{txt}99%    {res} 4127.722       10761.39       {txt}Kurtosis      {res} 4.803076

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * TOTAL/DYNAMIC MULTIPLIER & BASELINE LONG-RUN EFFECTS  OF  adjpercapita_resid ON klarnerranney:  75TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF adjpercapita_resid MINUS 25TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF adjpercapita_resid FOR EFFECTIVE SAMPLE PERIOD 

. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. nlcom  (_b[l.adjpercapita_resid] / -_b[l.klarnerranney])*11116.22   -  (_b[l.adjpercapita_resid] / -_b[l.klarnerranney])*7127.247 

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}(_b[l.adjpercapita_resid] / -_b[l.klarnerranney])*11116.22 - (_b[l.adjpercapita_resid] / -_b[l.klarnerranney])*7127.247

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}klarnerran~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-7.339093{col 26}{space 2} 8.399216{col 37}{space 1}   -0.87{col 46}{space 3}0.382{col 54}{space 4}-23.80125{col 67}{space 3} 9.123068
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
.   
. 
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. // (4,3)  MODEL
{bf}{err}/{sf} is not a valid command name
{txt}{search r(199), local:r(199);}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** I.C: NON-SOUTHERN STATES (N = 35): POST-PARTISAN ALIGNMENT TIME PERIOD (1981 - 2010) ***

. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. qui reg d.adjpercapita_resid  l.adjpercapita_resid l.klarnerranney   l.d.adjpercapita_resid d.klarnerranney  l2.d.adjpercapita_resid  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.adjpercapita_resid l2.d.klarnerranney l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified   i.state_fips i.year if year >1980 & nonsouth==1

. 
. 
. 
. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}     1,048{col 27}-8072.593{col 38}-7630.618{col 49}    86{col 58} 15433.24{col 69} 15859.33
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ******INCOME EQUATION*********

. 
. 
. 
. newey d.adjpercapita_resid  l.adjpercapita_resid l.klarnerranney   l.d.adjpercapita_resid d.klarnerranney  l2.d.adjpercapita_resid  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.adjpercapita_resid l2.d.klarnerranney l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified   i.state_fips i.year if year >1980 & nonsouth==1, lag(5) force

{txt}Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}     1,048
{txt}maximum lag: {res}5{col 49}{txt}F( 85,       962){col 67}= {res}     18.94
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}  Newey-West
{col 1}D.adjpercapita_resid{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      t{col 54}   P>|t|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 2}adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0293278{col 34}{space 2} .0174791{col 45}{space 1}   -1.68{col 54}{space 3}0.094{col 62}{space 4}-.0636293{col 75}{space 3} .0049737
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.312106{col 34}{space 2} 1.372966{col 45}{space 1}    0.96{col 54}{space 3}0.339{col 62}{space 4}-1.382248{col 75}{space 3} 4.006459
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 2}adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .2747414{col 34}{space 2} .0517113{col 45}{space 1}    5.31{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} .1732614{col 75}{space 3} .3762213
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}D1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.176361{col 34}{space 2}  1.76032{col 45}{space 1}   -0.67{col 54}{space 3}0.504{col 62}{space 4}-4.630872{col 75}{space 3} 2.278149
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 2}adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -.018802{col 34}{space 2} .0708188{col 45}{space 1}   -0.27{col 54}{space 3}0.791{col 62}{space 4}-.1577791{col 75}{space 3} .1201752
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.335652{col 34}{space 2}  1.55474{col 45}{space 1}    0.86{col 54}{space 3}0.391{col 62}{space 4}-1.715421{col 75}{space 3} 4.386725
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 2}adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 16}L3D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.1075906{col 34}{space 2} .0500835{col 45}{space 1}   -2.15{col 54}{space 3}0.032{col 62}{space 4}-.2058762{col 75}{space 3}-.0093051
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.4798041{col 34}{space 2} 1.594586{col 45}{space 1}   -0.30{col 54}{space 3}0.764{col 62}{space 4}-3.609072{col 75}{space 3} 2.649464
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
csi_perc_cap_outlays {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1721.945{col 34}{space 2} 899.7843{col 45}{space 1}   -1.91{col 54}{space 3}0.056{col 62}{space 4}-3487.711{col 75}{space 3} 43.82173
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1279.816{col 34}{space 2} 857.3095{col 45}{space 1}    1.49{col 54}{space 3}0.136{col 62}{space 4}-402.5969{col 75}{space 3} 2962.228
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}right_to_work {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 253.9142{col 34}{space 2} 179.0745{col 45}{space 1}    1.42{col 54}{space 3}0.157{col 62}{space 4}-97.50745{col 75}{space 3} 605.3359
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-123.1621{col 34}{space 2} 161.5185{col 45}{space 1}   -0.76{col 54}{space 3}0.446{col 62}{space 4}-440.1314{col 75}{space 3} 193.8072
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 1}csi_welf_perc_total {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 548.9338{col 34}{space 2} 600.6053{col 45}{space 1}    0.91{col 54}{space 3}0.361{col 62}{space 4} -629.714{col 75}{space 3} 1727.581
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 149.6752{col 34}{space 2} 1169.358{col 45}{space 1}    0.13{col 54}{space 3}0.898{col 62}{space 4}-2145.112{col 75}{space 3} 2444.463
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}nonfarm_persinc {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 6893.874{col 34}{space 2} 3016.325{col 45}{space 1}    2.29{col 54}{space 3}0.022{col 62}{space 4} 974.5383{col 75}{space 3} 12813.21
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 6748.983{col 34}{space 2}  1955.66{col 45}{space 1}    3.45{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 2911.132{col 75}{space 3} 10586.83
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 11}gov_party {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -39.7244{col 34}{space 2} 38.85181{col 45}{space 1}   -1.02{col 54}{space 3}0.307{col 62}{space 4}-115.9685{col 75}{space 3} 36.51967
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 14.47034{col 34}{space 2} 42.75057{col 45}{space 1}    0.34{col 54}{space 3}0.735{col 62}{space 4}-69.42479{col 75}{space 3} 98.36546
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}dem_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  10.2045{col 34}{space 2} 44.47923{col 45}{space 1}    0.23{col 54}{space 3}0.819{col 62}{space 4}  -77.083{col 75}{space 3} 97.49201
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-58.77913{col 34}{space 2} 50.87383{col 45}{space 1}   -1.16{col 54}{space 3}0.248{col 62}{space 4}-158.6156{col 75}{space 3} 41.05736
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}rep_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-8.983534{col 34}{space 2} 44.92419{col 45}{space 1}   -0.20{col 54}{space 3}0.842{col 62}{space 4}-97.14425{col 75}{space 3} 79.17718
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 19.18773{col 34}{space 2}  49.6723{col 45}{space 1}    0.39{col 54}{space 3}0.699{col 62}{space 4}-78.29082{col 75}{space 3} 116.6663
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 10}state_fips {c |}
{space 18}4  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-392.2426{col 34}{space 2} 219.5264{col 45}{space 1}   -1.79{col 54}{space 3}0.074{col 62}{space 4}-823.0484{col 75}{space 3} 38.56323
{txt}{space 18}6  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-908.5221{col 34}{space 2}  293.966{col 45}{space 1}   -3.09{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4}-1485.411{col 75}{space 3}-331.6336
{txt}{space 18}8  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 20.87533{col 34}{space 2} 113.1816{col 45}{space 1}    0.18{col 54}{space 3}0.854{col 62}{space 4}-201.2361{col 75}{space 3} 242.9867
{txt}{space 18}9  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 203.8521{col 34}{space 2} 123.3504{col 45}{space 1}    1.65{col 54}{space 3}0.099{col 62}{space 4} -38.2147{col 75}{space 3} 445.9189
{txt}{space 17}10  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 108.3992{col 34}{space 2} 111.3768{col 45}{space 1}    0.97{col 54}{space 3}0.331{col 62}{space 4}-110.1704{col 75}{space 3} 326.9687
{txt}{space 17}15  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 203.0629{col 34}{space 2} 130.2932{col 45}{space 1}    1.56{col 54}{space 3}0.119{col 62}{space 4}-52.62877{col 75}{space 3} 458.7545
{txt}{space 17}16  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 2.209015{col 34}{space 2} 220.5778{col 45}{space 1}    0.01{col 54}{space 3}0.992{col 62}{space 4}-430.6602{col 75}{space 3} 435.0782
{txt}{space 17}17  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-222.3006{col 34}{space 2} 152.3374{col 45}{space 1}   -1.46{col 54}{space 3}0.145{col 62}{space 4}-521.2524{col 75}{space 3} 76.65131
{txt}{space 17}18  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-197.6831{col 34}{space 2}   139.59{col 45}{space 1}   -1.42{col 54}{space 3}0.157{col 62}{space 4}-471.6191{col 75}{space 3} 76.25281
{txt}{space 17}19  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-111.8873{col 34}{space 2} 240.9779{col 45}{space 1}   -0.46{col 54}{space 3}0.643{col 62}{space 4}-584.7903{col 75}{space 3} 361.0158
{txt}{space 17}20  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -150.517{col 34}{space 2} 212.6883{col 45}{space 1}   -0.71{col 54}{space 3}0.479{col 62}{space 4}-567.9035{col 75}{space 3} 266.8695
{txt}{space 17}23  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-113.2316{col 34}{space 2} 150.6597{col 45}{space 1}   -0.75{col 54}{space 3}0.452{col 62}{space 4}-408.8912{col 75}{space 3} 182.4279
{txt}{space 17}24  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 112.0244{col 34}{space 2} 122.0683{col 45}{space 1}    0.92{col 54}{space 3}0.359{col 62}{space 4}-127.5264{col 75}{space 3} 351.5752
{txt}{space 17}25  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 97.60124{col 34}{space 2} 165.8552{col 45}{space 1}    0.59{col 54}{space 3}0.556{col 62}{space 4}-227.8785{col 75}{space 3}  423.081
{txt}{space 17}26  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-389.9427{col 34}{space 2} 154.8972{col 45}{space 1}   -2.52{col 54}{space 3}0.012{col 62}{space 4} -693.918{col 75}{space 3}-85.96745
{txt}{space 17}27  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-25.85312{col 34}{space 2}  126.052{col 45}{space 1}   -0.21{col 54}{space 3}0.838{col 62}{space 4}-273.2217{col 75}{space 3} 221.5155
{txt}{space 17}29  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -153.423{col 34}{space 2} 142.5154{col 45}{space 1}   -1.08{col 54}{space 3}0.282{col 62}{space 4}-433.0999{col 75}{space 3} 126.2538
{txt}{space 17}30  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 80.13572{col 34}{space 2} 154.9148{col 45}{space 1}    0.52{col 54}{space 3}0.605{col 62}{space 4}-223.8741{col 75}{space 3} 384.1456
{txt}{space 17}32  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-267.0964{col 34}{space 2} 203.6137{col 45}{space 1}   -1.31{col 54}{space 3}0.190{col 62}{space 4}-666.6746{col 75}{space 3} 132.4819
{txt}{space 17}33  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  69.3664{col 34}{space 2} 130.4197{col 45}{space 1}    0.53{col 54}{space 3}0.595{col 62}{space 4}-186.5736{col 75}{space 3} 325.3064
{txt}{space 17}34  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-2.708534{col 34}{space 2} 114.0016{col 45}{space 1}   -0.02{col 54}{space 3}0.981{col 62}{space 4} -226.429{col 75}{space 3}  221.012
{txt}{space 17}35  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-73.97875{col 34}{space 2} 138.2858{col 45}{space 1}   -0.53{col 54}{space 3}0.593{col 62}{space 4}-345.3553{col 75}{space 3} 197.3978
{txt}{space 17}36  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-481.2814{col 34}{space 2} 248.2447{col 45}{space 1}   -1.94{col 54}{space 3}0.053{col 62}{space 4} -968.445{col 75}{space 3} 5.882228
{txt}{space 17}38  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 397.9663{col 34}{space 2}  160.169{col 45}{space 1}    2.48{col 54}{space 3}0.013{col 62}{space 4} 83.64529{col 75}{space 3} 712.2873
{txt}{space 17}39  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-350.3342{col 34}{space 2} 157.7576{col 45}{space 1}   -2.22{col 54}{space 3}0.027{col 62}{space 4} -659.923{col 75}{space 3}-40.74545
{txt}{space 17}41  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -91.8602{col 34}{space 2} 117.0021{col 45}{space 1}   -0.79{col 54}{space 3}0.433{col 62}{space 4}-321.4689{col 75}{space 3} 137.7485
{txt}{space 17}42  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-328.3305{col 34}{space 2} 165.1644{col 45}{space 1}   -1.99{col 54}{space 3}0.047{col 62}{space 4}-652.4546{col 75}{space 3}-4.206367
{txt}{space 17}44  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 38.76253{col 34}{space 2} 145.1167{col 45}{space 1}    0.27{col 54}{space 3}0.789{col 62}{space 4}-246.0192{col 75}{space 3} 323.5443
{txt}{space 17}46  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 288.0383{col 34}{space 2} 307.1544{col 45}{space 1}    0.94{col 54}{space 3}0.349{col 62}{space 4}-314.7315{col 75}{space 3} 890.8082
{txt}{space 17}49  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-308.2709{col 34}{space 2} 208.1131{col 45}{space 1}   -1.48{col 54}{space 3}0.139{col 62}{space 4}-716.6789{col 75}{space 3} 100.1372
{txt}{space 17}50  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 36.21867{col 34}{space 2} 127.3894{col 45}{space 1}    0.28{col 54}{space 3}0.776{col 62}{space 4}-213.7744{col 75}{space 3} 286.2118
{txt}{space 17}53  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-24.13175{col 34}{space 2} 118.9394{col 45}{space 1}   -0.20{col 54}{space 3}0.839{col 62}{space 4}-257.5424{col 75}{space 3} 209.2789
{txt}{space 17}55  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-142.1465{col 34}{space 2} 127.7159{col 45}{space 1}   -1.11{col 54}{space 3}0.266{col 62}{space 4}-392.7803{col 75}{space 3} 108.4873
{txt}{space 17}56  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-12.87917{col 34}{space 2} 242.2908{col 45}{space 1}   -0.05{col 54}{space 3}0.958{col 62}{space 4}-488.3587{col 75}{space 3} 462.6004
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 16}year {c |}
{space 15}1982  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.774728{col 34}{space 2} 79.50851{col 45}{space 1}   -0.02{col 54}{space 3}0.982{col 62}{space 4}-157.8049{col 75}{space 3} 154.2554
{txt}{space 15}1983  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-70.69421{col 34}{space 2} 96.43956{col 45}{space 1}   -0.73{col 54}{space 3}0.464{col 62}{space 4}-259.9504{col 75}{space 3}  118.562
{txt}{space 15}1984  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 186.9332{col 34}{space 2}  74.3378{col 45}{space 1}    2.51{col 54}{space 3}0.012{col 62}{space 4} 41.05022{col 75}{space 3} 332.8161
{txt}{space 15}1985  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-93.55962{col 34}{space 2} 72.27961{col 45}{space 1}   -1.29{col 54}{space 3}0.196{col 62}{space 4}-235.4035{col 75}{space 3} 48.28426
{txt}{space 15}1986  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  51.9552{col 34}{space 2} 76.55101{col 45}{space 1}    0.68{col 54}{space 3}0.497{col 62}{space 4}-98.27102{col 75}{space 3} 202.1814
{txt}{space 15}1987  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 73.14828{col 34}{space 2} 78.89021{col 45}{space 1}    0.93{col 54}{space 3}0.354{col 62}{space 4}-81.66847{col 75}{space 3}  227.965
{txt}{space 15}1988  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 98.17707{col 34}{space 2} 87.76392{col 45}{space 1}    1.12{col 54}{space 3}0.264{col 62}{space 4}-74.05373{col 75}{space 3} 270.4079
{txt}{space 15}1989  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 73.29639{col 34}{space 2} 75.70468{col 45}{space 1}    0.97{col 54}{space 3}0.333{col 62}{space 4}-75.26897{col 75}{space 3} 221.8617
{txt}{space 15}1990  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-248.3669{col 34}{space 2} 78.20249{col 45}{space 1}   -3.18{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4}-401.8341{col 75}{space 3}-94.89977
{txt}{space 15}1991  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-370.6632{col 34}{space 2} 76.14099{col 45}{space 1}   -4.87{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-520.0848{col 75}{space 3}-221.2416
{txt}{space 15}1992  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 12.56097{col 34}{space 2} 79.55767{col 45}{space 1}    0.16{col 54}{space 3}0.875{col 62}{space 4}-143.5656{col 75}{space 3} 168.6876
{txt}{space 15}1993  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -325.257{col 34}{space 2} 79.32357{col 45}{space 1}   -4.10{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-480.9242{col 75}{space 3}-169.5898
{txt}{space 15}1994  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-73.49647{col 34}{space 2} 75.82869{col 45}{space 1}   -0.97{col 54}{space 3}0.333{col 62}{space 4}-222.3052{col 75}{space 3} 75.31226
{txt}{space 15}1995  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-163.5217{col 34}{space 2} 69.61144{col 45}{space 1}   -2.35{col 54}{space 3}0.019{col 62}{space 4}-300.1295{col 75}{space 3}-26.91395
{txt}{space 15}1996  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  56.2251{col 34}{space 2} 92.73328{col 45}{space 1}    0.61{col 54}{space 3}0.544{col 62}{space 4}-125.7577{col 75}{space 3}  238.208
{txt}{space 15}1997  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 66.53214{col 34}{space 2} 83.57303{col 45}{space 1}    0.80{col 54}{space 3}0.426{col 62}{space 4}-97.47434{col 75}{space 3} 230.5386
{txt}{space 15}1998  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 377.1416{col 34}{space 2} 80.64863{col 45}{space 1}    4.68{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  218.874{col 75}{space 3} 535.4091
{txt}{space 15}1999  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-129.5615{col 34}{space 2} 95.22158{col 45}{space 1}   -1.36{col 54}{space 3}0.174{col 62}{space 4}-316.4275{col 75}{space 3} 57.30445
{txt}{space 15}2000  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 308.3925{col 34}{space 2} 97.35222{col 45}{space 1}    3.17{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4} 117.3453{col 75}{space 3} 499.4398
{txt}{space 15}2001  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-334.6121{col 34}{space 2}  121.427{col 45}{space 1}   -2.76{col 54}{space 3}0.006{col 62}{space 4}-572.9045{col 75}{space 3}-96.31976
{txt}{space 15}2002  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-356.5267{col 34}{space 2}  98.5514{col 45}{space 1}   -3.62{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-549.9272{col 75}{space 3}-163.1262
{txt}{space 15}2003  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-191.3518{col 34}{space 2} 98.68086{col 45}{space 1}   -1.94{col 54}{space 3}0.053{col 62}{space 4}-385.0063{col 75}{space 3} 2.302816
{txt}{space 15}2004  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 69.16936{col 34}{space 2}  116.443{col 45}{space 1}    0.59{col 54}{space 3}0.553{col 62}{space 4}-159.3421{col 75}{space 3} 297.6809
{txt}{space 15}2005  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-58.22259{col 34}{space 2} 127.3976{col 45}{space 1}   -0.46{col 54}{space 3}0.648{col 62}{space 4}-308.2318{col 75}{space 3} 191.7866
{txt}{space 15}2006  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 306.9418{col 34}{space 2} 115.3237{col 45}{space 1}    2.66{col 54}{space 3}0.008{col 62}{space 4} 80.62673{col 75}{space 3} 533.2568
{txt}{space 15}2007  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 100.8942{col 34}{space 2} 128.8297{col 45}{space 1}    0.78{col 54}{space 3}0.434{col 62}{space 4}-151.9255{col 75}{space 3}  353.714
{txt}{space 15}2008  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-71.93052{col 34}{space 2} 112.5467{col 45}{space 1}   -0.64{col 54}{space 3}0.523{col 62}{space 4}-292.7958{col 75}{space 3} 148.9347
{txt}{space 15}2009  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1393.983{col 34}{space 2} 170.5285{col 45}{space 1}   -8.17{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-1728.634{col 75}{space 3}-1059.332
{txt}{space 15}2010  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-146.3954{col 34}{space 2} 133.3364{col 45}{space 1}   -1.10{col 54}{space 3}0.273{col 62}{space 4}-408.0593{col 75}{space 3} 115.2684
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-6537.869{col 34}{space 2} 3023.114{col 45}{space 1}   -2.16{col 54}{space 3}0.031{col 62}{space 4}-12470.53{col 75}{space 3}-605.2104
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. predict adjpercapita_residhatallpost if year>1980 & nonsouth==1
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(2,291 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME ERROR CORRECTION RATE *

. 
. 
. 
. test l.adjpercapita_resid = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.adjpercapita_resid = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,   962) ={res}    2.82
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0937

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *Weak Exogeneity Tests*

. 
. 
. 
. testnl _b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.adjpercapita_resid] = 0

{col 3}{txt}(1){res}{col 8}{bind:_b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.adjpercapita_resid] = 0}

{txt}{ralign 22:chi2({res:1})} =  {res}      0.74
{txt}{ralign 22:Prob > chi2} =  {res}      0.3902{txt}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * GRANGER CAUSLITY TEST*

. 
. 
. 
. test  d.klarnerranney = l.d.klarnerranney  =  l2.d.klarnerranney = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.klarnerranney - LD.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} D.klarnerranney - L2D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 3)}{space 1} D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  3,   962) ={res}    0.39
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.7591

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENEITY) *

. 
. 
. 
. test l.adjpercapita_resid = l.klarnerranney = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.adjpercapita_resid - L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.adjpercapita_resid = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,   962) ={res}    1.75
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.1741

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *

. 
. 
. 
. lincom   d.klarnerranney +  l.d.klarnerranney +  l2.d.klarnerranney

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.klarnerranney + LD.klarnerranney + L2D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}adjpercapi~d{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.3205136{col 26}{space 2}   2.9527{col 37}{space 1}   -0.11{col 46}{space 3}0.914{col 54}{space 4} -6.11499{col 67}{space 3} 5.473963
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *

. 
. 
. 
. nlcom _b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.adjpercapita_resid] 

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.adjpercapita_resid]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}adjpercapi~d{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 44.73932{col 26}{space 2} 52.06368{col 37}{space 1}    0.86{col 46}{space 3}0.390{col 54}{space 4}-57.30363{col 67}{space 3} 146.7823
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. sum klarnerranney   if  adjpercapita_residhatallpost!=. & year > 1980 & nonsouth==1, detail

         {txt}Annual Ranney Measure of State Legislative
               Partisan Balance (Klarner Data)
{hline 61}
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%    {res} 21.72549       19.76471
{txt} 5%    {res}       32       19.76471
{txt}10%    {res}       44       19.84314       {txt}Obs         {res}      1,048
{txt}25%    {res} 65.40031       19.84314       {txt}Sum of Wgt. {res}      1,048

{txt}50%    {res} 81.80003                      {txt}Mean          {res} 76.06895
                        {txt}Largest       Std. Dev.     {res} 19.67003
{txt}75%    {res} 91.25554            100
{txt}90%    {res} 96.73892            100       {txt}Variance      {res} 386.9103
{txt}95%    {res} 98.27586            100       {txt}Skewness      {res}-1.065924
{txt}99%    {res} 99.43503            100       {txt}Kurtosis      {res}  3.34905

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * TOTAL/DYNAMIC MULTIPLIER & BASELINE LONG-RUN EFFECTS  OF klarnerranney ON adjpercapita_resid:  75TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF klarnerranney MINUS 25TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF klarnerranney FOR EFFECTIVE SAMPLE PERIOD *

. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. nlcom  (_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.adjpercapita_resid])*91.25554  -  (_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.adjpercapita_resid])*65.40031 

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}(_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.adjpercapita_resid])*91.25554 - (_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.adjpercapita_resid])*65.40031

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}adjpercapi~d{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1156.745{col 26}{space 2} 1346.119{col 37}{space 1}    0.86{col 46}{space 3}0.390{col 54}{space 4}-1481.598{col 67}{space 3} 3795.089
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. 
. 
. qui reg d.klarnerranney  l.klarnerranney l.adjpercapita_resid l.d.klarnerranney d.adjpercapita_resid  l2.d.klarnerranney  l.d.adjpercapita_resid  l3.d.klarnerranney l2.d.adjpercapita_resid l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1 i.state_fips i.year if year >1980 & nonsouth==1

. 
. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}     1,048{col 27}-3539.918{col 38}-3430.865{col 49}    80{col 58} 7021.729{col 69}   7418.1
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ******PARTISAN COMPETITION EQUATION*********

. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. newey d.klarnerranney  l.klarnerranney l.adjpercapita_resid l.d.klarnerranney d.adjpercapita_resid  l2.d.klarnerranney  l.d.adjpercapita_resid  l3.d.klarnerranney l2.d.adjpercapita_resid l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1 i.state_fips i.year if year >1980 & nonsouth==1, lag(5) force

{txt}Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}     1,048
{txt}maximum lag: {res}5{col 49}{txt}F( 79,       968){col 67}= {res}      2.68
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 19}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 20}{c |}{col 32}  Newey-West
{col 1}   D.klarnerranney{col 20}{c |}      Coef.{col 32}   Std. Err.{col 44}      t{col 52}   P>|t|{col 60}     [95% Con{col 73}f. Interval]
{hline 19}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 15}L1. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} -.267869{col 32}{space 2} .0308902{col 43}{space 1}   -8.67{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4}-.3284886{col 73}{space 3}-.2072494
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 15}L1. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0000124{col 32}{space 2} .0001494{col 43}{space 1}    0.08{col 52}{space 3}0.934{col 60}{space 4}-.0002808{col 73}{space 3} .0003056
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 5}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 15}LD. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0777099{col 32}{space 2} .0261951{col 43}{space 1}    2.97{col 52}{space 3}0.003{col 60}{space 4} .0263042{col 73}{space 3} .1291157
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 15}D1. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0005303{col 32}{space 2} .0005664{col 43}{space 1}   -0.94{col 52}{space 3}0.349{col 60}{space 4}-.0016419{col 73}{space 3} .0005813
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 5}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 14}L2D. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0175932{col 32}{space 2}  .039903{col 43}{space 1}    0.44{col 52}{space 3}0.659{col 60}{space 4}-.0607132{col 73}{space 3} .0958996
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 15}LD. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0002853{col 32}{space 2} .0005746{col 43}{space 1}   -0.50{col 52}{space 3}0.620{col 60}{space 4}-.0014128{col 73}{space 3} .0008422
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 5}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 14}L3D. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0093774{col 32}{space 2} .0263931{col 43}{space 1}    0.36{col 52}{space 3}0.722{col 60}{space 4}-.0424168{col 73}{space 3} .0611716
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 14}L2D. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0001084{col 32}{space 2}  .000814{col 43}{space 1}    0.13{col 52}{space 3}0.894{col 60}{space 4} -.001489{col 73}{space 3} .0017057
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 9}gov_party {c |}
{space 15}L1. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .9302551{col 32}{space 2} .6588618{col 43}{space 1}    1.41{col 52}{space 3}0.158{col 60}{space 4}-.3627069{col 73}{space 3} 2.223217
{txt}{space 15}LD. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-1.329038{col 32}{space 2} .6043894{col 43}{space 1}   -2.20{col 52}{space 3}0.028{col 60}{space 4}-2.515102{col 73}{space 3}-.1429731
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 7}dem_unified {c |}
{space 15}L1. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 1.739012{col 32}{space 2} 1.000447{col 43}{space 1}    1.74{col 52}{space 3}0.082{col 60}{space 4}-.2242824{col 73}{space 3} 3.702306
{txt}{space 15}LD. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.6610888{col 32}{space 2} .7966355{col 43}{space 1}   -0.83{col 52}{space 3}0.407{col 60}{space 4} -2.22442{col 73}{space 3} .9022428
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 7}rep_unified {c |}
{space 15}L1. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 1.694843{col 32}{space 2} .9354987{col 43}{space 1}    1.81{col 52}{space 3}0.070{col 60}{space 4}-.1409961{col 73}{space 3} 3.530682
{txt}{space 15}LD. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} -2.25113{col 32}{space 2} .7797502{col 43}{space 1}   -2.89{col 52}{space 3}0.004{col 60}{space 4}-3.781325{col 73}{space 3} -.720934
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 4}electedjudges1 {c |}
{space 15}L1. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-1.331999{col 32}{space 2} 2.114352{col 43}{space 1}   -0.63{col 52}{space 3}0.529{col 60}{space 4}-5.481241{col 73}{space 3} 2.817242
{txt}{space 15}LD. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 2.094819{col 32}{space 2} 1.652527{col 43}{space 1}    1.27{col 52}{space 3}0.205{col 60}{space 4}-1.148128{col 73}{space 3} 5.337767
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 8}state_fips {c |}
{space 16}4  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-1.630655{col 32}{space 2} 2.165348{col 43}{space 1}   -0.75{col 52}{space 3}0.452{col 60}{space 4}-5.879971{col 73}{space 3} 2.618662
{txt}{space 16}6  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-1.158933{col 32}{space 2} 3.075256{col 43}{space 1}   -0.38{col 52}{space 3}0.706{col 60}{space 4} -7.19387{col 73}{space 3} 4.876004
{txt}{space 16}8  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.7957709{col 32}{space 2} 2.414569{col 43}{space 1}   -0.33{col 52}{space 3}0.742{col 60}{space 4}-5.534164{col 73}{space 3} 3.942622
{txt}{space 16}9  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-1.580648{col 32}{space 2} 2.198251{col 43}{space 1}   -0.72{col 52}{space 3}0.472{col 60}{space 4}-5.894536{col 73}{space 3} 2.733239
{txt}{space 15}10  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 1.596163{col 32}{space 2} 2.035571{col 43}{space 1}    0.78{col 52}{space 3}0.433{col 60}{space 4}-2.398477{col 73}{space 3} 5.590803
{txt}{space 15}15  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-15.27037{col 32}{space 2} 2.900671{col 43}{space 1}   -5.26{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} -20.9627{col 73}{space 3}-9.578043
{txt}{space 15}16  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} -9.18166{col 32}{space 2} 3.763053{col 43}{space 1}   -2.44{col 52}{space 3}0.015{col 60}{space 4}-16.56634{col 73}{space 3}-1.796978
{txt}{space 15}17  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 1.830697{col 32}{space 2} 2.166102{col 43}{space 1}    0.85{col 52}{space 3}0.398{col 60}{space 4}-2.420099{col 73}{space 3} 6.081494
{txt}{space 15}18  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.5134864{col 32}{space 2}  2.30232{col 43}{space 1}   -0.22{col 52}{space 3}0.824{col 60}{space 4}-5.031601{col 73}{space 3} 4.004628
{txt}{space 15}19  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .8885317{col 32}{space 2} 2.129142{col 43}{space 1}    0.42{col 52}{space 3}0.677{col 60}{space 4}-3.289735{col 73}{space 3} 5.066798
{txt}{space 15}20  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-4.357933{col 32}{space 2} 2.378934{col 43}{space 1}   -1.83{col 52}{space 3}0.067{col 60}{space 4}-9.026395{col 73}{space 3} .3105298
{txt}{space 15}23  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .2962137{col 32}{space 2} 2.377421{col 43}{space 1}    0.12{col 52}{space 3}0.901{col 60}{space 4}-4.369279{col 73}{space 3} 4.961706
{txt}{space 15}24  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-11.48086{col 32}{space 2} 3.144092{col 43}{space 1}   -3.65{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4}-17.65088{col 73}{space 3}-5.310837
{txt}{space 15}25  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-12.84276{col 32}{space 2} 2.623308{col 43}{space 1}   -4.90{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4}-17.99079{col 73}{space 3}-7.694737
{txt}{space 15}26  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 2.974972{col 32}{space 2} 3.039247{col 43}{space 1}    0.98{col 52}{space 3}0.328{col 60}{space 4}-2.989299{col 73}{space 3} 8.939243
{txt}{space 15}27  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .3070638{col 32}{space 2} 3.311181{col 43}{space 1}    0.09{col 52}{space 3}0.926{col 60}{space 4}-6.190856{col 73}{space 3} 6.804984
{txt}{space 15}29  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-2.072194{col 32}{space 2} 2.272412{col 43}{space 1}   -0.91{col 52}{space 3}0.362{col 60}{space 4}-6.531616{col 73}{space 3} 2.387228
{txt}{space 15}30  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .2469684{col 32}{space 2} 2.381059{col 43}{space 1}    0.10{col 52}{space 3}0.917{col 60}{space 4}-4.425664{col 73}{space 3} 4.919601
{txt}{space 15}32  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 2.611328{col 32}{space 2}  2.88145{col 43}{space 1}    0.91{col 52}{space 3}0.365{col 60}{space 4}-3.043281{col 73}{space 3} 8.265936
{txt}{space 15}33  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-5.062662{col 32}{space 2} 2.313172{col 43}{space 1}   -2.19{col 52}{space 3}0.029{col 60}{space 4}-9.602071{col 73}{space 3}-.5232533
{txt}{space 15}34  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.6872745{col 32}{space 2}  2.19573{col 43}{space 1}   -0.31{col 52}{space 3}0.754{col 60}{space 4}-4.996214{col 73}{space 3} 3.621665
{txt}{space 15}35  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.8097148{col 32}{space 2}  2.93577{col 43}{space 1}   -0.28{col 52}{space 3}0.783{col 60}{space 4}-6.570921{col 73}{space 3} 4.951491
{txt}{space 15}36  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 2.029569{col 32}{space 2} 2.449743{col 43}{space 1}    0.83{col 52}{space 3}0.408{col 60}{space 4}-2.777849{col 73}{space 3} 6.836987
{txt}{space 15}38  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} -1.54535{col 32}{space 2} 3.304849{col 43}{space 1}   -0.47{col 52}{space 3}0.640{col 60}{space 4}-8.030843{col 73}{space 3} 4.940143
{txt}{space 15}39  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .9140852{col 32}{space 2} 3.263109{col 43}{space 1}    0.28{col 52}{space 3}0.779{col 60}{space 4}-5.489497{col 73}{space 3} 7.317668
{txt}{space 15}41  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 2.225371{col 32}{space 2} 2.983866{col 43}{space 1}    0.75{col 52}{space 3}0.456{col 60}{space 4}-3.630221{col 73}{space 3} 8.080963
{txt}{space 15}42  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 1.747738{col 32}{space 2} 2.214615{col 43}{space 1}    0.79{col 52}{space 3}0.430{col 60}{space 4}-2.598261{col 73}{space 3} 6.093738
{txt}{space 15}44  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-12.84654{col 32}{space 2} 2.860671{col 43}{space 1}   -4.49{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4}-18.46037{col 73}{space 3}-7.232708
{txt}{space 15}46  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-5.940905{col 32}{space 2} 2.614253{col 43}{space 1}   -2.27{col 52}{space 3}0.023{col 60}{space 4}-11.07116{col 73}{space 3}-.8106498
{txt}{space 15}49  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-8.387556{col 32}{space 2} 2.622524{col 43}{space 1}   -3.20{col 52}{space 3}0.001{col 60}{space 4}-13.53404{col 73}{space 3}-3.241069
{txt}{space 15}50  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} -.092123{col 32}{space 2} 2.233806{col 43}{space 1}   -0.04{col 52}{space 3}0.967{col 60}{space 4}-4.475784{col 73}{space 3} 4.291538
{txt}{space 15}53  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 1.652013{col 32}{space 2} 3.042144{col 43}{space 1}    0.54{col 52}{space 3}0.587{col 60}{space 4}-4.317945{col 73}{space 3} 7.621971
{txt}{space 15}55  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 3.061801{col 32}{space 2} 2.980217{col 43}{space 1}    1.03{col 52}{space 3}0.305{col 60}{space 4}-2.786631{col 73}{space 3} 8.910232
{txt}{space 15}56  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-7.356765{col 32}{space 2} 2.370207{col 43}{space 1}   -3.10{col 52}{space 3}0.002{col 60}{space 4} -12.0081{col 73}{space 3}-2.705429
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 14}year {c |}
{space 13}1982  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.1113404{col 32}{space 2} 1.594732{col 43}{space 1}   -0.07{col 52}{space 3}0.944{col 60}{space 4}-3.240871{col 73}{space 3}  3.01819
{txt}{space 13}1983  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.6834249{col 32}{space 2} 2.822722{col 43}{space 1}   -0.24{col 52}{space 3}0.809{col 60}{space 4}-6.222784{col 73}{space 3} 4.855934
{txt}{space 13}1984  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.4990845{col 32}{space 2} 1.638231{col 43}{space 1}   -0.30{col 52}{space 3}0.761{col 60}{space 4}-3.713978{col 73}{space 3} 2.715809
{txt}{space 13}1985  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .5416581{col 32}{space 2} 2.061157{col 43}{space 1}    0.26{col 52}{space 3}0.793{col 60}{space 4}-3.503193{col 73}{space 3} 4.586509
{txt}{space 13}1986  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.1221617{col 32}{space 2} 1.641739{col 43}{space 1}   -0.07{col 52}{space 3}0.941{col 60}{space 4} -3.34394{col 73}{space 3} 3.099617
{txt}{space 13}1987  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 1.894298{col 32}{space 2} 2.007788{col 43}{space 1}    0.94{col 52}{space 3}0.346{col 60}{space 4} -2.04582{col 73}{space 3} 5.834416
{txt}{space 13}1988  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .1738119{col 32}{space 2} 1.642607{col 43}{space 1}    0.11{col 52}{space 3}0.916{col 60}{space 4} -3.04967{col 73}{space 3} 3.397294
{txt}{space 13}1989  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  1.21287{col 32}{space 2} 1.974372{col 43}{space 1}    0.61{col 52}{space 3}0.539{col 60}{space 4}-2.661671{col 73}{space 3} 5.087412
{txt}{space 13}1990  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .2631302{col 32}{space 2}  1.69929{col 43}{space 1}    0.15{col 52}{space 3}0.877{col 60}{space 4}-3.071586{col 73}{space 3} 3.597847
{txt}{space 13}1991  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  2.05941{col 32}{space 2} 2.106201{col 43}{space 1}    0.98{col 52}{space 3}0.328{col 60}{space 4}-2.073837{col 73}{space 3} 6.192657
{txt}{space 13}1992  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .2856634{col 32}{space 2} 1.880315{col 43}{space 1}    0.15{col 52}{space 3}0.879{col 60}{space 4}-3.404299{col 73}{space 3} 3.975626
{txt}{space 13}1993  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .7314957{col 32}{space 2} 2.279863{col 43}{space 1}    0.32{col 52}{space 3}0.748{col 60}{space 4}-3.742547{col 73}{space 3} 5.205539
{txt}{space 13}1994  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 1.496542{col 32}{space 2} 1.661238{col 43}{space 1}    0.90{col 52}{space 3}0.368{col 60}{space 4}-1.763501{col 73}{space 3} 4.756585
{txt}{space 13}1995  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-2.458688{col 32}{space 2} 2.439321{col 43}{space 1}   -1.01{col 52}{space 3}0.314{col 60}{space 4}-7.245654{col 73}{space 3} 2.328279
{txt}{space 13}1996  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .8652015{col 32}{space 2} 1.649674{col 43}{space 1}    0.52{col 52}{space 3}0.600{col 60}{space 4}-2.372149{col 73}{space 3} 4.102552
{txt}{space 13}1997  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.5023687{col 32}{space 2} 2.039561{col 43}{space 1}   -0.25{col 52}{space 3}0.805{col 60}{space 4}-4.504839{col 73}{space 3} 3.500102
{txt}{space 13}1998  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  .297908{col 32}{space 2} 1.741798{col 43}{space 1}    0.17{col 52}{space 3}0.864{col 60}{space 4}-3.120227{col 73}{space 3} 3.716043
{txt}{space 13}1999  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .8257616{col 32}{space 2} 2.031655{col 43}{space 1}    0.41{col 52}{space 3}0.685{col 60}{space 4}-3.161194{col 73}{space 3} 4.812717
{txt}{space 13}2000  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .6588677{col 32}{space 2} 1.754842{col 43}{space 1}    0.38{col 52}{space 3}0.707{col 60}{space 4}-2.784866{col 73}{space 3} 4.102601
{txt}{space 13}2001  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.5121626{col 32}{space 2} 2.065608{col 43}{space 1}   -0.25{col 52}{space 3}0.804{col 60}{space 4}-4.565749{col 73}{space 3} 3.541424
{txt}{space 13}2002  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .2778748{col 32}{space 2} 1.795889{col 43}{space 1}    0.15{col 52}{space 3}0.877{col 60}{space 4} -3.24641{col 73}{space 3} 3.802159
{txt}{space 13}2003  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} -1.67883{col 32}{space 2} 1.987078{col 43}{space 1}   -0.84{col 52}{space 3}0.398{col 60}{space 4}-5.578308{col 73}{space 3} 2.220647
{txt}{space 13}2004  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.1226067{col 32}{space 2} 1.754741{col 43}{space 1}   -0.07{col 52}{space 3}0.944{col 60}{space 4}-3.566141{col 73}{space 3} 3.320927
{txt}{space 13}2005  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-1.036398{col 32}{space 2} 1.966035{col 43}{space 1}   -0.53{col 52}{space 3}0.598{col 60}{space 4}-4.894579{col 73}{space 3} 2.821784
{txt}{space 13}2006  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.1854147{col 32}{space 2} 1.710009{col 43}{space 1}   -0.11{col 52}{space 3}0.914{col 60}{space 4}-3.541166{col 73}{space 3} 3.170337
{txt}{space 13}2007  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.2525615{col 32}{space 2} 2.368113{col 43}{space 1}   -0.11{col 52}{space 3}0.915{col 60}{space 4}-4.899788{col 73}{space 3} 4.394665
{txt}{space 13}2008  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.6037038{col 32}{space 2} 1.780193{col 43}{space 1}   -0.34{col 52}{space 3}0.735{col 60}{space 4}-4.097185{col 73}{space 3} 2.889778
{txt}{space 13}2009  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-4.404069{col 32}{space 2} 2.278228{col 43}{space 1}   -1.93{col 52}{space 3}0.054{col 60}{space 4}-8.874903{col 73}{space 3} .0667655
{txt}{space 13}2010  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-6.814639{col 32}{space 2} 2.849146{col 43}{space 1}   -2.39{col 52}{space 3}0.017{col 60}{space 4}-12.40585{col 73}{space 3}-1.223425
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 13}_cons {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  22.0759{col 32}{space 2} 3.684133{col 43}{space 1}    5.99{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4}  14.8461{col 73}{space 3} 29.30571
{txt}{hline 19}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. predict klarnerranneyhatallpost if year>1980 & nonsouth==1
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(2,291 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * 

. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION ERROR CORRECTION RATE *

. 
. 
. 
. test l.klarnerranney = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,   968) ={res}   75.20
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0000

{com}. 
. 
. 
. *Weak Exogeneity Tests*

. 
. 
. 
. testnl _b[l.adjpercapita_resid]/-_b[l.klarnerranney] = 0

{col 3}{txt}(1){res}{col 8}{bind:_b[l.adjpercapita_resid]/-_b[l.klarnerranney] = 0}

{txt}{ralign 22:chi2({res:1})} =  {res}      0.01
{txt}{ralign 22:Prob > chi2} =  {res}      0.9337{txt}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * GRANGER CAUSLITY TEST *

. 
. 
. 
. test d.adjpercapita_resid  =  l.d.adjpercapita_resid  =  l2.d.adjpercapita_resid = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.adjpercapita_resid - LD.adjpercapita_resid = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} D.adjpercapita_resid - L2D.adjpercapita_resid = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 3)}{space 1} D.adjpercapita_resid = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  3,   968) ={res}    0.56
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.6445

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENEITY) *

. 
. 
. 
. test l.klarnerranney = l.adjpercapita_resid = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.klarnerranney - L.adjpercapita_resid = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,   968) ={res}   38.23
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0000

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *

. 
. 
. 
. lincom  d.adjpercapita_resid  +  l.d.adjpercapita_resid  +  l2.d.adjpercapita_resid 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.adjpercapita_resid + LD.adjpercapita_resid + L2D.adjpercapita_resid = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}klarnerran~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0007072{col 26}{space 2} .0009063{col 37}{space 1}   -0.78{col 46}{space 3}0.435{col 54}{space 4}-.0024858{col 67}{space 3} .0010713
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *

. 
. 
. 
. nlcom _b[l.adjpercapita_resid]/-_b[l.klarnerranney]

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.adjpercapita_resid]/-_b[l.klarnerranney]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}klarnerran~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0000465{col 26}{space 2} .0005584{col 37}{space 1}    0.08{col 46}{space 3}0.934{col 54}{space 4} -.001048{col 67}{space 3} .0011409
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. sum adjpercapita_resid  klarnerranney  if klarnerranneyhatallpost!=. & year > 1980 & nonsouth==1, detail

                          {txt}Residuals
{hline 61}
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%    {res}-9298.527      -15311.09
{txt} 5%    {res}-1098.015      -14157.63
{txt}10%    {res} 469.7278      -12952.57       {txt}Obs         {res}      1,048
{txt}25%    {res} 1662.136      -12612.81       {txt}Sum of Wgt. {res}      1,048

{txt}50%    {res} 3463.536                      {txt}Mean          {res} 3648.523
                        {txt}Largest       Std. Dev.     {res} 3579.015
{txt}75%    {res} 5853.549       13130.04
{txt}90%    {res} 8069.302       14293.65       {txt}Variance      {res} 1.28e+07
{txt}95%    {res} 8899.313       14953.59       {txt}Skewness      {res}-.8534716
{txt}99%    {res} 12027.59       15441.75       {txt}Kurtosis      {res} 6.752492

         {txt}Annual Ranney Measure of State Legislative
               Partisan Balance (Klarner Data)
{hline 61}
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%    {res} 21.72549       19.76471
{txt} 5%    {res}       32       19.76471
{txt}10%    {res}       44       19.84314       {txt}Obs         {res}      1,048
{txt}25%    {res} 65.40031       19.84314       {txt}Sum of Wgt. {res}      1,048

{txt}50%    {res} 81.80003                      {txt}Mean          {res} 76.06895
                        {txt}Largest       Std. Dev.     {res} 19.67003
{txt}75%    {res} 91.25554            100
{txt}90%    {res} 96.73892            100       {txt}Variance      {res} 386.9103
{txt}95%    {res} 98.27586            100       {txt}Skewness      {res}-1.065924
{txt}99%    {res} 99.43503            100       {txt}Kurtosis      {res}  3.34905

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * TOTAL/DYNAMIC MULTIPLIER & BASELINE LONG-RUN EFFECTS  OF  adjpercapita_resid ON klarnerranney:  75TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF adjpercapita_resid MINUS 25TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF adjpercapita_resid FOR EFFECTIVE SAMPLE PERIOD 

. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. nlcom  (_b[l.adjpercapita_resid] / -_b[l.klarnerranney])*17661.71   -  (_b[l.adjpercapita_resid] / -_b[l.klarnerranney])*13630.93

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}(_b[l.adjpercapita_resid] / -_b[l.klarnerranney])*17661.71 - (_b[l.adjpercapita_resid] / -_b[l.klarnerranney])*13630.93

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}klarnerran~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1872313{col 26}{space 2} 2.250871{col 37}{space 1}    0.08{col 46}{space 3}0.934{col 54}{space 4}-4.224395{col 67}{space 3} 4.598858
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. restore

. 
. ******************************************************************************

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. ******************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************

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. ******************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************

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. ******************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************

. 
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. // (4,3)  MODEL
{bf}{err}/{sf} is not a valid command name
{txt}{search r(199), local:r(199);}

{com}. 
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. *** II.A: SOUTHERN STATES (N = 14): FULL TIME PERIOD (1942 - 2010) ***

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. qui reg d.adjpercapita_resid  l.adjpercapita_resid l.klarnerranney   l.d.adjpercapita_resid d.klarnerranney  l2.d.adjpercapita_resid  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.adjpercapita_resid l2.d.klarnerranney   l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work  l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party i.state_fips i.year if nonsouth==0

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. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       910{col 27}-6656.495{col 38}-6297.302{col 49}    96{col 58}  12786.6{col 69} 13248.69
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
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. newey d.adjpercapita_resid  l.adjpercapita_resid l.klarnerranney   l.d.adjpercapita_resid d.klarnerranney  l2.d.adjpercapita_resid  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.adjpercapita_resid l2.d.klarnerranney   l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work  l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party i.state_fips i.year if nonsouth==0, lag(8) force

{txt}Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       910
{txt}maximum lag: {res}8{col 49}{txt}F( 95,       814){col 67}= {res}     25.88
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}  Newey-West
{col 1}D.adjpercapita_resid{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      t{col 54}   P>|t|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 2}adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0371393{col 34}{space 2} .0172339{col 45}{space 1}    2.16{col 54}{space 3}0.031{col 62}{space 4} .0033112{col 75}{space 3} .0709675
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.264702{col 34}{space 2} .5842793{col 45}{space 1}   -2.16{col 54}{space 3}0.031{col 62}{space 4}-2.411573{col 75}{space 3}  -.11783
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 2}adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .1032464{col 34}{space 2} .0636163{col 45}{space 1}    1.62{col 54}{space 3}0.105{col 62}{space 4}-.0216249{col 75}{space 3} .2281176
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}D1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .9588883{col 34}{space 2} 1.649656{col 45}{space 1}    0.58{col 54}{space 3}0.561{col 62}{space 4}-2.279193{col 75}{space 3} 4.196969
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 2}adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.1696283{col 34}{space 2} .1211475{col 45}{space 1}   -1.40{col 54}{space 3}0.162{col 62}{space 4}-.4074266{col 75}{space 3}   .06817
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1.56938{col 34}{space 2} 1.501105{col 45}{space 1}    1.05{col 54}{space 3}0.296{col 62}{space 4}-1.377112{col 75}{space 3} 4.515872
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 2}adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 16}L3D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.1227702{col 34}{space 2} .0586513{col 45}{space 1}   -2.09{col 54}{space 3}0.037{col 62}{space 4}-.2378959{col 75}{space 3}-.0076445
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .7258163{col 34}{space 2} 1.834923{col 45}{space 1}    0.40{col 54}{space 3}0.693{col 62}{space 4}-2.875923{col 75}{space 3} 4.327555
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
csi_perc_cap_outlays {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 253.6872{col 34}{space 2} 276.9749{col 45}{space 1}    0.92{col 54}{space 3}0.360{col 62}{space 4}-289.9819{col 75}{space 3} 797.3564
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-38.93769{col 34}{space 2} 330.1064{col 45}{space 1}   -0.12{col 54}{space 3}0.906{col 62}{space 4}-686.8977{col 75}{space 3} 609.0223
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}right_to_work {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-12.27742{col 34}{space 2}  44.0058{col 45}{space 1}   -0.28{col 54}{space 3}0.780{col 62}{space 4}-98.65564{col 75}{space 3} 74.10081
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 15.80131{col 34}{space 2} 56.35675{col 45}{space 1}    0.28{col 54}{space 3}0.779{col 62}{space 4}-94.82039{col 75}{space 3}  126.423
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 1}csi_welf_perc_total {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-79.06028{col 34}{space 2} 241.2659{col 45}{space 1}   -0.33{col 54}{space 3}0.743{col 62}{space 4} -552.637{col 75}{space 3} 394.5164
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-274.5314{col 34}{space 2} 792.2844{col 45}{space 1}   -0.35{col 54}{space 3}0.729{col 62}{space 4}-1829.693{col 75}{space 3}  1280.63
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}nonfarm_persinc {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 426.7418{col 34}{space 2} 357.2445{col 45}{space 1}    1.19{col 54}{space 3}0.233{col 62}{space 4}-274.4872{col 75}{space 3} 1127.971
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 2897.483{col 34}{space 2} 776.7994{col 45}{space 1}    3.73{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1372.717{col 75}{space 3} 4422.249
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 11}gov_party {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.055382{col 34}{space 2} 29.16692{col 45}{space 1}   -0.04{col 54}{space 3}0.971{col 62}{space 4}-58.30662{col 75}{space 3} 56.19586
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  5.58583{col 34}{space 2}  36.2499{col 45}{space 1}    0.15{col 54}{space 3}0.878{col 62}{space 4}-65.56848{col 75}{space 3} 76.74013
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 10}state_fips {c |}
{space 18}5  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 29.84514{col 34}{space 2} 38.89707{col 45}{space 1}    0.77{col 54}{space 3}0.443{col 62}{space 4}-46.50525{col 75}{space 3} 106.1955
{txt}{space 17}12  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-115.8008{col 34}{space 2} 51.19447{col 45}{space 1}   -2.26{col 54}{space 3}0.024{col 62}{space 4}-216.2895{col 75}{space 3}-15.31203
{txt}{space 17}13  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-71.52891{col 34}{space 2}   58.968{col 45}{space 1}   -1.21{col 54}{space 3}0.225{col 62}{space 4}-187.2762{col 75}{space 3} 44.21835
{txt}{space 17}21  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 14.05701{col 34}{space 2} 56.09278{col 45}{space 1}    0.25{col 54}{space 3}0.802{col 62}{space 4}-96.04652{col 75}{space 3} 124.1606
{txt}{space 17}22  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-35.83956{col 34}{space 2}  46.3117{col 45}{space 1}   -0.77{col 54}{space 3}0.439{col 62}{space 4} -126.744{col 75}{space 3} 55.06487
{txt}{space 17}28  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 37.28646{col 34}{space 2} 39.23346{col 45}{space 1}    0.95{col 54}{space 3}0.342{col 62}{space 4}-39.72421{col 75}{space 3} 114.2971
{txt}{space 17}37  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-13.43326{col 34}{space 2} 37.56634{col 45}{space 1}   -0.36{col 54}{space 3}0.721{col 62}{space 4}-87.17156{col 75}{space 3} 60.30505
{txt}{space 17}40  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-5.769805{col 34}{space 2} 55.27282{col 45}{space 1}   -0.10{col 54}{space 3}0.917{col 62}{space 4}-114.2639{col 75}{space 3} 102.7242
{txt}{space 17}45  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 5.634444{col 34}{space 2} 29.84377{col 45}{space 1}    0.19{col 54}{space 3}0.850{col 62}{space 4}-52.94537{col 75}{space 3} 64.21426
{txt}{space 17}47  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 23.03443{col 34}{space 2} 36.12337{col 45}{space 1}    0.64{col 54}{space 3}0.524{col 62}{space 4}-47.87151{col 75}{space 3} 93.94037
{txt}{space 17}48  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-158.9127{col 34}{space 2} 56.41999{col 45}{space 1}   -2.82{col 54}{space 3}0.005{col 62}{space 4}-269.6585{col 75}{space 3}-48.16689
{txt}{space 17}51  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-9.132095{col 34}{space 2} 52.71915{col 45}{space 1}   -0.17{col 54}{space 3}0.863{col 62}{space 4}-112.6136{col 75}{space 3}  94.3494
{txt}{space 17}54  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  11.7798{col 34}{space 2} 67.28265{col 45}{space 1}    0.18{col 54}{space 3}0.861{col 62}{space 4}-120.2881{col 75}{space 3} 143.8477
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 16}year {c |}
{space 15}1947  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 50.55921{col 34}{space 2} 80.73562{col 45}{space 1}    0.63{col 54}{space 3}0.531{col 62}{space 4}-107.9153{col 75}{space 3} 209.0338
{txt}{space 15}1948  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 369.1832{col 34}{space 2} 126.9379{col 45}{space 1}    2.91{col 54}{space 3}0.004{col 62}{space 4}  120.019{col 75}{space 3} 618.3474
{txt}{space 15}1949  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 84.95815{col 34}{space 2} 145.6064{col 45}{space 1}    0.58{col 54}{space 3}0.560{col 62}{space 4}  -200.85{col 75}{space 3} 370.7663
{txt}{space 15}1950  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 377.5376{col 34}{space 2} 107.2434{col 45}{space 1}    3.52{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 167.0315{col 75}{space 3} 588.0438
{txt}{space 15}1951  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 383.7705{col 34}{space 2} 97.39186{col 45}{space 1}    3.94{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 192.6018{col 75}{space 3} 574.9393
{txt}{space 15}1952  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  449.151{col 34}{space 2} 81.17206{col 45}{space 1}    5.53{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 289.8197{col 75}{space 3} 608.4822
{txt}{space 15}1953  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 378.6233{col 34}{space 2} 80.93857{col 45}{space 1}    4.68{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 219.7504{col 75}{space 3} 537.4962
{txt}{space 15}1954  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 183.3892{col 34}{space 2} 80.97313{col 45}{space 1}    2.26{col 54}{space 3}0.024{col 62}{space 4} 24.44845{col 75}{space 3} 342.3299
{txt}{space 15}1955  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 559.4309{col 34}{space 2} 83.79524{col 45}{space 1}    6.68{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 394.9507{col 75}{space 3} 723.9112
{txt}{space 15}1956  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 403.4318{col 34}{space 2} 100.1122{col 45}{space 1}    4.03{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 206.9232{col 75}{space 3} 599.9403
{txt}{space 15}1957  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 131.2868{col 34}{space 2} 90.38702{col 45}{space 1}    1.45{col 54}{space 3}0.147{col 62}{space 4}-46.13226{col 75}{space 3}  308.706
{txt}{space 15}1958  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}   220.52{col 34}{space 2} 87.38177{col 45}{space 1}    2.52{col 54}{space 3}0.012{col 62}{space 4} 48.99985{col 75}{space 3} 392.0402
{txt}{space 15}1959  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 308.8256{col 34}{space 2} 98.98148{col 45}{space 1}    3.12{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4} 114.5366{col 75}{space 3} 503.1147
{txt}{space 15}1960  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 119.0218{col 34}{space 2} 110.2387{col 45}{space 1}    1.08{col 54}{space 3}0.281{col 62}{space 4}-97.36387{col 75}{space 3} 335.4074
{txt}{space 15}1961  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 356.7302{col 34}{space 2} 108.2627{col 45}{space 1}    3.30{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 144.2232{col 75}{space 3} 569.2371
{txt}{space 15}1962  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 336.9657{col 34}{space 2} 105.3177{col 45}{space 1}    3.20{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 130.2395{col 75}{space 3}  543.692
{txt}{space 15}1963  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 326.2984{col 34}{space 2} 98.80764{col 45}{space 1}    3.30{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 132.3506{col 75}{space 3} 520.2462
{txt}{space 15}1964  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 385.5694{col 34}{space 2} 94.59836{col 45}{space 1}    4.08{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 199.8839{col 75}{space 3} 571.2548
{txt}{space 15}1965  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 484.3771{col 34}{space 2} 96.63803{col 45}{space 1}    5.01{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  294.688{col 75}{space 3} 674.0662
{txt}{space 15}1966  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  365.743{col 34}{space 2} 98.45247{col 45}{space 1}    3.71{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 172.4924{col 75}{space 3} 558.9937
{txt}{space 15}1967  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 429.1223{col 34}{space 2} 95.06679{col 45}{space 1}    4.51{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 242.5174{col 75}{space 3} 615.7273
{txt}{space 15}1968  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 492.2509{col 34}{space 2} 102.8813{col 45}{space 1}    4.78{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  290.307{col 75}{space 3} 694.1947
{txt}{space 15}1969  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 454.4716{col 34}{space 2} 112.5835{col 45}{space 1}    4.04{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 233.4834{col 75}{space 3} 675.4598
{txt}{space 15}1970  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 321.8005{col 34}{space 2} 97.82322{col 45}{space 1}    3.29{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4}  129.785{col 75}{space 3}  513.816
{txt}{space 15}1971  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 287.7565{col 34}{space 2} 100.4207{col 45}{space 1}    2.87{col 54}{space 3}0.004{col 62}{space 4} 90.64257{col 75}{space 3} 484.8705
{txt}{space 15}1972  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  648.806{col 34}{space 2} 114.1522{col 45}{space 1}    5.68{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 424.7387{col 75}{space 3} 872.8733
{txt}{space 15}1973  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 449.0346{col 34}{space 2} 127.6925{col 45}{space 1}    3.52{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 198.3892{col 75}{space 3}   699.68
{txt}{space 15}1974  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  165.458{col 34}{space 2} 102.2694{col 45}{space 1}    1.62{col 54}{space 3}0.106{col 62}{space 4}-35.28476{col 75}{space 3} 366.2008
{txt}{space 15}1975  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-42.61128{col 34}{space 2} 115.1999{col 45}{space 1}   -0.37{col 54}{space 3}0.712{col 62}{space 4}-268.7352{col 75}{space 3} 183.5127
{txt}{space 15}1976  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 501.0503{col 34}{space 2} 133.7476{col 45}{space 1}    3.75{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 238.5194{col 75}{space 3} 763.5811
{txt}{space 15}1977  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 257.1655{col 34}{space 2} 167.7075{col 45}{space 1}    1.53{col 54}{space 3}0.126{col 62}{space 4}-72.02464{col 75}{space 3} 586.3557
{txt}{space 15}1978  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 408.4025{col 34}{space 2} 131.0191{col 45}{space 1}    3.12{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4} 151.2273{col 75}{space 3} 665.5776
{txt}{space 15}1979  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 162.2912{col 34}{space 2} 128.9825{col 45}{space 1}    1.26{col 54}{space 3}0.209{col 62}{space 4} -90.8864{col 75}{space 3} 415.4687
{txt}{space 15}1980  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-148.0904{col 34}{space 2} 127.6553{col 45}{space 1}   -1.16{col 54}{space 3}0.246{col 62}{space 4}-398.6628{col 75}{space 3} 102.4821
{txt}{space 15}1981  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 344.3814{col 34}{space 2} 156.9079{col 45}{space 1}    2.19{col 54}{space 3}0.028{col 62}{space 4} 36.38956{col 75}{space 3} 652.3732
{txt}{space 15}1982  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 300.0986{col 34}{space 2} 177.8159{col 45}{space 1}    1.69{col 54}{space 3}0.092{col 62}{space 4}-48.93315{col 75}{space 3} 649.1304
{txt}{space 15}1983  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  198.015{col 34}{space 2} 157.2364{col 45}{space 1}    1.26{col 54}{space 3}0.208{col 62}{space 4}-110.6215{col 75}{space 3} 506.6515
{txt}{space 15}1984  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 619.1501{col 34}{space 2} 131.4729{col 45}{space 1}    4.71{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 361.0843{col 75}{space 3} 877.2158
{txt}{space 15}1985  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 211.7186{col 34}{space 2} 137.8843{col 45}{space 1}    1.54{col 54}{space 3}0.125{col 62}{space 4}-58.93215{col 75}{space 3} 482.3693
{txt}{space 15}1986  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 200.8995{col 34}{space 2} 157.5599{col 45}{space 1}    1.28{col 54}{space 3}0.203{col 62}{space 4}-108.3722{col 75}{space 3} 510.1711
{txt}{space 15}1987  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  254.492{col 34}{space 2} 152.1022{col 45}{space 1}    1.67{col 54}{space 3}0.095{col 62}{space 4}-44.06685{col 75}{space 3} 553.0508
{txt}{space 15}1988  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 397.1692{col 34}{space 2} 173.2928{col 45}{space 1}    2.29{col 54}{space 3}0.022{col 62}{space 4} 57.01588{col 75}{space 3} 737.3226
{txt}{space 15}1989  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 262.8636{col 34}{space 2} 150.9899{col 45}{space 1}    1.74{col 54}{space 3}0.082{col 62}{space 4}-33.51191{col 75}{space 3} 559.2391
{txt}{space 15}1990  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 74.59236{col 34}{space 2} 149.5062{col 45}{space 1}    0.50{col 54}{space 3}0.618{col 62}{space 4}-218.8708{col 75}{space 3} 368.0556
{txt}{space 15}1991  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-74.36804{col 34}{space 2} 148.3681{col 45}{space 1}   -0.50{col 54}{space 3}0.616{col 62}{space 4}-365.5972{col 75}{space 3} 216.8611
{txt}{space 15}1992  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 268.1611{col 34}{space 2} 161.8276{col 45}{space 1}    1.66{col 54}{space 3}0.098{col 62}{space 4}-49.48748{col 75}{space 3} 585.8096
{txt}{space 15}1993  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-158.1129{col 34}{space 2} 198.4525{col 45}{space 1}   -0.80{col 54}{space 3}0.426{col 62}{space 4}-547.6518{col 75}{space 3} 231.4261
{txt}{space 15}1994  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 288.4718{col 34}{space 2} 167.4595{col 45}{space 1}    1.72{col 54}{space 3}0.085{col 62}{space 4} -40.2315{col 75}{space 3} 617.1751
{txt}{space 15}1995  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 96.14407{col 34}{space 2} 180.2123{col 45}{space 1}    0.53{col 54}{space 3}0.594{col 62}{space 4}-257.5915{col 75}{space 3} 449.8797
{txt}{space 15}1996  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 256.7045{col 34}{space 2} 162.6809{col 45}{space 1}    1.58{col 54}{space 3}0.115{col 62}{space 4}-62.61914{col 75}{space 3}  576.028
{txt}{space 15}1997  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 344.7445{col 34}{space 2} 166.7173{col 45}{space 1}    2.07{col 54}{space 3}0.039{col 62}{space 4} 17.49808{col 75}{space 3}  671.991
{txt}{space 15}1998  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 570.9154{col 34}{space 2} 165.7352{col 45}{space 1}    3.44{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 245.5968{col 75}{space 3} 896.2341
{txt}{space 15}1999  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 81.51348{col 34}{space 2}   162.28{col 45}{space 1}    0.50{col 54}{space 3}0.616{col 62}{space 4}-237.0231{col 75}{space 3} 400.0501
{txt}{space 15}2000  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 358.0652{col 34}{space 2} 162.0884{col 45}{space 1}    2.21{col 54}{space 3}0.027{col 62}{space 4} 39.90472{col 75}{space 3} 676.2256
{txt}{space 15}2001  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 83.85445{col 34}{space 2} 189.0584{col 45}{space 1}    0.44{col 54}{space 3}0.657{col 62}{space 4}-287.2449{col 75}{space 3} 454.9538
{txt}{space 15}2002  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-330.9186{col 34}{space 2}  188.874{col 45}{space 1}   -1.75{col 54}{space 3}0.080{col 62}{space 4}-701.6561{col 75}{space 3} 39.81884
{txt}{space 15}2003  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 37.75977{col 34}{space 2}  185.882{col 45}{space 1}    0.20{col 54}{space 3}0.839{col 62}{space 4}-327.1047{col 75}{space 3} 402.6242
{txt}{space 15}2004  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  129.037{col 34}{space 2} 258.9453{col 45}{space 1}    0.50{col 54}{space 3}0.618{col 62}{space 4}-379.2423{col 75}{space 3} 637.3164
{txt}{space 15}2005  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 58.23888{col 34}{space 2}  216.517{col 45}{space 1}    0.27{col 54}{space 3}0.788{col 62}{space 4}-366.7585{col 75}{space 3} 483.2363
{txt}{space 15}2006  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 299.2632{col 34}{space 2} 201.8038{col 45}{space 1}    1.48{col 54}{space 3}0.138{col 62}{space 4}-96.85408{col 75}{space 3} 695.3804
{txt}{space 15}2007  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 208.1127{col 34}{space 2} 263.6719{col 45}{space 1}    0.79{col 54}{space 3}0.430{col 62}{space 4}-309.4442{col 75}{space 3} 725.6697
{txt}{space 15}2008  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 170.8223{col 34}{space 2} 202.7688{col 45}{space 1}    0.84{col 54}{space 3}0.400{col 62}{space 4}-227.1891{col 75}{space 3} 568.8337
{txt}{space 15}2009  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-717.6446{col 34}{space 2} 303.8791{col 45}{space 1}   -2.36{col 54}{space 3}0.018{col 62}{space 4}-1314.123{col 75}{space 3}-121.1657
{txt}{space 15}2010  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-642.0513{col 34}{space 2} 236.8868{col 45}{space 1}   -2.71{col 54}{space 3}0.007{col 62}{space 4}-1107.032{col 75}{space 3}-177.0703
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-411.9028{col 34}{space 2}  369.454{col 45}{space 1}   -1.11{col 54}{space 3}0.265{col 62}{space 4}-1137.098{col 75}{space 3}  313.292
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. predict adjpercapita_residhatallfull
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(196 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME ERROR CORRECTION RATE *

. 
. 
. 
. test l.adjpercapita_resid = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.adjpercapita_resid = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,   814) ={res}    4.64
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0315

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *Weak Exogeneity Tests*

. 
. 
. 
. testnl _b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.adjpercapita_resid] = 0

{col 3}{txt}(1){res}{col 8}{bind:_b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.adjpercapita_resid] = 0}

{txt}{ralign 22:chi2({res:1})} =  {res}      2.72
{txt}{ralign 22:Prob > chi2} =  {res}      0.0988{txt}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * GRANGER CAUSLITY TEST*

. 
. 
. 
. test  d.klarnerranney = l.d.klarnerranney  =  l2.d.klarnerranney = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.klarnerranney - LD.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} D.klarnerranney - L2D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 3)}{space 1} D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  3,   814) ={res}    0.58
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.6307

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENEITY) *

. 
. 
. 
. test l.adjpercapita_resid = l.klarnerranney = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.adjpercapita_resid - L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.adjpercapita_resid = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,   814) ={res}    4.08
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0173

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *

. 
. 
. 
. lincom d.klarnerranney +  l.d.klarnerranney +  l2.d.klarnerranney 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.klarnerranney + LD.klarnerranney + L2D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}adjpercapi~d{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 3.254085{col 26}{space 2} 3.134402{col 37}{space 1}    1.04{col 46}{space 3}0.299{col 54}{space 4}-2.898378{col 67}{space 3} 9.406548
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *

. 
. 
. 
. nlcom _b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.adjpercapita_resid] 

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.adjpercapita_resid]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}adjpercapi~d{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 34.05288{col 26}{space 2} 20.63085{col 37}{space 1}    1.65{col 46}{space 3}0.099{col 54}{space 4}-6.382851{col 67}{space 3} 74.48861
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *

. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ******PARTISAN COMPETITION EQUATION*********

. 
. 
. 
. qui regress d.ihsklarnerranney  l.ihsklarnerranney l.adjpercapita_resid l.d.ihsklarnerranney d.adjpercapita_resid  l2.d.ihsklarnerranney  l.d.adjpercapita_resid  l3.d.ihsklarnerranney l2.d.adjpercapita_resid l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1 i.state_fips i.year if nonsouth==0

. 
. 
. 
. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       910{col 27}-311.1313{col 38}-154.3927{col 49}    94{col 58} 496.7855{col 69} 949.2493
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. *

. 
. 
. 
. newey d.ihsklarnerranney  l.ihsklarnerranney l.adjpercapita_resid l.d.ihsklarnerranney d.adjpercapita_resid  l2.d.ihsklarnerranney  l.d.adjpercapita_resid  l3.d.ihsklarnerranney l2.d.adjpercapita_resid l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1 i.state_fips i.year if nonsouth==0, lag(8) force

{txt}Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       910
{txt}maximum lag: {res}8{col 49}{txt}F( 93,       816){col 67}= {res}      4.31
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 19}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 20}{c |}{col 32}  Newey-West
{col 1}D.ihsklarnerranney{col 20}{c |}      Coef.{col 32}   Std. Err.{col 44}      t{col 52}   P>|t|{col 60}     [95% Con{col 73}f. Interval]
{hline 19}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 2}ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 15}L1. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0578399{col 32}{space 2} .0159549{col 43}{space 1}   -3.63{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4}-.0891573{col 73}{space 3}-.0265224
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 15}L1. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-3.40e-06{col 32}{space 2} 9.77e-06{col 43}{space 1}   -0.35{col 52}{space 3}0.728{col 60}{space 4}-.0000226{col 73}{space 3} .0000158
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 2}ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 15}LD. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0377275{col 32}{space 2} .0547867{col 43}{space 1}   -0.69{col 52}{space 3}0.491{col 60}{space 4}-.1452669{col 73}{space 3} .0698119
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 15}D1. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0000218{col 32}{space 2} .0000316{col 43}{space 1}   -0.69{col 52}{space 3}0.491{col 60}{space 4}-.0000839{col 73}{space 3} .0000403
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 2}ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 14}L2D. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.2589475{col 32}{space 2} .0470944{col 43}{space 1}   -5.50{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4}-.3513879{col 73}{space 3}-.1665071
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 15}LD. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0000356{col 32}{space 2}  .000027{col 43}{space 1}    1.32{col 52}{space 3}0.188{col 60}{space 4}-.0000175{col 73}{space 3} .0000887
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 2}ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 14}L3D. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.1187246{col 32}{space 2} .0450885{col 43}{space 1}   -2.63{col 52}{space 3}0.009{col 60}{space 4}-.2072277{col 73}{space 3}-.0302216
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 14}L2D. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0000174{col 32}{space 2} .0000302{col 43}{space 1}    0.58{col 52}{space 3}0.564{col 60}{space 4}-.0000419{col 73}{space 3} .0000767
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 9}gov_party {c |}
{space 15}L1. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0616826{col 32}{space 2} .0290905{col 43}{space 1}   -2.12{col 52}{space 3}0.034{col 60}{space 4}-.1187836{col 73}{space 3}-.0045817
{txt}{space 15}LD. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0000783{col 32}{space 2} .0305959{col 43}{space 1}    0.00{col 52}{space 3}0.998{col 60}{space 4}-.0599776{col 73}{space 3} .0601342
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 7}dem_unified {c |}
{space 15}L1. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0908578{col 32}{space 2} .0299317{col 43}{space 1}    3.04{col 52}{space 3}0.002{col 60}{space 4} .0321056{col 73}{space 3}   .14961
{txt}{space 15}LD. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0214941{col 32}{space 2} .0315937{col 43}{space 1}   -0.68{col 52}{space 3}0.496{col 60}{space 4}-.0835086{col 73}{space 3} .0405204
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 7}rep_unified {c |}
{space 15}L1. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.1102212{col 32}{space 2} .0414382{col 43}{space 1}   -2.66{col 52}{space 3}0.008{col 60}{space 4}-.1915593{col 73}{space 3} -.028883
{txt}{space 15}LD. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0494302{col 32}{space 2} .0275348{col 43}{space 1}    1.80{col 52}{space 3}0.073{col 60}{space 4}-.0046172{col 73}{space 3} .1034777
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 4}electedjudges1 {c |}
{space 15}L1. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  .099656{col 32}{space 2} .0418556{col 43}{space 1}    2.38{col 52}{space 3}0.017{col 60}{space 4} .0174988{col 73}{space 3} .1818132
{txt}{space 15}LD. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0076351{col 32}{space 2} .0352668{col 43}{space 1}    0.22{col 52}{space 3}0.829{col 60}{space 4}-.0615892{col 73}{space 3} .0768595
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 8}state_fips {c |}
{space 16}5  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0102707{col 32}{space 2} .0664368{col 43}{space 1}   -0.15{col 52}{space 3}0.877{col 60}{space 4}-.1406779{col 73}{space 3} .1201365
{txt}{space 15}12  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .1819764{col 32}{space 2} .0862392{col 43}{space 1}    2.11{col 52}{space 3}0.035{col 60}{space 4} .0126995{col 73}{space 3} .3512532
{txt}{space 15}13  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  .047275{col 32}{space 2} .0648449{col 43}{space 1}    0.73{col 52}{space 3}0.466{col 60}{space 4}-.0800074{col 73}{space 3} .1745574
{txt}{space 15}21  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0524811{col 32}{space 2} .0665727{col 43}{space 1}    0.79{col 52}{space 3}0.431{col 60}{space 4}-.0781927{col 73}{space 3}  .183155
{txt}{space 15}22  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0192742{col 32}{space 2} .0646624{col 43}{space 1}    0.30{col 52}{space 3}0.766{col 60}{space 4}-.1076501{col 73}{space 3} .1461984
{txt}{space 15}28  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0153161{col 32}{space 2} .0657671{col 43}{space 1}    0.23{col 52}{space 3}0.816{col 60}{space 4}-.1137765{col 73}{space 3} .1444087
{txt}{space 15}37  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0435126{col 32}{space 2} .0637109{col 43}{space 1}    0.68{col 52}{space 3}0.495{col 60}{space 4}-.0815441{col 73}{space 3} .1685692
{txt}{space 15}40  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0872523{col 32}{space 2}  .068601{col 43}{space 1}    1.27{col 52}{space 3}0.204{col 60}{space 4}-.0474028{col 73}{space 3} .2219075
{txt}{space 15}45  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .1618132{col 32}{space 2} .0864042{col 43}{space 1}    1.87{col 52}{space 3}0.061{col 60}{space 4}-.0077874{col 73}{space 3} .3314138
{txt}{space 15}47  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0960865{col 32}{space 2} .0712306{col 43}{space 1}    1.35{col 52}{space 3}0.178{col 60}{space 4}-.0437303{col 73}{space 3} .2359033
{txt}{space 15}48  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0537553{col 32}{space 2}  .072741{col 43}{space 1}    0.74{col 52}{space 3}0.460{col 60}{space 4}-.0890262{col 73}{space 3} .1965368
{txt}{space 15}51  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .1764747{col 32}{space 2} .0871517{col 43}{space 1}    2.02{col 52}{space 3}0.043{col 60}{space 4} .0054067{col 73}{space 3} .3475427
{txt}{space 15}54  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0232582{col 32}{space 2} .0645094{col 43}{space 1}    0.36{col 52}{space 3}0.719{col 60}{space 4}-.1033657{col 73}{space 3} .1498821
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 14}year {c |}
{space 13}1947  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0267109{col 32}{space 2} .0735181{col 43}{space 1}   -0.36{col 52}{space 3}0.716{col 60}{space 4}-.1710177{col 73}{space 3}  .117596
{txt}{space 13}1948  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0266167{col 32}{space 2} .0488706{col 43}{space 1}   -0.54{col 52}{space 3}0.586{col 60}{space 4}-.1225436{col 73}{space 3} .0693101
{txt}{space 13}1949  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.2194122{col 32}{space 2} .0952776{col 43}{space 1}   -2.30{col 52}{space 3}0.022{col 60}{space 4}-.4064303{col 73}{space 3}-.0323941
{txt}{space 13}1950  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0897431{col 32}{space 2} .0576197{col 43}{space 1}   -1.56{col 52}{space 3}0.120{col 60}{space 4}-.2028435{col 73}{space 3} .0233572
{txt}{space 13}1951  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0226195{col 32}{space 2} .1637192{col 43}{space 1}    0.14{col 52}{space 3}0.890{col 60}{space 4}-.2987408{col 73}{space 3} .3439799
{txt}{space 13}1952  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} -.050838{col 32}{space 2} .0528172{col 43}{space 1}   -0.96{col 52}{space 3}0.336{col 60}{space 4}-.1545116{col 73}{space 3} .0528356
{txt}{space 13}1953  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .1617802{col 32}{space 2} .1288743{col 43}{space 1}    1.26{col 52}{space 3}0.210{col 60}{space 4} -.091184{col 73}{space 3} .4147445
{txt}{space 13}1954  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0240568{col 32}{space 2}  .055163{col 43}{space 1}   -0.44{col 52}{space 3}0.663{col 60}{space 4}-.1323349{col 73}{space 3} .0842212
{txt}{space 13}1955  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0089265{col 32}{space 2}  .119673{col 43}{space 1}   -0.07{col 52}{space 3}0.941{col 60}{space 4}-.2438297{col 73}{space 3} .2259766
{txt}{space 13}1956  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0215323{col 32}{space 2} .0612473{col 43}{space 1}   -0.35{col 52}{space 3}0.725{col 60}{space 4}-.1417532{col 73}{space 3} .0986885
{txt}{space 13}1957  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} -.026629{col 32}{space 2} .0804045{col 43}{space 1}   -0.33{col 52}{space 3}0.741{col 60}{space 4} -.184453{col 73}{space 3} .1311951
{txt}{space 13}1958  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0265356{col 32}{space 2} .0604775{col 43}{space 1}   -0.44{col 52}{space 3}0.661{col 60}{space 4}-.1452453{col 73}{space 3} .0921742
{txt}{space 13}1959  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.3429698{col 32}{space 2}  .157303{col 43}{space 1}   -2.18{col 52}{space 3}0.030{col 60}{space 4} -.651736{col 73}{space 3}-.0342036
{txt}{space 13}1960  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0749285{col 32}{space 2}  .063424{col 43}{space 1}   -1.18{col 52}{space 3}0.238{col 60}{space 4}-.1994219{col 73}{space 3} .0495648
{txt}{space 13}1961  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  .061997{col 32}{space 2} .0963787{col 43}{space 1}    0.64{col 52}{space 3}0.520{col 60}{space 4}-.1271824{col 73}{space 3} .2511765
{txt}{space 13}1962  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0005634{col 32}{space 2} .0952921{col 43}{space 1}   -0.01{col 52}{space 3}0.995{col 60}{space 4}  -.18761{col 73}{space 3} .1864832
{txt}{space 13}1963  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .3417537{col 32}{space 2} .1311572{col 43}{space 1}    2.61{col 52}{space 3}0.009{col 60}{space 4} .0843084{col 73}{space 3}  .599199
{txt}{space 13}1964  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .3089244{col 32}{space 2} .1144272{col 43}{space 1}    2.70{col 52}{space 3}0.007{col 60}{space 4}  .084318{col 73}{space 3} .5335307
{txt}{space 13}1965  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0153743{col 32}{space 2}  .195299{col 43}{space 1}   -0.08{col 52}{space 3}0.937{col 60}{space 4} -.398722{col 73}{space 3} .3679733
{txt}{space 13}1966  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .3696877{col 32}{space 2} .1556223{col 43}{space 1}    2.38{col 52}{space 3}0.018{col 60}{space 4} .0642206{col 73}{space 3} .6751548
{txt}{space 13}1967  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .7177277{col 32}{space 2} .2312534{col 43}{space 1}    3.10{col 52}{space 3}0.002{col 60}{space 4}  .263806{col 73}{space 3} 1.171649
{txt}{space 13}1968  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0004361{col 32}{space 2} .2017538{col 43}{space 1}    0.00{col 52}{space 3}0.998{col 60}{space 4}-.3955816{col 73}{space 3} .3964537
{txt}{space 13}1969  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .2870257{col 32}{space 2}  .115972{col 43}{space 1}    2.47{col 52}{space 3}0.014{col 60}{space 4}  .059387{col 73}{space 3} .5146643
{txt}{space 13}1970  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  .376846{col 32}{space 2} .1318378{col 43}{space 1}    2.86{col 52}{space 3}0.004{col 60}{space 4} .1180649{col 73}{space 3} .6356271
{txt}{space 13}1971  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0069499{col 32}{space 2} .0781415{col 43}{space 1}    0.09{col 52}{space 3}0.929{col 60}{space 4}-.1464322{col 73}{space 3}  .160332
{txt}{space 13}1972  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .1605086{col 32}{space 2} .1139031{col 43}{space 1}    1.41{col 52}{space 3}0.159{col 60}{space 4} -.063069{col 73}{space 3} .3840863
{txt}{space 13}1973  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .2456423{col 32}{space 2} .0973583{col 43}{space 1}    2.52{col 52}{space 3}0.012{col 60}{space 4}   .05454{col 73}{space 3} .4367445
{txt}{space 13}1974  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0432642{col 32}{space 2} .0876671{col 43}{space 1}    0.49{col 52}{space 3}0.622{col 60}{space 4}-.1288155{col 73}{space 3} .2153438
{txt}{space 13}1975  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.1995059{col 32}{space 2}  .172327{col 43}{space 1}   -1.16{col 52}{space 3}0.247{col 60}{space 4}-.5377624{col 73}{space 3} .1387505
{txt}{space 13}1976  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0526427{col 32}{space 2}  .090393{col 43}{space 1}    0.58{col 52}{space 3}0.560{col 60}{space 4}-.1247874{col 73}{space 3} .2300728
{txt}{space 13}1977  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  .162314{col 32}{space 2} .1964811{col 43}{space 1}    0.83{col 52}{space 3}0.409{col 60}{space 4} -.223354{col 73}{space 3}  .547982
{txt}{space 13}1978  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0277245{col 32}{space 2} .0894977{col 43}{space 1}    0.31{col 52}{space 3}0.757{col 60}{space 4}-.1479484{col 73}{space 3} .2033974
{txt}{space 13}1979  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .2473454{col 32}{space 2} .1083642{col 43}{space 1}    2.28{col 52}{space 3}0.023{col 60}{space 4}   .03464{col 73}{space 3} .4600508
{txt}{space 13}1980  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .1513422{col 32}{space 2} .0851397{col 43}{space 1}    1.78{col 52}{space 3}0.076{col 60}{space 4}-.0157765{col 73}{space 3} .3184608
{txt}{space 13}1981  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .3055891{col 32}{space 2} .0995069{col 43}{space 1}    3.07{col 52}{space 3}0.002{col 60}{space 4} .1102695{col 73}{space 3} .5009088
{txt}{space 13}1982  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  .156564{col 32}{space 2} .0881196{col 43}{space 1}    1.78{col 52}{space 3}0.076{col 60}{space 4}-.0164038{col 73}{space 3} .3295319
{txt}{space 13}1983  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .1718916{col 32}{space 2} .1530512{col 43}{space 1}    1.12{col 52}{space 3}0.262{col 60}{space 4}-.1285289{col 73}{space 3} .4723121
{txt}{space 13}1984  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .1425868{col 32}{space 2} .0970563{col 43}{space 1}    1.47{col 52}{space 3}0.142{col 60}{space 4}-.0479227{col 73}{space 3} .3330963
{txt}{space 13}1985  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .3827263{col 32}{space 2} .1345644{col 43}{space 1}    2.84{col 52}{space 3}0.005{col 60}{space 4} .1185933{col 73}{space 3} .6468594
{txt}{space 13}1986  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .1067933{col 32}{space 2} .0942157{col 43}{space 1}    1.13{col 52}{space 3}0.257{col 60}{space 4}-.0781405{col 73}{space 3}  .291727
{txt}{space 13}1987  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  .306928{col 32}{space 2} .1184677{col 43}{space 1}    2.59{col 52}{space 3}0.010{col 60}{space 4} .0743907{col 73}{space 3} .5394653
{txt}{space 13}1988  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .1817088{col 32}{space 2} .0997189{col 43}{space 1}    1.82{col 52}{space 3}0.069{col 60}{space 4} -.014027{col 73}{space 3} .3774446
{txt}{space 13}1989  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .2310741{col 32}{space 2} .1091349{col 43}{space 1}    2.12{col 52}{space 3}0.035{col 60}{space 4} .0168558{col 73}{space 3} .4452924
{txt}{space 13}1990  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .1792297{col 32}{space 2} .1031675{col 43}{space 1}    1.74{col 52}{space 3}0.083{col 60}{space 4}-.0232752{col 73}{space 3} .3817345
{txt}{space 13}1991  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .1807872{col 32}{space 2} .1060382{col 43}{space 1}    1.70{col 52}{space 3}0.089{col 60}{space 4}-.0273525{col 73}{space 3} .3889269
{txt}{space 13}1992  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .2092467{col 32}{space 2} .1109597{col 43}{space 1}    1.89{col 52}{space 3}0.060{col 60}{space 4}-.0085534{col 73}{space 3} .4270468
{txt}{space 13}1993  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .2225779{col 32}{space 2} .1119812{col 43}{space 1}    1.99{col 52}{space 3}0.047{col 60}{space 4} .0027727{col 73}{space 3}  .442383
{txt}{space 13}1994  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .2031611{col 32}{space 2} .1072336{col 43}{space 1}    1.89{col 52}{space 3}0.059{col 60}{space 4}-.0073251{col 73}{space 3} .4136473
{txt}{space 13}1995  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  .403691{col 32}{space 2} .1168121{col 43}{space 1}    3.46{col 52}{space 3}0.001{col 60}{space 4} .1744033{col 73}{space 3} .6329787
{txt}{space 13}1996  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .2649621{col 32}{space 2} .1132019{col 43}{space 1}    2.34{col 52}{space 3}0.019{col 60}{space 4} .0427609{col 73}{space 3} .4871633
{txt}{space 13}1997  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}    .2756{col 32}{space 2} .1126029{col 43}{space 1}    2.45{col 52}{space 3}0.015{col 60}{space 4} .0545745{col 73}{space 3} .4966256
{txt}{space 13}1998  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .2439972{col 32}{space 2} .1142824{col 43}{space 1}    2.14{col 52}{space 3}0.033{col 60}{space 4}  .019675{col 73}{space 3} .4683194
{txt}{space 13}1999  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .1706708{col 32}{space 2}  .118854{col 43}{space 1}    1.44{col 52}{space 3}0.151{col 60}{space 4}-.0626247{col 73}{space 3} .4039663
{txt}{space 13}2000  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .2055199{col 32}{space 2} .1166564{col 43}{space 1}    1.76{col 52}{space 3}0.078{col 60}{space 4} -.023462{col 73}{space 3} .4345018
{txt}{space 13}2001  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .2386153{col 32}{space 2} .1259942{col 43}{space 1}    1.89{col 52}{space 3}0.059{col 60}{space 4}-.0086955{col 73}{space 3} .4859262
{txt}{space 13}2002  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .1933131{col 32}{space 2} .1215039{col 43}{space 1}    1.59{col 52}{space 3}0.112{col 60}{space 4} -.045184{col 73}{space 3} .4318102
{txt}{space 13}2003  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .2839092{col 32}{space 2} .1300363{col 43}{space 1}    2.18{col 52}{space 3}0.029{col 60}{space 4} .0286642{col 73}{space 3} .5391541
{txt}{space 13}2004  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .2483018{col 32}{space 2} .1268907{col 43}{space 1}    1.96{col 52}{space 3}0.051{col 60}{space 4}-.0007688{col 73}{space 3} .4973725
{txt}{space 13}2005  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .2528878{col 32}{space 2} .1264369{col 43}{space 1}    2.00{col 52}{space 3}0.046{col 60}{space 4} .0047078{col 73}{space 3} .5010678
{txt}{space 13}2006  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .2495431{col 32}{space 2} .1257682{col 43}{space 1}    1.98{col 52}{space 3}0.048{col 60}{space 4} .0026757{col 73}{space 3} .4964104
{txt}{space 13}2007  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .2446213{col 32}{space 2} .1307965{col 43}{space 1}    1.87{col 52}{space 3}0.062{col 60}{space 4} -.012116{col 73}{space 3} .5013586
{txt}{space 13}2008  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .2549618{col 32}{space 2} .1292622{col 43}{space 1}    1.97{col 52}{space 3}0.049{col 60}{space 4} .0012363{col 73}{space 3} .5086873
{txt}{space 13}2009  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .2218891{col 32}{space 2} .1297486{col 43}{space 1}    1.71{col 52}{space 3}0.088{col 60}{space 4}-.0327913{col 73}{space 3} .4765696
{txt}{space 13}2010  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .2386651{col 32}{space 2} .1363063{col 43}{space 1}    1.75{col 52}{space 3}0.080{col 60}{space 4}-.0288872{col 73}{space 3} .5062173
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 13}_cons {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0402245{col 32}{space 2} .1054287{col 43}{space 1}   -0.38{col 52}{space 3}0.703{col 60}{space 4}-.2471679{col 73}{space 3} .1667189
{txt}{hline 19}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. predict ihsklarnerranneyhatallfull if nonsouth==0
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(2,429 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION ERROR CORRECTION RATE *

. 
. 
. 
. test l.ihsklarnerranney = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.ihsklarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,   816) ={res}   13.14
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0003

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *Weak Exogeneity Tests*

. 
. 
. 
. testnl _b[l.adjpercapita_resid]/-_b[l.ihsklarnerranney] = 0

{col 3}{txt}(1){res}{col 8}{bind:_b[l.adjpercapita_resid]/-_b[l.ihsklarnerranney] = 0}

{txt}{ralign 22:chi2({res:1})} =  {res}      0.13
{txt}{ralign 22:Prob > chi2} =  {res}      0.7214{txt}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * GRANGER CAUSLITY TEST *

. 
. 
. 
. test d.adjpercapita_resid  =  l.d.adjpercapita_resid  =  l2.d.adjpercapita_resid = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.adjpercapita_resid - LD.adjpercapita_resid = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} D.adjpercapita_resid - L2D.adjpercapita_resid = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 3)}{space 1} D.adjpercapita_resid = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  3,   816) ={res}    0.79
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.5013

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENEITY) *

. 
. 
. 
. test l.ihsklarnerranney = l.adjpercapita_resid = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.ihsklarnerranney - L.adjpercapita_resid = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.ihsklarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,   816) ={res}    6.86
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0011

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *

. 
. 
. 
. lincom  d.adjpercapita_resid +  l.d.adjpercapita_resid  +  l2.d.adjpercapita_resid 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.adjpercapita_resid + LD.adjpercapita_resid + L2D.adjpercapita_resid = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}ihsklarner~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0000312{col 26}{space 2} .0000563{col 37}{space 1}    0.55{col 46}{space 3}0.580{col 54}{space 4}-.0000794{col 67}{space 3} .0001418
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *

. 
. 
. 
. nlcom _b[l.adjpercapita_resid]/-_b[l.ihsklarnerranney]

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.adjpercapita_resid]/-_b[l.ihsklarnerranney]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}ihsklarner~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0000588{col 26}{space 2} .0001648{col 37}{space 1}   -0.36{col 46}{space 3}0.721{col 54}{space 4}-.0003818{col 67}{space 3} .0002643
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. // (4,3)  MODEL
{bf}{err}/{sf} is not a valid command name
{txt}{search r(199), local:r(199);}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** II.B: SOUTHERN STATES (N = 14): PRE-PARTISAN ALIGNMENT TIME PERIOD (1942 - 1980)***

. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. qui reg d.adjpercapita_resid  l.adjpercapita_resid l.klarnerranney   l.d.adjpercapita_resid d.klarnerranney  l2.d.adjpercapita_resid  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.adjpercapita_resid l2.d.klarnerranney l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified i.state_fips i.year if year <=1980 & nonsouth==0

. 
. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       490{col 27}-3408.054{col 38}-3089.829{col 49}    68{col 58} 6315.657{col 69} 6600.877
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ******INCOME EQUATION*********

. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. newey d.adjpercapita_resid  l.adjpercapita_resid l.klarnerranney   l.d.adjpercapita_resid d.klarnerranney  l2.d.adjpercapita_resid  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.adjpercapita_resid l2.d.klarnerranney l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified i.state_fips i.year if year <=1980 & nonsouth==0, lag(6) force
{txt}note: L.rep_unified omitted because of collinearity
note: LD.rep_unified omitted because of collinearity

Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       490
{txt}maximum lag: {res}6{col 49}{txt}F( 67,       422){col 67}= {res}     56.87
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}  Newey-West
{col 1}D.adjpercapita_resid{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      t{col 54}   P>|t|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 2}adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0902773{col 34}{space 2} .0343266{col 45}{space 1}   -2.63{col 54}{space 3}0.009{col 62}{space 4}-.1577497{col 75}{space 3}-.0228048
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0039451{col 34}{space 2} .9992841{col 45}{space 1}    0.00{col 54}{space 3}0.997{col 62}{space 4}-1.960249{col 75}{space 3} 1.968139
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 2}adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0052749{col 34}{space 2}  .114698{col 45}{space 1}    0.05{col 54}{space 3}0.963{col 62}{space 4}-.2201757{col 75}{space 3} .2307256
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}D1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.232135{col 34}{space 2} 2.242212{col 45}{space 1}    0.55{col 54}{space 3}0.583{col 62}{space 4} -3.17516{col 75}{space 3} 5.639429
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 2}adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0148131{col 34}{space 2}  .083526{col 45}{space 1}   -0.18{col 54}{space 3}0.859{col 62}{space 4}-.1789919{col 75}{space 3} .1493656
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .1684376{col 34}{space 2} 1.744028{col 45}{space 1}    0.10{col 54}{space 3}0.923{col 62}{space 4}-3.259626{col 75}{space 3} 3.596501
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 2}adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 16}L3D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.1447941{col 34}{space 2} .0595942{col 45}{space 1}   -2.43{col 54}{space 3}0.016{col 62}{space 4}-.2619326{col 75}{space 3}-.0276557
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.563922{col 34}{space 2} 1.796751{col 45}{space 1}    0.87{col 54}{space 3}0.385{col 62}{space 4}-1.967774{col 75}{space 3} 5.095618
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
csi_perc_cap_outlays {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 75.92076{col 34}{space 2} 243.8775{col 45}{space 1}    0.31{col 54}{space 3}0.756{col 62}{space 4}-403.4452{col 75}{space 3} 555.2867
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-274.7011{col 34}{space 2} 288.0149{col 45}{space 1}   -0.95{col 54}{space 3}0.341{col 62}{space 4}-840.8236{col 75}{space 3} 291.4214
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}right_to_work {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 65.49282{col 34}{space 2} 40.30022{col 45}{space 1}    1.63{col 54}{space 3}0.105{col 62}{space 4}-13.72135{col 75}{space 3}  144.707
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-38.90038{col 34}{space 2} 60.23103{col 45}{space 1}   -0.65{col 54}{space 3}0.519{col 62}{space 4}-157.2906{col 75}{space 3} 79.48982
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 1}csi_welf_perc_total {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-581.1985{col 34}{space 2}   299.42{col 45}{space 1}   -1.94{col 54}{space 3}0.053{col 62}{space 4}-1169.739{col 75}{space 3} 7.341959
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-181.2713{col 34}{space 2} 649.3449{col 45}{space 1}   -0.28{col 54}{space 3}0.780{col 62}{space 4}-1457.625{col 75}{space 3} 1095.082
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}nonfarm_persinc {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 282.1492{col 34}{space 2} 428.5557{col 45}{space 1}    0.66{col 54}{space 3}0.511{col 62}{space 4}-560.2204{col 75}{space 3} 1124.519
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1729.347{col 34}{space 2} 818.7456{col 45}{space 1}    2.11{col 54}{space 3}0.035{col 62}{space 4} 120.0192{col 75}{space 3} 3338.674
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 11}gov_party {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 44.20858{col 34}{space 2} 58.48479{col 45}{space 1}    0.76{col 54}{space 3}0.450{col 62}{space 4}-70.74919{col 75}{space 3} 159.1664
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-145.8071{col 34}{space 2} 39.21683{col 45}{space 1}   -3.72{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-222.8918{col 75}{space 3}-68.72249
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}dem_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -83.2298{col 34}{space 2} 58.74012{col 45}{space 1}   -1.42{col 54}{space 3}0.157{col 62}{space 4}-198.6895{col 75}{space 3} 32.22986
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 170.4899{col 34}{space 2} 45.58737{col 45}{space 1}    3.74{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 80.88328{col 75}{space 3} 260.0965
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}rep_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}        0{col 34}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}        0{col 34}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 20} {c |}
{space 10}state_fips {c |}
{space 18}5  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 59.61991{col 34}{space 2} 46.65453{col 45}{space 1}    1.28{col 54}{space 3}0.202{col 62}{space 4} -32.0843{col 75}{space 3} 151.3241
{txt}{space 17}12  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 122.0509{col 34}{space 2} 69.31744{col 45}{space 1}    1.76{col 54}{space 3}0.079{col 62}{space 4}-14.19951{col 75}{space 3} 258.3014
{txt}{space 17}13  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 74.61035{col 34}{space 2} 34.32314{col 45}{space 1}    2.17{col 54}{space 3}0.030{col 62}{space 4} 7.144736{col 75}{space 3}  142.076
{txt}{space 17}21  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 117.9837{col 34}{space 2} 82.32277{col 45}{space 1}    1.43{col 54}{space 3}0.153{col 62}{space 4}-43.83001{col 75}{space 3} 279.7975
{txt}{space 17}22  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  143.787{col 34}{space 2}   50.989{col 45}{space 1}    2.82{col 54}{space 3}0.005{col 62}{space 4} 43.56293{col 75}{space 3}  244.011
{txt}{space 17}28  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-19.81198{col 34}{space 2} 42.56168{col 45}{space 1}   -0.47{col 54}{space 3}0.642{col 62}{space 4}-103.4713{col 75}{space 3} 63.84732
{txt}{space 17}37  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 10.65324{col 34}{space 2} 43.70645{col 45}{space 1}    0.24{col 54}{space 3}0.808{col 62}{space 4}-75.25622{col 75}{space 3}  96.5627
{txt}{space 17}40  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 298.0559{col 34}{space 2} 84.14619{col 45}{space 1}    3.54{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  132.658{col 75}{space 3} 463.4537
{txt}{space 17}45  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 21.63539{col 34}{space 2} 35.30898{col 45}{space 1}    0.61{col 54}{space 3}0.540{col 62}{space 4}-47.76798{col 75}{space 3} 91.03876
{txt}{space 17}47  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 31.38895{col 34}{space 2} 57.04905{col 45}{space 1}    0.55{col 54}{space 3}0.582{col 62}{space 4}-80.74674{col 75}{space 3} 143.5246
{txt}{space 17}48  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 107.2331{col 34}{space 2} 63.26086{col 45}{space 1}    1.70{col 54}{space 3}0.091{col 62}{space 4}-17.11248{col 75}{space 3} 231.5788
{txt}{space 17}51  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 144.6006{col 34}{space 2} 68.16204{col 45}{space 1}    2.12{col 54}{space 3}0.034{col 62}{space 4} 10.62123{col 75}{space 3}   278.58
{txt}{space 17}54  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 104.4021{col 34}{space 2} 84.20547{col 45}{space 1}    1.24{col 54}{space 3}0.216{col 62}{space 4}-61.11228{col 75}{space 3} 269.9165
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 16}year {c |}
{space 15}1947  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-22.05516{col 34}{space 2} 92.06075{col 45}{space 1}   -0.24{col 54}{space 3}0.811{col 62}{space 4}-203.0099{col 75}{space 3} 158.8996
{txt}{space 15}1948  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 344.1977{col 34}{space 2} 102.1338{col 45}{space 1}    3.37{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 143.4434{col 75}{space 3}  544.952
{txt}{space 15}1949  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 96.48423{col 34}{space 2} 107.5815{col 45}{space 1}    0.90{col 54}{space 3}0.370{col 62}{space 4}-114.9781{col 75}{space 3} 307.9466
{txt}{space 15}1950  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 323.8641{col 34}{space 2} 92.06468{col 45}{space 1}    3.52{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 142.9016{col 75}{space 3} 504.8265
{txt}{space 15}1951  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 413.7965{col 34}{space 2} 79.52751{col 45}{space 1}    5.20{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 257.4771{col 75}{space 3} 570.1159
{txt}{space 15}1952  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 438.9031{col 34}{space 2} 69.18944{col 45}{space 1}    6.34{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 302.9043{col 75}{space 3}  574.902
{txt}{space 15}1953  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 416.8572{col 34}{space 2} 67.09539{col 45}{space 1}    6.21{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 284.9744{col 75}{space 3}   548.74
{txt}{space 15}1954  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 237.8966{col 34}{space 2} 64.06542{col 45}{space 1}    3.71{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 111.9695{col 75}{space 3} 363.8236
{txt}{space 15}1955  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 591.3329{col 34}{space 2} 69.74854{col 45}{space 1}    8.48{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 454.2351{col 75}{space 3} 728.4308
{txt}{space 15}1956  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 513.3418{col 34}{space 2} 80.23846{col 45}{space 1}    6.40{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  355.625{col 75}{space 3} 671.0586
{txt}{space 15}1957  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 222.6424{col 34}{space 2} 80.69648{col 45}{space 1}    2.76{col 54}{space 3}0.006{col 62}{space 4} 64.02533{col 75}{space 3} 381.2595
{txt}{space 15}1958  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 301.5679{col 34}{space 2} 73.02141{col 45}{space 1}    4.13{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 158.0369{col 75}{space 3} 445.0989
{txt}{space 15}1959  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 389.6767{col 34}{space 2} 82.09164{col 45}{space 1}    4.75{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 228.3173{col 75}{space 3} 551.0362
{txt}{space 15}1960  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 238.2943{col 34}{space 2}   84.893{col 45}{space 1}    2.81{col 54}{space 3}0.005{col 62}{space 4} 71.42847{col 75}{space 3} 405.1601
{txt}{space 15}1961  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 445.2835{col 34}{space 2} 91.27895{col 45}{space 1}    4.88{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 265.8654{col 75}{space 3} 624.7015
{txt}{space 15}1962  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 470.8634{col 34}{space 2} 84.28596{col 45}{space 1}    5.59{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 305.1908{col 75}{space 3}  636.536
{txt}{space 15}1963  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 465.1703{col 34}{space 2} 83.24189{col 45}{space 1}    5.59{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 301.5499{col 75}{space 3} 628.7906
{txt}{space 15}1964  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 545.6437{col 34}{space 2} 81.89632{col 45}{space 1}    6.66{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 384.6682{col 75}{space 3} 706.6193
{txt}{space 15}1965  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 666.2067{col 34}{space 2} 85.86379{col 45}{space 1}    7.76{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 497.4327{col 75}{space 3} 834.9807
{txt}{space 15}1966  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 588.8683{col 34}{space 2} 92.97963{col 45}{space 1}    6.33{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 406.1074{col 75}{space 3} 771.6292
{txt}{space 15}1967  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 642.3104{col 34}{space 2} 95.40162{col 45}{space 1}    6.73{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 454.7889{col 75}{space 3}  829.832
{txt}{space 15}1968  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 762.3755{col 34}{space 2} 107.2624{col 45}{space 1}    7.11{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 551.5404{col 75}{space 3} 973.2107
{txt}{space 15}1969  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 732.3653{col 34}{space 2} 115.3568{col 45}{space 1}    6.35{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 505.6197{col 75}{space 3} 959.1108
{txt}{space 15}1970  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 628.4844{col 34}{space 2} 117.7065{col 45}{space 1}    5.34{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 397.1202{col 75}{space 3} 859.8485
{txt}{space 15}1971  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 585.5871{col 34}{space 2} 127.9691{col 45}{space 1}    4.58{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 334.0509{col 75}{space 3} 837.1233
{txt}{space 15}1972  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 979.1296{col 34}{space 2} 138.2242{col 45}{space 1}    7.08{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 707.4359{col 75}{space 3} 1250.823
{txt}{space 15}1973  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 901.2672{col 34}{space 2} 143.4767{col 45}{space 1}    6.28{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 619.2493{col 75}{space 3} 1183.285
{txt}{space 15}1974  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 579.2025{col 34}{space 2} 130.9862{col 45}{space 1}    4.42{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 321.7359{col 75}{space 3} 836.6691
{txt}{space 15}1975  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 364.4385{col 34}{space 2} 149.1765{col 45}{space 1}    2.44{col 54}{space 3}0.015{col 62}{space 4} 71.21692{col 75}{space 3} 657.6601
{txt}{space 15}1976  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 906.3722{col 34}{space 2} 155.4921{col 45}{space 1}    5.83{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 600.7368{col 75}{space 3} 1212.008
{txt}{space 15}1977  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 796.4355{col 34}{space 2} 168.5743{col 45}{space 1}    4.72{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 465.0857{col 75}{space 3} 1127.785
{txt}{space 15}1978  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 866.7669{col 34}{space 2} 163.9497{col 45}{space 1}    5.29{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 544.5071{col 75}{space 3} 1189.027
{txt}{space 15}1979  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 695.5112{col 34}{space 2} 160.0838{col 45}{space 1}    4.34{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 380.8502{col 75}{space 3} 1010.172
{txt}{space 15}1980  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  352.486{col 34}{space 2} 165.8357{col 45}{space 1}    2.13{col 54}{space 3}0.034{col 62}{space 4} 26.51909{col 75}{space 3} 678.4529
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1006.199{col 34}{space 2} 457.6986{col 45}{space 1}   -2.20{col 54}{space 3}0.028{col 62}{space 4}-1905.852{col 75}{space 3}-106.5459
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. predict adjpercapita_residhatallpre if year<=1980 & nonsouth==0
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(2,849 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME ERROR CORRECTION RATE *

. 
. 
. 
. test l.adjpercapita_resid = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.adjpercapita_resid = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,   422) ={res}    6.92
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0089

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *Weak Exogeneity Tests*

. 
. 
. 
. testnl _b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.adjpercapita_resid] = 0

{col 3}{txt}(1){res}{col 8}{bind:_b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.adjpercapita_resid] = 0}

{txt}{ralign 22:chi2({res:1})} =  {res}      0.00
{txt}{ralign 22:Prob > chi2} =  {res}      0.9968{txt}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * GRANGER CAUSLITY TEST*

. 
. 
. 
. test  d.klarnerranney = l.d.klarnerranney  =  l2.d.klarnerranney = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.klarnerranney - LD.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} D.klarnerranney - L2D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 3)}{space 1} D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  3,   422) ={res}    0.27
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.8444

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENIETY)*

. 
. 
. 
. test l.adjpercapita_resid = l.klarnerranney = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.adjpercapita_resid - L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.adjpercapita_resid = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,   422) ={res}    3.46
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0323

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *

. 
. 
. 
. lincom  d.klarnerranney +  l.d.klarnerranney +  l2.d.klarnerranney 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.klarnerranney + LD.klarnerranney + L2D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}adjpercapi~d{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.964494{col 26}{space 2} 3.400334{col 37}{space 1}    0.87{col 46}{space 3}0.384{col 54}{space 4}-3.719208{col 67}{space 3} 9.648196
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *

. 
. 
. 
. nlcom _b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.adjpercapita_resid] 

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.adjpercapita_resid]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}adjpercapi~d{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0437003{col 26}{space 2}  11.0685{col 37}{space 1}    0.00{col 46}{space 3}0.997{col 54}{space 4}-21.65016{col 67}{space 3} 21.73756
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. sum klarnerranney  if adjpercapita_residhatallpre!=. & year<=1980 & nonsouth==0, detail

         {txt}Annual Ranney Measure of State Legislative
               Partisan Balance (Klarner Data)
{hline 61}
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%    {res}        0              0
{txt} 5%    {res}        0              0
{txt}10%    {res}        0              0       {txt}Obs         {res}        490
{txt}25%    {res} 1.923077              0       {txt}Sum of Wgt. {res}        490

{txt}50%    {res} 13.16667                      {txt}Mean          {res} 22.19799
                        {txt}Largest       Std. Dev.     {res} 23.77415
{txt}75%    {res} 39.39394       86.86869
{txt}90%    {res} 61.15196       89.89899       {txt}Variance      {res} 565.2102
{txt}95%    {res} 72.29412       90.90909       {txt}Skewness      {res} .9737869
{txt}99%    {res} 85.85859       90.90909       {txt}Kurtosis      {res} 2.871527

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * TOTAL/DYNAMIC MULTIPLIER & BASELINE LONG-RUN EFFECTS OF  klarnerranney ON adjpercapita_resid:  75TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF klarnerranney MINUS 25TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF klarnerranney FOR EFFECTIVE SAMPLE PERIOD *

. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. nlcom  (_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.adjpercapita_resid])* 39.39394  -  (_b[l.klarnerranney]  / - _b[l.adjpercapita_resid])* 1.923077

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}(_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.adjpercapita_resid])* 39.39394 - (_b[l.klarnerranney]  / - _b[l.adjpercapita_resid])* 1.923077

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}adjpercapi~d{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.637486{col 26}{space 2} 414.7462{col 37}{space 1}    0.00{col 46}{space 3}0.997{col 54}{space 4}  -811.25{col 67}{space 3}  814.525
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ******PARTISAN COMPETITION EQUATION*********

. 
. 
. 
. qui regress d.ihsklarnerranney  l.ihsklarnerranney l.adjpercapita_resid l.d.ihsklarnerranney d.adjpercapita_resid  l2.d.ihsklarnerranney  l.d.adjpercapita_resid  l3.d.ihsklarnerranney l2.d.adjpercapita_resid l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1 i.state_fips i.year if year <=1980 & nonsouth==0

. 
. 
. 
. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       490{col 27}-294.1032{col 38}-197.7003{col 49}    62{col 58} 519.4007{col 69} 779.4538
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. *

. 
. 
. 
. newey d.ihsklarnerranney  l.ihsklarnerranney l.adjpercapita_resid l.d.ihsklarnerranney d.adjpercapita_resid  l2.d.ihsklarnerranney  l.d.adjpercapita_resid  l3.d.ihsklarnerranney l2.d.adjpercapita_resid l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1 i.state_fips i.year if year <=1980 & nonsouth==0, lag(6) force
{txt}note: L.rep_unified omitted because of collinearity
note: LD.rep_unified omitted because of collinearity

Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       490
{txt}maximum lag: {res}6{col 49}{txt}F( 61,       428){col 67}= {res}      4.94
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 19}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 20}{c |}{col 32}  Newey-West
{col 1}D.ihsklarnerranney{col 20}{c |}      Coef.{col 32}   Std. Err.{col 44}      t{col 52}   P>|t|{col 60}     [95% Con{col 73}f. Interval]
{hline 19}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 2}ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 15}L1. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.1195108{col 32}{space 2} .0333418{col 43}{space 1}   -3.58{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4}-.1850448{col 73}{space 3}-.0539768
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 15}L1. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0001139{col 32}{space 2} .0000616{col 43}{space 1}   -1.85{col 52}{space 3}0.065{col 60}{space 4}-.0002349{col 73}{space 3} 7.07e-06
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 2}ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 15}LD. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0015829{col 32}{space 2} .0677884{col 43}{space 1}   -0.02{col 52}{space 3}0.981{col 60}{space 4}-.1348226{col 73}{space 3} .1316567
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 15}D1. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0001537{col 32}{space 2} .0001489{col 43}{space 1}   -1.03{col 52}{space 3}0.303{col 60}{space 4}-.0004464{col 73}{space 3}  .000139
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 2}ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 14}L2D. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.2558995{col 32}{space 2} .0530295{col 43}{space 1}   -4.83{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4}-.3601302{col 73}{space 3}-.1516689
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 15}LD. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}   .00017{col 32}{space 2} .0001273{col 43}{space 1}    1.34{col 52}{space 3}0.182{col 60}{space 4}-.0000801{col 73}{space 3} .0004202
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 2}ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 14}L3D. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.1107917{col 32}{space 2} .0530459{col 43}{space 1}   -2.09{col 52}{space 3}0.037{col 60}{space 4}-.2150545{col 73}{space 3}-.0065289
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 14}L2D. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0000773{col 32}{space 2} .0001307{col 43}{space 1}    0.59{col 52}{space 3}0.555{col 60}{space 4}-.0001796{col 73}{space 3} .0003341
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 9}gov_party {c |}
{space 15}L1. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0395008{col 32}{space 2} .1048433{col 43}{space 1}    0.38{col 52}{space 3}0.707{col 60}{space 4}-.1665711{col 73}{space 3} .2455727
{txt}{space 15}LD. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.1989486{col 32}{space 2} .1068365{col 43}{space 1}   -1.86{col 52}{space 3}0.063{col 60}{space 4} -.408938{col 73}{space 3} .0110409
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 7}dem_unified {c |}
{space 15}L1. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0651772{col 32}{space 2}   .11092{col 43}{space 1}    0.59{col 52}{space 3}0.557{col 60}{space 4}-.1528386{col 73}{space 3}  .283193
{txt}{space 15}LD. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  .119895{col 32}{space 2} .1164194{col 43}{space 1}    1.03{col 52}{space 3}0.304{col 60}{space 4}-.1089298{col 73}{space 3} .3487198
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 7}rep_unified {c |}
{space 15}L1. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}        0{col 32}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 15}LD. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}        0{col 32}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 18} {c |}
{space 4}electedjudges1 {c |}
{space 15}L1. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0671518{col 32}{space 2} .1191341{col 43}{space 1}    0.56{col 52}{space 3}0.573{col 60}{space 4} -.167009{col 73}{space 3} .3013125
{txt}{space 15}LD. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0178042{col 32}{space 2} .0968687{col 43}{space 1}    0.18{col 52}{space 3}0.854{col 60}{space 4}-.1725933{col 73}{space 3} .2082017
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 8}state_fips {c |}
{space 16}5  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0672716{col 32}{space 2} .1019053{col 43}{space 1}    0.66{col 52}{space 3}0.510{col 60}{space 4}-.1330255{col 73}{space 3} .2675688
{txt}{space 15}12  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .6012963{col 32}{space 2} .1796496{col 43}{space 1}    3.35{col 52}{space 3}0.001{col 60}{space 4} .2481911{col 73}{space 3} .9544016
{txt}{space 15}13  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .2940672{col 32}{space 2} .1200644{col 43}{space 1}    2.45{col 52}{space 3}0.015{col 60}{space 4}  .058078{col 73}{space 3} .5300565
{txt}{space 15}21  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .4470608{col 32}{space 2} .1619769{col 43}{space 1}    2.76{col 52}{space 3}0.006{col 60}{space 4} .1286917{col 73}{space 3}   .76543
{txt}{space 15}22  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .1024317{col 32}{space 2} .1025423{col 43}{space 1}    1.00{col 52}{space 3}0.318{col 60}{space 4}-.0991174{col 73}{space 3} .3039808
{txt}{space 15}28  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0149838{col 32}{space 2} .1042544{col 43}{space 1}   -0.14{col 52}{space 3}0.886{col 60}{space 4}-.2198981{col 73}{space 3} .1899306
{txt}{space 15}37  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .3152282{col 32}{space 2} .1286336{col 43}{space 1}    2.45{col 52}{space 3}0.015{col 60}{space 4}  .062396{col 73}{space 3} .5680604
{txt}{space 15}40  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .5157906{col 32}{space 2} .1657315{col 43}{space 1}    3.11{col 52}{space 3}0.002{col 60}{space 4} .1900416{col 73}{space 3} .8415396
{txt}{space 15}45  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .2310901{col 32}{space 2} .1614631{col 43}{space 1}    1.43{col 52}{space 3}0.153{col 60}{space 4}-.0862692{col 73}{space 3} .5484494
{txt}{space 15}47  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .4734936{col 32}{space 2} .1491808{col 43}{space 1}    3.17{col 52}{space 3}0.002{col 60}{space 4} .1802753{col 73}{space 3} .7667118
{txt}{space 15}48  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .2393745{col 32}{space 2} .1009723{col 43}{space 1}    2.37{col 52}{space 3}0.018{col 60}{space 4} .0409112{col 73}{space 3} .4378377
{txt}{space 15}51  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .6022947{col 32}{space 2} .2085468{col 43}{space 1}    2.89{col 52}{space 3}0.004{col 60}{space 4} .1923913{col 73}{space 3} 1.012198
{txt}{space 15}54  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .4792342{col 32}{space 2} .1657365{col 43}{space 1}    2.89{col 52}{space 3}0.004{col 60}{space 4} .1534755{col 73}{space 3} .8049929
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 14}year {c |}
{space 13}1947  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  .021335{col 32}{space 2} .1258881{col 43}{space 1}    0.17{col 52}{space 3}0.866{col 60}{space 4} -.226101{col 73}{space 3} .2687709
{txt}{space 13}1948  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0759347{col 32}{space 2} .1725179{col 43}{space 1}    0.44{col 52}{space 3}0.660{col 60}{space 4} -.263153{col 73}{space 3} .4150224
{txt}{space 13}1949  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} -.197769{col 32}{space 2} .1437548{col 43}{space 1}   -1.38{col 52}{space 3}0.170{col 60}{space 4}-.4803223{col 73}{space 3} .0847843
{txt}{space 13}1950  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0552091{col 32}{space 2} .1285956{col 43}{space 1}   -0.43{col 52}{space 3}0.668{col 60}{space 4}-.3079667{col 73}{space 3} .1975484
{txt}{space 13}1951  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0405476{col 32}{space 2} .2022262{col 43}{space 1}    0.20{col 52}{space 3}0.841{col 60}{space 4}-.3569325{col 73}{space 3} .4380278
{txt}{space 13}1952  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0236851{col 32}{space 2} .1117739{col 43}{space 1}   -0.21{col 52}{space 3}0.832{col 60}{space 4}-.2433792{col 73}{space 3} .1960089
{txt}{space 13}1953  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .2105269{col 32}{space 2} .1575724{col 43}{space 1}    1.34{col 52}{space 3}0.182{col 60}{space 4}-.0991851{col 73}{space 3} .5202389
{txt}{space 13}1954  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0229629{col 32}{space 2} .0967642{col 43}{space 1}    0.24{col 52}{space 3}0.813{col 60}{space 4}-.1672292{col 73}{space 3}  .213155
{txt}{space 13}1955  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .1170268{col 32}{space 2} .1746488{col 43}{space 1}    0.67{col 52}{space 3}0.503{col 60}{space 4}-.2262493{col 73}{space 3} .4603028
{txt}{space 13}1956  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0839173{col 32}{space 2} .1444845{col 43}{space 1}    0.58{col 52}{space 3}0.562{col 60}{space 4}-.2000701{col 73}{space 3} .3679048
{txt}{space 13}1957  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0632288{col 32}{space 2} .1074609{col 43}{space 1}    0.59{col 52}{space 3}0.557{col 60}{space 4}-.1479879{col 73}{space 3} .2744455
{txt}{space 13}1958  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .1044725{col 32}{space 2} .1200271{col 43}{space 1}    0.87{col 52}{space 3}0.385{col 60}{space 4}-.1314433{col 73}{space 3} .3403884
{txt}{space 13}1959  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.1878118{col 32}{space 2} .1900584{col 43}{space 1}   -0.99{col 52}{space 3}0.324{col 60}{space 4}-.5613759{col 73}{space 3} .1857523
{txt}{space 13}1960  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0532712{col 32}{space 2} .1330707{col 43}{space 1}    0.40{col 52}{space 3}0.689{col 60}{space 4}-.2082823{col 73}{space 3} .3148246
{txt}{space 13}1961  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .2110537{col 32}{space 2} .1661318{col 43}{space 1}    1.27{col 52}{space 3}0.205{col 60}{space 4} -.115482{col 73}{space 3} .5375894
{txt}{space 13}1962  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .1491749{col 32}{space 2} .1732943{col 43}{space 1}    0.86{col 52}{space 3}0.390{col 60}{space 4}-.1914389{col 73}{space 3} .4897886
{txt}{space 13}1963  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .5007557{col 32}{space 2} .1932087{col 43}{space 1}    2.59{col 52}{space 3}0.010{col 60}{space 4} .1209998{col 73}{space 3} .8805116
{txt}{space 13}1964  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .4996117{col 32}{space 2} .1901812{col 43}{space 1}    2.63{col 52}{space 3}0.009{col 60}{space 4} .1258064{col 73}{space 3} .8734171
{txt}{space 13}1965  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .2332247{col 32}{space 2} .2383149{col 43}{space 1}    0.98{col 52}{space 3}0.328{col 60}{space 4}-.2351886{col 73}{space 3} .7016379
{txt}{space 13}1966  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .6262604{col 32}{space 2} .2280581{col 43}{space 1}    2.75{col 52}{space 3}0.006{col 60}{space 4} .1780071{col 73}{space 3} 1.074514
{txt}{space 13}1967  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 1.014235{col 32}{space 2} .2752438{col 43}{space 1}    3.68{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} .4732371{col 73}{space 3} 1.555232
{txt}{space 13}1968  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .3684005{col 32}{space 2} .2712028{col 43}{space 1}    1.36{col 52}{space 3}0.175{col 60}{space 4}-.1646546{col 73}{space 3} .9014556
{txt}{space 13}1969  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .7023628{col 32}{space 2} .2523871{col 43}{space 1}    2.78{col 52}{space 3}0.006{col 60}{space 4} .2062905{col 73}{space 3} 1.198435
{txt}{space 13}1970  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .8111382{col 32}{space 2}   .26881{col 43}{space 1}    3.02{col 52}{space 3}0.003{col 60}{space 4} .2827862{col 73}{space 3}  1.33949
{txt}{space 13}1971  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .4820994{col 32}{space 2} .2308962{col 43}{space 1}    2.09{col 52}{space 3}0.037{col 60}{space 4} .0282677{col 73}{space 3} .9359311
{txt}{space 13}1972  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  .713543{col 32}{space 2} .3138643{col 43}{space 1}    2.27{col 52}{space 3}0.023{col 60}{space 4} .0966357{col 73}{space 3}  1.33045
{txt}{space 13}1973  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .7825905{col 32}{space 2} .2941199{col 43}{space 1}    2.66{col 52}{space 3}0.008{col 60}{space 4} .2044914{col 73}{space 3}  1.36069
{txt}{space 13}1974  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .5631896{col 32}{space 2} .2722259{col 43}{space 1}    2.07{col 52}{space 3}0.039{col 60}{space 4} .0281236{col 73}{space 3} 1.098256
{txt}{space 13}1975  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .3542851{col 32}{space 2} .3279458{col 43}{space 1}    1.08{col 52}{space 3}0.281{col 60}{space 4}-.2902995{col 73}{space 3} .9988698
{txt}{space 13}1976  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .6996526{col 32}{space 2} .3271179{col 43}{space 1}    2.14{col 52}{space 3}0.033{col 60}{space 4} .0566951{col 73}{space 3}  1.34261
{txt}{space 13}1977  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .7595281{col 32}{space 2} .4173103{col 43}{space 1}    1.82{col 52}{space 3}0.069{col 60}{space 4}-.0607046{col 73}{space 3} 1.579761
{txt}{space 13}1978  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .6442757{col 32}{space 2} .3231959{col 43}{space 1}    1.99{col 52}{space 3}0.047{col 60}{space 4} .0090269{col 73}{space 3} 1.279524
{txt}{space 13}1979  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .8516965{col 32}{space 2} .3272825{col 43}{space 1}    2.60{col 52}{space 3}0.010{col 60}{space 4} .2084155{col 73}{space 3} 1.494977
{txt}{space 13}1980  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .7526961{col 32}{space 2} .3058669{col 43}{space 1}    2.46{col 52}{space 3}0.014{col 60}{space 4} .1515079{col 73}{space 3} 1.353884
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 13}_cons {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.8576622{col 32}{space 2} .4268793{col 43}{space 1}   -2.01{col 52}{space 3}0.045{col 60}{space 4}-1.696703{col 73}{space 3}-.0186216
{txt}{hline 19}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. predict ihsklarnerranneyhatallpre if year<=1980 & nonsouth==0
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(2,849 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
.  
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION ERROR CORRECTION RATE *

. 
. 
. 
. test l.ihsklarnerranney = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.ihsklarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,   428) ={res}   12.85
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0004

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *Weak Exogeneity Tests*

. 
. 
. 
. testnl _b[l.adjpercapita_resid]/-_b[l.ihsklarnerranney] = 0

{col 3}{txt}(1){res}{col 8}{bind:_b[l.adjpercapita_resid]/-_b[l.ihsklarnerranney] = 0}

{txt}{ralign 22:chi2({res:1})} =  {res}      3.59
{txt}{ralign 22:Prob > chi2} =  {res}      0.0583{txt}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * GRANGER CAUSLITY TEST *

. 
. 
. 
. test d.adjpercapita_resid  =  l.d.adjpercapita_resid  =  l2.d.adjpercapita_resid = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.adjpercapita_resid - LD.adjpercapita_resid = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} D.adjpercapita_resid - L2D.adjpercapita_resid = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 3)}{space 1} D.adjpercapita_resid = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  3,   428) ={res}    0.97
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.4051

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENIETY)*

. 
. 
. 
. test l.ihsklarnerranney = l.adjpercapita_resid = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.ihsklarnerranney - L.adjpercapita_resid = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.ihsklarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,   428) ={res}    6.75
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0013

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *

. 
. 
. 
. lincom  d.adjpercapita_resid +  l.d.adjpercapita_resid +  l2.d.adjpercapita_resid 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.adjpercapita_resid + LD.adjpercapita_resid + L2D.adjpercapita_resid = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}ihsklarner~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0000936{col 26}{space 2} .0002546{col 37}{space 1}    0.37{col 46}{space 3}0.713{col 54}{space 4}-.0004067{col 67}{space 3}  .000594
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *

. 
. 
. 
. nlcom _b[l.adjpercapita_resid]/-_b[l.ihsklarnerranney]

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.adjpercapita_resid]/-_b[l.ihsklarnerranney]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}ihsklarner~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0009532{col 26}{space 2} .0005034{col 37}{space 1}   -1.89{col 46}{space 3}0.058{col 54}{space 4}-.0019399{col 67}{space 3} .0000334
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. sum adjpercapita_resid   if ihsklarnerranneyhatallpre!=. & year<=1980 & nonsouth==0, detail

                          {txt}Residuals
{hline 61}
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%    {res}-6781.107      -7102.316
{txt} 5%    {res}-6166.205      -7006.129
{txt}10%    {res}-5906.543      -6867.791       {txt}Obs         {res}        490
{txt}25%    {res}-5152.133       -6815.45       {txt}Sum of Wgt. {res}        490

{txt}50%    {res} -3995.22                      {txt}Mean          {res}-3709.769
                        {txt}Largest       Std. Dev.     {res} 1781.365
{txt}75%    {res}-2292.058       631.6221
{txt}90%    {res}-1228.647       662.7953       {txt}Variance      {res}  3173260
{txt}95%    {res}-629.5384       718.7048       {txt}Skewness      {res} .3710304
{txt}99%    {res}  509.912       779.0018       {txt}Kurtosis      {res} 2.222321

{com}. 
. 
. 
. *

. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * TOTAL/DYNAMIC MULTIPLIER & BASELINE LONG-RUN EFFECTS  OF  adjpercapita_resid ON ihsklarnerranney:  75TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF adjpercapita_resid MINUS 25TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF adjpercapita_resid FOR EFFECTIVE SAMPLE PERIOD 

. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. nlcom  (_b[l.adjpercapita_resid] / -_b[l.ihsklarnerranney])*8860.249   -  (_b[l.adjpercapita_resid] / -_b[l.ihsklarnerranney])*4972.713

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}(_b[l.adjpercapita_resid] / -_b[l.ihsklarnerranney])*8860.249 - (_b[l.adjpercapita_resid] / -_b[l.ihsklarnerranney])*4972.713

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}ihsklarner~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-3.705761{col 26}{space 2} 1.956908{col 37}{space 1}   -1.89{col 46}{space 3}0.058{col 54}{space 4}-7.541229{col 67}{space 3} .1297071
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
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. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

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. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

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. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

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. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

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. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. // (4,3)  MODEL
{bf}{err}/{sf} is not a valid command name
{txt}{search r(199), local:r(199);}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** II.C: SOUTHERN STATES (N = 14): POST-PARTISAN ALIGNMENT TIME PERIOD (1981 - 2010) ***

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. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

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. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

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. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. 
. 
. qui reg d.adjpercapita_resid  l.adjpercapita_resid l.klarnerranney   l.d.adjpercapita_resid d.klarnerranney  l2.d.adjpercapita_resid  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.adjpercapita_resid l2.d.klarnerranney l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work  l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified i.state_fips i.year if year >1980 & nonsouth==0

. 
. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       420{col 27}-3169.615{col 38}-3013.281{col 49}    65{col 58} 6156.563{col 69} 6419.179
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ******INCOME EQUATION*********

. 
. 
. 
. newey d.adjpercapita_resid  l.adjpercapita_resid l.klarnerranney   l.d.adjpercapita_resid d.klarnerranney  l2.d.adjpercapita_resid  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.adjpercapita_resid l2.d.klarnerranney l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work  l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified i.state_fips i.year if year >1980 & nonsouth==0, lag(5) force

{txt}Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       420
{txt}maximum lag: {res}5{col 49}{txt}F( 64,       355){col 67}= {res}     20.34
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}  Newey-West
{col 1}D.adjpercapita_resid{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      t{col 54}   P>|t|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 2}adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0446301{col 34}{space 2} .0420948{col 45}{space 1}   -1.06{col 54}{space 3}0.290{col 62}{space 4}-.1274166{col 75}{space 3} .0381564
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-3.194827{col 34}{space 2} 1.974547{col 45}{space 1}   -1.62{col 54}{space 3}0.107{col 62}{space 4}-7.078107{col 75}{space 3} .6884524
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 2}adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  .163746{col 34}{space 2}  .080768{col 45}{space 1}    2.03{col 54}{space 3}0.043{col 62}{space 4} .0049021{col 75}{space 3} .3225899
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}D1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.899535{col 34}{space 2} 3.232206{col 45}{space 1}    0.59{col 54}{space 3}0.557{col 62}{space 4}-4.457144{col 75}{space 3} 8.256214
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 2}adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.2010065{col 34}{space 2} .1420724{col 45}{space 1}   -1.41{col 54}{space 3}0.158{col 62}{space 4}-.4804159{col 75}{space 3} .0784029
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.623822{col 34}{space 2} 3.092266{col 45}{space 1}    0.53{col 54}{space 3}0.600{col 62}{space 4} -4.45764{col 75}{space 3} 7.705285
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 2}adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 16}L3D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -.058859{col 34}{space 2} .0799629{col 45}{space 1}   -0.74{col 54}{space 3}0.462{col 62}{space 4}-.2161196{col 75}{space 3} .0984016
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -2.30251{col 34}{space 2} 3.032678{col 45}{space 1}   -0.76{col 54}{space 3}0.448{col 62}{space 4}-8.266784{col 75}{space 3} 3.661763
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
csi_perc_cap_outlays {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1247.226{col 34}{space 2} 1787.058{col 45}{space 1}    0.70{col 54}{space 3}0.486{col 62}{space 4}-2267.326{col 75}{space 3} 4761.778
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 2042.745{col 34}{space 2}  1790.15{col 45}{space 1}    1.14{col 54}{space 3}0.255{col 62}{space 4}-1477.889{col 75}{space 3} 5563.378
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}right_to_work {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-215.9229{col 34}{space 2} 262.0184{col 45}{space 1}   -0.82{col 54}{space 3}0.410{col 62}{space 4}-731.2263{col 75}{space 3} 299.3805
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 299.3798{col 34}{space 2} 212.7743{col 45}{space 1}    1.41{col 54}{space 3}0.160{col 62}{space 4}-119.0767{col 75}{space 3} 717.8363
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 1}csi_welf_perc_total {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-586.0049{col 34}{space 2} 804.6689{col 45}{space 1}   -0.73{col 54}{space 3}0.467{col 62}{space 4}-2168.522{col 75}{space 3} 996.5125
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 865.3984{col 34}{space 2} 1587.208{col 45}{space 1}    0.55{col 54}{space 3}0.586{col 62}{space 4}-2256.115{col 75}{space 3} 3986.912
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}nonfarm_persinc {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-7459.648{col 34}{space 2} 7951.961{col 45}{space 1}   -0.94{col 54}{space 3}0.349{col 62}{space 4}-23098.52{col 75}{space 3} 8179.227
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 8322.493{col 34}{space 2} 5745.813{col 45}{space 1}    1.45{col 54}{space 3}0.148{col 62}{space 4}-2977.619{col 75}{space 3}  19622.6
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 11}gov_party {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-14.84821{col 34}{space 2} 63.89688{col 45}{space 1}   -0.23{col 54}{space 3}0.816{col 62}{space 4}-140.5122{col 75}{space 3} 110.8158
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 121.5803{col 34}{space 2} 91.76772{col 45}{space 1}    1.32{col 54}{space 3}0.186{col 62}{space 4}-58.89642{col 75}{space 3}  302.057
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}dem_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-9.199227{col 34}{space 2} 69.24721{col 45}{space 1}   -0.13{col 54}{space 3}0.894{col 62}{space 4}-145.3856{col 75}{space 3} 126.9871
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-111.4373{col 34}{space 2} 96.35589{col 45}{space 1}   -1.16{col 54}{space 3}0.248{col 62}{space 4}-300.9374{col 75}{space 3} 78.06288
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}rep_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-360.1812{col 34}{space 2} 167.2677{col 45}{space 1}   -2.15{col 54}{space 3}0.032{col 62}{space 4}-689.1414{col 75}{space 3}-31.22109
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 187.3016{col 34}{space 2} 155.5173{col 45}{space 1}    1.20{col 54}{space 3}0.229{col 62}{space 4}-118.5495{col 75}{space 3} 493.1526
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 10}state_fips {c |}
{space 18}5  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -138.975{col 34}{space 2} 174.7714{col 45}{space 1}   -0.80{col 54}{space 3}0.427{col 62}{space 4}-482.6925{col 75}{space 3} 204.7426
{txt}{space 17}12  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 39.19511{col 34}{space 2} 112.8147{col 45}{space 1}    0.35{col 54}{space 3}0.728{col 62}{space 4}-182.6741{col 75}{space 3} 261.0643
{txt}{space 17}13  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 17.27296{col 34}{space 2} 109.1772{col 45}{space 1}    0.16{col 54}{space 3}0.874{col 62}{space 4}-197.4424{col 75}{space 3} 231.9883
{txt}{space 17}21  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-174.1083{col 34}{space 2} 285.4032{col 45}{space 1}   -0.61{col 54}{space 3}0.542{col 62}{space 4} -735.402{col 75}{space 3} 387.1854
{txt}{space 17}22  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-29.08691{col 34}{space 2} 82.32427{col 45}{space 1}   -0.35{col 54}{space 3}0.724{col 62}{space 4}-190.9915{col 75}{space 3} 132.8177
{txt}{space 17}28  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-82.93074{col 34}{space 2} 89.54979{col 45}{space 1}   -0.93{col 54}{space 3}0.355{col 62}{space 4}-259.0455{col 75}{space 3} 93.18404
{txt}{space 17}37  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 25.99885{col 34}{space 2}  82.8568{col 45}{space 1}    0.31{col 54}{space 3}0.754{col 62}{space 4} -136.953{col 75}{space 3} 188.9507
{txt}{space 17}40  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 99.44664{col 34}{space 2} 81.78751{col 45}{space 1}    1.22{col 54}{space 3}0.225{col 62}{space 4}-61.40231{col 75}{space 3} 260.2956
{txt}{space 17}45  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 206.9877{col 34}{space 2} 95.58013{col 45}{space 1}    2.17{col 54}{space 3}0.031{col 62}{space 4} 19.01328{col 75}{space 3} 394.9622
{txt}{space 17}47  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  234.748{col 34}{space 2} 118.1199{col 45}{space 1}    1.99{col 54}{space 3}0.048{col 62}{space 4} 2.445284{col 75}{space 3} 467.0507
{txt}{space 17}48  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-450.5556{col 34}{space 2} 253.4446{col 45}{space 1}   -1.78{col 54}{space 3}0.076{col 62}{space 4}-948.9973{col 75}{space 3} 47.88613
{txt}{space 17}51  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 431.9457{col 34}{space 2} 191.0913{col 45}{space 1}    2.26{col 54}{space 3}0.024{col 62}{space 4}  56.1324{col 75}{space 3} 807.7589
{txt}{space 17}54  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-107.3649{col 34}{space 2} 260.7876{col 45}{space 1}   -0.41{col 54}{space 3}0.681{col 62}{space 4}-620.2477{col 75}{space 3}  405.518
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 16}year {c |}
{space 15}1982  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 48.37944{col 34}{space 2} 129.5374{col 45}{space 1}    0.37{col 54}{space 3}0.709{col 62}{space 4}-206.3778{col 75}{space 3} 303.1367
{txt}{space 15}1983  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 23.04495{col 34}{space 2} 143.1337{col 45}{space 1}    0.16{col 54}{space 3}0.872{col 62}{space 4}-258.4516{col 75}{space 3} 304.5414
{txt}{space 15}1984  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 434.2772{col 34}{space 2} 144.5289{col 45}{space 1}    3.00{col 54}{space 3}0.003{col 62}{space 4} 150.0367{col 75}{space 3} 718.5177
{txt}{space 15}1985  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 7.792492{col 34}{space 2} 166.5043{col 45}{space 1}    0.05{col 54}{space 3}0.963{col 62}{space 4}-319.6664{col 75}{space 3} 335.2513
{txt}{space 15}1986  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 46.20907{col 34}{space 2} 183.7261{col 45}{space 1}    0.25{col 54}{space 3}0.802{col 62}{space 4}-315.1193{col 75}{space 3} 407.5374
{txt}{space 15}1987  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 107.6392{col 34}{space 2} 164.0603{col 45}{space 1}    0.66{col 54}{space 3}0.512{col 62}{space 4}-215.0131{col 75}{space 3} 430.2916
{txt}{space 15}1988  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 282.5074{col 34}{space 2} 164.6269{col 45}{space 1}    1.72{col 54}{space 3}0.087{col 62}{space 4}-41.25932{col 75}{space 3}  606.274
{txt}{space 15}1989  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 133.1577{col 34}{space 2} 161.2295{col 45}{space 1}    0.83{col 54}{space 3}0.409{col 62}{space 4}-183.9274{col 75}{space 3} 450.2428
{txt}{space 15}1990  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-14.46987{col 34}{space 2} 169.2977{col 45}{space 1}   -0.09{col 54}{space 3}0.932{col 62}{space 4}-347.4224{col 75}{space 3} 318.4827
{txt}{space 15}1991  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-146.4299{col 34}{space 2} 161.5977{col 45}{space 1}   -0.91{col 54}{space 3}0.365{col 62}{space 4}-464.2391{col 75}{space 3} 171.3793
{txt}{space 15}1992  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 202.2818{col 34}{space 2} 165.5592{col 45}{space 1}    1.22{col 54}{space 3}0.223{col 62}{space 4}-123.3183{col 75}{space 3} 527.8819
{txt}{space 15}1993  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-222.1423{col 34}{space 2} 195.1865{col 45}{space 1}   -1.14{col 54}{space 3}0.256{col 62}{space 4}-606.0096{col 75}{space 3}  161.725
{txt}{space 15}1994  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 292.4808{col 34}{space 2} 185.4038{col 45}{space 1}    1.58{col 54}{space 3}0.116{col 62}{space 4}-72.14717{col 75}{space 3} 657.1087
{txt}{space 15}1995  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 90.95839{col 34}{space 2} 196.6308{col 45}{space 1}    0.46{col 54}{space 3}0.644{col 62}{space 4}-295.7493{col 75}{space 3} 477.6661
{txt}{space 15}1996  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  307.315{col 34}{space 2}  194.827{col 45}{space 1}    1.58{col 54}{space 3}0.116{col 62}{space 4}-75.84522{col 75}{space 3} 690.4751
{txt}{space 15}1997  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 447.4788{col 34}{space 2} 203.5723{col 45}{space 1}    2.20{col 54}{space 3}0.029{col 62}{space 4}  47.1194{col 75}{space 3} 847.8381
{txt}{space 15}1998  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 671.6928{col 34}{space 2} 221.1179{col 45}{space 1}    3.04{col 54}{space 3}0.003{col 62}{space 4} 236.8271{col 75}{space 3} 1106.559
{txt}{space 15}1999  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 191.4248{col 34}{space 2} 238.8174{col 45}{space 1}    0.80{col 54}{space 3}0.423{col 62}{space 4}  -278.25{col 75}{space 3} 661.0995
{txt}{space 15}2000  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  530.566{col 34}{space 2} 243.2883{col 45}{space 1}    2.18{col 54}{space 3}0.030{col 62}{space 4} 52.09852{col 75}{space 3} 1009.033
{txt}{space 15}2001  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 218.7023{col 34}{space 2} 261.2736{col 45}{space 1}    0.84{col 54}{space 3}0.403{col 62}{space 4}-295.1364{col 75}{space 3}  732.541
{txt}{space 15}2002  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-110.2607{col 34}{space 2} 268.2125{col 45}{space 1}   -0.41{col 54}{space 3}0.681{col 62}{space 4}-637.7459{col 75}{space 3} 417.2245
{txt}{space 15}2003  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 229.7157{col 34}{space 2} 244.3002{col 45}{space 1}    0.94{col 54}{space 3}0.348{col 62}{space 4} -250.742{col 75}{space 3} 710.1733
{txt}{space 15}2004  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 327.4127{col 34}{space 2} 296.1755{col 45}{space 1}    1.11{col 54}{space 3}0.270{col 62}{space 4}-255.0665{col 75}{space 3} 909.8919
{txt}{space 15}2005  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 341.5699{col 34}{space 2} 270.3794{col 45}{space 1}    1.26{col 54}{space 3}0.207{col 62}{space 4}-190.1769{col 75}{space 3} 873.3167
{txt}{space 15}2006  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 559.4124{col 34}{space 2} 274.7648{col 45}{space 1}    2.04{col 54}{space 3}0.042{col 62}{space 4} 19.04101{col 75}{space 3} 1099.784
{txt}{space 15}2007  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 509.5331{col 34}{space 2} 348.6577{col 45}{space 1}    1.46{col 54}{space 3}0.145{col 62}{space 4}-176.1611{col 75}{space 3} 1195.227
{txt}{space 15}2008  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 480.7936{col 34}{space 2}  305.717{col 45}{space 1}    1.57{col 54}{space 3}0.117{col 62}{space 4}-120.4505{col 75}{space 3} 1082.038
{txt}{space 15}2009  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-384.4033{col 34}{space 2} 334.2559{col 45}{space 1}   -1.15{col 54}{space 3}0.251{col 62}{space 4}-1041.774{col 75}{space 3} 272.9674
{txt}{space 15}2010  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-315.5353{col 34}{space 2} 281.9529{col 45}{space 1}   -1.12{col 54}{space 3}0.264{col 62}{space 4}-870.0432{col 75}{space 3} 238.9726
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 7742.205{col 34}{space 2} 7881.058{col 45}{space 1}    0.98{col 54}{space 3}0.327{col 62}{space 4}-7757.226{col 75}{space 3} 23241.64
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. predict adjpercapita_residhatallpost if year>1980 & nonsouth==0
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(2,919 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME ERROR CORRECTION RATE *

. 
. 
. 
. test l.adjpercapita_resid = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.adjpercapita_resid = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,   355) ={res}    1.12
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.2898

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *Weak Exogeneity Tests*

. 
. 
. 
. testnl _b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.adjpercapita_resid] = 0

{col 3}{txt}(1){res}{col 8}{bind:_b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.adjpercapita_resid] = 0}

{txt}{ralign 22:chi2({res:1})} =  {res}      0.70
{txt}{ralign 22:Prob > chi2} =  {res}      0.4039{txt}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * GRANGER CAUSLITY TEST*

. 
. 
. 
. test  d.klarnerranney = l.d.klarnerranney  =  l2.d.klarnerranney = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.klarnerranney - LD.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} D.klarnerranney - L2D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 3)}{space 1} D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  3,   355) ={res}    0.42
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.7393

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENIETY)*

. 
. 
. 
. test l.adjpercapita_resid = l.klarnerranney = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.adjpercapita_resid - L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.adjpercapita_resid = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,   355) ={res}    2.15
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.1175

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *

. 
. 
. 
. lincom  d.klarnerranney +  l.d.klarnerranney +  l2.d.klarnerranney 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.klarnerranney + LD.klarnerranney + L2D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}adjpercapi~d{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.220847{col 26}{space 2} 5.323475{col 37}{space 1}    0.23{col 46}{space 3}0.819{col 54}{space 4}-9.248667{col 67}{space 3} 11.69036
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *

. 
. 
. 
. nlcom _b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.adjpercapita_resid] 

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.adjpercapita_resid]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}adjpercapi~d{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-71.58462{col 26}{space 2} 85.75602{col 37}{space 1}   -0.83{col 46}{space 3}0.404{col 54}{space 4}-239.6633{col 67}{space 3} 96.49408
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. sum klarnerranney adjpercapita_resid  if adjpercapita_residhatallpost!=. & year>1980 & nonsouth==0, detail

         {txt}Annual Ranney Measure of State Legislative
               Partisan Balance (Klarner Data)
{hline 61}
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%    {res}  9.52381       4.761905
{txt} 5%    {res} 20.42857       4.761905
{txt}10%    {res} 26.88235        9.52381       {txt}Obs         {res}        420
{txt}25%    {res} 46.58065        9.52381       {txt}Sum of Wgt. {res}        420

{txt}50%    {res} 65.38146                      {txt}Mean          {res} 63.07963
                        {txt}Largest       Std. Dev.     {res} 24.28337
{txt}75%    {res} 83.33333        99.6129
{txt}90%    {res} 93.36551       99.82796       {txt}Variance      {res}  589.682
{txt}95%    {res}     97.5       99.82796       {txt}Skewness      {res}-.4392186
{txt}99%    {res}  99.6129            100       {txt}Kurtosis      {res} 2.245943

                          {txt}Residuals
{hline 61}
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%    {res}-5337.991      -9185.126
{txt} 5%    {res}-2128.613      -6861.349
{txt}10%    {res}-1329.003      -5532.735       {txt}Obs         {res}        420
{txt}25%    {res}-18.70654      -5504.629       {txt}Sum of Wgt. {res}        420

{txt}50%    {res} 1188.369                      {txt}Mean          {res} 1072.016
                        {txt}Largest       Std. Dev.     {res} 2047.274
{txt}75%    {res}  2181.42       7335.057
{txt}90%    {res} 3033.018       7809.452       {txt}Variance      {res}  4191333
{txt}95%    {res} 4021.916       7938.637       {txt}Skewness      {res}-.2832316
{txt}99%    {res} 7209.374       8178.622       {txt}Kurtosis      {res} 6.156225

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * TOTAL/DYNAMIC MULTIPLIER & BASELINE LONG-RUN EFFECTS OF klarnerranney ON adjpercapita_resid:  75TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF klarnerranney MINUS 25TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF klarnerranney FOR EFFECTIVE SAMPLE PERIOD *

. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. nlcom  (_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.adjpercapita_resid])*83.33333  -  (_b[l.klarnerranney]  / - _b[l.adjpercapita_resid])*46.58065 

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}(_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.adjpercapita_resid])*83.33333 - (_b[l.klarnerranney]  / - _b[l.adjpercapita_resid])*46.58065

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}adjpercapi~d{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2630.927{col 26}{space 2} 3151.763{col 37}{space 1}   -0.83{col 46}{space 3}0.404{col 54}{space 4}-8808.269{col 67}{space 3} 3546.416
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
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. 
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. 
. 
. 
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. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. 
. 
. qui reg d.klarnerranney  l.klarnerranney l.adjpercapita_resid l.d.klarnerranney d.adjpercapita_resid  l2.d.klarnerranney  l.d.adjpercapita_resid  l3.d.klarnerranney l2.d.adjpercapita_resid l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1 i.state_fips i.year if year >1980 & nonsouth==0

. 
. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       420{col 27}-1391.884{col 38}-1297.298{col 49}    59{col 58} 2712.596{col 69} 2950.971
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ******PARTISAN COMPETITION EQUATION*********

. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. newey d.klarnerranney  l.klarnerranney l.adjpercapita_resid l.d.klarnerranney d.adjpercapita_resid  l2.d.klarnerranney  l.d.adjpercapita_resid  l3.d.klarnerranney l2.d.adjpercapita_resid l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1 i.state_fips i.year if year >1980 & nonsouth==0, lag(5) force

{txt}Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       420
{txt}maximum lag: {res}5{col 49}{txt}F( 58,       361){col 67}= {res}      3.72
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 19}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 20}{c |}{col 32}  Newey-West
{col 1}   D.klarnerranney{col 20}{c |}      Coef.{col 32}   Std. Err.{col 44}      t{col 52}   P>|t|{col 60}     [95% Con{col 73}f. Interval]
{hline 19}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 15}L1. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.2048611{col 32}{space 2} .0309622{col 43}{space 1}   -6.62{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4}  -.26575{col 73}{space 3}-.1439722
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 15}L1. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  .000598{col 32}{space 2} .0003604{col 43}{space 1}    1.66{col 52}{space 3}0.098{col 60}{space 4}-.0001107{col 73}{space 3} .0013068
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 5}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 15}LD. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0081505{col 32}{space 2} .0428101{col 43}{space 1}    0.19{col 52}{space 3}0.849{col 60}{space 4}-.0760379{col 73}{space 3} .0923389
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 15}D1. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0005421{col 32}{space 2} .0009159{col 43}{space 1}    0.59{col 52}{space 3}0.554{col 60}{space 4}-.0012591{col 73}{space 3} .0023432
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 5}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 14}L2D. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0390778{col 32}{space 2} .0672998{col 43}{space 1}    0.58{col 52}{space 3}0.562{col 60}{space 4}-.0932711{col 73}{space 3} .1714268
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 15}LD. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0007985{col 32}{space 2} .0011271{col 43}{space 1}    0.71{col 52}{space 3}0.479{col 60}{space 4}-.0014179{col 73}{space 3} .0030149
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 5}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 14}L3D. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0212626{col 32}{space 2} .0438742{col 43}{space 1}    0.48{col 52}{space 3}0.628{col 60}{space 4}-.0650185{col 73}{space 3} .1075437
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 14}L2D. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0002802{col 32}{space 2} .0010194{col 43}{space 1}   -0.27{col 52}{space 3}0.784{col 60}{space 4}-.0022848{col 73}{space 3} .0017245
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 9}gov_party {c |}
{space 15}L1. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-5.186661{col 32}{space 2} 1.210181{col 43}{space 1}   -4.29{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4}-7.566551{col 73}{space 3} -2.80677
{txt}{space 15}LD. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  2.64549{col 32}{space 2}  1.56744{col 43}{space 1}    1.69{col 52}{space 3}0.092{col 60}{space 4}-.4369688{col 73}{space 3}  5.72795
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 7}dem_unified {c |}
{space 15}L1. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 5.640699{col 32}{space 2} 1.501001{col 43}{space 1}    3.76{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 2.688894{col 73}{space 3} 8.592504
{txt}{space 15}LD. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-3.266175{col 32}{space 2} 1.573782{col 43}{space 1}   -2.08{col 52}{space 3}0.039{col 60}{space 4}-6.361107{col 73}{space 3}-.1712439
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 7}rep_unified {c |}
{space 15}L1. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-6.855058{col 32}{space 2}  2.26709{col 43}{space 1}   -3.02{col 52}{space 3}0.003{col 60}{space 4}-11.31342{col 73}{space 3}-2.396696
{txt}{space 15}LD. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  4.81791{col 32}{space 2} 1.733567{col 43}{space 1}    2.78{col 52}{space 3}0.006{col 60}{space 4} 1.408752{col 73}{space 3} 8.227068
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 4}electedjudges1 {c |}
{space 15}L1. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 4.627256{col 32}{space 2} 1.369569{col 43}{space 1}    3.38{col 52}{space 3}0.001{col 60}{space 4}  1.93392{col 73}{space 3} 7.320591
{txt}{space 15}LD. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-1.566962{col 32}{space 2} 2.762696{col 43}{space 1}   -0.57{col 52}{space 3}0.571{col 60}{space 4}-6.999962{col 73}{space 3} 3.866038
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 8}state_fips {c |}
{space 16}5  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-3.349306{col 32}{space 2} 1.583641{col 43}{space 1}   -2.11{col 52}{space 3}0.035{col 60}{space 4}-6.463628{col 73}{space 3} -.234985
{txt}{space 15}12  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  11.2245{col 32}{space 2} 2.472581{col 43}{space 1}    4.54{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 6.362029{col 73}{space 3} 16.08697
{txt}{space 15}13  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 2.066412{col 32}{space 2} 1.195547{col 43}{space 1}    1.73{col 52}{space 3}0.085{col 60}{space 4}-.2846996{col 73}{space 3} 4.417524
{txt}{space 15}21  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 4.640055{col 32}{space 2} 1.190112{col 43}{space 1}    3.90{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 2.299631{col 73}{space 3} 6.980479
{txt}{space 15}22  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0235808{col 32}{space 2} 1.248107{col 43}{space 1}    0.02{col 52}{space 3}0.985{col 60}{space 4}-2.430892{col 73}{space 3} 2.478054
{txt}{space 15}28  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .5710975{col 32}{space 2} 1.185361{col 43}{space 1}    0.48{col 52}{space 3}0.630{col 60}{space 4}-1.759983{col 73}{space 3} 2.902177
{txt}{space 15}37  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 4.156479{col 32}{space 2} 1.448024{col 43}{space 1}    2.87{col 52}{space 3}0.004{col 60}{space 4} 1.308856{col 73}{space 3} 7.004102
{txt}{space 15}40  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  5.74631{col 32}{space 2} 1.712705{col 43}{space 1}    3.36{col 52}{space 3}0.001{col 60}{space 4} 2.378178{col 73}{space 3} 9.114442
{txt}{space 15}45  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 10.24608{col 32}{space 2} 2.177383{col 43}{space 1}    4.71{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 5.964128{col 73}{space 3} 14.52803
{txt}{space 15}47  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 7.113129{col 32}{space 2} 1.844877{col 43}{space 1}    3.86{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 3.485073{col 73}{space 3} 10.74119
{txt}{space 15}48  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 7.816647{col 32}{space 2} 1.613361{col 43}{space 1}    4.84{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 4.643879{col 73}{space 3} 10.98941
{txt}{space 15}51  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 8.744437{col 32}{space 2} 2.586824{col 43}{space 1}    3.38{col 52}{space 3}0.001{col 60}{space 4}   3.6573{col 73}{space 3} 13.83157
{txt}{space 15}54  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-3.403797{col 32}{space 2} 1.480483{col 43}{space 1}   -2.30{col 52}{space 3}0.022{col 60}{space 4}-6.315251{col 73}{space 3}-.4923425
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 14}year {c |}
{space 13}1982  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-3.155807{col 32}{space 2} 1.914944{col 43}{space 1}   -1.65{col 52}{space 3}0.100{col 60}{space 4}-6.921654{col 73}{space 3}   .61004
{txt}{space 13}1983  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-6.334771{col 32}{space 2} 3.028976{col 43}{space 1}   -2.09{col 52}{space 3}0.037{col 60}{space 4}-12.29143{col 73}{space 3}-.3781163
{txt}{space 13}1984  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-4.127656{col 32}{space 2}  1.85287{col 43}{space 1}   -2.23{col 52}{space 3}0.027{col 60}{space 4} -7.77143{col 73}{space 3}-.4838814
{txt}{space 13}1985  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 4.309004{col 32}{space 2} 2.791114{col 43}{space 1}    1.54{col 52}{space 3}0.124{col 60}{space 4} -1.17988{col 73}{space 3} 9.797888
{txt}{space 13}1986  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-2.618918{col 32}{space 2} 1.939133{col 43}{space 1}   -1.35{col 52}{space 3}0.178{col 60}{space 4}-6.432334{col 73}{space 3} 1.194498
{txt}{space 13}1987  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .6698443{col 32}{space 2} 2.405615{col 43}{space 1}    0.28{col 52}{space 3}0.781{col 60}{space 4}-4.060936{col 73}{space 3} 5.400624
{txt}{space 13}1988  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-2.095151{col 32}{space 2} 1.782838{col 43}{space 1}   -1.18{col 52}{space 3}0.241{col 60}{space 4}-5.601204{col 73}{space 3} 1.410903
{txt}{space 13}1989  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .7867687{col 32}{space 2} 2.258195{col 43}{space 1}    0.35{col 52}{space 3}0.728{col 60}{space 4}  -3.6541{col 73}{space 3} 5.227638
{txt}{space 13}1990  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.3296014{col 32}{space 2} 1.838233{col 43}{space 1}   -0.18{col 52}{space 3}0.858{col 60}{space 4}-3.944591{col 73}{space 3} 3.285389
{txt}{space 13}1991  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .1874738{col 32}{space 2} 1.965448{col 43}{space 1}    0.10{col 52}{space 3}0.924{col 60}{space 4}-3.677692{col 73}{space 3} 4.052639
{txt}{space 13}1992  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 1.677199{col 32}{space 2} 2.324524{col 43}{space 1}    0.72{col 52}{space 3}0.471{col 60}{space 4}-2.894111{col 73}{space 3} 6.248509
{txt}{space 13}1993  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 3.344811{col 32}{space 2} 2.315773{col 43}{space 1}    1.44{col 52}{space 3}0.150{col 60}{space 4}-1.209289{col 73}{space 3} 7.898911
{txt}{space 13}1994  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}   2.1221{col 32}{space 2} 1.880182{col 43}{space 1}    1.13{col 52}{space 3}0.260{col 60}{space 4}-1.575384{col 73}{space 3} 5.819585
{txt}{space 13}1995  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 14.02058{col 32}{space 2} 3.359731{col 43}{space 1}    4.17{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4}  7.41348{col 73}{space 3} 20.62769
{txt}{space 13}1996  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 6.834379{col 32}{space 2} 2.942256{col 43}{space 1}    2.32{col 52}{space 3}0.021{col 60}{space 4} 1.048264{col 73}{space 3} 12.62049
{txt}{space 13}1997  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 5.224194{col 32}{space 2} 2.370714{col 43}{space 1}    2.20{col 52}{space 3}0.028{col 60}{space 4} .5620489{col 73}{space 3} 9.886338
{txt}{space 13}1998  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 4.293653{col 32}{space 2} 2.278792{col 43}{space 1}    1.88{col 52}{space 3}0.060{col 60}{space 4}-.1877212{col 73}{space 3} 8.775027
{txt}{space 13}1999  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 2.415453{col 32}{space 2} 2.792464{col 43}{space 1}    0.86{col 52}{space 3}0.388{col 60}{space 4}-3.076086{col 73}{space 3} 7.906993
{txt}{space 13}2000  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 4.794934{col 32}{space 2} 2.281048{col 43}{space 1}    2.10{col 52}{space 3}0.036{col 60}{space 4} .3091237{col 73}{space 3} 9.280744
{txt}{space 13}2001  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 6.769429{col 32}{space 2} 2.736182{col 43}{space 1}    2.47{col 52}{space 3}0.014{col 60}{space 4} 1.388572{col 73}{space 3} 12.15029
{txt}{space 13}2002  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  4.87991{col 32}{space 2} 2.284872{col 43}{space 1}    2.14{col 52}{space 3}0.033{col 60}{space 4} .3865786{col 73}{space 3} 9.373242
{txt}{space 13}2003  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 8.949442{col 32}{space 2} 3.427645{col 43}{space 1}    2.61{col 52}{space 3}0.009{col 60}{space 4} 2.208782{col 73}{space 3}  15.6901
{txt}{space 13}2004  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 6.894856{col 32}{space 2} 2.434419{col 43}{space 1}    2.83{col 52}{space 3}0.005{col 60}{space 4} 2.107432{col 73}{space 3} 11.68228
{txt}{space 13}2005  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  8.02291{col 32}{space 2} 2.900494{col 43}{space 1}    2.77{col 52}{space 3}0.006{col 60}{space 4} 2.318923{col 73}{space 3}  13.7269
{txt}{space 13}2006  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 7.217501{col 32}{space 2} 2.584297{col 43}{space 1}    2.79{col 52}{space 3}0.006{col 60}{space 4} 2.135333{col 73}{space 3} 12.29967
{txt}{space 13}2007  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 7.581113{col 32}{space 2} 3.133114{col 43}{space 1}    2.42{col 52}{space 3}0.016{col 60}{space 4} 1.419664{col 73}{space 3} 13.74256
{txt}{space 13}2008  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 8.874923{col 32}{space 2} 3.146223{col 43}{space 1}    2.82{col 52}{space 3}0.005{col 60}{space 4} 2.687694{col 73}{space 3} 15.06215
{txt}{space 13}2009  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 7.884413{col 32}{space 2} 2.952434{col 43}{space 1}    2.67{col 52}{space 3}0.008{col 60}{space 4} 2.078284{col 73}{space 3} 13.69054
{txt}{space 13}2010  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 7.836028{col 32}{space 2} 4.193039{col 43}{space 1}    1.87{col 52}{space 3}0.062{col 60}{space 4}-.4098236{col 73}{space 3} 16.08188
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 13}_cons {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 3.308909{col 32}{space 2} 2.191277{col 43}{space 1}    1.51{col 52}{space 3}0.132{col 60}{space 4}-1.000362{col 73}{space 3} 7.618181
{txt}{hline 19}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. predict klarnerranneyhatallpost if year>1980 & nonsouth==0
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(2,919 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *

. 
.  
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION ERROR CORRECTION RATE *

. 
. 
. 
. test l.klarnerranney = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,   361) ={res}   43.78
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0000

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *Weak Exogeneity Tests*

. 
. 
. 
. testnl _b[l.adjpercapita_resid]/-_b[l.klarnerranney] = 0

{col 3}{txt}(1){res}{col 8}{bind:_b[l.adjpercapita_resid]/-_b[l.klarnerranney] = 0}

{txt}{ralign 22:chi2({res:1})} =  {res}      2.54
{txt}{ralign 22:Prob > chi2} =  {res}      0.1113{txt}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * GRANGER CAUSLITY TEST *

. 
. 
. 
. test d.adjpercapita_resid  =  l.d.adjpercapita_resid  =  l2.d.adjpercapita_resid = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.adjpercapita_resid - LD.adjpercapita_resid = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} D.adjpercapita_resid - L2D.adjpercapita_resid = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 3)}{space 1} D.adjpercapita_resid = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  3,   361) ={res}    0.36
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.7854

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENIETY) *

. 
. 
. 
. test l.klarnerranney = l.adjpercapita_resid = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.klarnerranney - L.adjpercapita_resid = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,   361) ={res}   23.83
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0000

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *

. 
. 
. 
. lincom  d.adjpercapita_resid +  l.d.adjpercapita_resid +  l2.d.adjpercapita_resid 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.adjpercapita_resid + LD.adjpercapita_resid + L2D.adjpercapita_resid = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}klarnerran~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0010604{col 26}{space 2} .0019988{col 37}{space 1}    0.53{col 46}{space 3}0.596{col 54}{space 4}-.0028704{col 67}{space 3} .0049911
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *

. 
. 
. 
. nlcom _b[l.adjpercapita_resid]/-_b[l.klarnerranney]

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.adjpercapita_resid]/-_b[l.klarnerranney]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}klarnerran~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0029193{col 26}{space 2} .0018335{col 37}{space 1}    1.59{col 46}{space 3}0.111{col 54}{space 4}-.0006744{col 67}{space 3} .0065129
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. sum adjpercapita_resid  if klarnerranneyhatallpost !=. & year > 1980 & nonsouth==0, detail

                          {txt}Residuals
{hline 61}
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%    {res}-5337.991      -9185.126
{txt} 5%    {res}-2128.613      -6861.349
{txt}10%    {res}-1329.003      -5532.735       {txt}Obs         {res}        420
{txt}25%    {res}-18.70654      -5504.629       {txt}Sum of Wgt. {res}        420

{txt}50%    {res} 1188.369                      {txt}Mean          {res} 1072.016
                        {txt}Largest       Std. Dev.     {res} 2047.274
{txt}75%    {res}  2181.42       7335.057
{txt}90%    {res} 3033.018       7809.452       {txt}Variance      {res}  4191333
{txt}95%    {res} 4021.916       7938.637       {txt}Skewness      {res}-.2832316
{txt}99%    {res} 7209.374       8178.622       {txt}Kurtosis      {res} 6.156225

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * TOTAL/DYNAMIC MULTIPLIER & BASELINE LONG-RUN EFFECTS OF  adjpercapita_resid ON klarnerranney:  75TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF adjpercapita_resid MINUS 25TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF adjpercapita_resid FOR EFFECTIVE SAMPLE PERIOD 

. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. nlcom  (_b[l.adjpercapita_resid] / -_b[l.klarnerranney])*15294.64   -  (_b[l.adjpercapita_resid] / - _b[l.klarnerranney])*11966

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}(_b[l.adjpercapita_resid] / -_b[l.klarnerranney])*15294.64 - (_b[l.adjpercapita_resid] / - _b[l.klarnerranney])*11966

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}klarnerran~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 9.717214{col 26}{space 2} 6.103123{col 37}{space 1}    1.59{col 46}{space 3}0.111{col 54}{space 4}-2.244687{col 67}{space 3} 21.67912
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. restore 

. 
. ******************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************

. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. preserve

. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. //(4,3)  MODEL
{bf}{err}/{sf} is not a valid command name
{txt}{search r(199), local:r(199);}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** III.A: NEW SOUTH STATES (N = 5): FULL TIME PERIOD (1942 -2010) ***

. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. 
. 
. qui reg d.adjpercapita_resid  l.adjpercapita_resid l.klarnerranney   l.d.adjpercapita_resid d.klarnerranney  l2.d.adjpercapita_resid  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.adjpercapita_resid l2.d.klarnerranney l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work  l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified i.state_fips i.year if newsouth==1

. 
. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       325{col 27}-2459.412{col 38}-2258.733{col 49}    91{col 58} 4699.465{col 69} 5043.793
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ******INCOME EQUATION*********

. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. newey d.adjpercapita_resid  l.adjpercapita_resid l.klarnerranney   l.d.adjpercapita_resid d.klarnerranney  l2.d.adjpercapita_resid  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.adjpercapita_resid l2.d.klarnerranney l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work  l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified i.state_fips i.year if newsouth==1, lag(8) force

{txt}Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       325
{txt}maximum lag: {res}8{col 49}{txt}F( 90,       234){col 67}= {res}     69.50
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}  Newey-West
{col 1}D.adjpercapita_resid{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      t{col 54}   P>|t|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 2}adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0178563{col 34}{space 2} .0254163{col 45}{space 1}    0.70{col 54}{space 3}0.483{col 62}{space 4}-.0322177{col 75}{space 3} .0679303
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-5.521282{col 34}{space 2} 2.554187{col 45}{space 1}   -2.16{col 54}{space 3}0.032{col 62}{space 4}-10.55342{col 75}{space 3}-.4891405
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 2}adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0049991{col 34}{space 2} .0715208{col 45}{space 1}    0.07{col 54}{space 3}0.944{col 62}{space 4}-.1359079{col 75}{space 3} .1459061
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}D1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 2.530429{col 34}{space 2} 2.376418{col 45}{space 1}    1.06{col 54}{space 3}0.288{col 62}{space 4}-2.151479{col 75}{space 3} 7.212338
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 2}adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.2106134{col 34}{space 2} .1418924{col 45}{space 1}   -1.48{col 54}{space 3}0.139{col 62}{space 4}-.4901632{col 75}{space 3} .0689363
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 5.399866{col 34}{space 2} 2.689995{col 45}{space 1}    2.01{col 54}{space 3}0.046{col 62}{space 4} .1001623{col 75}{space 3} 10.69957
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 2}adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 16}L3D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0993186{col 34}{space 2} .1014203{col 45}{space 1}   -0.98{col 54}{space 3}0.328{col 62}{space 4}-.2991322{col 75}{space 3}  .100495
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 4.556794{col 34}{space 2} 2.352072{col 45}{space 1}    1.94{col 54}{space 3}0.054{col 62}{space 4}-.0771482{col 75}{space 3} 9.190737
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
csi_perc_cap_outlays {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 53.17911{col 34}{space 2} 663.7517{col 45}{space 1}    0.08{col 54}{space 3}0.936{col 62}{space 4}-1254.514{col 75}{space 3} 1360.872
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1090.936{col 34}{space 2} 907.4707{col 45}{space 1}   -1.20{col 54}{space 3}0.231{col 62}{space 4}-2878.793{col 75}{space 3} 696.9207
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}right_to_work {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 4.876496{col 34}{space 2} 87.13855{col 45}{space 1}    0.06{col 54}{space 3}0.955{col 62}{space 4}-166.7998{col 75}{space 3} 176.5528
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 312.1563{col 34}{space 2} 136.2914{col 45}{space 1}    2.29{col 54}{space 3}0.023{col 62}{space 4} 43.64138{col 75}{space 3} 580.6713
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 1}csi_welf_perc_total {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 569.7361{col 34}{space 2} 743.3779{col 45}{space 1}    0.77{col 54}{space 3}0.444{col 62}{space 4}-894.8326{col 75}{space 3} 2034.305
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -6728.09{col 34}{space 2} 2149.162{col 45}{space 1}   -3.13{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4}-10962.27{col 75}{space 3}-2493.911
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}nonfarm_persinc {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-2565.239{col 34}{space 2} 1481.308{col 45}{space 1}   -1.73{col 54}{space 3}0.085{col 62}{space 4}-5483.644{col 75}{space 3} 353.1654
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 5600.611{col 34}{space 2} 1247.774{col 45}{space 1}    4.49{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 3142.304{col 75}{space 3} 8058.918
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 11}gov_party {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 73.39094{col 34}{space 2} 100.7772{col 45}{space 1}    0.73{col 54}{space 3}0.467{col 62}{space 4}-125.1555{col 75}{space 3} 271.9374
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 66.24638{col 34}{space 2} 178.6311{col 45}{space 1}    0.37{col 54}{space 3}0.711{col 62}{space 4}-285.6844{col 75}{space 3} 418.1772
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}dem_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-105.3398{col 34}{space 2} 82.82775{col 45}{space 1}   -1.27{col 54}{space 3}0.205{col 62}{space 4}-268.5232{col 75}{space 3} 57.84363
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-75.09798{col 34}{space 2} 152.5168{col 45}{space 1}   -0.49{col 54}{space 3}0.623{col 62}{space 4}-375.5795{col 75}{space 3} 225.3836
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}rep_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-134.4068{col 34}{space 2}  243.314{col 45}{space 1}   -0.55{col 54}{space 3}0.581{col 62}{space 4}-613.7727{col 75}{space 3} 344.9592
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 101.4902{col 34}{space 2}  201.127{col 45}{space 1}    0.50{col 54}{space 3}0.614{col 62}{space 4}-294.7609{col 75}{space 3} 497.7413
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 10}state_fips {c |}
{space 17}13  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-70.43002{col 34}{space 2} 88.46571{col 45}{space 1}   -0.80{col 54}{space 3}0.427{col 62}{space 4}-244.7211{col 75}{space 3}  103.861
{txt}{space 17}37  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-19.71228{col 34}{space 2} 95.05469{col 45}{space 1}   -0.21{col 54}{space 3}0.836{col 62}{space 4}-206.9846{col 75}{space 3} 167.5601
{txt}{space 17}48  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -189.802{col 34}{space 2} 134.5902{col 45}{space 1}   -1.41{col 54}{space 3}0.160{col 62}{space 4}-454.9654{col 75}{space 3} 75.36142
{txt}{space 17}51  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 178.0328{col 34}{space 2} 84.55846{col 45}{space 1}    2.11{col 54}{space 3}0.036{col 62}{space 4} 11.43964{col 75}{space 3} 344.6259
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 16}year {c |}
{space 15}1947  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-158.7238{col 34}{space 2} 121.0192{col 45}{space 1}   -1.31{col 54}{space 3}0.191{col 62}{space 4}-397.1502{col 75}{space 3} 79.70265
{txt}{space 15}1948  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-37.98772{col 34}{space 2} 161.6147{col 45}{space 1}   -0.24{col 54}{space 3}0.814{col 62}{space 4}-356.3934{col 75}{space 3}  280.418
{txt}{space 15}1949  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 130.9935{col 34}{space 2} 164.4461{col 45}{space 1}    0.80{col 54}{space 3}0.427{col 62}{space 4}-192.9906{col 75}{space 3} 454.9775
{txt}{space 15}1950  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 621.4547{col 34}{space 2} 146.6975{col 45}{space 1}    4.24{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 332.4381{col 75}{space 3} 910.4712
{txt}{space 15}1951  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 445.3547{col 34}{space 2} 147.7851{col 45}{space 1}    3.01{col 54}{space 3}0.003{col 62}{space 4} 154.1953{col 75}{space 3}  736.514
{txt}{space 15}1952  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 553.3859{col 34}{space 2} 144.5719{col 45}{space 1}    3.83{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  268.557{col 75}{space 3} 838.2147
{txt}{space 15}1953  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}   357.91{col 34}{space 2} 126.8984{col 45}{space 1}    2.82{col 54}{space 3}0.005{col 62}{space 4} 107.9006{col 75}{space 3} 607.9193
{txt}{space 15}1954  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 377.3349{col 34}{space 2} 116.4546{col 45}{space 1}    3.24{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 147.9015{col 75}{space 3} 606.7683
{txt}{space 15}1955  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 774.5216{col 34}{space 2} 121.9636{col 45}{space 1}    6.35{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 534.2346{col 75}{space 3} 1014.809
{txt}{space 15}1956  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 580.3181{col 34}{space 2} 139.6702{col 45}{space 1}    4.15{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 305.1464{col 75}{space 3} 855.4898
{txt}{space 15}1957  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 261.7958{col 34}{space 2} 142.7995{col 45}{space 1}    1.83{col 54}{space 3}0.068{col 62}{space 4}-19.54112{col 75}{space 3} 543.1327
{txt}{space 15}1958  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 412.1456{col 34}{space 2} 147.1301{col 45}{space 1}    2.80{col 54}{space 3}0.006{col 62}{space 4} 122.2767{col 75}{space 3} 702.0145
{txt}{space 15}1959  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 513.9144{col 34}{space 2}  160.335{col 45}{space 1}    3.21{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4} 198.0299{col 75}{space 3} 829.7989
{txt}{space 15}1960  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 317.4844{col 34}{space 2}  157.818{col 45}{space 1}    2.01{col 54}{space 3}0.045{col 62}{space 4} 6.558738{col 75}{space 3} 628.4101
{txt}{space 15}1961  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  616.173{col 34}{space 2}  156.716{col 45}{space 1}    3.93{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 307.4183{col 75}{space 3} 924.9277
{txt}{space 15}1962  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 590.5593{col 34}{space 2} 151.9568{col 45}{space 1}    3.89{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  291.181{col 75}{space 3} 889.9376
{txt}{space 15}1963  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 599.1541{col 34}{space 2}  147.294{col 45}{space 1}    4.07{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 308.9622{col 75}{space 3}  889.346
{txt}{space 15}1964  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 711.5771{col 34}{space 2} 153.5424{col 45}{space 1}    4.63{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  409.075{col 75}{space 3} 1014.079
{txt}{space 15}1965  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 793.6301{col 34}{space 2} 169.8419{col 45}{space 1}    4.67{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 459.0154{col 75}{space 3} 1128.245
{txt}{space 15}1966  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 740.6983{col 34}{space 2} 172.1278{col 45}{space 1}    4.30{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 401.5801{col 75}{space 3} 1079.817
{txt}{space 15}1967  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 773.9355{col 34}{space 2} 180.0882{col 45}{space 1}    4.30{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 419.1341{col 75}{space 3} 1128.737
{txt}{space 15}1968  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 915.6484{col 34}{space 2} 199.9901{col 45}{space 1}    4.58{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 521.6372{col 75}{space 3}  1309.66
{txt}{space 15}1969  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1058.153{col 34}{space 2} 212.1616{col 45}{space 1}    4.99{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 640.1622{col 75}{space 3} 1476.144
{txt}{space 15}1970  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 818.3347{col 34}{space 2} 239.3596{col 45}{space 1}    3.42{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 346.7596{col 75}{space 3}  1289.91
{txt}{space 15}1971  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 831.4394{col 34}{space 2} 235.2257{col 45}{space 1}    3.53{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 368.0086{col 75}{space 3}  1294.87
{txt}{space 15}1972  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1245.917{col 34}{space 2}  252.581{col 45}{space 1}    4.93{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 748.2931{col 75}{space 3}  1743.54
{txt}{space 15}1973  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 939.9469{col 34}{space 2} 254.3196{col 45}{space 1}    3.70{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 438.8982{col 75}{space 3} 1440.996
{txt}{space 15}1974  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  645.086{col 34}{space 2}  260.593{col 45}{space 1}    2.48{col 54}{space 3}0.014{col 62}{space 4} 131.6778{col 75}{space 3} 1158.494
{txt}{space 15}1975  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 96.02849{col 34}{space 2} 285.3641{col 45}{space 1}    0.34{col 54}{space 3}0.737{col 62}{space 4}-466.1825{col 75}{space 3} 658.2395
{txt}{space 15}1976  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1025.777{col 34}{space 2} 273.3783{col 45}{space 1}    3.75{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 487.1799{col 75}{space 3} 1564.374
{txt}{space 15}1977  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 688.0079{col 34}{space 2} 317.3386{col 45}{space 1}    2.17{col 54}{space 3}0.031{col 62}{space 4} 62.80209{col 75}{space 3} 1313.214
{txt}{space 15}1978  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 981.7234{col 34}{space 2} 304.4921{col 45}{space 1}    3.22{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 381.8272{col 75}{space 3}  1581.62
{txt}{space 15}1979  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 700.5335{col 34}{space 2} 297.5105{col 45}{space 1}    2.35{col 54}{space 3}0.019{col 62}{space 4} 114.3921{col 75}{space 3} 1286.675
{txt}{space 15}1980  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 474.4975{col 34}{space 2} 272.5859{col 45}{space 1}    1.74{col 54}{space 3}0.083{col 62}{space 4}-62.53856{col 75}{space 3} 1011.534
{txt}{space 15}1981  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 836.3767{col 34}{space 2} 319.5688{col 45}{space 1}    2.62{col 54}{space 3}0.009{col 62}{space 4} 206.7771{col 75}{space 3} 1465.976
{txt}{space 15}1982  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1006.863{col 34}{space 2} 328.3522{col 45}{space 1}    3.07{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4} 359.9583{col 75}{space 3} 1653.767
{txt}{space 15}1983  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 928.0028{col 34}{space 2} 313.7558{col 45}{space 1}    2.96{col 54}{space 3}0.003{col 62}{space 4} 309.8556{col 75}{space 3}  1546.15
{txt}{space 15}1984  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1346.519{col 34}{space 2} 319.9818{col 45}{space 1}    4.21{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 716.1061{col 75}{space 3} 1976.933
{txt}{space 15}1985  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 955.2419{col 34}{space 2} 327.2092{col 45}{space 1}    2.92{col 54}{space 3}0.004{col 62}{space 4} 310.5895{col 75}{space 3} 1599.894
{txt}{space 15}1986  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 824.6352{col 34}{space 2} 366.7955{col 45}{space 1}    2.25{col 54}{space 3}0.025{col 62}{space 4} 101.9917{col 75}{space 3} 1547.279
{txt}{space 15}1987  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 986.2738{col 34}{space 2} 339.3281{col 45}{space 1}    2.91{col 54}{space 3}0.004{col 62}{space 4} 317.7454{col 75}{space 3} 1654.802
{txt}{space 15}1988  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 997.9056{col 34}{space 2} 325.4681{col 45}{space 1}    3.07{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4} 356.6834{col 75}{space 3} 1639.128
{txt}{space 15}1989  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 913.0683{col 34}{space 2} 351.5249{col 45}{space 1}    2.60{col 54}{space 3}0.010{col 62}{space 4} 220.5102{col 75}{space 3} 1605.626
{txt}{space 15}1990  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 652.1832{col 34}{space 2} 373.2353{col 45}{space 1}    1.75{col 54}{space 3}0.082{col 62}{space 4}-83.14775{col 75}{space 3} 1387.514
{txt}{space 15}1991  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 452.6764{col 34}{space 2}  364.451{col 45}{space 1}    1.24{col 54}{space 3}0.215{col 62}{space 4}-265.3481{col 75}{space 3} 1170.701
{txt}{space 15}1992  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 900.1377{col 34}{space 2} 406.9003{col 45}{space 1}    2.21{col 54}{space 3}0.028{col 62}{space 4} 98.48162{col 75}{space 3} 1701.794
{txt}{space 15}1993  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 335.3704{col 34}{space 2} 402.4706{col 45}{space 1}    0.83{col 54}{space 3}0.406{col 62}{space 4}-457.5586{col 75}{space 3} 1128.299
{txt}{space 15}1994  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 794.3604{col 34}{space 2} 372.2109{col 45}{space 1}    2.13{col 54}{space 3}0.034{col 62}{space 4} 61.04784{col 75}{space 3} 1527.673
{txt}{space 15}1995  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 618.3604{col 34}{space 2} 386.2705{col 45}{space 1}    1.60{col 54}{space 3}0.111{col 62}{space 4}-142.6518{col 75}{space 3} 1379.373
{txt}{space 15}1996  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 981.1907{col 34}{space 2} 377.7336{col 45}{space 1}    2.60{col 54}{space 3}0.010{col 62}{space 4} 236.9973{col 75}{space 3} 1725.384
{txt}{space 15}1997  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1053.065{col 34}{space 2} 384.7922{col 45}{space 1}    2.74{col 54}{space 3}0.007{col 62}{space 4} 294.9658{col 75}{space 3} 1811.165
{txt}{space 15}1998  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1448.478{col 34}{space 2} 409.9277{col 45}{space 1}    3.53{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  640.857{col 75}{space 3} 2256.098
{txt}{space 15}1999  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 785.6696{col 34}{space 2} 437.2912{col 45}{space 1}    1.80{col 54}{space 3}0.074{col 62}{space 4}-75.86123{col 75}{space 3}   1647.2
{txt}{space 15}2000  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1230.053{col 34}{space 2} 411.5442{col 45}{space 1}    2.99{col 54}{space 3}0.003{col 62}{space 4} 419.2473{col 75}{space 3} 2040.858
{txt}{space 15}2001  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 637.0504{col 34}{space 2} 518.3277{col 45}{space 1}    1.23{col 54}{space 3}0.220{col 62}{space 4}-384.1349{col 75}{space 3} 1658.236
{txt}{space 15}2002  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 267.2947{col 34}{space 2} 561.8633{col 45}{space 1}    0.48{col 54}{space 3}0.635{col 62}{space 4}-839.6624{col 75}{space 3} 1374.252
{txt}{space 15}2003  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 724.3947{col 34}{space 2} 531.0354{col 45}{space 1}    1.36{col 54}{space 3}0.174{col 62}{space 4}-321.8266{col 75}{space 3} 1770.616
{txt}{space 15}2004  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 706.1978{col 34}{space 2} 630.9509{col 45}{space 1}    1.12{col 54}{space 3}0.264{col 62}{space 4}-536.8724{col 75}{space 3} 1949.268
{txt}{space 15}2005  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 711.1868{col 34}{space 2} 384.2053{col 45}{space 1}    1.85{col 54}{space 3}0.065{col 62}{space 4}-45.75664{col 75}{space 3}  1468.13
{txt}{space 15}2006  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1031.972{col 34}{space 2} 461.6854{col 45}{space 1}    2.24{col 54}{space 3}0.026{col 62}{space 4} 122.3811{col 75}{space 3} 1941.563
{txt}{space 15}2007  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1230.287{col 34}{space 2} 506.8335{col 45}{space 1}    2.43{col 54}{space 3}0.016{col 62}{space 4}  231.747{col 75}{space 3} 2228.827
{txt}{space 15}2008  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 736.1559{col 34}{space 2}  525.749{col 45}{space 1}    1.40{col 54}{space 3}0.163{col 62}{space 4}-299.6504{col 75}{space 3} 1771.962
{txt}{space 15}2009  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-426.4424{col 34}{space 2} 636.6016{col 45}{space 1}   -0.67{col 54}{space 3}0.504{col 62}{space 4}-1680.645{col 75}{space 3} 827.7606
{txt}{space 15}2010  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-679.8385{col 34}{space 2} 443.5022{col 45}{space 1}   -1.53{col 54}{space 3}0.127{col 62}{space 4}-1553.606{col 75}{space 3} 193.9288
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 2086.295{col 34}{space 2} 1272.913{col 45}{space 1}    1.64{col 54}{space 3}0.103{col 62}{space 4}-421.5388{col 75}{space 3}  4594.13
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. predict adjpercapita_residhatallfull if newsouth==1
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(3,014 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME ERROR CORRECTION RATE *

. 
. 
. 
. test l.adjpercapita_resid = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.adjpercapita_resid = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,   234) ={res}    0.49
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.4830

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *Weak Exogeneity Tests*

. 
. 
. 
. testnl _b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.adjpercapita_resid] = 0

{col 3}{txt}(1){res}{col 8}{bind:_b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.adjpercapita_resid] = 0}

{txt}{ralign 22:chi2({res:1})} =  {res}      0.40
{txt}{ralign 22:Prob > chi2} =  {res}      0.5289{txt}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * GRANGER CAUSLITY TEST*

. 
. 
. 
. test  d.klarnerranney = l.d.klarnerranney  =  l2.d.klarnerranney = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.klarnerranney - LD.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} D.klarnerranney - L2D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 3)}{space 1} D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  3,   234) ={res}    2.92
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0349

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENEITY)*

. 
. 
. 
. test l.adjpercapita_resid = l.klarnerranney = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.adjpercapita_resid - L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.adjpercapita_resid = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,   234) ={res}    3.05
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0494

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *

. 
. 
. 
. lincom  d.klarnerranney +  l.d.klarnerranney  +  l2.d.klarnerranney 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.klarnerranney + LD.klarnerranney + L2D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}adjpercapi~d{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 12.48709{col 26}{space 2} 4.282064{col 37}{space 1}    2.92{col 46}{space 3}0.004{col 54}{space 4} 4.050766{col 67}{space 3} 20.92341
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *

. 
. 
. 
. nlcom _b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.adjpercapita_resid] 

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.adjpercapita_resid]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}adjpercapi~d{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 309.2064{col 26}{space 2} 491.0035{col 37}{space 1}    0.63{col 46}{space 3}0.529{col 54}{space 4}-653.1428{col 67}{space 3} 1271.556
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ******PARTISAN COMPETITION EQUATION*********

. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. qui regress d.ihsklarnerranney  l.ihsklarnerranney l.adjpercapita_resid l.d.ihsklarnerranney d.adjpercapita_resid  l2.d.ihsklarnerranney  l.d.adjpercapita_resid  l3.d.ihsklarnerranney l2.d.adjpercapita_resid l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1 i.state_fips i.year if newsouth==1

. 
. 
. 
. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       325{col 27}-113.9815{col 38}-19.09346{col 49}    85{col 58} 208.1869{col 69} 529.8121
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. *

. 
. 
. 
. newey d.ihsklarnerranney  l.ihsklarnerranney l.adjpercapita_resid l.d.ihsklarnerranney d.adjpercapita_resid  l2.d.ihsklarnerranney  l.d.adjpercapita_resid  l3.d.ihsklarnerranney l2.d.adjpercapita_resid l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1 i.state_fips i.year if newsouth==1, lag(8) force

{txt}Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       325
{txt}maximum lag: {res}8{col 49}{txt}F( 84,       240){col 67}= {res}      7.95
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 19}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 20}{c |}{col 32}  Newey-West
{col 1}D.ihsklarnerranney{col 20}{c |}      Coef.{col 32}   Std. Err.{col 44}      t{col 52}   P>|t|{col 60}     [95% Con{col 73}f. Interval]
{hline 19}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 2}ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 15}L1. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.1123913{col 32}{space 2} .0369471{col 43}{space 1}   -3.04{col 52}{space 3}0.003{col 60}{space 4}-.1851733{col 73}{space 3}-.0396094
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 15}L1. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0000257{col 32}{space 2} .0000157{col 43}{space 1}   -1.64{col 52}{space 3}0.103{col 60}{space 4}-.0000566{col 73}{space 3} 5.21e-06
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 2}ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 15}LD. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0094952{col 32}{space 2} .0633407{col 43}{space 1}    0.15{col 52}{space 3}0.881{col 60}{space 4}-.1152794{col 73}{space 3} .1342698
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 15}D1. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 7.21e-06{col 32}{space 2} .0000371{col 43}{space 1}    0.19{col 52}{space 3}0.846{col 60}{space 4}-.0000658{col 73}{space 3} .0000802
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 2}ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 14}L2D. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.3467179{col 32}{space 2} .0774363{col 43}{space 1}   -4.48{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4}-.4992596{col 73}{space 3}-.1941763
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 15}LD. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  .000079{col 32}{space 2} .0000424{col 43}{space 1}    1.86{col 52}{space 3}0.064{col 60}{space 4}-4.50e-06{col 73}{space 3} .0001624
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 2}ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 14}L3D. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.1248967{col 32}{space 2} .0681761{col 43}{space 1}   -1.83{col 52}{space 3}0.068{col 60}{space 4}-.2591966{col 73}{space 3} .0094032
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 14}L2D. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0000416{col 32}{space 2} .0000482{col 43}{space 1}    0.86{col 52}{space 3}0.389{col 60}{space 4}-.0000534{col 73}{space 3} .0001367
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 9}gov_party {c |}
{space 15}L1. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0124956{col 32}{space 2} .0573059{col 43}{space 1}    0.22{col 52}{space 3}0.828{col 60}{space 4}-.1003911{col 73}{space 3} .1253824
{txt}{space 15}LD. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0083385{col 32}{space 2}  .052766{col 43}{space 1}   -0.16{col 52}{space 3}0.875{col 60}{space 4}-.1122822{col 73}{space 3} .0956051
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 7}dem_unified {c |}
{space 15}L1. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0689295{col 32}{space 2} .0618368{col 43}{space 1}    1.11{col 52}{space 3}0.266{col 60}{space 4}-.0528827{col 73}{space 3} .1907417
{txt}{space 15}LD. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0548694{col 32}{space 2}  .051674{col 43}{space 1}   -1.06{col 52}{space 3}0.289{col 60}{space 4}-.1566619{col 73}{space 3}  .046923
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 7}rep_unified {c |}
{space 15}L1. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0755474{col 32}{space 2} .0692355{col 43}{space 1}   -1.09{col 52}{space 3}0.276{col 60}{space 4}-.2119342{col 73}{space 3} .0608394
{txt}{space 15}LD. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0966303{col 32}{space 2} .0473389{col 43}{space 1}    2.04{col 52}{space 3}0.042{col 60}{space 4} .0033774{col 73}{space 3} .1898831
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 4}electedjudges1 {c |}
{space 15}L1. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  .172155{col 32}{space 2} .0788409{col 43}{space 1}    2.18{col 52}{space 3}0.030{col 60}{space 4} .0168464{col 73}{space 3} .3274636
{txt}{space 15}LD. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0481859{col 32}{space 2} .0526058{col 43}{space 1}   -0.92{col 52}{space 3}0.361{col 60}{space 4}-.1518139{col 73}{space 3} .0554421
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 8}state_fips {c |}
{space 15}13  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.2157947{col 32}{space 2} .0841523{col 43}{space 1}   -2.56{col 52}{space 3}0.011{col 60}{space 4}-.3815661{col 73}{space 3}-.0500233
{txt}{space 15}37  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.1905495{col 32}{space 2} .0756215{col 43}{space 1}   -2.52{col 52}{space 3}0.012{col 60}{space 4}-.3395161{col 73}{space 3} -.041583
{txt}{space 15}48  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.2490251{col 32}{space 2} .1195073{col 43}{space 1}   -2.08{col 52}{space 3}0.038{col 60}{space 4}-.4844424{col 73}{space 3}-.0136079
{txt}{space 15}51  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0719592{col 32}{space 2}  .050942{col 43}{space 1}    1.41{col 52}{space 3}0.159{col 60}{space 4}-.0283912{col 73}{space 3} .1723097
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 14}year {c |}
{space 13}1947  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0226977{col 32}{space 2}  .164876{col 43}{space 1}   -0.14{col 52}{space 3}0.891{col 60}{space 4}-.3474865{col 73}{space 3} .3020912
{txt}{space 13}1948  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0549246{col 32}{space 2} .1062358{col 43}{space 1}   -0.52{col 52}{space 3}0.606{col 60}{space 4}-.2641982{col 73}{space 3} .1543489
{txt}{space 13}1949  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.2155047{col 32}{space 2} .1654896{col 43}{space 1}   -1.30{col 52}{space 3}0.194{col 60}{space 4}-.5415023{col 73}{space 3}  .110493
{txt}{space 13}1950  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.1315051{col 32}{space 2} .1122082{col 43}{space 1}   -1.17{col 52}{space 3}0.242{col 60}{space 4}-.3525438{col 73}{space 3} .0895337
{txt}{space 13}1951  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0308537{col 32}{space 2} .4371201{col 43}{space 1}    0.07{col 52}{space 3}0.944{col 60}{space 4}-.8302282{col 73}{space 3} .8919357
{txt}{space 13}1952  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0783179{col 32}{space 2} .1167091{col 43}{space 1}   -0.67{col 52}{space 3}0.503{col 60}{space 4}-.3082229{col 73}{space 3} .1515871
{txt}{space 13}1953  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  .334203{col 32}{space 2}  .344553{col 43}{space 1}    0.97{col 52}{space 3}0.333{col 60}{space 4}-.3445311{col 73}{space 3} 1.012937
{txt}{space 13}1954  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  .004769{col 32}{space 2} .1333605{col 43}{space 1}    0.04{col 52}{space 3}0.972{col 60}{space 4}-.2579375{col 73}{space 3} .2674755
{txt}{space 13}1955  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .1060882{col 32}{space 2} .2329724{col 43}{space 1}    0.46{col 52}{space 3}0.649{col 60}{space 4}-.3528435{col 73}{space 3}   .56502
{txt}{space 13}1956  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  .008009{col 32}{space 2} .1349394{col 43}{space 1}    0.06{col 52}{space 3}0.953{col 60}{space 4}-.2578079{col 73}{space 3} .2738258
{txt}{space 13}1957  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0717424{col 32}{space 2} .1483318{col 43}{space 1}    0.48{col 52}{space 3}0.629{col 60}{space 4} -.220456{col 73}{space 3} .3639408
{txt}{space 13}1958  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0121306{col 32}{space 2} .1238071{col 43}{space 1}    0.10{col 52}{space 3}0.922{col 60}{space 4}-.2317567{col 73}{space 3} .2560179
{txt}{space 13}1959  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.2152124{col 32}{space 2} .2406521{col 43}{space 1}   -0.89{col 52}{space 3}0.372{col 60}{space 4}-.6892723{col 73}{space 3} .2588476
{txt}{space 13}1960  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0273293{col 32}{space 2} .1249665{col 43}{space 1}   -0.22{col 52}{space 3}0.827{col 60}{space 4}-.2735006{col 73}{space 3} .2188419
{txt}{space 13}1961  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .1437936{col 32}{space 2} .2121508{col 43}{space 1}    0.68{col 52}{space 3}0.499{col 60}{space 4}-.2741217{col 73}{space 3} .5617089
{txt}{space 13}1962  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  .122575{col 32}{space 2} .2444138{col 43}{space 1}    0.50{col 52}{space 3}0.616{col 60}{space 4}-.3588951{col 73}{space 3} .6040451
{txt}{space 13}1963  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .5734057{col 32}{space 2} .2143496{col 43}{space 1}    2.68{col 52}{space 3}0.008{col 60}{space 4}  .151159{col 73}{space 3} .9956524
{txt}{space 13}1964  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .4139171{col 32}{space 2} .1805397{col 43}{space 1}    2.29{col 52}{space 3}0.023{col 60}{space 4} .0582723{col 73}{space 3} .7695618
{txt}{space 13}1965  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0241595{col 32}{space 2} .4586882{col 43}{space 1}    0.05{col 52}{space 3}0.958{col 60}{space 4}-.8794093{col 73}{space 3} .9277282
{txt}{space 13}1966  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  .312568{col 32}{space 2} .1847881{col 43}{space 1}    1.69{col 52}{space 3}0.092{col 60}{space 4}-.0514458{col 73}{space 3} .6765817
{txt}{space 13}1967  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .8563567{col 32}{space 2} .2953063{col 43}{space 1}    2.90{col 52}{space 3}0.004{col 60}{space 4} .2746336{col 73}{space 3}  1.43808
{txt}{space 13}1968  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  .408823{col 32}{space 2} .1719855{col 43}{space 1}    2.38{col 52}{space 3}0.018{col 60}{space 4} .0700292{col 73}{space 3} .7476168
{txt}{space 13}1969  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .5615666{col 32}{space 2} .2450915{col 43}{space 1}    2.29{col 52}{space 3}0.023{col 60}{space 4} .0787615{col 73}{space 3} 1.044372
{txt}{space 13}1970  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .4945358{col 32}{space 2} .1869164{col 43}{space 1}    2.65{col 52}{space 3}0.009{col 60}{space 4} .1263296{col 73}{space 3}  .862742
{txt}{space 13}1971  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .2152256{col 32}{space 2} .1825478{col 43}{space 1}    1.18{col 52}{space 3}0.240{col 60}{space 4}-.1443748{col 73}{space 3}  .574826
{txt}{space 13}1972  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .3243725{col 32}{space 2} .1801691{col 43}{space 1}    1.80{col 52}{space 3}0.073{col 60}{space 4}-.0305422{col 73}{space 3} .6792871
{txt}{space 13}1973  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}   .54863{col 32}{space 2} .1877261{col 43}{space 1}    2.92{col 52}{space 3}0.004{col 60}{space 4} .1788288{col 73}{space 3} .9184313
{txt}{space 13}1974  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .3307904{col 32}{space 2}  .180271{col 43}{space 1}    1.83{col 52}{space 3}0.068{col 60}{space 4}-.0243249{col 73}{space 3} .6859057
{txt}{space 13}1975  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0027123{col 32}{space 2} .3449658{col 43}{space 1}    0.01{col 52}{space 3}0.994{col 60}{space 4}-.6768351{col 73}{space 3} .6822596
{txt}{space 13}1976  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .3622719{col 32}{space 2}  .207657{col 43}{space 1}    1.74{col 52}{space 3}0.082{col 60}{space 4}-.0467912{col 73}{space 3}  .771335
{txt}{space 13}1977  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .1595642{col 32}{space 2} .2031041{col 43}{space 1}    0.79{col 52}{space 3}0.433{col 60}{space 4}-.2405301{col 73}{space 3} .5596585
{txt}{space 13}1978  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .2348357{col 32}{space 2}  .191209{col 43}{space 1}    1.23{col 52}{space 3}0.221{col 60}{space 4}-.1418264{col 73}{space 3} .6114979
{txt}{space 13}1979  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .4682203{col 32}{space 2} .2367067{col 43}{space 1}    1.98{col 52}{space 3}0.049{col 60}{space 4} .0019323{col 73}{space 3} .9345083
{txt}{space 13}1980  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .4216028{col 32}{space 2} .1898009{col 43}{space 1}    2.22{col 52}{space 3}0.027{col 60}{space 4} .0477145{col 73}{space 3} .7954911
{txt}{space 13}1981  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .6887211{col 32}{space 2} .2358938{col 43}{space 1}    2.92{col 52}{space 3}0.004{col 60}{space 4} .2240344{col 73}{space 3} 1.153408
{txt}{space 13}1982  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .4759459{col 32}{space 2} .2001763{col 43}{space 1}    2.38{col 52}{space 3}0.018{col 60}{space 4} .0816191{col 73}{space 3} .8702727
{txt}{space 13}1983  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .3175305{col 32}{space 2} .1894215{col 43}{space 1}    1.68{col 52}{space 3}0.095{col 60}{space 4}-.0556105{col 73}{space 3} .6906714
{txt}{space 13}1984  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .3945517{col 32}{space 2} .1927055{col 43}{space 1}    2.05{col 52}{space 3}0.042{col 60}{space 4} .0149417{col 73}{space 3} .7741617
{txt}{space 13}1985  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .5447952{col 32}{space 2} .2229433{col 43}{space 1}    2.44{col 52}{space 3}0.015{col 60}{space 4} .1056197{col 73}{space 3} .9839707
{txt}{space 13}1986  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .3780476{col 32}{space 2} .2034256{col 43}{space 1}    1.86{col 52}{space 3}0.064{col 60}{space 4}-.0226799{col 73}{space 3} .7787752
{txt}{space 13}1987  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .5787443{col 32}{space 2} .2241213{col 43}{space 1}    2.58{col 52}{space 3}0.010{col 60}{space 4} .1372483{col 73}{space 3}  1.02024
{txt}{space 13}1988  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .4823105{col 32}{space 2} .2206395{col 43}{space 1}    2.19{col 52}{space 3}0.030{col 60}{space 4} .0476732{col 73}{space 3} .9169478
{txt}{space 13}1989  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .6242846{col 32}{space 2} .2338716{col 43}{space 1}    2.67{col 52}{space 3}0.008{col 60}{space 4} .1635815{col 73}{space 3} 1.084988
{txt}{space 13}1990  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .5212819{col 32}{space 2} .2279126{col 43}{space 1}    2.29{col 52}{space 3}0.023{col 60}{space 4} .0723173{col 73}{space 3} .9702464
{txt}{space 13}1991  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .5546772{col 32}{space 2} .2348681{col 43}{space 1}    2.36{col 52}{space 3}0.019{col 60}{space 4}  .092011{col 73}{space 3} 1.017343
{txt}{space 13}1992  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .6270822{col 32}{space 2} .2418336{col 43}{space 1}    2.59{col 52}{space 3}0.010{col 60}{space 4} .1506947{col 73}{space 3}  1.10347
{txt}{space 13}1993  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .6030923{col 32}{space 2} .2364184{col 43}{space 1}    2.55{col 52}{space 3}0.011{col 60}{space 4} .1373724{col 73}{space 3} 1.068812
{txt}{space 13}1994  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .5597881{col 32}{space 2} .2328126{col 43}{space 1}    2.40{col 52}{space 3}0.017{col 60}{space 4} .1011712{col 73}{space 3} 1.018405
{txt}{space 13}1995  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .7282191{col 32}{space 2} .2479382{col 43}{space 1}    2.94{col 52}{space 3}0.004{col 60}{space 4} .2398061{col 73}{space 3} 1.216632
{txt}{space 13}1996  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .5518382{col 32}{space 2} .2343438{col 43}{space 1}    2.35{col 52}{space 3}0.019{col 60}{space 4} .0902049{col 73}{space 3} 1.013472
{txt}{space 13}1997  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .6276683{col 32}{space 2} .2402422{col 43}{space 1}    2.61{col 52}{space 3}0.010{col 60}{space 4} .1544158{col 73}{space 3} 1.100921
{txt}{space 13}1998  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .5615947{col 32}{space 2} .2426683{col 43}{space 1}    2.31{col 52}{space 3}0.021{col 60}{space 4} .0835629{col 73}{space 3} 1.039626
{txt}{space 13}1999  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .4693844{col 32}{space 2} .2465556{col 43}{space 1}    1.90{col 52}{space 3}0.058{col 60}{space 4} -.016305{col 73}{space 3} .9550738
{txt}{space 13}2000  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .5536981{col 32}{space 2} .2554494{col 43}{space 1}    2.17{col 52}{space 3}0.031{col 60}{space 4} .0504889{col 73}{space 3} 1.056907
{txt}{space 13}2001  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  .541823{col 32}{space 2}  .257856{col 43}{space 1}    2.10{col 52}{space 3}0.037{col 60}{space 4}  .033873{col 73}{space 3} 1.049773
{txt}{space 13}2002  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .5758415{col 32}{space 2} .2646253{col 43}{space 1}    2.18{col 52}{space 3}0.031{col 60}{space 4} .0545568{col 73}{space 3} 1.097126
{txt}{space 13}2003  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .6367585{col 32}{space 2} .2749916{col 43}{space 1}    2.32{col 52}{space 3}0.021{col 60}{space 4} .0950533{col 73}{space 3} 1.178464
{txt}{space 13}2004  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .5840948{col 32}{space 2} .2603584{col 43}{space 1}    2.24{col 52}{space 3}0.026{col 60}{space 4} .0712154{col 73}{space 3} 1.096974
{txt}{space 13}2005  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .5643538{col 32}{space 2} .2574111{col 43}{space 1}    2.19{col 52}{space 3}0.029{col 60}{space 4} .0572803{col 73}{space 3} 1.071427
{txt}{space 13}2006  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .5913193{col 32}{space 2} .2598552{col 43}{space 1}    2.28{col 52}{space 3}0.024{col 60}{space 4} .0794311{col 73}{space 3} 1.103207
{txt}{space 13}2007  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .5683056{col 32}{space 2} .2661725{col 43}{space 1}    2.14{col 52}{space 3}0.034{col 60}{space 4}  .043973{col 73}{space 3} 1.092638
{txt}{space 13}2008  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}   .59899{col 32}{space 2} .2615523{col 43}{space 1}    2.29{col 52}{space 3}0.023{col 60}{space 4} .0837588{col 73}{space 3} 1.114221
{txt}{space 13}2009  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .6285414{col 32}{space 2}  .262514{col 43}{space 1}    2.39{col 52}{space 3}0.017{col 60}{space 4} .1114156{col 73}{space 3} 1.145667
{txt}{space 13}2010  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .6331695{col 32}{space 2} .2827121{col 43}{space 1}    2.24{col 52}{space 3}0.026{col 60}{space 4} .0762557{col 73}{space 3} 1.190083
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 13}_cons {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0414123{col 32}{space 2} .1536989{col 43}{space 1}    0.27{col 52}{space 3}0.788{col 60}{space 4}-.2613587{col 73}{space 3} .3441833
{txt}{hline 19}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. predict ihsklarnerranneyhatallfull if newsouth==1
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(3,014 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
.  
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION ERROR CORRECTION RATE *

. 
. 
. 
. test l.ihsklarnerranney = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.ihsklarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,   240) ={res}    9.25
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0026

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *Weak Exogeneity Tests*

. 
. 
. 
. testnl _b[l.adjpercapita_resid]/-_b[l.ihsklarnerranney] = 0

{col 3}{txt}(1){res}{col 8}{bind:_b[l.adjpercapita_resid]/-_b[l.ihsklarnerranney] = 0}

{txt}{ralign 22:chi2({res:1})} =  {res}      3.58
{txt}{ralign 22:Prob > chi2} =  {res}      0.0584{txt}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * GRANGER CAUSLITY TEST *

. 
. 
. 
. test d.adjpercapita_resid  =  l.d.adjpercapita_resid  =  l2.d.adjpercapita_resid = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.adjpercapita_resid - LD.adjpercapita_resid = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} D.adjpercapita_resid - L2D.adjpercapita_resid = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 3)}{space 1} D.adjpercapita_resid = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  3,   240) ={res}    1.34
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.2615

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENEITY)*

. 
. 
. 
. test l.ihsklarnerranney = l.adjpercapita_resid = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.ihsklarnerranney - L.adjpercapita_resid = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.ihsklarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,   240) ={res}    4.63
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0106

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *

. 
. 
. 
. lincom  d.adjpercapita_resid  +  l.d.adjpercapita_resid  +  l2.d.adjpercapita_resid 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.adjpercapita_resid + LD.adjpercapita_resid + L2D.adjpercapita_resid = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}ihsklarner~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0001278{col 26}{space 2} .0000811{col 37}{space 1}    1.58{col 46}{space 3}0.116{col 54}{space 4} -.000032{col 67}{space 3} .0002876
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *

. 
. 
. 
. nlcom _b[l.adjpercapita_resid]/-_b[l.ihsklarnerranney]

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.adjpercapita_resid]/-_b[l.ihsklarnerranney]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}ihsklarner~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0002287{col 26}{space 2} .0001209{col 37}{space 1}   -1.89{col 46}{space 3}0.058{col 54}{space 4}-.0004656{col 67}{space 3} 8.15e-06
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. //(4,3)  MODEL
{bf}{err}/{sf} is not a valid command name
{txt}{search r(199), local:r(199);}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** III.B: NEW SOUTH STATES (N = 5): PRE-PARTISAN ALIGNMENT TIME PERIOD (1942 - 1980) ***

. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. qui reg d.adjpercapita_resid  l.adjpercapita_resid l.klarnerranney   l.d.adjpercapita_resid d.klarnerranney  l2.d.adjpercapita_resid  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.adjpercapita_resid l2.d.klarnerranney l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work  l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified i.state_fips i.year if year <=1980 & newsouth==1

. 
. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       175{col 27}-1232.781{col 38}-1070.346{col 49}    57{col 58} 2254.691{col 69} 2435.084
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ******INCOME EQUATION*********

. 
. 
. 
. newey d.adjpercapita_resid  l.adjpercapita_resid l.klarnerranney   l.d.adjpercapita_resid d.klarnerranney  l2.d.adjpercapita_resid  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.adjpercapita_resid l2.d.klarnerranney l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work  l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified i.state_fips i.year if year <=1980 & newsouth==1, lag(6) force
{txt}note: L.dem_unified omitted because of collinearity
note: LD.dem_unified omitted because of collinearity
note: L.rep_unified omitted because of collinearity
note: LD.rep_unified omitted because of collinearity

Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       175
{txt}maximum lag: {res}6{col 49}{txt}F( 56,       118){col 67}= {res}     64.81
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}  Newey-West
{col 1}D.adjpercapita_resid{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      t{col 54}   P>|t|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 2}adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.2115386{col 34}{space 2}  .063836{col 45}{space 1}   -3.31{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4}-.3379513{col 75}{space 3}-.0851259
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 5.274121{col 34}{space 2} 1.707782{col 45}{space 1}    3.09{col 54}{space 3}0.003{col 62}{space 4} 1.892248{col 75}{space 3} 8.655994
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 2}adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.1212733{col 34}{space 2} .1661797{col 45}{space 1}   -0.73{col 54}{space 3}0.467{col 62}{space 4}-.4503544{col 75}{space 3} .2078077
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}D1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 4.942091{col 34}{space 2} 2.645934{col 45}{space 1}    1.87{col 54}{space 3}0.064{col 62}{space 4}-.2975783{col 75}{space 3} 10.18176
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 2}adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0418209{col 34}{space 2} .1008129{col 45}{space 1}    0.41{col 54}{space 3}0.679{col 62}{space 4}-.1578161{col 75}{space 3}  .241458
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.930682{col 34}{space 2} 2.569876{col 45}{space 1}   -0.75{col 54}{space 3}0.454{col 62}{space 4}-7.019736{col 75}{space 3} 3.158373
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 2}adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 16}L3D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0590792{col 34}{space 2} .0702803{col 45}{space 1}   -0.84{col 54}{space 3}0.402{col 62}{space 4}-.1982533{col 75}{space 3} .0800948
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.667528{col 34}{space 2} 1.960673{col 45}{space 1}    0.85{col 54}{space 3}0.397{col 62}{space 4}-2.215138{col 75}{space 3} 5.550194
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
csi_perc_cap_outlays {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 320.3848{col 34}{space 2} 419.7686{col 45}{space 1}    0.76{col 54}{space 3}0.447{col 62}{space 4}-510.8713{col 75}{space 3} 1151.641
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-830.2129{col 34}{space 2} 466.5616{col 45}{space 1}   -1.78{col 54}{space 3}0.078{col 62}{space 4}-1754.132{col 75}{space 3} 93.70602
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}right_to_work {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 20.69386{col 34}{space 2} 105.6983{col 45}{space 1}    0.20{col 54}{space 3}0.845{col 62}{space 4}-188.6176{col 75}{space 3} 230.0053
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 339.9758{col 34}{space 2} 59.52961{col 45}{space 1}    5.71{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 222.0909{col 75}{space 3} 457.8606
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 1}csi_welf_perc_total {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1825.172{col 34}{space 2}  640.925{col 45}{space 1}    2.85{col 54}{space 3}0.005{col 62}{space 4} 555.9661{col 75}{space 3} 3094.378
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -5212.74{col 34}{space 2} 1726.892{col 45}{space 1}   -3.02{col 54}{space 3}0.003{col 62}{space 4}-8632.456{col 75}{space 3}-1793.024
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}nonfarm_persinc {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-2083.287{col 34}{space 2} 1061.754{col 45}{space 1}   -1.96{col 54}{space 3}0.052{col 62}{space 4}-4185.849{col 75}{space 3} 19.27481
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 3136.911{col 34}{space 2}  1767.72{col 45}{space 1}    1.77{col 54}{space 3}0.079{col 62}{space 4}-363.6544{col 75}{space 3} 6637.477
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 11}gov_party {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-99.59062{col 34}{space 2} 52.46267{col 45}{space 1}   -1.90{col 54}{space 3}0.060{col 62}{space 4} -203.481{col 75}{space 3} 4.299741
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 61.67686{col 34}{space 2}  66.9258{col 45}{space 1}    0.92{col 54}{space 3}0.359{col 62}{space 4}-70.85444{col 75}{space 3} 194.2082
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}dem_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}        0{col 34}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}        0{col 34}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}rep_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}        0{col 34}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}        0{col 34}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 20} {c |}
{space 10}state_fips {c |}
{space 17}13  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-206.5978{col 34}{space 2} 88.00272{col 45}{space 1}   -2.35{col 54}{space 3}0.021{col 62}{space 4}-380.8672{col 75}{space 3}-32.32847
{txt}{space 17}37  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-235.2112{col 34}{space 2}  99.5868{col 45}{space 1}   -2.36{col 54}{space 3}0.020{col 62}{space 4}-432.4202{col 75}{space 3}-38.00225
{txt}{space 17}48  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-209.0639{col 34}{space 2} 129.8351{col 45}{space 1}   -1.61{col 54}{space 3}0.110{col 62}{space 4}-466.1727{col 75}{space 3} 48.04484
{txt}{space 17}51  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  212.936{col 34}{space 2} 54.30078{col 45}{space 1}    3.92{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 105.4056{col 75}{space 3} 320.4663
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 16}year {c |}
{space 15}1947  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-271.9057{col 34}{space 2} 156.1804{col 45}{space 1}   -1.74{col 54}{space 3}0.084{col 62}{space 4}-581.1853{col 75}{space 3} 37.37395
{txt}{space 15}1948  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-132.5146{col 34}{space 2} 160.6592{col 45}{space 1}   -0.82{col 54}{space 3}0.411{col 62}{space 4}-450.6635{col 75}{space 3} 185.6343
{txt}{space 15}1949  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 168.9702{col 34}{space 2} 154.8055{col 45}{space 1}    1.09{col 54}{space 3}0.277{col 62}{space 4}-137.5868{col 75}{space 3} 475.5273
{txt}{space 15}1950  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 514.1077{col 34}{space 2} 122.7405{col 45}{space 1}    4.19{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 271.0482{col 75}{space 3} 757.1673
{txt}{space 15}1951  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  421.858{col 34}{space 2} 144.6427{col 45}{space 1}    2.92{col 54}{space 3}0.004{col 62}{space 4} 135.4261{col 75}{space 3} 708.2899
{txt}{space 15}1952  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 435.6387{col 34}{space 2} 126.8433{col 45}{space 1}    3.43{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 184.4545{col 75}{space 3}  686.823
{txt}{space 15}1953  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 398.9086{col 34}{space 2} 111.9552{col 45}{space 1}    3.56{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 177.2068{col 75}{space 3} 620.6104
{txt}{space 15}1954  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 397.9304{col 34}{space 2} 121.3609{col 45}{space 1}    3.28{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 157.6028{col 75}{space 3} 638.2581
{txt}{space 15}1955  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 759.4686{col 34}{space 2} 114.0655{col 45}{space 1}    6.66{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 533.5879{col 75}{space 3} 985.3492
{txt}{space 15}1956  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 710.5306{col 34}{space 2} 141.2989{col 45}{space 1}    5.03{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 430.7203{col 75}{space 3} 990.3409
{txt}{space 15}1957  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 353.2648{col 34}{space 2} 154.3453{col 45}{space 1}    2.29{col 54}{space 3}0.024{col 62}{space 4} 47.61914{col 75}{space 3} 658.9105
{txt}{space 15}1958  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 443.0543{col 34}{space 2} 131.6064{col 45}{space 1}    3.37{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 182.4377{col 75}{space 3} 703.6708
{txt}{space 15}1959  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 622.5834{col 34}{space 2} 163.8357{col 45}{space 1}    3.80{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  298.144{col 75}{space 3} 947.0227
{txt}{space 15}1960  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 474.5137{col 34}{space 2} 141.7378{col 45}{space 1}    3.35{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 193.8342{col 75}{space 3} 755.1932
{txt}{space 15}1961  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 689.9725{col 34}{space 2} 142.3596{col 45}{space 1}    4.85{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 408.0617{col 75}{space 3} 971.8833
{txt}{space 15}1962  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 787.4696{col 34}{space 2} 156.8441{col 45}{space 1}    5.02{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 476.8756{col 75}{space 3} 1098.064
{txt}{space 15}1963  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 766.4247{col 34}{space 2} 157.4241{col 45}{space 1}    4.87{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  454.682{col 75}{space 3} 1078.167
{txt}{space 15}1964  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 873.8063{col 34}{space 2} 161.1927{col 45}{space 1}    5.42{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 554.6009{col 75}{space 3} 1193.012
{txt}{space 15}1965  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1006.69{col 34}{space 2} 171.9234{col 45}{space 1}    5.86{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 666.2351{col 75}{space 3} 1347.145
{txt}{space 15}1966  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 991.8326{col 34}{space 2} 195.0458{col 45}{space 1}    5.09{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 605.5888{col 75}{space 3} 1378.076
{txt}{space 15}1967  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1003.787{col 34}{space 2} 213.7034{col 45}{space 1}    4.70{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 580.5961{col 75}{space 3} 1426.978
{txt}{space 15}1968  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1199.756{col 34}{space 2} 239.0715{col 45}{space 1}    5.02{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 726.3291{col 75}{space 3} 1673.182
{txt}{space 15}1969  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1323.864{col 34}{space 2} 237.2005{col 45}{space 1}    5.58{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  854.143{col 75}{space 3} 1793.586
{txt}{space 15}1970  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1096.507{col 34}{space 2} 267.6252{col 45}{space 1}    4.10{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 566.5367{col 75}{space 3} 1626.478
{txt}{space 15}1971  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1030.788{col 34}{space 2} 278.5869{col 45}{space 1}    3.70{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 479.1105{col 75}{space 3} 1582.466
{txt}{space 15}1972  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1460.801{col 34}{space 2} 268.3442{col 45}{space 1}    5.44{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 929.4062{col 75}{space 3} 1992.196
{txt}{space 15}1973  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}   1360.5{col 34}{space 2} 307.1697{col 45}{space 1}    4.43{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 752.2202{col 75}{space 3} 1968.779
{txt}{space 15}1974  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 987.2947{col 34}{space 2} 285.5184{col 45}{space 1}    3.46{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 421.8905{col 75}{space 3} 1552.699
{txt}{space 15}1975  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 465.7148{col 34}{space 2} 315.2162{col 45}{space 1}    1.48{col 54}{space 3}0.142{col 62}{space 4}-158.4991{col 75}{space 3} 1089.929
{txt}{space 15}1976  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1295.343{col 34}{space 2} 257.9948{col 45}{space 1}    5.02{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 784.4433{col 75}{space 3} 1806.243
{txt}{space 15}1977  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}   1345.3{col 34}{space 2} 311.9984{col 45}{space 1}    4.31{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 727.4582{col 75}{space 3} 1963.142
{txt}{space 15}1978  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1493.909{col 34}{space 2} 341.6577{col 45}{space 1}    4.37{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 817.3336{col 75}{space 3} 2170.484
{txt}{space 15}1979  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1343.285{col 34}{space 2} 341.5377{col 45}{space 1}    3.93{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 666.9473{col 75}{space 3} 2019.623
{txt}{space 15}1980  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1040.211{col 34}{space 2} 335.1114{col 45}{space 1}    3.10{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4} 376.5991{col 75}{space 3} 1703.823
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 383.0519{col 34}{space 2} 830.0044{col 45}{space 1}    0.46{col 54}{space 3}0.645{col 62}{space 4}-1260.583{col 75}{space 3} 2026.687
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. predict adjpercapita_residhatallpre if year<=1980 & newsouth==1
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(3,164 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME ERROR CORRECTION RATE *

. 
. 
. 
. test l.adjpercapita_resid = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.adjpercapita_resid = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,   118) ={res}   10.98
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0012

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *Weak Exogeneity Tests*

. 
. 
. 
. testnl _b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.adjpercapita_resid] = 0

{col 3}{txt}(1){res}{col 8}{bind:_b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.adjpercapita_resid] = 0}

{txt}{ralign 22:chi2({res:1})} =  {res}      7.67
{txt}{ralign 22:Prob > chi2} =  {res}      0.0056{txt}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * GRANGER CAUSLITY TEST*

. 
. 
. 
. test  d.klarnerranney = l.d.klarnerranney  =  l2.d.klarnerranney = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.klarnerranney - LD.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} D.klarnerranney - L2D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 3)}{space 1} D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  3,   118) ={res}    1.23
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.3012

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENEITY)*

. 
. 
. 
. test l.adjpercapita_resid = l.klarnerranney = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.adjpercapita_resid - L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.adjpercapita_resid = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,   118) ={res}    7.69
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0007

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *

. 
. 
. 
. lincom  d.klarnerranney +  l.d.klarnerranney +  l2.d.klarnerranney 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.klarnerranney + LD.klarnerranney + L2D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}adjpercapi~d{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 4.678938{col 26}{space 2} 3.501089{col 37}{space 1}    1.34{col 46}{space 3}0.184{col 54}{space 4}-2.254172{col 67}{space 3} 11.61205
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *

. 
. 
. 
. nlcom _b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.adjpercapita_resid] 

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.adjpercapita_resid]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}adjpercapi~d{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 24.93219{col 26}{space 2} 9.000713{col 37}{space 1}    2.77{col 46}{space 3}0.006{col 54}{space 4} 7.291122{col 67}{space 3} 42.57327
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. sum klarnerranney   if adjpercapita_residhatallpre!=. & year<=1980 & newsouth==1, detail

         {txt}Annual Ranney Measure of State Legislative
               Partisan Balance (Klarner Data)
{hline 61}
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%    {res}        0              0
{txt} 5%    {res}        0              0
{txt}10%    {res} .4878049              0       {txt}Obs         {res}        175
{txt}25%    {res} 4.290876              0       {txt}Sum of Wgt. {res}        175

{txt}50%    {res}     13.5                      {txt}Mean          {res} 19.04453
                        {txt}Largest       Std. Dev.     {res} 18.52999
{txt}75%    {res} 25.56989           72.5
{txt}90%    {res} 48.16667       73.33333       {txt}Variance      {res} 343.3606
{txt}95%    {res} 60.83333       74.43978       {txt}Skewness      {res} 1.298429
{txt}99%    {res} 74.43978       74.43978       {txt}Kurtosis      {res} 4.021216

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * TOTAL/DYNAMIC MULTIPLIER & BASELINE LONG-RUN EFFECTS OF  klarnerranney ON adjpercapita_resid:  75TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF klarnerranney MINUS 25TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF klarnerranney FOR EFFECTIVE SAMPLE PERIOD *

. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. nlcom  (_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.adjpercapita_resid])*25.56989  -  (_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.adjpercapita_resid])*4.290876

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}(_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.adjpercapita_resid])*25.56989 - (_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.adjpercapita_resid])*4.290876

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}adjpercapi~d{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 530.5325{col 26}{space 2} 191.5263{col 37}{space 1}    2.77{col 46}{space 3}0.006{col 54}{space 4} 155.1479{col 67}{space 3} 905.9171
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. 
. 
. qui regress d.ihsklarnerranney  l.ihsklarnerranney l.adjpercapita_resid l.d.ihsklarnerranney d.adjpercapita_resid  l2.d.ihsklarnerranney  l.d.adjpercapita_resid  l3.d.ihsklarnerranney l2.d.adjpercapita_resid l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1 i.state_fips i.year if year <=1980 & newsouth==1

. 
. 
. 
. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       175{col 27}-109.2568{col 38}-51.48716{col 49}    51{col 58} 204.9743{col 69} 366.3784
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ******PARTISAN COMPETITION EQUATION*********

. 
. 
. 
. newey d.ihsklarnerranney  l.ihsklarnerranney l.adjpercapita_resid l.d.ihsklarnerranney d.adjpercapita_resid  l2.d.ihsklarnerranney  l.d.adjpercapita_resid  l3.d.ihsklarnerranney l2.d.adjpercapita_resid l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1 i.state_fips i.year if year <=1980 & newsouth==1, lag(6) force
{txt}note: L.dem_unified omitted because of collinearity
note: LD.dem_unified omitted because of collinearity
note: L.rep_unified omitted because of collinearity
note: LD.rep_unified omitted because of collinearity

Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       175
{txt}maximum lag: {res}6{col 49}{txt}F( 50,       124){col 67}= {res}     11.44
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 19}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 20}{c |}{col 32}  Newey-West
{col 1}D.ihsklarnerranney{col 20}{c |}      Coef.{col 32}   Std. Err.{col 44}      t{col 52}   P>|t|{col 60}     [95% Con{col 73}f. Interval]
{hline 19}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 2}ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 15}L1. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.2277419{col 32}{space 2} .0675019{col 43}{space 1}   -3.37{col 52}{space 3}0.001{col 60}{space 4}-.3613471{col 73}{space 3}-.0941368
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 15}L1. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} -.000223{col 32}{space 2} .0001072{col 43}{space 1}   -2.08{col 52}{space 3}0.040{col 60}{space 4}-.0004351{col 73}{space 3}-.0000109
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 2}ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 15}LD. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0755978{col 32}{space 2} .0853834{col 43}{space 1}    0.89{col 52}{space 3}0.378{col 60}{space 4}   -.0934{col 73}{space 3} .2445955
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 15}D1. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0001103{col 32}{space 2} .0002909{col 43}{space 1}    0.38{col 52}{space 3}0.705{col 60}{space 4}-.0004655{col 73}{space 3}  .000686
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 2}ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 14}L2D. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} -.298229{col 32}{space 2} .0876999{col 43}{space 1}   -3.40{col 52}{space 3}0.001{col 60}{space 4}-.4718116{col 73}{space 3}-.1246463
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 15}LD. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0005789{col 32}{space 2} .0002858{col 43}{space 1}    2.03{col 52}{space 3}0.045{col 60}{space 4} .0000133{col 73}{space 3} .0011446
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 2}ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 14}L3D. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.1208351{col 32}{space 2} .0823519{col 43}{space 1}   -1.47{col 52}{space 3}0.145{col 60}{space 4}-.2838327{col 73}{space 3} .0421625
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 14}L2D. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  .000491{col 32}{space 2} .0002856{col 43}{space 1}    1.72{col 52}{space 3}0.088{col 60}{space 4}-.0000742{col 73}{space 3} .0010562
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 9}gov_party {c |}
{space 15}L1. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .1652062{col 32}{space 2} .1929563{col 43}{space 1}    0.86{col 52}{space 3}0.394{col 60}{space 4}-.2167084{col 73}{space 3} .5471208
{txt}{space 15}LD. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.1956256{col 32}{space 2} .1836965{col 43}{space 1}   -1.06{col 52}{space 3}0.289{col 60}{space 4}-.5592124{col 73}{space 3} .1679611
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 7}dem_unified {c |}
{space 15}L1. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}        0{col 32}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 15}LD. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}        0{col 32}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 18} {c |}
{space 7}rep_unified {c |}
{space 15}L1. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}        0{col 32}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 15}LD. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}        0{col 32}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 18} {c |}
{space 4}electedjudges1 {c |}
{space 15}L1. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0878877{col 32}{space 2} .1742932{col 43}{space 1}   -0.50{col 52}{space 3}0.615{col 60}{space 4}-.4328628{col 73}{space 3} .2570873
{txt}{space 15}LD. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0658037{col 32}{space 2} .1667283{col 43}{space 1}   -0.39{col 52}{space 3}0.694{col 60}{space 4}-.3958057{col 73}{space 3} .2641984
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 8}state_fips {c |}
{space 15}13  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.4746377{col 32}{space 2} .1492711{col 43}{space 1}   -3.18{col 52}{space 3}0.002{col 60}{space 4} -.770087{col 73}{space 3}-.1791884
{txt}{space 15}37  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.3680895{col 32}{space 2} .1311711{col 43}{space 1}   -2.81{col 52}{space 3}0.006{col 60}{space 4}-.6277138{col 73}{space 3}-.1084651
{txt}{space 15}48  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.6005285{col 32}{space 2} .1901484{col 43}{space 1}   -3.16{col 52}{space 3}0.002{col 60}{space 4}-.9768855{col 73}{space 3}-.2241716
{txt}{space 15}51  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.1178139{col 32}{space 2} .1809671{col 43}{space 1}   -0.65{col 52}{space 3}0.516{col 60}{space 4}-.4759984{col 73}{space 3} .2403707
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 14}year {c |}
{space 13}1947  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .3079887{col 32}{space 2} .2860311{col 43}{space 1}    1.08{col 52}{space 3}0.284{col 60}{space 4} -.258147{col 73}{space 3} .8741245
{txt}{space 13}1948  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  .437305{col 32}{space 2}  .360693{col 43}{space 1}    1.21{col 52}{space 3}0.228{col 60}{space 4}-.2766074{col 73}{space 3} 1.151218
{txt}{space 13}1949  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0786365{col 32}{space 2} .3124731{col 43}{space 1}    0.25{col 52}{space 3}0.802{col 60}{space 4}-.5398353{col 73}{space 3} .6971084
{txt}{space 13}1950  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} -.120488{col 32}{space 2} .2731404{col 43}{space 1}   -0.44{col 52}{space 3}0.660{col 60}{space 4}-.6611093{col 73}{space 3} .4201333
{txt}{space 13}1951  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0525351{col 32}{space 2} .4259149{col 43}{space 1}   -0.12{col 52}{space 3}0.902{col 60}{space 4}-.8955399{col 73}{space 3} .7904698
{txt}{space 13}1952  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.1718568{col 32}{space 2} .2163035{col 43}{space 1}   -0.79{col 52}{space 3}0.428{col 60}{space 4} -.599982{col 73}{space 3} .2562685
{txt}{space 13}1953  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .3591334{col 32}{space 2} .3532627{col 43}{space 1}    1.02{col 52}{space 3}0.311{col 60}{space 4}-.3400724{col 73}{space 3} 1.058339
{txt}{space 13}1954  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0930998{col 32}{space 2} .2161175{col 43}{space 1}    0.43{col 52}{space 3}0.667{col 60}{space 4}-.3346573{col 73}{space 3} .5208569
{txt}{space 13}1955  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .2467873{col 32}{space 2} .3212346{col 43}{space 1}    0.77{col 52}{space 3}0.444{col 60}{space 4} -.389026{col 73}{space 3} .8826006
{txt}{space 13}1956  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .1368868{col 32}{space 2} .2877564{col 43}{space 1}    0.48{col 52}{space 3}0.635{col 60}{space 4}-.4326637{col 73}{space 3} .7064374
{txt}{space 13}1957  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .2061024{col 32}{space 2} .1981336{col 43}{space 1}    1.04{col 52}{space 3}0.300{col 60}{space 4}-.1860595{col 73}{space 3} .5982644
{txt}{space 13}1958  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .3550065{col 32}{space 2} .2311714{col 43}{space 1}    1.54{col 52}{space 3}0.127{col 60}{space 4}-.1025464{col 73}{space 3} .8125594
{txt}{space 13}1959  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .2068498{col 32}{space 2} .3991385{col 43}{space 1}    0.52{col 52}{space 3}0.605{col 60}{space 4}-.5831571{col 73}{space 3} .9968567
{txt}{space 13}1960  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  .298992{col 32}{space 2}  .268476{col 43}{space 1}    1.11{col 52}{space 3}0.268{col 60}{space 4}-.2323971{col 73}{space 3} .8303812
{txt}{space 13}1961  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .4420509{col 32}{space 2} .3059208{col 43}{space 1}    1.44{col 52}{space 3}0.151{col 60}{space 4}-.1634521{col 73}{space 3} 1.047554
{txt}{space 13}1962  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .4056043{col 32}{space 2} .4053543{col 43}{space 1}    1.00{col 52}{space 3}0.319{col 60}{space 4}-.3967054{col 73}{space 3} 1.207914
{txt}{space 13}1963  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  .789434{col 32}{space 2} .3451695{col 43}{space 1}    2.29{col 52}{space 3}0.024{col 60}{space 4}  .106247{col 73}{space 3} 1.472621
{txt}{space 13}1964  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .7047196{col 32}{space 2} .3700361{col 43}{space 1}    1.90{col 52}{space 3}0.059{col 60}{space 4}-.0276855{col 73}{space 3} 1.437125
{txt}{space 13}1965  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  .364203{col 32}{space 2} .4691162{col 43}{space 1}    0.78{col 52}{space 3}0.439{col 60}{space 4}-.5643093{col 73}{space 3} 1.292715
{txt}{space 13}1966  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .6631229{col 32}{space 2} .3583967{col 43}{space 1}    1.85{col 52}{space 3}0.067{col 60}{space 4}-.0462446{col 73}{space 3}  1.37249
{txt}{space 13}1967  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 1.259533{col 32}{space 2} .4471011{col 43}{space 1}    2.82{col 52}{space 3}0.006{col 60}{space 4} .3745947{col 73}{space 3} 2.144471
{txt}{space 13}1968  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .8852339{col 32}{space 2} .4384796{col 43}{space 1}    2.02{col 52}{space 3}0.046{col 60}{space 4} .0173598{col 73}{space 3} 1.753108
{txt}{space 13}1969  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 1.081408{col 32}{space 2} .4832565{col 43}{space 1}    2.24{col 52}{space 3}0.027{col 60}{space 4} .1249082{col 73}{space 3} 2.037908
{txt}{space 13}1970  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 1.098124{col 32}{space 2} .4503858{col 43}{space 1}    2.44{col 52}{space 3}0.016{col 60}{space 4} .2066842{col 73}{space 3} 1.989563
{txt}{space 13}1971  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .9966324{col 32}{space 2} .4393499{col 43}{space 1}    2.27{col 52}{space 3}0.025{col 60}{space 4} .1270359{col 73}{space 3} 1.866229
{txt}{space 13}1972  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 1.305465{col 32}{space 2} .5608516{col 43}{space 1}    2.33{col 52}{space 3}0.022{col 60}{space 4} .1953826{col 73}{space 3} 2.415548
{txt}{space 13}1973  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 1.435632{col 32}{space 2}  .584942{col 43}{space 1}    2.45{col 52}{space 3}0.016{col 60}{space 4} .2778677{col 73}{space 3} 2.593396
{txt}{space 13}1974  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 1.133765{col 32}{space 2} .4670775{col 43}{space 1}    2.43{col 52}{space 3}0.017{col 60}{space 4} .2092877{col 73}{space 3} 2.058242
{txt}{space 13}1975  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 1.125452{col 32}{space 2} .5770599{col 43}{space 1}    1.95{col 52}{space 3}0.053{col 60}{space 4}-.0167106{col 73}{space 3} 2.267616
{txt}{space 13}1976  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 1.657037{col 32}{space 2} .6729138{col 43}{space 1}    2.46{col 52}{space 3}0.015{col 60}{space 4} .3251518{col 73}{space 3} 2.988922
{txt}{space 13}1977  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 1.289715{col 32}{space 2} .6755426{col 43}{space 1}    1.91{col 52}{space 3}0.059{col 60}{space 4}-.0473734{col 73}{space 3} 2.626803
{txt}{space 13}1978  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 1.088185{col 32}{space 2} .5689559{col 43}{space 1}    1.91{col 52}{space 3}0.058{col 60}{space 4}-.0379381{col 73}{space 3} 2.214308
{txt}{space 13}1979  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 1.398834{col 32}{space 2} .5245863{col 43}{space 1}    2.67{col 52}{space 3}0.009{col 60}{space 4} .3605312{col 73}{space 3} 2.437138
{txt}{space 13}1980  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  1.46069{col 32}{space 2} .5300328{col 43}{space 1}    2.76{col 52}{space 3}0.007{col 60}{space 4}  .411607{col 73}{space 3} 2.509774
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 13}_cons {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.5655732{col 32}{space 2} .4269014{col 43}{space 1}   -1.32{col 52}{space 3}0.188{col 60}{space 4}-1.410531{col 73}{space 3} .2793842
{txt}{hline 19}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. predict ihsklarnerranneyhatallpre if year<=1980 & newsouth==1
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(3,164 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
. 
.  
. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION ERROR CORRECTION RATE *

. 
. 
. 
. test l.ihsklarnerranney = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.ihsklarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,   124) ={res}   11.38
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0010

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *Weak Exogeneity Tests*

. 
. 
. 
. testnl _b[l.adjpercapita_resid]/-_b[l.ihsklarnerranney] = 0

{col 3}{txt}(1){res}{col 8}{bind:_b[l.adjpercapita_resid]/-_b[l.ihsklarnerranney] = 0}

{txt}{ralign 22:chi2({res:1})} =  {res}      4.55
{txt}{ralign 22:Prob > chi2} =  {res}      0.0328{txt}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * GRANGER CAUSLITY TEST *

. 
. 
. 
. test d.adjpercapita_resid  =  l.d.adjpercapita_resid  =  l2.d.adjpercapita_resid = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.adjpercapita_resid - LD.adjpercapita_resid = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} D.adjpercapita_resid - L2D.adjpercapita_resid = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 3)}{space 1} D.adjpercapita_resid = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  3,   124) ={res}    1.67
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.1762

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENEITY)*

. 
. 
. 
. test l.ihsklarnerranney = l.adjpercapita_resid = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.ihsklarnerranney - L.adjpercapita_resid = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.ihsklarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,   124) ={res}    6.16
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0028

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *

. 
. 
. 
. lincom  d.adjpercapita_resid +  l.d.adjpercapita_resid  +  l2.d.adjpercapita_resid 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.adjpercapita_resid + LD.adjpercapita_resid + L2D.adjpercapita_resid = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}ihsklarner~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0011802{col 26}{space 2} .0005682{col 37}{space 1}    2.08{col 46}{space 3}0.040{col 54}{space 4} .0000556{col 67}{space 3} .0023049
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *

. 
. 
. 
. nlcom _b[l.adjpercapita_resid]/-_b[l.ihsklarnerranney]

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.adjpercapita_resid]/-_b[l.ihsklarnerranney]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}ihsklarner~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0009791{col 26}{space 2} .0004587{col 37}{space 1}   -2.13{col 46}{space 3}0.033{col 54}{space 4}-.0018782{col 67}{space 3}-.0000799
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. sum adjpercapita_resid   if ihsklarnerranneyhatallpre !=. & year<=1980 & newsouth==1, detail

                          {txt}Residuals
{hline 61}
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%    {res}-6053.337       -6066.33
{txt} 5%    {res}-5661.993      -6053.337
{txt}10%    {res}-5282.962      -6047.183       {txt}Obs         {res}        175
{txt}25%    {res}-4667.629      -6016.112       {txt}Sum of Wgt. {res}        175

{txt}50%    {res} -3663.18                      {txt}Mean          {res}-3273.329
                        {txt}Largest       Std. Dev.     {res} 1711.192
{txt}75%    {res}-1948.968          322.5
{txt}90%    {res}-642.0093        509.912       {txt}Variance      {res}  2928179
{txt}95%    {res}-94.42899       631.6221       {txt}Skewness      {res} .4543479
{txt}99%    {res} 631.6221       662.7953       {txt}Kurtosis      {res} 2.234725

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * TOTAL/DYNAMIC MULTIPLIER & BASELINE LONG-RUN EFFECTS OF adjpercapita_resid ON ihsklarnerranney:  75TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF adjpercapita_resid MINUS 25TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF adjpercapita_resid FOR EFFECTIVE SAMPLE PERIOD 

. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. nlcom  (_b[l.adjpercapita_resid] / - _b[l.ihsklarnerranney])*9803.36   -  (_b[l.adjpercapita_resid] / - _b[l.ihsklarnerranney])*5533.502

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}(_b[l.adjpercapita_resid] / - _b[l.ihsklarnerranney])*9803.36 - (_b[l.adjpercapita_resid] / - _b[l.ihsklarnerranney])*5533.502

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}ihsklarner~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-4.180451{col 26}{space 2} 1.958752{col 37}{space 1}   -2.13{col 46}{space 3}0.033{col 54}{space 4}-8.019534{col 67}{space 3}-.3413685
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
.   
. 
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. //(4,3)  MODEL
{bf}{err}/{sf} is not a valid command name
{txt}{search r(199), local:r(199);}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** III.C: NEW SOUTH STATES (N = 5): POST-PARTISAN ALIGNMENT TIME PERIOD (1981 - 2010) ***

. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. qui reg d.adjpercapita_resid  l.adjpercapita_resid l.klarnerranney   l.d.adjpercapita_resid d.klarnerranney  l2.d.adjpercapita_resid  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.adjpercapita_resid l2.d.klarnerranney l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified i.state_fips i.year if year >1980 & newsouth==1

. 
. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       150{col 27}-1175.967{col 38}-1080.006{col 49}    56{col 58} 2272.012{col 69} 2440.607
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ******INCOME EQUATION*********

. 
. 
. 
. newey d.adjpercapita_resid  l.adjpercapita_resid l.klarnerranney   l.d.adjpercapita_resid d.klarnerranney  l2.d.adjpercapita_resid  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.adjpercapita_resid l2.d.klarnerranney l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified i.state_fips i.year if year >1980 & newsouth==1, lag(5) force

{txt}Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       150
{txt}maximum lag: {res}5{col 49}{txt}F( 55,        94){col 67}= {res}     29.07
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}  Newey-West
{col 1}D.adjpercapita_resid{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      t{col 54}   P>|t|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 2}adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0256805{col 34}{space 2} .0709104{col 45}{space 1}   -0.36{col 54}{space 3}0.718{col 62}{space 4}-.1664748{col 75}{space 3} .1151139
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-11.34147{col 34}{space 2} 4.853719{col 45}{space 1}   -2.34{col 54}{space 3}0.022{col 62}{space 4}-20.97864{col 75}{space 3}  -1.7043
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 2}adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0000635{col 34}{space 2} .1000534{col 45}{space 1}   -0.00{col 54}{space 3}0.999{col 62}{space 4}-.1987218{col 75}{space 3} .1985948
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}D1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  3.20252{col 34}{space 2} 6.344176{col 45}{space 1}    0.50{col 54}{space 3}0.615{col 62}{space 4} -9.39399{col 75}{space 3} 15.79903
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 2}adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.3051537{col 34}{space 2} .1683661{col 45}{space 1}   -1.81{col 54}{space 3}0.073{col 62}{space 4}-.6394486{col 75}{space 3} .0291411
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 11.56663{col 34}{space 2} 5.507284{col 45}{space 1}    2.10{col 54}{space 3}0.038{col 62}{space 4} .6317896{col 75}{space 3} 22.50147
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 2}adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 16}L3D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0943891{col 34}{space 2} .1619042{col 45}{space 1}   -0.58{col 54}{space 3}0.561{col 62}{space 4}-.4158536{col 75}{space 3} .2270754
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 3.661057{col 34}{space 2} 5.046938{col 45}{space 1}    0.73{col 54}{space 3}0.470{col 62}{space 4}-6.359757{col 75}{space 3} 13.68187
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
csi_perc_cap_outlays {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  5995.62{col 34}{space 2} 4959.821{col 45}{space 1}    1.21{col 54}{space 3}0.230{col 62}{space 4}-3852.222{col 75}{space 3} 15843.46
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-2848.446{col 34}{space 2} 6297.653{col 45}{space 1}   -0.45{col 54}{space 3}0.652{col 62}{space 4}-15352.58{col 75}{space 3} 9655.691
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}right_to_work {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.847126{col 34}{space 2} 256.5231{col 45}{space 1}   -0.01{col 54}{space 3}0.994{col 62}{space 4}-511.1797{col 75}{space 3} 507.4854
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 196.4919{col 34}{space 2} 253.3812{col 45}{space 1}    0.78{col 54}{space 3}0.440{col 62}{space 4}-306.6024{col 75}{space 3} 699.5861
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 1}csi_welf_perc_total {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1234.22{col 34}{space 2} 3344.769{col 45}{space 1}    0.37{col 54}{space 3}0.713{col 62}{space 4}-5406.898{col 75}{space 3} 7875.338
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-6393.709{col 34}{space 2} 4753.858{col 45}{space 1}   -1.34{col 54}{space 3}0.182{col 62}{space 4}-15832.61{col 75}{space 3} 3045.187
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}nonfarm_persinc {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-39711.67{col 34}{space 2} 20788.15{col 45}{space 1}   -1.91{col 54}{space 3}0.059{col 62}{space 4}-80987.04{col 75}{space 3} 1563.695
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 18235.85{col 34}{space 2} 15067.53{col 45}{space 1}    1.21{col 54}{space 3}0.229{col 62}{space 4}-11681.09{col 75}{space 3} 48152.79
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 11}gov_party {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 30.89877{col 34}{space 2} 139.0508{col 45}{space 1}    0.22{col 54}{space 3}0.825{col 62}{space 4}-245.1898{col 75}{space 3} 306.9874
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 102.7589{col 34}{space 2} 204.1034{col 45}{space 1}    0.50{col 54}{space 3}0.616{col 62}{space 4}-302.4932{col 75}{space 3}  508.011
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}dem_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-168.5415{col 34}{space 2} 149.9303{col 45}{space 1}   -1.12{col 54}{space 3}0.264{col 62}{space 4}-466.2317{col 75}{space 3} 129.1487
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-66.74148{col 34}{space 2} 187.7804{col 45}{space 1}   -0.36{col 54}{space 3}0.723{col 62}{space 4}-439.5838{col 75}{space 3} 306.1008
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}rep_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-394.9077{col 34}{space 2} 394.2689{col 45}{space 1}   -1.00{col 54}{space 3}0.319{col 62}{space 4}-1177.738{col 75}{space 3} 387.9223
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 275.1442{col 34}{space 2} 275.2819{col 45}{space 1}    1.00{col 54}{space 3}0.320{col 62}{space 4}-271.4345{col 75}{space 3} 821.7228
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 10}state_fips {c |}
{space 17}13  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-248.8469{col 34}{space 2} 188.8298{col 45}{space 1}   -1.32{col 54}{space 3}0.191{col 62}{space 4} -623.773{col 75}{space 3} 126.0792
{txt}{space 17}37  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  -161.12{col 34}{space 2} 190.4402{col 45}{space 1}   -0.85{col 54}{space 3}0.400{col 62}{space 4}-539.2435{col 75}{space 3} 217.0034
{txt}{space 17}48  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-412.7401{col 34}{space 2} 375.0844{col 45}{space 1}   -1.10{col 54}{space 3}0.274{col 62}{space 4}-1157.479{col 75}{space 3} 331.9989
{txt}{space 17}51  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 628.1709{col 34}{space 2}  290.358{col 45}{space 1}    2.16{col 54}{space 3}0.033{col 62}{space 4} 51.65831{col 75}{space 3} 1204.683
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 16}year {c |}
{space 15}1982  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 211.4132{col 34}{space 2} 223.3463{col 45}{space 1}    0.95{col 54}{space 3}0.346{col 62}{space 4}-232.0462{col 75}{space 3} 654.8726
{txt}{space 15}1983  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 311.5626{col 34}{space 2} 322.8666{col 45}{space 1}    0.96{col 54}{space 3}0.337{col 62}{space 4}-329.4966{col 75}{space 3} 952.6218
{txt}{space 15}1984  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 892.6057{col 34}{space 2} 327.5357{col 45}{space 1}    2.73{col 54}{space 3}0.008{col 62}{space 4} 242.2759{col 75}{space 3} 1542.935
{txt}{space 15}1985  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 469.6519{col 34}{space 2} 391.7741{col 45}{space 1}    1.20{col 54}{space 3}0.234{col 62}{space 4}-308.2247{col 75}{space 3} 1247.529
{txt}{space 15}1986  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 368.3408{col 34}{space 2} 426.1871{col 45}{space 1}    0.86{col 54}{space 3}0.390{col 62}{space 4}-477.8637{col 75}{space 3} 1214.545
{txt}{space 15}1987  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 557.6809{col 34}{space 2} 345.6704{col 45}{space 1}    1.61{col 54}{space 3}0.110{col 62}{space 4}-128.6558{col 75}{space 3} 1244.018
{txt}{space 15}1988  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 523.0897{col 34}{space 2}  380.504{col 45}{space 1}    1.37{col 54}{space 3}0.172{col 62}{space 4}  -232.41{col 75}{space 3} 1278.589
{txt}{space 15}1989  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 384.6359{col 34}{space 2} 363.2115{col 45}{space 1}    1.06{col 54}{space 3}0.292{col 62}{space 4}-336.5291{col 75}{space 3} 1105.801
{txt}{space 15}1990  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 111.7802{col 34}{space 2} 370.5334{col 45}{space 1}    0.30{col 54}{space 3}0.764{col 62}{space 4}-623.9225{col 75}{space 3} 847.4829
{txt}{space 15}1991  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-37.26628{col 34}{space 2} 390.1245{col 45}{space 1}   -0.10{col 54}{space 3}0.924{col 62}{space 4}-811.8676{col 75}{space 3} 737.3351
{txt}{space 15}1992  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 418.8151{col 34}{space 2} 456.6675{col 45}{space 1}    0.92{col 54}{space 3}0.361{col 62}{space 4} -487.909{col 75}{space 3} 1325.539
{txt}{space 15}1993  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-119.3504{col 34}{space 2} 571.2845{col 45}{space 1}   -0.21{col 54}{space 3}0.835{col 62}{space 4}-1253.649{col 75}{space 3} 1014.948
{txt}{space 15}1994  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 459.8478{col 34}{space 2} 529.1325{col 45}{space 1}    0.87{col 54}{space 3}0.387{col 62}{space 4} -590.757{col 75}{space 3} 1510.453
{txt}{space 15}1995  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 252.2586{col 34}{space 2} 579.9023{col 45}{space 1}    0.44{col 54}{space 3}0.665{col 62}{space 4}-899.1509{col 75}{space 3} 1403.668
{txt}{space 15}1996  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 646.0541{col 34}{space 2} 564.5248{col 45}{space 1}    1.14{col 54}{space 3}0.255{col 62}{space 4}-474.8231{col 75}{space 3} 1766.931
{txt}{space 15}1997  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 817.2007{col 34}{space 2} 557.4636{col 45}{space 1}    1.47{col 54}{space 3}0.146{col 62}{space 4}-289.6564{col 75}{space 3} 1924.058
{txt}{space 15}1998  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1293.396{col 34}{space 2} 639.8161{col 45}{space 1}    2.02{col 54}{space 3}0.046{col 62}{space 4} 23.02585{col 75}{space 3} 2563.766
{txt}{space 15}1999  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 716.9341{col 34}{space 2} 692.7905{col 45}{space 1}    1.03{col 54}{space 3}0.303{col 62}{space 4}-658.6176{col 75}{space 3} 2092.486
{txt}{space 15}2000  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1214.014{col 34}{space 2} 641.3708{col 45}{space 1}    1.89{col 54}{space 3}0.061{col 62}{space 4}-59.44237{col 75}{space 3} 2487.471
{txt}{space 15}2001  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 574.8051{col 34}{space 2} 815.3288{col 45}{space 1}    0.70{col 54}{space 3}0.483{col 62}{space 4}-1044.049{col 75}{space 3}  2193.66
{txt}{space 15}2002  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 244.0915{col 34}{space 2} 856.9025{col 45}{space 1}    0.28{col 54}{space 3}0.776{col 62}{space 4}-1457.309{col 75}{space 3} 1945.492
{txt}{space 15}2003  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 632.8193{col 34}{space 2} 828.6712{col 45}{space 1}    0.76{col 54}{space 3}0.447{col 62}{space 4}-1012.527{col 75}{space 3} 2278.165
{txt}{space 15}2004  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  556.314{col 34}{space 2} 888.7638{col 45}{space 1}    0.63{col 54}{space 3}0.533{col 62}{space 4}-1208.347{col 75}{space 3} 2320.975
{txt}{space 15}2005  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 636.5798{col 34}{space 2} 782.6715{col 45}{space 1}    0.81{col 54}{space 3}0.418{col 62}{space 4}-917.4328{col 75}{space 3} 2190.592
{txt}{space 15}2006  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 969.0578{col 34}{space 2} 803.1979{col 45}{space 1}    1.21{col 54}{space 3}0.231{col 62}{space 4}-625.7105{col 75}{space 3} 2563.826
{txt}{space 15}2007  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1254.613{col 34}{space 2} 938.2842{col 45}{space 1}    1.34{col 54}{space 3}0.184{col 62}{space 4}-608.3723{col 75}{space 3} 3117.598
{txt}{space 15}2008  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 786.1889{col 34}{space 2} 938.3423{col 45}{space 1}    0.84{col 54}{space 3}0.404{col 62}{space 4}-1076.912{col 75}{space 3}  2649.29
{txt}{space 15}2009  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-332.4658{col 34}{space 2} 862.5681{col 45}{space 1}   -0.39{col 54}{space 3}0.701{col 62}{space 4}-2045.115{col 75}{space 3} 1380.183
{txt}{space 15}2010  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-596.9286{col 34}{space 2} 719.8868{col 45}{space 1}   -0.83{col 54}{space 3}0.409{col 62}{space 4}-2026.281{col 75}{space 3} 832.4235
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 39137.64{col 34}{space 2} 20324.33{col 45}{space 1}    1.93{col 54}{space 3}0.057{col 62}{space 4} -1216.79{col 75}{space 3} 79492.07
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. predict adjpercapita_residhatallpost if year>1980 & newsouth==1
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(3,189 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME ERROR CORRECTION RATE *

. 
. 
. 
. test l.adjpercapita_resid = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.adjpercapita_resid = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,    94) ={res}    0.13
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.7181

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *Weak Exogeneity Tests*

. 
. 
. 
. testnl _b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.adjpercapita_resid] = 0

{col 3}{txt}(1){res}{col 8}{bind:_b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.adjpercapita_resid] = 0}

{txt}{ralign 22:chi2({res:1})} =  {res}      0.13
{txt}{ralign 22:Prob > chi2} =  {res}      0.7157{txt}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * GRANGER CAUSLITY TEST*

. 
. 
. 
. test  d.klarnerranney = l.d.klarnerranney  =  l2.d.klarnerranney = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.klarnerranney - LD.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} D.klarnerranney - L2D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 3)}{space 1} D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  3,    94) ={res}    1.59
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.1973

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENIETY)*

. 
. 
. 
. test l.adjpercapita_resid = l.klarnerranney = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.adjpercapita_resid - L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.adjpercapita_resid = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,    94) ={res}    2.73
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0701

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *

. 
. 
. 
. lincom  d.klarnerranney +  l.d.klarnerranney  +  l2.d.klarnerranney 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.klarnerranney + LD.klarnerranney + L2D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}adjpercapi~d{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 18.43021{col 26}{space 2} 11.39171{col 37}{space 1}    1.62{col 46}{space 3}0.109{col 54}{space 4} -4.18829{col 67}{space 3} 41.04871
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *

. 
. 
. 
. nlcom _b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.adjpercapita_resid] 

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.adjpercapita_resid]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}adjpercapi~d{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-441.6379{col 26}{space 2} 1212.772{col 37}{space 1}   -0.36{col 46}{space 3}0.716{col 54}{space 4}-2818.628{col 67}{space 3} 1935.352
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. sum klarnerranney  if adjpercapita_residhatallpost!=. & year>1980 & newsouth==1, detail

         {txt}Annual Ranney Measure of State Legislative
               Partisan Balance (Klarner Data)
{hline 61}
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%    {res}  22.2619        22.2619
{txt} 5%    {res} 30.51587        22.2619
{txt}10%    {res} 40.06452       25.83333       {txt}Obs         {res}        150
{txt}25%    {res} 56.68817       25.83333       {txt}Sum of Wgt. {res}        150

{txt}50%    {res} 76.58333                      {txt}Mean          {res} 71.16566
                        {txt}Largest       Std. Dev.     {res} 20.01031
{txt}75%    {res} 85.82796        99.6129
{txt}90%    {res} 94.91667       99.82796       {txt}Variance      {res} 400.4125
{txt}95%    {res}       98       99.82796       {txt}Skewness      {res}-.5953372
{txt}99%    {res} 99.82796            100       {txt}Kurtosis      {res}  2.55123

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * TOTAL/DYNAMIC MULTIPLIER & BASELINE LONG-RUN EFFECTS OF klarnerranney ON adjpercapita_resid:  75TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF klarnerranney MINUS 25TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF klarnerranney FOR EFFECTIVE SAMPLE PERIOD *

. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. nlcom  (_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.adjpercapita_resid])*85.82796   -  (_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.adjpercapita_resid])*56.68817

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}(_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.adjpercapita_resid])*85.82796 - (_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.adjpercapita_resid])*56.68817

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}adjpercapi~d{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-12869.24{col 26}{space 2} 35339.92{col 37}{space 1}   -0.36{col 46}{space 3}0.716{col 54}{space 4}-82134.21{col 67}{space 3} 56395.74
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
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. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. 
. 
. qui reg d.klarnerranney  l.klarnerranney l.adjpercapita_resid l.d.klarnerranney d.adjpercapita_resid  l2.d.klarnerranney  l.d.adjpercapita_resid  l3.d.klarnerranney l2.d.adjpercapita_resid l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1 i.state_fips i.year if year >1980 & newsouth==1

. 
. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       150{col 27}-513.1636{col 38}  -458.26{col 49}    48{col 58}  1012.52{col 69}  1157.03
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ******PARTISAN COMPETITION EQUATION*********

. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. newey d.klarnerranney  l.klarnerranney l.adjpercapita_resid l.d.klarnerranney d.adjpercapita_resid  l2.d.klarnerranney  l.d.adjpercapita_resid  l3.d.klarnerranney l2.d.adjpercapita_resid l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1 i.state_fips i.year if year >1980 & newsouth==1, lag(5) force
{txt}note: LD.electedjudges1 omitted because of collinearity
note: 48.state_fips omitted because of collinearity

Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       150
{txt}maximum lag: {res}5{col 49}{txt}F( 47,       102){col 67}= {res}      6.54
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 19}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 20}{c |}{col 32}  Newey-West
{col 1}   D.klarnerranney{col 20}{c |}      Coef.{col 32}   Std. Err.{col 44}      t{col 52}   P>|t|{col 60}     [95% Con{col 73}f. Interval]
{hline 19}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 15}L1. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.2003763{col 32}{space 2} .0693052{col 43}{space 1}   -2.89{col 52}{space 3}0.005{col 60}{space 4}-.3378428{col 73}{space 3}-.0629098
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 15}L1. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  .000781{col 32}{space 2} .0004351{col 43}{space 1}    1.79{col 52}{space 3}0.076{col 60}{space 4}-.0000821{col 73}{space 3}  .001644
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 5}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 15}LD. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0571909{col 32}{space 2} .0943977{col 43}{space 1}   -0.61{col 52}{space 3}0.546{col 60}{space 4}-.2444284{col 73}{space 3} .1300466
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 15}D1. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0008308{col 32}{space 2} .0012251{col 43}{space 1}    0.68{col 52}{space 3}0.499{col 60}{space 4}-.0015992{col 73}{space 3} .0032608
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 5}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 14}L2D. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0392102{col 32}{space 2} .1191405{col 43}{space 1}   -0.33{col 52}{space 3}0.743{col 60}{space 4}-.2755248{col 73}{space 3} .1971045
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 15}LD. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0013298{col 32}{space 2} .0012622{col 43}{space 1}    1.05{col 52}{space 3}0.295{col 60}{space 4}-.0011738{col 73}{space 3} .0038334
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 5}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 14}L3D. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.1004875{col 32}{space 2} .0894376{col 43}{space 1}   -1.12{col 52}{space 3}0.264{col 60}{space 4}-.2778865{col 73}{space 3} .0769115
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 14}L2D. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-1.92e-06{col 32}{space 2} .0014144{col 43}{space 1}   -0.00{col 52}{space 3}0.999{col 60}{space 4}-.0028074{col 73}{space 3} .0028036
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 9}gov_party {c |}
{space 15}L1. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} -4.01677{col 32}{space 2} 2.255411{col 43}{space 1}   -1.78{col 52}{space 3}0.078{col 60}{space 4}-8.490366{col 73}{space 3} .4568272
{txt}{space 15}LD. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 3.416346{col 32}{space 2} 2.784254{col 43}{space 1}    1.23{col 52}{space 3}0.223{col 60}{space 4}-2.106209{col 73}{space 3} 8.938901
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 7}dem_unified {c |}
{space 15}L1. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 6.361308{col 32}{space 2} 2.824883{col 43}{space 1}    2.25{col 52}{space 3}0.026{col 60}{space 4} .7581662{col 73}{space 3} 11.96445
{txt}{space 15}LD. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-4.623231{col 32}{space 2} 2.997021{col 43}{space 1}   -1.54{col 52}{space 3}0.126{col 60}{space 4}-10.56781{col 73}{space 3} 1.321347
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 7}rep_unified {c |}
{space 15}L1. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-4.113496{col 32}{space 2} 3.984336{col 43}{space 1}   -1.03{col 52}{space 3}0.304{col 60}{space 4}-12.01641{col 73}{space 3} 3.789415
{txt}{space 15}LD. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 4.582715{col 32}{space 2} 2.826831{col 43}{space 1}    1.62{col 52}{space 3}0.108{col 60}{space 4}-1.024291{col 73}{space 3} 10.18972
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 4}electedjudges1 {c |}
{space 15}L1. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 3.070972{col 32}{space 2} 2.520367{col 43}{space 1}    1.22{col 52}{space 3}0.226{col 60}{space 4}-1.928164{col 73}{space 3} 8.070109
{txt}{space 15}LD. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}        0{col 32}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 18} {c |}
{space 8}state_fips {c |}
{space 15}13  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-7.430884{col 32}{space 2} 2.487166{col 43}{space 1}   -2.99{col 52}{space 3}0.004{col 60}{space 4}-12.36417{col 73}{space 3}-2.497602
{txt}{space 15}37  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-4.645969{col 32}{space 2} 1.858557{col 43}{space 1}   -2.50{col 52}{space 3}0.014{col 60}{space 4}-8.332408{col 73}{space 3}-.9595305
{txt}{space 15}48  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}        0{col 32}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 15}51  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-2.601697{col 32}{space 2} 2.098252{col 43}{space 1}   -1.24{col 52}{space 3}0.218{col 60}{space 4}-6.763571{col 73}{space 3} 1.560176
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 14}year {c |}
{space 13}1982  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-5.578142{col 32}{space 2} 4.247146{col 43}{space 1}   -1.31{col 52}{space 3}0.192{col 60}{space 4}-14.00234{col 73}{space 3} 2.846052
{txt}{space 13}1983  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-15.08218{col 32}{space 2} 5.836412{col 43}{space 1}   -2.58{col 52}{space 3}0.011{col 60}{space 4}-26.65868{col 73}{space 3}-3.505684
{txt}{space 13}1984  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-10.23394{col 32}{space 2} 3.863473{col 43}{space 1}   -2.65{col 52}{space 3}0.009{col 60}{space 4}-17.89712{col 73}{space 3}-2.570759
{txt}{space 13}1985  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-1.226152{col 32}{space 2}  4.92765{col 43}{space 1}   -0.25{col 52}{space 3}0.804{col 60}{space 4}-11.00012{col 73}{space 3} 8.547819
{txt}{space 13}1986  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} -8.55336{col 32}{space 2} 3.581209{col 43}{space 1}   -2.39{col 52}{space 3}0.019{col 60}{space 4}-15.65667{col 73}{space 3}-1.450048
{txt}{space 13}1987  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-4.691441{col 32}{space 2} 4.740245{col 43}{space 1}   -0.99{col 52}{space 3}0.325{col 60}{space 4}-14.09369{col 73}{space 3} 4.710811
{txt}{space 13}1988  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-6.212722{col 32}{space 2} 3.744799{col 43}{space 1}   -1.66{col 52}{space 3}0.100{col 60}{space 4}-13.64051{col 73}{space 3}  1.21507
{txt}{space 13}1989  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  .094403{col 32}{space 2} 4.466393{col 43}{space 1}    0.02{col 52}{space 3}0.983{col 60}{space 4}-8.764667{col 73}{space 3} 8.953473
{txt}{space 13}1990  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-3.971236{col 32}{space 2} 3.773485{col 43}{space 1}   -1.05{col 52}{space 3}0.295{col 60}{space 4}-11.45592{col 73}{space 3} 3.513453
{txt}{space 13}1991  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-5.533913{col 32}{space 2} 3.515241{col 43}{space 1}   -1.57{col 52}{space 3}0.119{col 60}{space 4}-12.50638{col 73}{space 3} 1.438552
{txt}{space 13}1992  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .7669497{col 32}{space 2} 5.859105{col 43}{space 1}    0.13{col 52}{space 3}0.896{col 60}{space 4}-10.85456{col 73}{space 3} 12.38846
{txt}{space 13}1993  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 2.116324{col 32}{space 2} 4.870371{col 43}{space 1}    0.43{col 52}{space 3}0.665{col 60}{space 4}-7.544034{col 73}{space 3} 11.77668
{txt}{space 13}1994  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.5988774{col 32}{space 2} 4.394699{col 43}{space 1}   -0.14{col 52}{space 3}0.892{col 60}{space 4}-9.315742{col 73}{space 3} 8.117987
{txt}{space 13}1995  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 12.13812{col 32}{space 2} 7.452214{col 43}{space 1}    1.63{col 52}{space 3}0.106{col 60}{space 4}-2.643311{col 73}{space 3} 26.91955
{txt}{space 13}1996  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 3.336053{col 32}{space 2} 4.923808{col 43}{space 1}    0.68{col 52}{space 3}0.500{col 60}{space 4}-6.430297{col 73}{space 3}  13.1024
{txt}{space 13}1997  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 4.282616{col 32}{space 2} 5.552481{col 43}{space 1}    0.77{col 52}{space 3}0.442{col 60}{space 4}-6.730703{col 73}{space 3} 15.29593
{txt}{space 13}1998  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 3.138918{col 32}{space 2} 5.699924{col 43}{space 1}    0.55{col 52}{space 3}0.583{col 60}{space 4}-8.166854{col 73}{space 3} 14.44469
{txt}{space 13}1999  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-4.399358{col 32}{space 2} 6.277975{col 43}{space 1}   -0.70{col 52}{space 3}0.485{col 60}{space 4}-16.85169{col 73}{space 3} 8.052975
{txt}{space 13}2000  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.1908832{col 32}{space 2} 5.556777{col 43}{space 1}   -0.03{col 52}{space 3}0.973{col 60}{space 4}-11.21272{col 73}{space 3} 10.83096
{txt}{space 13}2001  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  -1.4476{col 32}{space 2} 5.695484{col 43}{space 1}   -0.25{col 52}{space 3}0.800{col 60}{space 4}-12.74456{col 73}{space 3} 9.849365
{txt}{space 13}2002  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-1.875188{col 32}{space 2} 5.371199{col 43}{space 1}   -0.35{col 52}{space 3}0.728{col 60}{space 4}-12.52894{col 73}{space 3}  8.77856
{txt}{space 13}2003  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .9293757{col 32}{space 2} 7.853768{col 43}{space 1}    0.12{col 52}{space 3}0.906{col 60}{space 4}-14.64854{col 73}{space 3} 16.50729
{txt}{space 13}2004  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .7989506{col 32}{space 2} 5.233047{col 43}{space 1}    0.15{col 52}{space 3}0.879{col 60}{space 4}-9.580774{col 73}{space 3} 11.17867
{txt}{space 13}2005  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.2451834{col 32}{space 2} 6.166577{col 43}{space 1}   -0.04{col 52}{space 3}0.968{col 60}{space 4}-12.47656{col 73}{space 3} 11.98619
{txt}{space 13}2006  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 1.731153{col 32}{space 2} 5.592105{col 43}{space 1}    0.31{col 52}{space 3}0.758{col 60}{space 4}-9.360761{col 73}{space 3} 12.82307
{txt}{space 13}2007  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .5278559{col 32}{space 2} 6.574015{col 43}{space 1}    0.08{col 52}{space 3}0.936{col 60}{space 4}-12.51167{col 73}{space 3} 13.56738
{txt}{space 13}2008  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 3.639319{col 32}{space 2} 7.494228{col 43}{space 1}    0.49{col 52}{space 3}0.628{col 60}{space 4}-11.22545{col 73}{space 3} 18.50409
{txt}{space 13}2009  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 4.788901{col 32}{space 2} 5.812567{col 43}{space 1}    0.82{col 52}{space 3}0.412{col 60}{space 4}-6.740299{col 73}{space 3}  16.3181
{txt}{space 13}2010  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .4477733{col 32}{space 2} 5.909481{col 43}{space 1}    0.08{col 52}{space 3}0.940{col 60}{space 4}-11.27365{col 73}{space 3}  12.1692
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 13}_cons {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 17.02006{col 32}{space 2}  4.30129{col 43}{space 1}    3.96{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 8.488476{col 73}{space 3} 25.55165
{txt}{hline 19}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. predict klarnerranneyhatallpost if year>1980 & newsouth==1
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(3,189 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION ERROR CORRECTION RATE *

. 
. 
. 
. test l.klarnerranney = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,   102) ={res}    8.36
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0047

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *Weak Exogeneity Tests*

. 
. 
. 
. testnl _b[l.adjpercapita_resid]/-_b[l.klarnerranney] = 0

{col 3}{txt}(1){res}{col 8}{bind:_b[l.adjpercapita_resid]/-_b[l.klarnerranney] = 0}

{txt}{ralign 22:chi2({res:1})} =  {res}      1.77
{txt}{ralign 22:Prob > chi2} =  {res}      0.1833{txt}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * GRANGER CAUSLITY TEST *

. 
. 
. 
. test d.adjpercapita_resid  =  l.d.adjpercapita_resid  =  l2.d.adjpercapita_resid = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.adjpercapita_resid - LD.adjpercapita_resid = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} D.adjpercapita_resid - L2D.adjpercapita_resid = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 3)}{space 1} D.adjpercapita_resid = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  3,   102) ={res}    0.52
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.6719

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENEITY)*

. 
. 
. 
. test l.klarnerranney = l.adjpercapita_resid = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.klarnerranney - L.adjpercapita_resid = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,   102) ={res}    8.66
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0003

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *

. 
. 
. 
. lincom  d.adjpercapita_resid  +  l.d.adjpercapita_resid  +  l2.d.adjpercapita_resid 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.adjpercapita_resid + LD.adjpercapita_resid + L2D.adjpercapita_resid = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}klarnerran~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0021587{col 26}{space 2} .0028293{col 37}{space 1}    0.76{col 46}{space 3}0.447{col 54}{space 4}-.0034532{col 67}{space 3} .0077705
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *

. 
. 
. 
. nlcom _b[l.adjpercapita_resid]/-_b[l.klarnerranney]

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.adjpercapita_resid]/-_b[l.klarnerranney]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}klarnerran~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0038975{col 26}{space 2} .0029289{col 37}{space 1}    1.33{col 46}{space 3}0.183{col 54}{space 4} -.001843{col 67}{space 3}  .009638
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. sum  adjpercapita_resid    if klarnerranneyhatallpost!=. & year>1980 & newsouth==1, detail

                          {txt}Residuals
{hline 61}
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%    {res}-6861.349      -9185.126
{txt} 5%    {res}-3720.857      -6861.349
{txt}10%    {res} -2464.12      -5532.735       {txt}Obs         {res}        150
{txt}25%    {res}-470.4274      -5504.629       {txt}Sum of Wgt. {res}        150

{txt}50%    {res} 1209.125                      {txt}Mean          {res}  1034.93
                        {txt}Largest       Std. Dev.     {res} 2891.782
{txt}75%    {res} 2233.405       7335.057
{txt}90%    {res} 4226.944       7809.452       {txt}Variance      {res}  8362403
{txt}95%    {res} 6358.394       7938.637       {txt}Skewness      {res}-.2139167
{txt}99%    {res} 7938.637       8178.622       {txt}Kurtosis      {res} 4.112503

{com}. 
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. * TOTAL/DYNAMIC MULTIPLIER & BASELINE LONG-RUN EFFECTS OF  adjpercapita_resid ON klarnerranney:  75TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF adjpercapita_resid MINUS 25TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF adjpercapita_resid FOR EFFECTIVE SAMPLE PERIOD 

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. nlcom  (_b[l.adjpercapita_resid] / - _b[l.klarnerranney])*16574.21   -  (_b[l.adjpercapita_resid] / - _b[l.klarnerranney])*13297.69   

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}(_b[l.adjpercapita_resid] / - _b[l.klarnerranney])*16574.21 - (_b[l.adjpercapita_resid] / - _b[l.klarnerranney])*13297.69

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}klarnerran~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 12.77026{col 26}{space 2} 9.596488{col 37}{space 1}    1.33{col 46}{space 3}0.183{col 54}{space 4}-6.038512{col 67}{space 3} 31.57903
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
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. restore 

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. preserve

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. //(5,4) MODEL
{bf}{err}/{sf} is not a valid command name
{txt}{search r(199), local:r(199);}

{com}. 
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. *** IV.A: OLD SOUTH STATES (N = 9): FULL TIME PERIOD (1942 - 2010) ***

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. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

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. qui reg d.adjpercapita_resid  l.adjpercapita_resid l.klarnerranney   l.d.adjpercapita_resid d.klarnerranney  l2.d.adjpercapita_resid  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.adjpercapita_resid l2.d.klarnerranney  l4.d.adjpercapita_resid l3.d.klarnerranney  l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work  l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified i.state_fips i.year if oldsouth==1

. 
. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       576{col 27}-4065.773{col 38}-3824.484{col 49}    96{col 58} 7840.968{col 69} 8259.155
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
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. ******INCOME EQUATION*********

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. 
. 
. newey d.adjpercapita_resid  l.adjpercapita_resid l.klarnerranney   l.d.adjpercapita_resid d.klarnerranney  l2.d.adjpercapita_resid  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.adjpercapita_resid l2.d.klarnerranney  l4.d.adjpercapita_resid l3.d.klarnerranney  l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work  l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified i.state_fips i.year if oldsouth==1, lag(8) force

{txt}Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       576
{txt}maximum lag: {res}8{col 49}{txt}F( 95,       480){col 67}= {res}     81.19
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}  Newey-West
{col 1}D.adjpercapita_resid{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      t{col 54}   P>|t|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 2}adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.1854317{col 34}{space 2} .0449347{col 45}{space 1}   -4.13{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-.2737248{col 75}{space 3}-.0971387
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .5024099{col 34}{space 2} .9633218{col 45}{space 1}    0.52{col 54}{space 3}0.602{col 62}{space 4}-1.390439{col 75}{space 3} 2.395259
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 2}adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .1441115{col 34}{space 2} .0776491{col 45}{space 1}    1.86{col 54}{space 3}0.064{col 62}{space 4}-.0084626{col 75}{space 3} .2966857
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}D1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.173244{col 34}{space 2} 1.962552{col 45}{space 1}   -0.60{col 54}{space 3}0.550{col 62}{space 4}-5.029498{col 75}{space 3}  2.68301
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 2}adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0467317{col 34}{space 2} .1053585{col 45}{space 1}   -0.44{col 54}{space 3}0.658{col 62}{space 4}-.2537525{col 75}{space 3} .1602891
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.6887438{col 34}{space 2} 1.831877{col 45}{space 1}   -0.38{col 54}{space 3}0.707{col 62}{space 4}-4.288234{col 75}{space 3} 2.910746
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 2}adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 16}L3D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0340365{col 34}{space 2} .0761652{col 45}{space 1}   -0.45{col 54}{space 3}0.655{col 62}{space 4} -.183695{col 75}{space 3} .1156219
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-2.830294{col 34}{space 2} 1.852268{col 45}{space 1}   -1.53{col 54}{space 3}0.127{col 62}{space 4}-6.469849{col 75}{space 3} .8092603
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 2}adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 16}L4D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  .129222{col 34}{space 2} .0622825{col 45}{space 1}    2.07{col 54}{space 3}0.039{col 62}{space 4} .0068421{col 75}{space 3}  .251602
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 16}L3D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  .539133{col 34}{space 2} 1.471763{col 45}{space 1}    0.37{col 54}{space 3}0.714{col 62}{space 4}-2.352762{col 75}{space 3} 3.431028
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
csi_perc_cap_outlays {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 188.0754{col 34}{space 2}  273.486{col 45}{space 1}    0.69{col 54}{space 3}0.492{col 62}{space 4}-349.3024{col 75}{space 3} 725.4531
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.356727{col 34}{space 2} 364.1553{col 45}{space 1}    0.00{col 54}{space 3}0.997{col 62}{space 4}-714.1788{col 75}{space 3} 716.8923
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}right_to_work {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-53.05948{col 34}{space 2} 41.39749{col 45}{space 1}   -1.28{col 54}{space 3}0.201{col 62}{space 4}-134.4022{col 75}{space 3} 28.28321
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-9.027689{col 34}{space 2} 72.25763{col 45}{space 1}   -0.12{col 54}{space 3}0.901{col 62}{space 4} -151.008{col 75}{space 3} 132.9527
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 1}csi_welf_perc_total {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 99.47148{col 34}{space 2} 293.3146{col 45}{space 1}    0.34{col 54}{space 3}0.735{col 62}{space 4}-476.8678{col 75}{space 3} 675.8108
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 630.1897{col 34}{space 2} 1022.781{col 45}{space 1}    0.62{col 54}{space 3}0.538{col 62}{space 4}-1379.493{col 75}{space 3} 2639.872
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}nonfarm_persinc {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 889.6561{col 34}{space 2} 437.2477{col 45}{space 1}    2.03{col 54}{space 3}0.042{col 62}{space 4} 30.50003{col 75}{space 3} 1748.812
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 2265.433{col 34}{space 2} 757.1644{col 45}{space 1}    2.99{col 54}{space 3}0.003{col 62}{space 4} 777.6665{col 75}{space 3} 3753.199
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 11}gov_party {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-92.65298{col 34}{space 2} 70.42365{col 45}{space 1}   -1.32{col 54}{space 3}0.189{col 62}{space 4}-231.0297{col 75}{space 3} 45.72376
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 127.4744{col 34}{space 2} 115.7869{col 45}{space 1}    1.10{col 54}{space 3}0.271{col 62}{space 4}-100.0374{col 75}{space 3} 354.9862
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}dem_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 96.41394{col 34}{space 2} 84.99072{col 45}{space 1}    1.13{col 54}{space 3}0.257{col 62}{space 4}-70.58589{col 75}{space 3} 263.4138
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-134.0863{col 34}{space 2} 125.8741{col 45}{space 1}   -1.07{col 54}{space 3}0.287{col 62}{space 4}-381.4186{col 75}{space 3}  113.246
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}rep_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 7.964134{col 34}{space 2}  75.9321{col 45}{space 1}    0.10{col 54}{space 3}0.917{col 62}{space 4}-141.2363{col 75}{space 3} 157.1645
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -234.109{col 34}{space 2} 134.0291{col 45}{space 1}   -1.75{col 54}{space 3}0.081{col 62}{space 4}-497.4651{col 75}{space 3}  29.2472
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 10}state_fips {c |}
{space 18}5  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  81.6253{col 34}{space 2} 38.00131{col 45}{space 1}    2.15{col 54}{space 3}0.032{col 62}{space 4} 6.955816{col 75}{space 3} 156.2948
{txt}{space 17}21  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -20.5991{col 34}{space 2} 55.49213{col 45}{space 1}   -0.37{col 54}{space 3}0.711{col 62}{space 4}-129.6366{col 75}{space 3} 88.43841
{txt}{space 17}22  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .2362722{col 34}{space 2} 49.12466{col 45}{space 1}    0.00{col 54}{space 3}0.996{col 62}{space 4}-96.28968{col 75}{space 3} 96.76222
{txt}{space 17}28  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-133.6356{col 34}{space 2}   51.819{col 45}{space 1}   -2.58{col 54}{space 3}0.010{col 62}{space 4}-235.4557{col 75}{space 3} -31.8155
{txt}{space 17}40  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 218.2766{col 34}{space 2} 59.12907{col 45}{space 1}    3.69{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 102.0927{col 75}{space 3} 334.4604
{txt}{space 17}45  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 57.57262{col 34}{space 2} 36.04979{col 45}{space 1}    1.60{col 54}{space 3}0.111{col 62}{space 4}-13.26228{col 75}{space 3} 128.4075
{txt}{space 17}47  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  78.1161{col 34}{space 2} 42.59618{col 45}{space 1}    1.83{col 54}{space 3}0.067{col 62}{space 4}-5.581935{col 75}{space 3} 161.8141
{txt}{space 17}54  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.8822034{col 34}{space 2} 56.69957{col 45}{space 1}   -0.02{col 54}{space 3}0.988{col 62}{space 4}-112.2922{col 75}{space 3} 110.5278
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 16}year {c |}
{space 15}1948  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 366.2259{col 34}{space 2} 98.07762{col 45}{space 1}    3.73{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 173.5113{col 75}{space 3} 558.9404
{txt}{space 15}1949  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  86.7228{col 34}{space 2} 112.4299{col 45}{space 1}    0.77{col 54}{space 3}0.441{col 62}{space 4}-134.1928{col 75}{space 3} 307.6384
{txt}{space 15}1950  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 297.5452{col 34}{space 2}  101.081{col 45}{space 1}    2.94{col 54}{space 3}0.003{col 62}{space 4} 98.92935{col 75}{space 3} 496.1611
{txt}{space 15}1951  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 400.9483{col 34}{space 2} 107.1859{col 45}{space 1}    3.74{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 190.3367{col 75}{space 3}   611.56
{txt}{space 15}1952  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 407.2232{col 34}{space 2} 73.71572{col 45}{space 1}    5.52{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 262.3778{col 75}{space 3} 552.0686
{txt}{space 15}1953  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 439.2394{col 34}{space 2}  87.6271{col 45}{space 1}    5.01{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 267.0593{col 75}{space 3} 611.4195
{txt}{space 15}1954  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 156.6872{col 34}{space 2} 92.26269{col 45}{space 1}    1.70{col 54}{space 3}0.090{col 62}{space 4} -24.6015{col 75}{space 3} 337.9758
{txt}{space 15}1955  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 562.8804{col 34}{space 2} 92.79182{col 45}{space 1}    6.07{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 380.5521{col 75}{space 3} 745.2088
{txt}{space 15}1956  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 502.8326{col 34}{space 2} 111.3727{col 45}{space 1}    4.51{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 283.9943{col 75}{space 3} 721.6709
{txt}{space 15}1957  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 306.3789{col 34}{space 2} 113.3526{col 45}{space 1}    2.70{col 54}{space 3}0.007{col 62}{space 4} 83.65032{col 75}{space 3} 529.1075
{txt}{space 15}1958  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 368.2873{col 34}{space 2} 105.9871{col 45}{space 1}    3.47{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 160.0313{col 75}{space 3} 576.5433
{txt}{space 15}1959  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 409.2563{col 34}{space 2} 101.7684{col 45}{space 1}    4.02{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 209.2896{col 75}{space 3}  609.223
{txt}{space 15}1960  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 310.8913{col 34}{space 2} 116.6218{col 45}{space 1}    2.67{col 54}{space 3}0.008{col 62}{space 4} 81.73902{col 75}{space 3} 540.0436
{txt}{space 15}1961  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 500.2213{col 34}{space 2}  122.873{col 45}{space 1}    4.07{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 258.7859{col 75}{space 3} 741.6566
{txt}{space 15}1962  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}   545.34{col 34}{space 2}  124.029{col 45}{space 1}    4.40{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 301.6332{col 75}{space 3} 789.0469
{txt}{space 15}1963  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 569.7277{col 34}{space 2} 128.0388{col 45}{space 1}    4.45{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 318.1418{col 75}{space 3} 821.3135
{txt}{space 15}1964  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 636.2874{col 34}{space 2} 126.7082{col 45}{space 1}    5.02{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 387.3162{col 75}{space 3} 885.2586
{txt}{space 15}1965  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 768.5485{col 34}{space 2} 131.7397{col 45}{space 1}    5.83{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 509.6907{col 75}{space 3} 1027.406
{txt}{space 15}1966  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 689.8154{col 34}{space 2} 151.4791{col 45}{space 1}    4.55{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 392.1713{col 75}{space 3} 987.4596
{txt}{space 15}1967  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 793.8219{col 34}{space 2} 141.5899{col 45}{space 1}    5.61{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 515.6093{col 75}{space 3} 1072.035
{txt}{space 15}1968  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 881.4546{col 34}{space 2} 157.7263{col 45}{space 1}    5.59{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 571.5353{col 75}{space 3} 1191.374
{txt}{space 15}1969  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 849.8852{col 34}{space 2} 170.6326{col 45}{space 1}    4.98{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 514.6061{col 75}{space 3} 1185.164
{txt}{space 15}1970  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 821.2621{col 34}{space 2}   168.12{col 45}{space 1}    4.88{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 490.9199{col 75}{space 3} 1151.604
{txt}{space 15}1971  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 852.2838{col 34}{space 2}  176.844{col 45}{space 1}    4.82{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 504.7998{col 75}{space 3} 1199.768
{txt}{space 15}1972  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1199.753{col 34}{space 2} 191.4392{col 45}{space 1}    6.27{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 823.5908{col 75}{space 3} 1575.916
{txt}{space 15}1973  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1162.396{col 34}{space 2} 212.6356{col 45}{space 1}    5.47{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  744.584{col 75}{space 3} 1580.207
{txt}{space 15}1974  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 920.7016{col 34}{space 2} 199.0777{col 45}{space 1}    4.62{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 529.5301{col 75}{space 3} 1311.873
{txt}{space 15}1975  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 829.1726{col 34}{space 2} 207.1319{col 45}{space 1}    4.00{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 422.1753{col 75}{space 3}  1236.17
{txt}{space 15}1976  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1171.334{col 34}{space 2} 210.8478{col 45}{space 1}    5.56{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 757.0354{col 75}{space 3} 1585.633
{txt}{space 15}1977  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1126.442{col 34}{space 2}  248.831{col 45}{space 1}    4.53{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  637.509{col 75}{space 3} 1615.374
{txt}{space 15}1978  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1316.653{col 34}{space 2} 232.5961{col 45}{space 1}    5.66{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 859.6206{col 75}{space 3} 1773.686
{txt}{space 15}1979  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1121.999{col 34}{space 2} 240.7457{col 45}{space 1}    4.66{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 648.9532{col 75}{space 3} 1595.045
{txt}{space 15}1980  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 734.9606{col 34}{space 2} 233.4623{col 45}{space 1}    3.15{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4} 276.2263{col 75}{space 3} 1193.695
{txt}{space 15}1981  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1245.858{col 34}{space 2} 240.3354{col 45}{space 1}    5.18{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  773.618{col 75}{space 3} 1718.097
{txt}{space 15}1982  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1200.822{col 34}{space 2} 276.2873{col 45}{space 1}    4.35{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 657.9396{col 75}{space 3} 1743.704
{txt}{space 15}1983  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1148.121{col 34}{space 2} 281.8004{col 45}{space 1}    4.07{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 594.4063{col 75}{space 3} 1701.836
{txt}{space 15}1984  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1609.561{col 34}{space 2} 258.0862{col 45}{space 1}    6.24{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1102.442{col 75}{space 3} 2116.679
{txt}{space 15}1985  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1251.394{col 34}{space 2} 283.4138{col 45}{space 1}    4.42{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 694.5084{col 75}{space 3} 1808.279
{txt}{space 15}1986  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1270.142{col 34}{space 2} 263.3464{col 45}{space 1}    4.82{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 752.6875{col 75}{space 3} 1787.596
{txt}{space 15}1987  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1319.241{col 34}{space 2} 274.3252{col 45}{space 1}    4.81{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 780.2139{col 75}{space 3} 1858.267
{txt}{space 15}1988  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1542.111{col 34}{space 2}  318.789{col 45}{space 1}    4.84{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 915.7168{col 75}{space 3} 2168.506
{txt}{space 15}1989  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1520.584{col 34}{space 2} 302.1979{col 45}{space 1}    5.03{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 926.7896{col 75}{space 3} 2114.378
{txt}{space 15}1990  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1388.904{col 34}{space 2} 311.8424{col 45}{space 1}    4.45{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 776.1591{col 75}{space 3} 2001.649
{txt}{space 15}1991  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1278.04{col 34}{space 2} 305.2683{col 45}{space 1}    4.19{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  678.213{col 75}{space 3} 1877.868
{txt}{space 15}1992  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1538.263{col 34}{space 2} 299.9253{col 45}{space 1}    5.13{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 948.9337{col 75}{space 3} 2127.591
{txt}{space 15}1993  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1290.903{col 34}{space 2} 333.3953{col 45}{space 1}    3.87{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 635.8086{col 75}{space 3} 1945.998
{txt}{space 15}1994  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1620.263{col 34}{space 2} 315.5344{col 45}{space 1}    5.13{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1000.264{col 75}{space 3} 2240.262
{txt}{space 15}1995  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1537.33{col 34}{space 2} 334.6813{col 45}{space 1}    4.59{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 879.7082{col 75}{space 3} 2194.951
{txt}{space 15}1996  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1576.985{col 34}{space 2} 328.9117{col 45}{space 1}    4.79{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 930.7003{col 75}{space 3}  2223.27
{txt}{space 15}1997  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1760.057{col 34}{space 2}  340.338{col 45}{space 1}    5.17{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1091.321{col 75}{space 3} 2428.794
{txt}{space 15}1998  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1916.658{col 34}{space 2} 351.4107{col 45}{space 1}    5.45{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1226.165{col 75}{space 3} 2607.152
{txt}{space 15}1999  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1587.138{col 34}{space 2} 367.9792{col 45}{space 1}    4.31{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 864.0887{col 75}{space 3} 2310.187
{txt}{space 15}2000  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1790.152{col 34}{space 2} 347.8301{col 45}{space 1}    5.15{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1106.694{col 75}{space 3}  2473.61
{txt}{space 15}2001  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1794.48{col 34}{space 2} 373.3695{col 45}{space 1}    4.81{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  1060.84{col 75}{space 3} 2528.121
{txt}{space 15}2002  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1374.257{col 34}{space 2} 374.1357{col 45}{space 1}    3.67{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 639.1107{col 75}{space 3} 2109.403
{txt}{space 15}2003  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1653.152{col 34}{space 2} 361.7355{col 45}{space 1}    4.57{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 942.3712{col 75}{space 3} 2363.933
{txt}{space 15}2004  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1857.127{col 34}{space 2} 390.8362{col 45}{space 1}    4.75{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1089.165{col 75}{space 3} 2625.088
{txt}{space 15}2005  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1784.471{col 34}{space 2} 391.0428{col 45}{space 1}    4.56{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1016.103{col 75}{space 3} 2552.838
{txt}{space 15}2006  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1946.393{col 34}{space 2} 415.0008{col 45}{space 1}    4.69{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1130.951{col 75}{space 3} 2761.836
{txt}{space 15}2007  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1767.044{col 34}{space 2} 457.2055{col 45}{space 1}    3.86{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 868.6729{col 75}{space 3} 2665.416
{txt}{space 15}2008  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1982.913{col 34}{space 2} 475.1674{col 45}{space 1}    4.17{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1049.248{col 75}{space 3} 2916.578
{txt}{space 15}2009  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1267.43{col 34}{space 2} 354.7745{col 45}{space 1}    3.57{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 570.3269{col 75}{space 3} 1964.533
{txt}{space 15}2010  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1313.59{col 34}{space 2} 388.1851{col 45}{space 1}    3.38{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 550.8382{col 75}{space 3} 2076.342
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-2196.031{col 34}{space 2}  512.152{col 45}{space 1}   -4.29{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-3202.368{col 75}{space 3}-1189.694
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. predict adjpercapita_residhatallfullos if oldsouth==1
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(2,763 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME ERROR CORRECTION RATE *

. 
. 
. 
. test l.adjpercapita_resid = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.adjpercapita_resid = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,   480) ={res}   17.03
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0000

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *Weak Exogeneity Tests*

. 
. 
. 
. testnl _b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.adjpercapita_resid] = 0

{col 3}{txt}(1){res}{col 8}{bind:_b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.adjpercapita_resid] = 0}

{txt}{ralign 22:chi2({res:1})} =  {res}      0.30
{txt}{ralign 22:Prob > chi2} =  {res}      0.5819{txt}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * GRANGER CAUSLITY TEST*

. 
. 
. 
. test  d.klarnerranney = l.d.klarnerranney  =  l2.d.klarnerranney = l3.d.klarnerranney = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.klarnerranney - LD.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} D.klarnerranney - L2D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 3)}{space 1} D.klarnerranney - L3D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 4)}{space 1} D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  4,   480) ={res}    0.89
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.4721

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENEITY)*

. 
. 
. 
. test l.adjpercapita_resid = l.klarnerranney = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.adjpercapita_resid - L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.adjpercapita_resid = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,   480) ={res}    9.80
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0001

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *

. 
. 
. 
. lincom  d.klarnerranney +  l.d.klarnerranney +  l2.d.klarnerranney +  l3.d.klarnerranney 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.klarnerranney + LD.klarnerranney + L2D.klarnerranney + L3D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}adjpercapi~d{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-4.153149{col 26}{space 2} 3.505836{col 37}{space 1}   -1.18{col 46}{space 3}0.237{col 54}{space 4}-11.04183{col 67}{space 3} 2.735533
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *

. 
. 
. 
. nlcom _b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.adjpercapita_resid] 

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.adjpercapita_resid]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}adjpercapi~d{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.709406{col 26}{space 2} 4.921044{col 37}{space 1}    0.55{col 46}{space 3}0.582{col 54}{space 4}-6.935663{col 67}{space 3} 12.35448
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *

. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. 
. 
. qui regress d.ihsklarnerranney  l.ihsklarnerranney l.adjpercapita_resid l.d.ihsklarnerranney d.adjpercapita_resid  l2.d.ihsklarnerranney  l.d.adjpercapita_resid  l3.d.ihsklarnerranney l2.d.adjpercapita_resid l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1 i.state_fips i.year if oldsouth==1

. 
. 
. 
. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       585{col 27}-197.0481{col 38}-105.6597{col 49}    89{col 58} 389.3195{col 69} 778.3929
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ****** PARTISAN COMPETITION EQUATION*********

. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. newey d.ihsklarnerranney  l.ihsklarnerranney l.adjpercapita_resid l.d.ihsklarnerranney d.adjpercapita_resid  l2.d.ihsklarnerranney  l.d.adjpercapita_resid  l3.d.ihsklarnerranney l2.d.adjpercapita_resid l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1 i.state_fips i.year if oldsouth==1, lag(8) force

{txt}Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       585
{txt}maximum lag: {res}8{col 49}{txt}F( 88,       496){col 67}= {res}      5.63
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 19}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 20}{c |}{col 32}  Newey-West
{col 1}D.ihsklarnerranney{col 20}{c |}      Coef.{col 32}   Std. Err.{col 44}      t{col 52}   P>|t|{col 60}     [95% Con{col 73}f. Interval]
{hline 19}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 2}ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 15}L1. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} -.042399{col 32}{space 2} .0175264{col 43}{space 1}   -2.42{col 52}{space 3}0.016{col 60}{space 4}-.0768341{col 73}{space 3} -.007964
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 15}L1. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 3.17e-08{col 32}{space 2} .0000328{col 43}{space 1}    0.00{col 52}{space 3}0.999{col 60}{space 4}-.0000644{col 73}{space 3} .0000644
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 2}ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 15}LD. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0665203{col 32}{space 2} .0808585{col 43}{space 1}   -0.82{col 52}{space 3}0.411{col 60}{space 4}-.2253876{col 73}{space 3}  .092347
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 15}D1. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0000734{col 32}{space 2} .0000542{col 43}{space 1}   -1.36{col 52}{space 3}0.176{col 60}{space 4}-.0001799{col 73}{space 3}  .000033
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 2}ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 14}L2D. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} -.204112{col 32}{space 2} .0598598{col 43}{space 1}   -3.41{col 52}{space 3}0.001{col 60}{space 4}-.3217221{col 73}{space 3}-.0865019
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 15}LD. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 1.83e-06{col 32}{space 2} .0000498{col 43}{space 1}    0.04{col 52}{space 3}0.971{col 60}{space 4} -.000096{col 73}{space 3} .0000996
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 2}ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 14}L3D. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0931973{col 32}{space 2} .0465156{col 43}{space 1}   -2.00{col 52}{space 3}0.046{col 60}{space 4}-.1845892{col 73}{space 3}-.0018054
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 14}L2D. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0000274{col 32}{space 2} .0000557{col 43}{space 1}   -0.49{col 52}{space 3}0.623{col 60}{space 4}-.0001369{col 73}{space 3} .0000821
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 9}gov_party {c |}
{space 15}L1. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0725142{col 32}{space 2} .0427836{col 43}{space 1}   -1.69{col 52}{space 3}0.091{col 60}{space 4}-.1565737{col 73}{space 3} .0115453
{txt}{space 15}LD. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0088403{col 32}{space 2} .0555068{col 43}{space 1}   -0.16{col 52}{space 3}0.874{col 60}{space 4}-.1178976{col 73}{space 3} .1002171
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 7}dem_unified {c |}
{space 15}L1. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .1039524{col 32}{space 2} .0443697{col 43}{space 1}    2.34{col 52}{space 3}0.020{col 60}{space 4} .0167768{col 73}{space 3} .1911281
{txt}{space 15}LD. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0054283{col 32}{space 2} .0593866{col 43}{space 1}   -0.09{col 52}{space 3}0.927{col 60}{space 4}-.1221086{col 73}{space 3} .1112521
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 7}rep_unified {c |}
{space 15}L1. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0823927{col 32}{space 2} .0520521{col 43}{space 1}   -1.58{col 52}{space 3}0.114{col 60}{space 4}-.1846625{col 73}{space 3}  .019877
{txt}{space 15}LD. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0580792{col 32}{space 2} .0629403{col 43}{space 1}   -0.92{col 52}{space 3}0.357{col 60}{space 4}-.1817417{col 73}{space 3} .0655833
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 4}electedjudges1 {c |}
{space 15}L1. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0381574{col 32}{space 2} .0420028{col 43}{space 1}    0.91{col 52}{space 3}0.364{col 60}{space 4} -.044368{col 73}{space 3} .1206828
{txt}{space 15}LD. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0336923{col 32}{space 2} .0384301{col 43}{space 1}    0.88{col 52}{space 3}0.381{col 60}{space 4}-.0418136{col 73}{space 3} .1091983
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 8}state_fips {c |}
{space 16}5  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0108265{col 32}{space 2} .0629489{col 43}{space 1}   -0.17{col 52}{space 3}0.864{col 60}{space 4}-.1345059{col 73}{space 3} .1128529
{txt}{space 15}21  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0195521{col 32}{space 2}  .065621{col 43}{space 1}    0.30{col 52}{space 3}0.766{col 60}{space 4}-.1093773{col 73}{space 3} .1484814
{txt}{space 15}22  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0155579{col 32}{space 2} .0574863{col 43}{space 1}    0.27{col 52}{space 3}0.787{col 60}{space 4}-.0973887{col 73}{space 3} .1285046
{txt}{space 15}28  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0171919{col 32}{space 2}  .073821{col 43}{space 1}    0.23{col 52}{space 3}0.816{col 60}{space 4}-.1278486{col 73}{space 3} .1622324
{txt}{space 15}40  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0366974{col 32}{space 2} .0719028{col 43}{space 1}    0.51{col 52}{space 3}0.610{col 60}{space 4}-.1045742{col 73}{space 3} .1779689
{txt}{space 15}45  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0931173{col 32}{space 2} .0919322{col 43}{space 1}    1.01{col 52}{space 3}0.312{col 60}{space 4}-.0875073{col 73}{space 3} .2737418
{txt}{space 15}47  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0464947{col 32}{space 2} .0718985{col 43}{space 1}    0.65{col 52}{space 3}0.518{col 60}{space 4}-.0947686{col 73}{space 3} .1877579
{txt}{space 15}54  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0048316{col 32}{space 2} .0601243{col 43}{space 1}   -0.08{col 52}{space 3}0.936{col 60}{space 4}-.1229613{col 73}{space 3} .1132981
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 14}year {c |}
{space 13}1947  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0508664{col 32}{space 2} .0637755{col 43}{space 1}   -0.80{col 52}{space 3}0.425{col 60}{space 4}-.1761697{col 73}{space 3}  .074437
{txt}{space 13}1948  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0252785{col 32}{space 2} .0669836{col 43}{space 1}   -0.38{col 52}{space 3}0.706{col 60}{space 4}-.1568851{col 73}{space 3} .1063281
{txt}{space 13}1949  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.2410814{col 32}{space 2}  .130981{col 43}{space 1}   -1.84{col 52}{space 3}0.066{col 60}{space 4}-.4984275{col 73}{space 3} .0162646
{txt}{space 13}1950  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0770835{col 32}{space 2}  .075132{col 43}{space 1}   -1.03{col 52}{space 3}0.305{col 60}{space 4}-.2246998{col 73}{space 3} .0705328
{txt}{space 13}1951  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0108214{col 32}{space 2} .0741844{col 43}{space 1}    0.15{col 52}{space 3}0.884{col 60}{space 4} -.134933{col 73}{space 3} .1565759
{txt}{space 13}1952  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0222219{col 32}{space 2}  .062723{col 43}{space 1}   -0.35{col 52}{space 3}0.723{col 60}{space 4}-.1454574{col 73}{space 3} .1010136
{txt}{space 13}1953  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0899747{col 32}{space 2} .0886177{col 43}{space 1}    1.02{col 52}{space 3}0.310{col 60}{space 4}-.0841378{col 73}{space 3} .2640871
{txt}{space 13}1954  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} -.031344{col 32}{space 2} .0606756{col 43}{space 1}   -0.52{col 52}{space 3}0.606{col 60}{space 4}-.1505568{col 73}{space 3} .0878688
{txt}{space 13}1955  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0372719{col 32}{space 2} .1550729{col 43}{space 1}   -0.24{col 52}{space 3}0.810{col 60}{space 4}-.3419527{col 73}{space 3} .2674088
{txt}{space 13}1956  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0178638{col 32}{space 2}  .078597{col 43}{space 1}   -0.23{col 52}{space 3}0.820{col 60}{space 4} -.172288{col 73}{space 3} .1365604
{txt}{space 13}1957  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0442737{col 32}{space 2} .1051878{col 43}{space 1}   -0.42{col 52}{space 3}0.674{col 60}{space 4}-.2509423{col 73}{space 3} .1623948
{txt}{space 13}1958  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0170889{col 32}{space 2} .0759505{col 43}{space 1}   -0.23{col 52}{space 3}0.822{col 60}{space 4}-.1663132{col 73}{space 3} .1321354
{txt}{space 13}1959  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.3847769{col 32}{space 2} .2154792{col 43}{space 1}   -1.79{col 52}{space 3}0.075{col 60}{space 4}-.8081414{col 73}{space 3} .0385877
{txt}{space 13}1960  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0876112{col 32}{space 2} .0858353{col 43}{space 1}   -1.02{col 52}{space 3}0.308{col 60}{space 4}-.2562569{col 73}{space 3} .0810344
{txt}{space 13}1961  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  .046411{col 32}{space 2} .1019722{col 43}{space 1}    0.46{col 52}{space 3}0.649{col 60}{space 4}-.1539397{col 73}{space 3} .2467618
{txt}{space 13}1962  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0342381{col 32}{space 2} .0864869{col 43}{space 1}   -0.40{col 52}{space 3}0.692{col 60}{space 4}-.2041639{col 73}{space 3} .1356877
{txt}{space 13}1963  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .2568798{col 32}{space 2} .1691575{col 43}{space 1}    1.52{col 52}{space 3}0.130{col 60}{space 4}-.0754737{col 73}{space 3} .5892334
{txt}{space 13}1964  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .3048293{col 32}{space 2} .1704502{col 43}{space 1}    1.79{col 52}{space 3}0.074{col 60}{space 4}-.0300642{col 73}{space 3} .6397228
{txt}{space 13}1965  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0406022{col 32}{space 2} .1754569{col 43}{space 1}    0.23{col 52}{space 3}0.817{col 60}{space 4}-.3041282{col 73}{space 3} .3853326
{txt}{space 13}1966  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .4587526{col 32}{space 2}  .226055{col 43}{space 1}    2.03{col 52}{space 3}0.043{col 60}{space 4} .0146093{col 73}{space 3}  .902896
{txt}{space 13}1967  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .6946852{col 32}{space 2} .3345923{col 43}{space 1}    2.08{col 52}{space 3}0.038{col 60}{space 4} .0372922{col 73}{space 3} 1.352078
{txt}{space 13}1968  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.1668275{col 32}{space 2} .2891728{col 43}{space 1}   -0.58{col 52}{space 3}0.564{col 60}{space 4}-.7349821{col 73}{space 3} .4013271
{txt}{space 13}1969  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .2105182{col 32}{space 2}  .175474{col 43}{space 1}    1.20{col 52}{space 3}0.231{col 60}{space 4}-.1342458{col 73}{space 3} .5552823
{txt}{space 13}1970  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .4309913{col 32}{space 2} .2155128{col 43}{space 1}    2.00{col 52}{space 3}0.046{col 60}{space 4} .0075608{col 73}{space 3} .8544218
{txt}{space 13}1971  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0108618{col 32}{space 2} .1248042{col 43}{space 1}    0.09{col 52}{space 3}0.931{col 60}{space 4}-.2343484{col 73}{space 3} .2560719
{txt}{space 13}1972  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .1637014{col 32}{space 2} .1853985{col 43}{space 1}    0.88{col 52}{space 3}0.378{col 60}{space 4}-.2005617{col 73}{space 3} .5279646
{txt}{space 13}1973  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .1733783{col 32}{space 2} .1601281{col 43}{space 1}    1.08{col 52}{space 3}0.279{col 60}{space 4}-.1412346{col 73}{space 3} .4879912
{txt}{space 13}1974  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0065835{col 32}{space 2} .1548449{col 43}{space 1}   -0.04{col 52}{space 3}0.966{col 60}{space 4}-.3108163{col 73}{space 3} .2976492
{txt}{space 13}1975  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} -.182012{col 32}{space 2} .2311231{col 43}{space 1}   -0.79{col 52}{space 3}0.431{col 60}{space 4} -.636113{col 73}{space 3}  .272089
{txt}{space 13}1976  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0001022{col 32}{space 2} .1574163{col 43}{space 1}    0.00{col 52}{space 3}0.999{col 60}{space 4}-.3091828{col 73}{space 3} .3093873
{txt}{space 13}1977  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .2650824{col 32}{space 2} .3318739{col 43}{space 1}    0.80{col 52}{space 3}0.425{col 60}{space 4}-.3869695{col 73}{space 3} .9171343
{txt}{space 13}1978  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0396693{col 32}{space 2} .1546536{col 43}{space 1}    0.26{col 52}{space 3}0.798{col 60}{space 4}-.2641876{col 73}{space 3} .3435261
{txt}{space 13}1979  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .2139614{col 32}{space 2} .1869947{col 43}{space 1}    1.14{col 52}{space 3}0.253{col 60}{space 4}-.1534381{col 73}{space 3} .5813608
{txt}{space 13}1980  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0859428{col 32}{space 2} .1696297{col 43}{space 1}    0.51{col 52}{space 3}0.613{col 60}{space 4}-.2473385{col 73}{space 3} .4192241
{txt}{space 13}1981  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .1982393{col 32}{space 2} .1754859{col 43}{space 1}    1.13{col 52}{space 3}0.259{col 60}{space 4}-.1465482{col 73}{space 3} .5430267
{txt}{space 13}1982  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0793748{col 32}{space 2} .1763465{col 43}{space 1}    0.45{col 52}{space 3}0.653{col 60}{space 4}-.2671035{col 73}{space 3} .4258531
{txt}{space 13}1983  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  .212545{col 32}{space 2} .2851849{col 43}{space 1}    0.75{col 52}{space 3}0.456{col 60}{space 4}-.3477744{col 73}{space 3} .7728644
{txt}{space 13}1984  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  .127779{col 32}{space 2}  .195664{col 43}{space 1}    0.65{col 52}{space 3}0.514{col 60}{space 4}-.2566536{col 73}{space 3} .5122115
{txt}{space 13}1985  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .3868921{col 32}{space 2} .2514696{col 43}{space 1}    1.54{col 52}{space 3}0.125{col 60}{space 4}-.1071849{col 73}{space 3} .8809691
{txt}{space 13}1986  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0797097{col 32}{space 2} .1962467{col 43}{space 1}    0.41{col 52}{space 3}0.685{col 60}{space 4}-.3058675{col 73}{space 3}  .465287
{txt}{space 13}1987  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .2702081{col 32}{space 2} .2213315{col 43}{space 1}    1.22{col 52}{space 3}0.223{col 60}{space 4}-.1646548{col 73}{space 3}  .705071
{txt}{space 13}1988  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .1506066{col 32}{space 2} .2065332{col 43}{space 1}    0.73{col 52}{space 3}0.466{col 60}{space 4}-.2551812{col 73}{space 3} .5563943
{txt}{space 13}1989  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .1567137{col 32}{space 2} .2257492{col 43}{space 1}    0.69{col 52}{space 3}0.488{col 60}{space 4}-.2868289{col 73}{space 3} .6002563
{txt}{space 13}1990  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .1374628{col 32}{space 2} .2189415{col 43}{space 1}    0.63{col 52}{space 3}0.530{col 60}{space 4}-.2927043{col 73}{space 3} .5676299
{txt}{space 13}1991  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .1256086{col 32}{space 2}  .224591{col 43}{space 1}    0.56{col 52}{space 3}0.576{col 60}{space 4}-.3156584{col 73}{space 3} .5668756
{txt}{space 13}1992  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .1224984{col 32}{space 2} .2284885{col 43}{space 1}    0.54{col 52}{space 3}0.592{col 60}{space 4}-.3264264{col 73}{space 3} .5714232
{txt}{space 13}1993  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .1357826{col 32}{space 2} .2355952{col 43}{space 1}    0.58{col 52}{space 3}0.565{col 60}{space 4}-.3271051{col 73}{space 3} .5986702
{txt}{space 13}1994  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .1397858{col 32}{space 2}  .230461{col 43}{space 1}    0.61{col 52}{space 3}0.544{col 60}{space 4}-.3130144{col 73}{space 3} .5925859
{txt}{space 13}1995  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .3490195{col 32}{space 2} .2373303{col 43}{space 1}    1.47{col 52}{space 3}0.142{col 60}{space 4}-.1172771{col 73}{space 3} .8153162
{txt}{space 13}1996  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .2321443{col 32}{space 2} .2460936{col 43}{space 1}    0.94{col 52}{space 3}0.346{col 60}{space 4}-.2513701{col 73}{space 3} .7156587
{txt}{space 13}1997  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .2041514{col 32}{space 2} .2471652{col 43}{space 1}    0.83{col 52}{space 3}0.409{col 60}{space 4}-.2814685{col 73}{space 3} .6897714
{txt}{space 13}1998  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .1953306{col 32}{space 2} .2556837{col 43}{space 1}    0.76{col 52}{space 3}0.445{col 60}{space 4}-.3070261{col 73}{space 3} .6976874
{txt}{space 13}1999  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .1385504{col 32}{space 2} .2662014{col 43}{space 1}    0.52{col 52}{space 3}0.603{col 60}{space 4}-.3844711{col 73}{space 3} .6615719
{txt}{space 13}2000  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .1612763{col 32}{space 2} .2629908{col 43}{space 1}    0.61{col 52}{space 3}0.540{col 60}{space 4} -.355437{col 73}{space 3} .6779896
{txt}{space 13}2001  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .2086183{col 32}{space 2} .2768607{col 43}{space 1}    0.75{col 52}{space 3}0.451{col 60}{space 4} -.335346{col 73}{space 3} .7525827
{txt}{space 13}2002  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .1202455{col 32}{space 2} .2729751{col 43}{space 1}    0.44{col 52}{space 3}0.660{col 60}{space 4}-.4160846{col 73}{space 3} .6565756
{txt}{space 13}2003  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .2212356{col 32}{space 2} .2764714{col 43}{space 1}    0.80{col 52}{space 3}0.424{col 60}{space 4}-.3219639{col 73}{space 3}  .764435
{txt}{space 13}2004  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .1705709{col 32}{space 2} .2806057{col 43}{space 1}    0.61{col 52}{space 3}0.544{col 60}{space 4}-.3807515{col 73}{space 3} .7218932
{txt}{space 13}2005  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .1911065{col 32}{space 2} .2842201{col 43}{space 1}    0.67{col 52}{space 3}0.502{col 60}{space 4}-.3673173{col 73}{space 3} .7495303
{txt}{space 13}2006  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .1851266{col 32}{space 2}  .282182{col 43}{space 1}    0.66{col 52}{space 3}0.512{col 60}{space 4}-.3692928{col 73}{space 3}  .739546
{txt}{space 13}2007  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .1653722{col 32}{space 2} .2870569{col 43}{space 1}    0.58{col 52}{space 3}0.565{col 60}{space 4}-.3986253{col 73}{space 3} .7293697
{txt}{space 13}2008  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .1795245{col 32}{space 2} .2912726{col 43}{space 1}    0.62{col 52}{space 3}0.538{col 60}{space 4}-.3927558{col 73}{space 3} .7518047
{txt}{space 13}2009  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .1043697{col 32}{space 2} .2919254{col 43}{space 1}    0.36{col 52}{space 3}0.721{col 60}{space 4}-.4691931{col 73}{space 3} .6779325
{txt}{space 13}2010  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .1400673{col 32}{space 2} .2748663{col 43}{space 1}    0.51{col 52}{space 3}0.611{col 60}{space 4}-.3999786{col 73}{space 3} .6801131
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 13}_cons {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0336607{col 32}{space 2} .2046003{col 43}{space 1}    0.16{col 52}{space 3}0.869{col 60}{space 4}-.3683295{col 73}{space 3} .4356508
{txt}{hline 19}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. predict ihsklarnerranneyhatallfullos if oldsouth==1
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(2,754 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION ERROR CORRECTION RATE *

. 
. 
. 
. test l.ihsklarnerranney = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.ihsklarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,   496) ={res}    5.85
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0159

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *Weak Exogeneity Tests*

. 
. 
. 
. testnl _b[l.adjpercapita_resid]/-_b[l.ihsklarnerranney] = 0

{col 3}{txt}(1){res}{col 8}{bind:_b[l.adjpercapita_resid]/-_b[l.ihsklarnerranney] = 0}
{err}Maximum number of iterations exceeded.
{txt}{search r(498), local:r(498);}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * GRANGER CAUSLITY TEST *

. 
. 
. 
. test d.adjpercapita_resid  =  l.d.adjpercapita_resid  =  l2.d.adjpercapita_resid = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.adjpercapita_resid - LD.adjpercapita_resid = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} D.adjpercapita_resid - L2D.adjpercapita_resid = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 3)}{space 1} D.adjpercapita_resid = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  3,   496) ={res}    0.70
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.5516

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENEITY)*

. 
. 
. 
. test l.ihsklarnerranney = l.adjpercapita_resid = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.ihsklarnerranney - L.adjpercapita_resid = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.ihsklarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,   496) ={res}    2.94
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0537

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *

. 
. 
. 
. lincom  d.adjpercapita_resid +  l.d.adjpercapita_resid  +  l2.d.adjpercapita_resid 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.adjpercapita_resid + LD.adjpercapita_resid + L2D.adjpercapita_resid = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}ihsklarner~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -.000099{col 26}{space 2} .0001169{col 37}{space 1}   -0.85{col 46}{space 3}0.398{col 54}{space 4}-.0003287{col 67}{space 3} .0001307
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *

. 
. 
. 
. nlcom _b[l.adjpercapita_resid]/-_b[l.ihsklarnerranney]

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.adjpercapita_resid]/-_b[l.ihsklarnerranney]
{err}Maximum number of iterations exceeded.
{txt}{search r(498), local:r(498);}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *

. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. // (4,3)  MODEL
{bf}{err}/{sf} is not a valid command name
{txt}{search r(199), local:r(199);}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** IV.B: OLD SOUTH STATES (N = 9): PRE-PARTISAN ALIGNMENT TIME PERIOD (1942 - 1980) ***

. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. qui reg d.adjpercapita_resid  l.adjpercapita_resid l.klarnerranney   l.d.adjpercapita_resid d.klarnerranney  l2.d.adjpercapita_resid  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.adjpercapita_resid l2.d.klarnerranney l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work  l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified  i.state_fips i.year if year <=1980 & oldsouth==1

. 
. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       315{col 27}-2172.652{col 38}-1929.497{col 49}    63{col 58} 3984.993{col 69} 4221.405
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. 
. 
. ******INCOME EQUATION*********

. 
. 
. 
. newey d.adjpercapita_resid  l.adjpercapita_resid l.klarnerranney   l.d.adjpercapita_resid d.klarnerranney  l2.d.adjpercapita_resid  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.adjpercapita_resid l2.d.klarnerranney l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work  l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified  i.state_fips i.year if year <=1980 & oldsouth==1, lag(6) force
{txt}note: L.rep_unified omitted because of collinearity
note: LD.rep_unified omitted because of collinearity

Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       315
{txt}maximum lag: {res}6{col 49}{txt}F( 62,       252){col 67}= {res}     65.31
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}  Newey-West
{col 1}D.adjpercapita_resid{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      t{col 54}   P>|t|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 2}adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.1513566{col 34}{space 2} .0619249{col 45}{space 1}   -2.44{col 54}{space 3}0.015{col 62}{space 4}-.2733128{col 75}{space 3}-.0294004
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.2887304{col 34}{space 2} .8252584{col 45}{space 1}   -0.35{col 54}{space 3}0.727{col 62}{space 4}-1.914013{col 75}{space 3} 1.336552
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 2}adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0911354{col 34}{space 2} .0833903{col 45}{space 1}    1.09{col 54}{space 3}0.275{col 62}{space 4}-.0730953{col 75}{space 3} .2553661
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}D1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-3.611112{col 34}{space 2}  1.72167{col 45}{space 1}   -2.10{col 54}{space 3}0.037{col 62}{space 4}-7.001807{col 75}{space 3} -.220417
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 2}adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.1129026{col 34}{space 2}  .067763{col 45}{space 1}   -1.67{col 54}{space 3}0.097{col 62}{space 4}-.2463565{col 75}{space 3} .0205513
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.2318038{col 34}{space 2}  1.36029{col 45}{space 1}   -0.17{col 54}{space 3}0.865{col 62}{space 4}-2.910789{col 75}{space 3} 2.447182
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 2}adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 16}L3D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.1532229{col 34}{space 2} .0567103{col 45}{space 1}   -2.70{col 54}{space 3}0.007{col 62}{space 4}-.2649094{col 75}{space 3}-.0415365
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.683605{col 34}{space 2} 1.420456{col 45}{space 1}   -1.19{col 54}{space 3}0.237{col 62}{space 4}-4.481083{col 75}{space 3} 1.113873
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
csi_perc_cap_outlays {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 172.1017{col 34}{space 2} 266.1616{col 45}{space 1}    0.65{col 54}{space 3}0.518{col 62}{space 4}-352.0829{col 75}{space 3} 696.2863
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-210.8678{col 34}{space 2} 320.4604{col 45}{space 1}   -0.66{col 54}{space 3}0.511{col 62}{space 4}-841.9897{col 75}{space 3} 420.2541
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}right_to_work {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 35.24082{col 34}{space 2} 49.59095{col 45}{space 1}    0.71{col 54}{space 3}0.478{col 62}{space 4}-62.42469{col 75}{space 3} 132.9063
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-54.20032{col 34}{space 2} 76.24122{col 45}{space 1}   -0.71{col 54}{space 3}0.478{col 62}{space 4}-204.3515{col 75}{space 3} 95.95084
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 1}csi_welf_perc_total {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -1015.78{col 34}{space 2} 319.1182{col 45}{space 1}   -3.18{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4}-1644.258{col 75}{space 3} -387.301
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1091.433{col 34}{space 2} 545.3386{col 45}{space 1}    2.00{col 54}{space 3}0.046{col 62}{space 4} 17.43054{col 75}{space 3} 2165.435
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}nonfarm_persinc {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  651.313{col 34}{space 2} 544.0092{col 45}{space 1}    1.20{col 54}{space 3}0.232{col 62}{space 4}-420.0708{col 75}{space 3} 1722.697
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1791.533{col 34}{space 2} 714.8699{col 45}{space 1}    2.51{col 54}{space 3}0.013{col 62}{space 4} 383.6521{col 75}{space 3} 3199.414
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 11}gov_party {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}   119.26{col 34}{space 2} 49.42391{col 45}{space 1}    2.41{col 54}{space 3}0.017{col 62}{space 4} 21.92343{col 75}{space 3} 216.5965
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-186.4428{col 34}{space 2} 44.12912{col 45}{space 1}   -4.22{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-273.3516{col 75}{space 3}-99.53388
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}dem_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-91.01561{col 34}{space 2} 51.74317{col 45}{space 1}   -1.76{col 54}{space 3}0.080{col 62}{space 4}-192.9198{col 75}{space 3} 10.88855
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 176.7352{col 34}{space 2} 57.19264{col 45}{space 1}    3.09{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4} 64.09874{col 75}{space 3} 289.3717
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}rep_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}        0{col 34}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}        0{col 34}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 20} {c |}
{space 10}state_fips {c |}
{space 18}5  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 113.7435{col 34}{space 2} 54.01271{col 45}{space 1}    2.11{col 54}{space 3}0.036{col 62}{space 4} 7.369623{col 75}{space 3} 220.1173
{txt}{space 17}21  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 144.5471{col 34}{space 2}  74.8451{col 45}{space 1}    1.93{col 54}{space 3}0.055{col 62}{space 4}-2.854483{col 75}{space 3} 291.9488
{txt}{space 17}22  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 167.8735{col 34}{space 2} 53.47762{col 45}{space 1}    3.14{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4} 62.55352{col 75}{space 3} 273.1935
{txt}{space 17}28  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-41.25001{col 34}{space 2} 51.23585{col 45}{space 1}   -0.81{col 54}{space 3}0.422{col 62}{space 4} -142.155{col 75}{space 3} 59.65502
{txt}{space 17}40  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 444.2403{col 34}{space 2} 87.83686{col 45}{space 1}    5.06{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 271.2524{col 75}{space 3} 617.2282
{txt}{space 17}45  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 23.10487{col 34}{space 2} 39.39006{col 45}{space 1}    0.59{col 54}{space 3}0.558{col 62}{space 4} -54.4708{col 75}{space 3} 100.6805
{txt}{space 17}47  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 90.91228{col 34}{space 2} 52.48408{col 45}{space 1}    1.73{col 54}{space 3}0.084{col 62}{space 4}-12.45104{col 75}{space 3} 194.2756
{txt}{space 17}54  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 122.4784{col 34}{space 2} 71.78651{col 45}{space 1}    1.71{col 54}{space 3}0.089{col 62}{space 4}-18.89953{col 75}{space 3} 263.8564
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 16}year {c |}
{space 15}1947  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 39.53346{col 34}{space 2} 88.49199{col 45}{space 1}    0.45{col 54}{space 3}0.655{col 62}{space 4}-134.7447{col 75}{space 3} 213.8116
{txt}{space 15}1948  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 321.7988{col 34}{space 2} 111.5012{col 45}{space 1}    2.89{col 54}{space 3}0.004{col 62}{space 4} 102.2059{col 75}{space 3} 541.3918
{txt}{space 15}1949  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-79.42891{col 34}{space 2} 121.1396{col 45}{space 1}   -0.66{col 54}{space 3}0.513{col 62}{space 4}-318.0039{col 75}{space 3} 159.1461
{txt}{space 15}1950  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 136.1384{col 34}{space 2}  90.0798{col 45}{space 1}    1.51{col 54}{space 3}0.132{col 62}{space 4}-41.26681{col 75}{space 3} 313.5435
{txt}{space 15}1951  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 310.6377{col 34}{space 2} 90.55254{col 45}{space 1}    3.43{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 132.3015{col 75}{space 3} 488.9739
{txt}{space 15}1952  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 361.0563{col 34}{space 2} 80.60088{col 45}{space 1}    4.48{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 202.3191{col 75}{space 3} 519.7935
{txt}{space 15}1953  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 391.3378{col 34}{space 2}  76.1758{col 45}{space 1}    5.14{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 241.3155{col 75}{space 3} 541.3601
{txt}{space 15}1954  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 151.9811{col 34}{space 2} 73.56632{col 45}{space 1}    2.07{col 54}{space 3}0.040{col 62}{space 4} 7.097944{col 75}{space 3} 296.8643
{txt}{space 15}1955  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 549.1333{col 34}{space 2} 86.51331{col 45}{space 1}    6.35{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 378.7521{col 75}{space 3} 719.5146
{txt}{space 15}1956  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 450.1653{col 34}{space 2} 95.23435{col 45}{space 1}    4.73{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 262.6086{col 75}{space 3} 637.7219
{txt}{space 15}1957  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 256.8653{col 34}{space 2}  105.886{col 45}{space 1}    2.43{col 54}{space 3}0.016{col 62}{space 4} 48.33104{col 75}{space 3} 465.3995
{txt}{space 15}1958  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 308.4397{col 34}{space 2} 92.69795{col 45}{space 1}    3.33{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 125.8783{col 75}{space 3} 491.0011
{txt}{space 15}1959  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 341.9988{col 34}{space 2} 106.4935{col 45}{space 1}    3.21{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 132.2681{col 75}{space 3} 551.7295
{txt}{space 15}1960  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 234.3292{col 34}{space 2} 111.3329{col 45}{space 1}    2.10{col 54}{space 3}0.036{col 62}{space 4} 15.06782{col 75}{space 3} 453.5907
{txt}{space 15}1961  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  394.672{col 34}{space 2} 117.4276{col 45}{space 1}    3.36{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 163.4074{col 75}{space 3} 625.9365
{txt}{space 15}1962  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 422.5457{col 34}{space 2} 114.1925{col 45}{space 1}    3.70{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 197.6524{col 75}{space 3} 647.4391
{txt}{space 15}1963  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 472.9187{col 34}{space 2} 116.0835{col 45}{space 1}    4.07{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 244.3012{col 75}{space 3} 701.5362
{txt}{space 15}1964  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 549.0465{col 34}{space 2} 122.0293{col 45}{space 1}    4.50{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 308.7192{col 75}{space 3} 789.3738
{txt}{space 15}1965  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 693.1977{col 34}{space 2}  125.478{col 45}{space 1}    5.52{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 446.0786{col 75}{space 3} 940.3168
{txt}{space 15}1966  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 613.2822{col 34}{space 2} 142.5595{col 45}{space 1}    4.30{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 332.5223{col 75}{space 3} 894.0422
{txt}{space 15}1967  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  733.327{col 34}{space 2} 147.1351{col 45}{space 1}    4.98{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 443.5558{col 75}{space 3} 1023.098
{txt}{space 15}1968  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 797.9771{col 34}{space 2} 158.2653{col 45}{space 1}    5.04{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  486.286{col 75}{space 3} 1109.668
{txt}{space 15}1969  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 767.4935{col 34}{space 2} 181.7445{col 45}{space 1}    4.22{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 409.5619{col 75}{space 3} 1125.425
{txt}{space 15}1970  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 741.0577{col 34}{space 2} 186.1114{col 45}{space 1}    3.98{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 374.5258{col 75}{space 3}  1107.59
{txt}{space 15}1971  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 726.2108{col 34}{space 2} 192.8443{col 45}{space 1}    3.77{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 346.4189{col 75}{space 3} 1106.003
{txt}{space 15}1972  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1062.292{col 34}{space 2} 228.9158{col 45}{space 1}    4.64{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 611.4596{col 75}{space 3} 1513.123
{txt}{space 15}1973  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1051.364{col 34}{space 2}   222.24{col 45}{space 1}    4.73{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 613.6793{col 75}{space 3} 1489.048
{txt}{space 15}1974  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 786.2101{col 34}{space 2} 232.0345{col 45}{space 1}    3.39{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 329.2362{col 75}{space 3} 1243.184
{txt}{space 15}1975  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 694.2766{col 34}{space 2} 240.1907{col 45}{space 1}    2.89{col 54}{space 3}0.004{col 62}{space 4} 221.2397{col 75}{space 3} 1167.314
{txt}{space 15}1976  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1048.012{col 34}{space 2} 252.2211{col 45}{space 1}    4.16{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 551.2817{col 75}{space 3} 1544.741
{txt}{space 15}1977  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 934.8589{col 34}{space 2} 281.1065{col 45}{space 1}    3.33{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 381.2415{col 75}{space 3} 1488.476
{txt}{space 15}1978  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1064.32{col 34}{space 2}  271.568{col 45}{space 1}    3.92{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 529.4878{col 75}{space 3} 1599.152
{txt}{space 15}1979  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 908.4325{col 34}{space 2} 271.2456{col 45}{space 1}    3.35{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 374.2353{col 75}{space 3}  1442.63
{txt}{space 15}1980  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 554.4682{col 34}{space 2} 281.7641{col 45}{space 1}    1.97{col 54}{space 3}0.050{col 62}{space 4}-.4441857{col 75}{space 3} 1109.381
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1652.523{col 34}{space 2}  710.823{col 45}{space 1}   -2.32{col 54}{space 3}0.021{col 62}{space 4}-3052.434{col 75}{space 3}-252.6122
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. predict adjpercapita_residhatallpre if year<=1980 & oldsouth==1
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(3,024 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME ERROR CORRECTION RATE *

. 
. 
. 
. test l.adjpercapita_resid = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.adjpercapita_resid = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,   252) ={res}    5.97
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0152

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *Weak Exogeneity Tests*

. 
. 
. 
. testnl _b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.adjpercapita_resid] = 0

{col 3}{txt}(1){res}{col 8}{bind:_b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.adjpercapita_resid] = 0}

{txt}{ralign 22:chi2({res:1})} =  {res}      0.11
{txt}{ralign 22:Prob > chi2} =  {res}      0.7384{txt}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * GRANGER CAUSLITY TEST*

. 
. 
. 
. test  d.klarnerranney = l.d.klarnerranney  =  l2.d.klarnerranney = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.klarnerranney - LD.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} D.klarnerranney - L2D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 3)}{space 1} D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  3,   252) ={res}    1.80
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.1481

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENEITY)*

. 
. 
. 
. test l.adjpercapita_resid = l.klarnerranney = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.adjpercapita_resid - L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.adjpercapita_resid = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,   252) ={res}    3.53
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0307

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *

. 
. 
. 
. lincom d.klarnerranney +  l.d.klarnerranney +  l2.d.klarnerranney 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.klarnerranney + LD.klarnerranney + L2D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}adjpercapi~d{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-5.526521{col 26}{space 2} 2.715374{col 37}{space 1}   -2.04{col 46}{space 3}0.043{col 54}{space 4}-10.87424{col 67}{space 3}-.1788016
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *

. 
. 
. 
. nlcom _b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.adjpercapita_resid] 

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.adjpercapita_resid]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}adjpercapi~d{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.907617{col 26}{space 2} 5.711535{col 37}{space 1}   -0.33{col 46}{space 3}0.738{col 54}{space 4}-13.10202{col 67}{space 3} 9.286787
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. sum klarnerranney   if adjpercapita_residhatallpre!=. & year<=1980 & oldsouth==1, detail

         {txt}Annual Ranney Measure of State Legislative
               Partisan Balance (Klarner Data)
{hline 61}
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%    {res}        0              0
{txt} 5%    {res}        0              0
{txt}10%    {res}        0              0       {txt}Obs         {res}        315
{txt}25%    {res} .9433962              0       {txt}Sum of Wgt. {res}        315

{txt}50%    {res} 8.571429                      {txt}Mean          {res} 23.94992
                        {txt}Largest       Std. Dev.     {res}  26.1022
{txt}75%    {res} 44.05263       86.86869
{txt}90%    {res} 65.65657       89.89899       {txt}Variance      {res} 681.3247
{txt}95%    {res} 75.75758       90.90909       {txt}Skewness      {res} .7897964
{txt}99%    {res} 86.86869       90.90909       {txt}Kurtosis      {res} 2.376814

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * TOTAL/DYNAMIC MULTIPLIER & BASELINE LONG-RUN EFFECTS  OF  klarnerranney ON adjpercapita_resid:  75TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF klarnerranney MINUS 25TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF klarnerranney FOR EFFECTIVE SAMPLE PERIOD *

. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. nlcom  (_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.adjpercapita_resid])*44.05263  -  (_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.adjpercapita_resid])*0.9433962

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}(_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.adjpercapita_resid])*44.05263 - (_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.adjpercapita_resid])*0.9433962

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}adjpercapi~d{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-82.23591{col 26}{space 2} 246.2199{col 37}{space 1}   -0.33{col 46}{space 3}0.738{col 54}{space 4}-564.8181{col 67}{space 3} 400.3463
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. 
. 
. qui regress d.ihsklarnerranney  l.ihsklarnerranney l.adjpercapita_resid l.d.ihsklarnerranney d.adjpercapita_resid  l2.d.ihsklarnerranney  l.d.adjpercapita_resid  l3.d.ihsklarnerranney l2.d.adjpercapita_resid l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1 i.state_fips i.year if year <=1980 & oldsouth==1

. 
. 
. 
. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       315{col 27}-184.4023{col 38}-126.8961{col 49}    57{col 58} 367.7922{col 69} 581.6889
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. *

. 
. 
. 
. ******PARTISAN COMPETITION EQUATION*********

. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. newey d.ihsklarnerranney  l.ihsklarnerranney l.adjpercapita_resid l.d.ihsklarnerranney d.adjpercapita_resid  l2.d.ihsklarnerranney  l.d.adjpercapita_resid  l3.d.ihsklarnerranney l2.d.adjpercapita_resid l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1 i.state_fips i.year if year <=1980 & oldsouth==1, lag(6) force
{txt}note: L.rep_unified omitted because of collinearity
note: LD.rep_unified omitted because of collinearity

Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       315
{txt}maximum lag: {res}6{col 49}{txt}F( 56,       258){col 67}= {res}     18.68
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 19}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 20}{c |}{col 32}  Newey-West
{col 1}D.ihsklarnerranney{col 20}{c |}      Coef.{col 32}   Std. Err.{col 44}      t{col 52}   P>|t|{col 60}     [95% Con{col 73}f. Interval]
{hline 19}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 2}ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 15}L1. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.1116617{col 32}{space 2} .0475151{col 43}{space 1}   -2.35{col 52}{space 3}0.020{col 60}{space 4}-.2052285{col 73}{space 3}-.0180949
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 15}L1. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0000111{col 32}{space 2} .0001208{col 43}{space 1}   -0.09{col 52}{space 3}0.927{col 60}{space 4}-.0002489{col 73}{space 3} .0002268
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 2}ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 15}LD. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0148277{col 32}{space 2} .1055839{col 43}{space 1}   -0.14{col 52}{space 3}0.888{col 60}{space 4}-.2227436{col 73}{space 3} .1930882
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 15}D1. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0003239{col 32}{space 2} .0001565{col 43}{space 1}   -2.07{col 52}{space 3}0.039{col 60}{space 4}-.0006322{col 73}{space 3}-.0000157
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 2}ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 14}L2D. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.2065713{col 32}{space 2}  .067496{col 43}{space 1}   -3.06{col 52}{space 3}0.002{col 60}{space 4}-.3394845{col 73}{space 3}-.0736582
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 15}LD. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0000215{col 32}{space 2} .0001996{col 43}{space 1}    0.11{col 52}{space 3}0.914{col 60}{space 4}-.0003715{col 73}{space 3} .0004145
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 2}ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 14}L3D. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0689991{col 32}{space 2} .0607651{col 43}{space 1}   -1.14{col 52}{space 3}0.257{col 60}{space 4}-.1886579{col 73}{space 3} .0506597
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 14}L2D. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0002125{col 32}{space 2} .0001725{col 43}{space 1}   -1.23{col 52}{space 3}0.219{col 60}{space 4}-.0005523{col 73}{space 3} .0001272
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 9}gov_party {c |}
{space 15}L1. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0288156{col 32}{space 2} .1297044{col 43}{space 1}    0.22{col 52}{space 3}0.824{col 60}{space 4}-.2265985{col 73}{space 3} .2842298
{txt}{space 15}LD. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.1888647{col 32}{space 2} .1167597{col 43}{space 1}   -1.62{col 52}{space 3}0.107{col 60}{space 4}-.4187881{col 73}{space 3} .0410587
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 7}dem_unified {c |}
{space 15}L1. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0848881{col 32}{space 2} .1374484{col 43}{space 1}    0.62{col 52}{space 3}0.537{col 60}{space 4}-.1857754{col 73}{space 3} .3555516
{txt}{space 15}LD. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .1419286{col 32}{space 2} .1237522{col 43}{space 1}    1.15{col 52}{space 3}0.252{col 60}{space 4}-.1017644{col 73}{space 3} .3856215
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 7}rep_unified {c |}
{space 15}L1. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}        0{col 32}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 15}LD. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}        0{col 32}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 18} {c |}
{space 4}electedjudges1 {c |}
{space 15}L1. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.1528677{col 32}{space 2} .1493481{col 43}{space 1}   -1.02{col 52}{space 3}0.307{col 60}{space 4}-.4469642{col 73}{space 3} .1412288
{txt}{space 15}LD. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  .060331{col 32}{space 2} .1100322{col 43}{space 1}    0.55{col 52}{space 3}0.584{col 60}{space 4}-.1563445{col 73}{space 3} .2770066
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 8}state_fips {c |}
{space 16}5  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0771234{col 32}{space 2} .0973791{col 43}{space 1}    0.79{col 52}{space 3}0.429{col 60}{space 4}-.1146356{col 73}{space 3} .2688824
{txt}{space 15}21  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .3832091{col 32}{space 2} .2010104{col 43}{space 1}    1.91{col 52}{space 3}0.058{col 60}{space 4}-.0126208{col 73}{space 3}  .779039
{txt}{space 15}22  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0513643{col 32}{space 2} .1209369{col 43}{space 1}    0.42{col 52}{space 3}0.671{col 60}{space 4}-.1867849{col 73}{space 3} .2895135
{txt}{space 15}28  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0552542{col 32}{space 2} .1204334{col 43}{space 1}    0.46{col 52}{space 3}0.647{col 60}{space 4}-.1819033{col 73}{space 3} .2924118
{txt}{space 15}40  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  .381197{col 32}{space 2}  .229017{col 43}{space 1}    1.66{col 52}{space 3}0.097{col 60}{space 4}-.0697836{col 73}{space 3} .8321777
{txt}{space 15}45  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0104244{col 32}{space 2} .1782795{col 43}{space 1}   -0.06{col 52}{space 3}0.953{col 60}{space 4}-.3614926{col 73}{space 3} .3406438
{txt}{space 15}47  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .3838163{col 32}{space 2} .1890877{col 43}{space 1}    2.03{col 52}{space 3}0.043{col 60}{space 4} .0114645{col 73}{space 3} .7561681
{txt}{space 15}54  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .3936452{col 32}{space 2} .2045105{col 43}{space 1}    1.92{col 52}{space 3}0.055{col 60}{space 4}-.0090772{col 73}{space 3} .7963675
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 14}year {c |}
{space 13}1947  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.1020814{col 32}{space 2} .1665945{col 43}{space 1}   -0.61{col 52}{space 3}0.541{col 60}{space 4}-.4301395{col 73}{space 3} .2259766
{txt}{space 13}1948  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0501316{col 32}{space 2} .2267156{col 43}{space 1}   -0.22{col 52}{space 3}0.825{col 60}{space 4}-.4965803{col 73}{space 3} .3963171
{txt}{space 13}1949  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.3444251{col 32}{space 2}  .192298{col 43}{space 1}   -1.79{col 52}{space 3}0.074{col 60}{space 4}-.7230986{col 73}{space 3} .0342483
{txt}{space 13}1950  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0207558{col 32}{space 2}  .153829{col 43}{space 1}   -0.13{col 52}{space 3}0.893{col 60}{space 4}-.3236761{col 73}{space 3} .2821645
{txt}{space 13}1951  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0170773{col 32}{space 2} .1574993{col 43}{space 1}    0.11{col 52}{space 3}0.914{col 60}{space 4}-.2930705{col 73}{space 3} .3272251
{txt}{space 13}1952  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0340451{col 32}{space 2} .1265235{col 43}{space 1}    0.27{col 52}{space 3}0.788{col 60}{space 4}-.2151052{col 73}{space 3} .2831955
{txt}{space 13}1953  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .1582302{col 32}{space 2} .1389488{col 43}{space 1}    1.14{col 52}{space 3}0.256{col 60}{space 4}-.1153881{col 73}{space 3} .4318484
{txt}{space 13}1954  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} -.028382{col 32}{space 2} .1033568{col 43}{space 1}   -0.27{col 52}{space 3}0.784{col 60}{space 4}-.2319123{col 73}{space 3} .1751484
{txt}{space 13}1955  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0705179{col 32}{space 2} .2016339{col 43}{space 1}    0.35{col 52}{space 3}0.727{col 60}{space 4}-.3265398{col 73}{space 3} .4675756
{txt}{space 13}1956  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0090138{col 32}{space 2}  .161521{col 43}{space 1}    0.06{col 52}{space 3}0.956{col 60}{space 4}-.3090535{col 73}{space 3} .3270811
{txt}{space 13}1957  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0128234{col 32}{space 2} .1325042{col 43}{space 1}    0.10{col 52}{space 3}0.923{col 60}{space 4} -.248104{col 73}{space 3} .2737509
{txt}{space 13}1958  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0270106{col 32}{space 2} .1415991{col 43}{space 1}    0.19{col 52}{space 3}0.849{col 60}{space 4}-.2518265{col 73}{space 3} .3058476
{txt}{space 13}1959  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.3633074{col 32}{space 2} .2257345{col 43}{space 1}   -1.61{col 52}{space 3}0.109{col 60}{space 4} -.807824{col 73}{space 3} .0812092
{txt}{space 13}1960  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} -.090011{col 32}{space 2} .1575249{col 43}{space 1}   -0.57{col 52}{space 3}0.568{col 60}{space 4}-.4002092{col 73}{space 3} .2201872
{txt}{space 13}1961  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0781761{col 32}{space 2} .1820157{col 43}{space 1}    0.43{col 52}{space 3}0.668{col 60}{space 4}-.2802495{col 73}{space 3} .4366016
{txt}{space 13}1962  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0132587{col 32}{space 2} .1709253{col 43}{space 1}   -0.08{col 52}{space 3}0.938{col 60}{space 4} -.349845{col 73}{space 3} .3233276
{txt}{space 13}1963  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .3202628{col 32}{space 2} .2149122{col 43}{space 1}    1.49{col 52}{space 3}0.137{col 60}{space 4}-.1029426{col 73}{space 3} .7434682
{txt}{space 13}1964  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .3718718{col 32}{space 2} .2507924{col 43}{space 1}    1.48{col 52}{space 3}0.139{col 60}{space 4} -.121989{col 73}{space 3} .8657326
{txt}{space 13}1965  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .1780166{col 32}{space 2} .2716541{col 43}{space 1}    0.66{col 52}{space 3}0.513{col 60}{space 4} -.356925{col 73}{space 3} .7129581
{txt}{space 13}1966  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  .573569{col 32}{space 2} .3241489{col 43}{space 1}    1.77{col 52}{space 3}0.078{col 60}{space 4}-.0647454{col 73}{space 3} 1.211883
{txt}{space 13}1967  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .8508064{col 32}{space 2} .3596659{col 43}{space 1}    2.37{col 52}{space 3}0.019{col 60}{space 4} .1425519{col 73}{space 3} 1.559061
{txt}{space 13}1968  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0311717{col 32}{space 2} .3643333{col 43}{space 1}    0.09{col 52}{space 3}0.932{col 60}{space 4}-.6862739{col 73}{space 3} .7486172
{txt}{space 13}1969  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .4226349{col 32}{space 2} .3499066{col 43}{space 1}    1.21{col 52}{space 3}0.228{col 60}{space 4}-.2664015{col 73}{space 3} 1.111671
{txt}{space 13}1970  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .6399564{col 32}{space 2} .4302378{col 43}{space 1}    1.49{col 52}{space 3}0.138{col 60}{space 4}-.2072684{col 73}{space 3} 1.487181
{txt}{space 13}1971  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .2212016{col 32}{space 2}  .373026{col 43}{space 1}    0.59{col 52}{space 3}0.554{col 60}{space 4}-.5133617{col 73}{space 3} .9557649
{txt}{space 13}1972  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .4413707{col 32}{space 2} .4857941{col 43}{space 1}    0.91{col 52}{space 3}0.364{col 60}{space 4}-.5152557{col 73}{space 3} 1.397997
{txt}{space 13}1973  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .3985744{col 32}{space 2} .4538584{col 43}{space 1}    0.88{col 52}{space 3}0.381{col 60}{space 4}-.4951641{col 73}{space 3} 1.292313
{txt}{space 13}1974  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .1998238{col 32}{space 2} .4795414{col 43}{space 1}    0.42{col 52}{space 3}0.677{col 60}{space 4}-.7444897{col 73}{space 3} 1.144137
{txt}{space 13}1975  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} -.012689{col 32}{space 2} .5008501{col 43}{space 1}   -0.03{col 52}{space 3}0.980{col 60}{space 4}-.9989637{col 73}{space 3} .9735857
{txt}{space 13}1976  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .2159107{col 32}{space 2} .4946937{col 43}{space 1}    0.44{col 52}{space 3}0.663{col 60}{space 4}-.7582408{col 73}{space 3} 1.190062
{txt}{space 13}1977  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .4375387{col 32}{space 2} .6402904{col 43}{space 1}    0.68{col 52}{space 3}0.495{col 60}{space 4}-.8233221{col 73}{space 3}   1.6984
{txt}{space 13}1978  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .3091697{col 32}{space 2} .5444795{col 43}{space 1}    0.57{col 52}{space 3}0.571{col 60}{space 4}-.7630202{col 73}{space 3} 1.381359
{txt}{space 13}1979  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}   .41323{col 32}{space 2} .5829448{col 43}{space 1}    0.71{col 52}{space 3}0.479{col 60}{space 4}-.7347058{col 73}{space 3} 1.561166
{txt}{space 13}1980  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .1965086{col 32}{space 2} .5536591{col 43}{space 1}    0.35{col 52}{space 3}0.723{col 60}{space 4}-.8937577{col 73}{space 3} 1.286775
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 13}_cons {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  .052201{col 32}{space 2} .7392258{col 43}{space 1}    0.07{col 52}{space 3}0.944{col 60}{space 4}-1.403483{col 73}{space 3} 1.507885
{txt}{hline 19}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. predict ihsklarnerranneyhatallpre if year<=1980 & oldsouth==1
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(3,024 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
. 
.  
. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION ERROR CORRECTION RATE *

. 
. 
. 
. test l.ihsklarnerranney = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.ihsklarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,   258) ={res}    5.52
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0195

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *Weak Exogeneity Tests*

. 
. 
. 
. testnl _b[l.adjpercapita_resid]/-_b[l.ihsklarnerranney] = 0

{col 3}{txt}(1){res}{col 8}{bind:_b[l.adjpercapita_resid]/-_b[l.ihsklarnerranney] = 0}

{txt}{ralign 22:chi2({res:1})} =  {res}      0.01
{txt}{ralign 22:Prob > chi2} =  {res}      0.9272{txt}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * GRANGER CAUSLITY TEST *

. 
. 
. 
. test d.adjpercapita_resid  =  l.d.adjpercapita_resid  =  l2.d.adjpercapita_resid = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.adjpercapita_resid - LD.adjpercapita_resid = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} D.adjpercapita_resid - L2D.adjpercapita_resid = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 3)}{space 1} D.adjpercapita_resid = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  3,   258) ={res}    2.09
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.1013

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENEITY)*

. 
. 
. 
. test l.ihsklarnerranney = l.adjpercapita_resid = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.ihsklarnerranney - L.adjpercapita_resid = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.ihsklarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,   258) ={res}    2.78
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0636

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *

. 
. 
. 
. lincom  d.adjpercapita_resid +  l.d.adjpercapita_resid +  l2.d.adjpercapita_resid + 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.adjpercapita_resid + LD.adjpercapita_resid + L2D.adjpercapita_resid = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}ihsklarner~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -.000515{col 26}{space 2} .0003845{col 37}{space 1}   -1.34{col 46}{space 3}0.182{col 54}{space 4}-.0012722{col 67}{space 3} .0002422
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *

. 
. 
. 
. nlcom _b[l.adjpercapita_resid]/-_b[l.ihsklarnerranney]

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.adjpercapita_resid]/-_b[l.ihsklarnerranney]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}ihsklarner~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0000991{col 26}{space 2} .0010847{col 37}{space 1}   -0.09{col 46}{space 3}0.927{col 54}{space 4}-.0022249{col 67}{space 3} .0020268
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. sum adjpercapita_resid    if ihsklarnerranneyhatallpre!=. & year<=1980 & oldsouth==1, detail

                          {txt}Residuals
{hline 61}
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%    {res} -6815.45      -7102.316
{txt} 5%    {res}-6387.843      -7006.129
{txt}10%    {res} -6087.15      -6867.791       {txt}Obs         {res}        315
{txt}25%    {res}-5399.545       -6815.45       {txt}Sum of Wgt. {res}        315

{txt}50%    {res}-4329.966                      {txt}Mean          {res}-3952.235
                        {txt}Largest       Std. Dev.     {res} 1775.962
{txt}75%    {res} -2509.21       19.41774
{txt}90%    {res}-1484.125       419.1106       {txt}Variance      {res}  3154039
{txt}95%    {res}-929.0234       718.7048       {txt}Skewness      {res} .3831244
{txt}99%    {res} 19.41774       779.0018       {txt}Kurtosis      {res} 2.129056

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * TOTAL/DYNAMIC MULTIPLIER & BASELINE LONG-RUN EFFECTS OF  adjpercapita_resid ON ihsklarnerranney:  75TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF adjpercapita_resid MINUS 25TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF adjpercapita_resid FOR EFFECTIVE SAMPLE PERIOD 

. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. nlcom  (_b[l.adjpercapita_resid] / - _b[l.ihsklarnerranney])*8432.818   -  (_b[l.adjpercapita_resid] / - _b[l.ihsklarnerranney])*4643.055

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}(_b[l.adjpercapita_resid] / - _b[l.ihsklarnerranney])*8432.818 - (_b[l.adjpercapita_resid] / - _b[l.ihsklarnerranney])*4643.055

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}ihsklarner~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.3754257{col 26}{space 2} 4.110544{col 37}{space 1}   -0.09{col 46}{space 3}0.927{col 54}{space 4}-8.431944{col 67}{space 3} 7.681092
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
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. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

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. 
. 
. // (5,4)  MODEL
{bf}{err}/{sf} is not a valid command name
{txt}{search r(199), local:r(199);}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** IV.C: OLD SOUTH STATES (N = 9): POST-PARTISAN ALIGNMENT TIME PERIOD (1981 - 2010) ***

. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. 
. 
. qui reg d.adjpercapita_resid  l.adjpercapita_resid l.klarnerranney   l.d.adjpercapita_resid d.klarnerranney  l2.d.adjpercapita_resid  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.adjpercapita_resid l2.d.klarnerranney  l4.d.adjpercapita_resid l3.d.klarnerranney  l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work  l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified  i.state_fips i.year if year >1980 & oldsouth==1

. 
. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       270{col 27}-1952.511{col 38}-1849.449{col 49}    60{col 58} 3818.899{col 69} 4034.804
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ******INCOME EQUATION*********

. 
. 
. 
. newey d.adjpercapita_resid  l.adjpercapita_resid l.klarnerranney   l.d.adjpercapita_resid d.klarnerranney  l2.d.adjpercapita_resid  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.adjpercapita_resid l2.d.klarnerranney  l4.d.adjpercapita_resid l3.d.klarnerranney  l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work  l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified  i.state_fips i.year if year >1980 & oldsouth==1, lag(5) force
{txt}note: LD.right_to_work omitted because of collinearity
note: 54.state_fips omitted because of collinearity

Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       270
{txt}maximum lag: {res}5{col 49}{txt}F( 59,       210){col 67}= {res}     43.99
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}  Newey-West
{col 1}D.adjpercapita_resid{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      t{col 54}   P>|t|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 2}adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.3786041{col 34}{space 2} .0678862{col 45}{space 1}   -5.58{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-.5124298{col 75}{space 3}-.2447785
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.674829{col 34}{space 2} 2.077042{col 45}{space 1}    0.81{col 54}{space 3}0.421{col 62}{space 4}-2.419695{col 75}{space 3} 5.769353
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 2}adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .2615625{col 34}{space 2} .0966876{col 45}{space 1}    2.71{col 54}{space 3}0.007{col 62}{space 4} .0709598{col 75}{space 3} .4521651
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}D1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.106676{col 34}{space 2} 3.423132{col 45}{space 1}    0.32{col 54}{space 3}0.747{col 62}{space 4}-5.641429{col 75}{space 3} 7.854781
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 2}adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0624727{col 34}{space 2} .1293784{col 45}{space 1}    0.48{col 54}{space 3}0.630{col 62}{space 4}-.1925742{col 75}{space 3} .3175196
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-2.593788{col 34}{space 2} 4.001543{col 45}{space 1}   -0.65{col 54}{space 3}0.518{col 62}{space 4}-10.48213{col 75}{space 3} 5.294553
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 2}adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 16}L3D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0626429{col 34}{space 2} .0905188{col 45}{space 1}    0.69{col 54}{space 3}0.490{col 62}{space 4} -.115799{col 75}{space 3} .2410849
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -4.44703{col 34}{space 2}  3.46701{col 45}{space 1}   -1.28{col 54}{space 3}0.201{col 62}{space 4}-11.28163{col 75}{space 3} 2.387574
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 2}adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 16}L4D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .2302225{col 34}{space 2} .1101589{col 45}{space 1}    2.09{col 54}{space 3}0.038{col 62}{space 4} .0130636{col 75}{space 3} .4473814
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 16}L3D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.065391{col 34}{space 2} 3.361926{col 45}{space 1}    0.32{col 54}{space 3}0.752{col 62}{space 4}-5.562058{col 75}{space 3} 7.692839
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
csi_perc_cap_outlays {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 2403.992{col 34}{space 2} 1052.162{col 45}{space 1}    2.28{col 54}{space 3}0.023{col 62}{space 4} 329.8392{col 75}{space 3} 4478.146
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-438.7133{col 34}{space 2} 1311.866{col 45}{space 1}   -0.33{col 54}{space 3}0.738{col 62}{space 4}-3024.828{col 75}{space 3} 2147.401
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}right_to_work {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 112.9717{col 34}{space 2} 106.5468{col 45}{space 1}    1.06{col 54}{space 3}0.290{col 62}{space 4}-97.06668{col 75}{space 3}   323.01
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}        0{col 34}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 20} {c |}
{space 1}csi_welf_perc_total {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 2409.184{col 34}{space 2} 947.1769{col 45}{space 1}    2.54{col 54}{space 3}0.012{col 62}{space 4} 541.9908{col 75}{space 3} 4276.377
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-976.7808{col 34}{space 2} 1837.803{col 45}{space 1}   -0.53{col 54}{space 3}0.596{col 62}{space 4}-4599.687{col 75}{space 3} 2646.126
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}nonfarm_persinc {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 14836.75{col 34}{space 2} 7159.933{col 45}{space 1}    2.07{col 54}{space 3}0.039{col 62}{space 4} 722.1988{col 75}{space 3} 28951.31
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1204.907{col 34}{space 2} 5391.822{col 45}{space 1}    0.22{col 54}{space 3}0.823{col 62}{space 4}-9424.124{col 75}{space 3} 11833.94
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 11}gov_party {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -192.608{col 34}{space 2} 91.92474{col 45}{space 1}   -2.10{col 54}{space 3}0.037{col 62}{space 4}-373.8215{col 75}{space 3}-11.39445
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 222.8921{col 34}{space 2} 142.0675{col 45}{space 1}    1.57{col 54}{space 3}0.118{col 62}{space 4}-57.16917{col 75}{space 3} 502.9534
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}dem_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 177.0006{col 34}{space 2} 103.1023{col 45}{space 1}    1.72{col 54}{space 3}0.087{col 62}{space 4}-26.24757{col 75}{space 3} 380.2489
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-240.4771{col 34}{space 2} 158.7991{col 45}{space 1}   -1.51{col 54}{space 3}0.131{col 62}{space 4}-553.5218{col 75}{space 3} 72.56759
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}rep_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-68.20931{col 34}{space 2} 93.48237{col 45}{space 1}   -0.73{col 54}{space 3}0.466{col 62}{space 4}-252.4934{col 75}{space 3} 116.0748
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-138.5212{col 34}{space 2} 157.7452{col 45}{space 1}   -0.88{col 54}{space 3}0.381{col 62}{space 4}-449.4882{col 75}{space 3} 172.4459
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 10}state_fips {c |}
{space 18}5  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 372.5224{col 34}{space 2} 167.4128{col 45}{space 1}    2.23{col 54}{space 3}0.027{col 62}{space 4} 42.49739{col 75}{space 3} 702.5475
{txt}{space 17}21  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 74.66281{col 34}{space 2} 148.8791{col 45}{space 1}    0.50{col 54}{space 3}0.617{col 62}{space 4}-218.8263{col 75}{space 3} 368.1519
{txt}{space 17}22  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-122.4127{col 34}{space 2} 79.47579{col 45}{space 1}   -1.54{col 54}{space 3}0.125{col 62}{space 4}-279.0853{col 75}{space 3} 34.25992
{txt}{space 17}28  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-359.7599{col 34}{space 2} 84.66229{col 45}{space 1}   -4.25{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-526.6568{col 75}{space 3} -192.863
{txt}{space 17}40  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 421.0908{col 34}{space 2} 104.7446{col 45}{space 1}    4.02{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 214.6051{col 75}{space 3} 627.5764
{txt}{space 17}45  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 78.77433{col 34}{space 2} 77.18831{col 45}{space 1}    1.02{col 54}{space 3}0.309{col 62}{space 4} -73.3889{col 75}{space 3} 230.9376
{txt}{space 17}47  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-97.49565{col 34}{space 2}  107.241{col 45}{space 1}   -0.91{col 54}{space 3}0.364{col 62}{space 4}-308.9025{col 75}{space 3} 113.9112
{txt}{space 17}54  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}        0{col 34}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 20} {c |}
{space 16}year {c |}
{space 15}1982  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 62.03415{col 34}{space 2} 137.9606{col 45}{space 1}    0.45{col 54}{space 3}0.653{col 62}{space 4} -209.931{col 75}{space 3} 333.9993
{txt}{space 15}1983  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 87.21084{col 34}{space 2} 156.2824{col 45}{space 1}    0.56{col 54}{space 3}0.577{col 62}{space 4}-220.8725{col 75}{space 3} 395.2942
{txt}{space 15}1984  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 490.4903{col 34}{space 2} 170.9503{col 45}{space 1}    2.87{col 54}{space 3}0.005{col 62}{space 4} 153.4916{col 75}{space 3} 827.4889
{txt}{space 15}1985  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 227.4896{col 34}{space 2} 175.3669{col 45}{space 1}    1.30{col 54}{space 3}0.196{col 62}{space 4}-118.2156{col 75}{space 3} 573.1947
{txt}{space 15}1986  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 267.0291{col 34}{space 2}  175.001{col 45}{space 1}    1.53{col 54}{space 3}0.129{col 62}{space 4}-77.95474{col 75}{space 3}  612.013
{txt}{space 15}1987  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 311.3838{col 34}{space 2} 187.7565{col 45}{space 1}    1.66{col 54}{space 3}0.099{col 62}{space 4}-58.74534{col 75}{space 3} 681.5129
{txt}{space 15}1988  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 575.3175{col 34}{space 2} 202.5622{col 45}{space 1}    2.84{col 54}{space 3}0.005{col 62}{space 4} 176.0016{col 75}{space 3} 974.6333
{txt}{space 15}1989  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 662.4677{col 34}{space 2} 182.6702{col 45}{space 1}    3.63{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 302.3654{col 75}{space 3}  1022.57
{txt}{space 15}1990  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 542.8134{col 34}{space 2} 197.4847{col 45}{space 1}    2.75{col 54}{space 3}0.007{col 62}{space 4} 153.5069{col 75}{space 3} 932.1198
{txt}{space 15}1991  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 415.8449{col 34}{space 2} 200.6817{col 45}{space 1}    2.07{col 54}{space 3}0.039{col 62}{space 4} 20.23604{col 75}{space 3} 811.4537
{txt}{space 15}1992  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 652.5659{col 34}{space 2} 187.3523{col 45}{space 1}    3.48{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 283.2338{col 75}{space 3} 1021.898
{txt}{space 15}1993  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 409.2972{col 34}{space 2}  204.394{col 45}{space 1}    2.00{col 54}{space 3}0.047{col 62}{space 4} 6.370162{col 75}{space 3} 812.2243
{txt}{space 15}1994  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 695.0866{col 34}{space 2} 198.9015{col 45}{space 1}    3.49{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4}  302.987{col 75}{space 3} 1087.186
{txt}{space 15}1995  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  607.143{col 34}{space 2}   232.06{col 45}{space 1}    2.62{col 54}{space 3}0.010{col 62}{space 4} 149.6774{col 75}{space 3} 1064.609
{txt}{space 15}1996  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 611.2659{col 34}{space 2} 215.6252{col 45}{space 1}    2.83{col 54}{space 3}0.005{col 62}{space 4} 186.1986{col 75}{space 3} 1036.333
{txt}{space 15}1997  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 861.6491{col 34}{space 2} 239.3027{col 45}{space 1}    3.60{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 389.9058{col 75}{space 3} 1333.392
{txt}{space 15}1998  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1020.09{col 34}{space 2} 255.6017{col 45}{space 1}    3.99{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 516.2156{col 75}{space 3} 1523.963
{txt}{space 15}1999  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 723.4708{col 34}{space 2}  269.973{col 45}{space 1}    2.68{col 54}{space 3}0.008{col 62}{space 4} 191.2663{col 75}{space 3} 1255.675
{txt}{space 15}2000  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 952.8012{col 34}{space 2} 264.5466{col 45}{space 1}    3.60{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 431.2938{col 75}{space 3} 1474.309
{txt}{space 15}2001  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 991.7602{col 34}{space 2} 276.1428{col 45}{space 1}    3.59{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  447.393{col 75}{space 3} 1536.127
{txt}{space 15}2002  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 654.7225{col 34}{space 2} 271.2368{col 45}{space 1}    2.41{col 54}{space 3}0.017{col 62}{space 4} 120.0267{col 75}{space 3} 1189.418
{txt}{space 15}2003  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 871.6341{col 34}{space 2} 262.4461{col 45}{space 1}    3.32{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 354.2676{col 75}{space 3} 1389.001
{txt}{space 15}2004  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1105.446{col 34}{space 2} 272.6947{col 45}{space 1}    4.05{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 567.8758{col 75}{space 3} 1643.016
{txt}{space 15}2005  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1095.638{col 34}{space 2} 285.8506{col 45}{space 1}    3.83{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 532.1334{col 75}{space 3} 1659.142
{txt}{space 15}2006  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1238.077{col 34}{space 2} 314.6104{col 45}{space 1}    3.94{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 617.8781{col 75}{space 3} 1858.277
{txt}{space 15}2007  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1022.195{col 34}{space 2} 353.9645{col 45}{space 1}    2.89{col 54}{space 3}0.004{col 62}{space 4} 324.4156{col 75}{space 3} 1719.974
{txt}{space 15}2008  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1253.203{col 34}{space 2}  353.638{col 45}{space 1}    3.54{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 556.0677{col 75}{space 3} 1950.338
{txt}{space 15}2009  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  602.093{col 34}{space 2} 320.7659{col 45}{space 1}    1.88{col 54}{space 3}0.062{col 62}{space 4}-30.24085{col 75}{space 3} 1234.427
{txt}{space 15}2010  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 609.4244{col 34}{space 2} 305.5397{col 45}{space 1}    1.99{col 54}{space 3}0.047{col 62}{space 4} 7.106455{col 75}{space 3} 1211.742
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-15802.11{col 34}{space 2} 7146.898{col 45}{space 1}   -2.21{col 54}{space 3}0.028{col 62}{space 4}-29890.96{col 75}{space 3}-1713.251
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. predict adjpercapita_residhatallpost if year>1980 & oldsouth==1
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(3,069 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME ERROR CORRECTION RATE *

. 
. 
. 
. test l.adjpercapita_resid = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.adjpercapita_resid = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,   210) ={res}   31.10
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0000

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *Weak Exogeneity Tests*

. 
. 
. 
. testnl _b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.adjpercapita_resid] = 0

{col 3}{txt}(1){res}{col 8}{bind:_b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.adjpercapita_resid] = 0}

{txt}{ralign 22:chi2({res:1})} =  {res}      0.71
{txt}{ralign 22:Prob > chi2} =  {res}      0.3994{txt}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * GRANGER CAUSLITY TEST*

. 
. 
. 
. test  d.klarnerranney = l.d.klarnerranney  =  l2.d.klarnerranney = l3.d.klarnerranney = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.klarnerranney - LD.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} D.klarnerranney - L2D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 3)}{space 1} D.klarnerranney - L3D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 4)}{space 1} D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  4,   210) ={res}    1.11
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.3527

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENIETY)*

. 
. 
. 
. test l.adjpercapita_resid = l.klarnerranney = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.adjpercapita_resid - L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.adjpercapita_resid = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,   210) ={res}   16.42
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0000

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *

. 
. 
. 
. lincom  d.klarnerranney +  l.d.klarnerranney +  l2.d.klarnerranney +  l3.d.klarnerranney 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.klarnerranney + LD.klarnerranney + L2D.klarnerranney + L3D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}adjpercapi~d{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-4.868751{col 26}{space 2} 6.041378{col 37}{space 1}   -0.81{col 46}{space 3}0.421{col 54}{space 4}-16.77827{col 67}{space 3} 7.040767
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *

. 
. 
. 
. nlcom _b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.adjpercapita_resid] 

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.adjpercapita_resid]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}adjpercapi~d{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 4.423695{col 26}{space 2} 5.249004{col 37}{space 1}    0.84{col 46}{space 3}0.399{col 54}{space 4}-5.864164{col 67}{space 3} 14.71155
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. sum klarnerranney   if adjpercapita_residhatallpost!=. & year > 1980 & oldsouth==1, detail

         {txt}Annual Ranney Measure of State Legislative
               Partisan Balance (Klarner Data)
{hline 61}
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%    {res}  9.52381       4.761905
{txt} 5%    {res} 13.99267       4.761905
{txt}10%    {res} 21.62605        9.52381       {txt}Obs         {res}        270
{txt}25%    {res} 39.04762        9.52381       {txt}Sum of Wgt. {res}        270

{txt}50%    {res} 61.51174                      {txt}Mean          {res} 58.58739
                        {txt}Largest       Std. Dev.     {res} 25.29815
{txt}75%    {res} 81.81818       98.14165
{txt}90%    {res} 90.90909       98.52632       {txt}Variance      {res} 639.9964
{txt}95%    {res} 96.89474        98.9899       {txt}Skewness      {res}-.2543468
{txt}99%    {res} 98.52632       99.26367       {txt}Kurtosis      {res} 2.040101

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * TOTAL/DYNAMIC MULTIPLIER & BASELINE LONG-RUN EFFECTS  OF  klarnerranney ON adjpercapita_resid:  75TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF klarnerranney MINUS 25TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF klarnerranney FOR EFFECTIVE SAMPLE PERIOD *

. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. nlcom  (_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.adjpercapita_resid])*81.81818  -  (_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.adjpercapita_resid])*39.04762

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}(_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.adjpercapita_resid])*81.81818 - (_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.adjpercapita_resid])*39.04762

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}adjpercapi~d{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 189.2039{col 26}{space 2} 224.5028{col 37}{space 1}    0.84{col 46}{space 3}0.399{col 54}{space 4}-250.8136{col 67}{space 3} 629.2214
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************

. 
. 
. 
. qui reg d.klarnerranney  l.klarnerranney l.adjpercapita_resid l.d.klarnerranney d.adjpercapita_resid  l2.d.klarnerranney  l.d.adjpercapita_resid  l3.d.klarnerranney l2.d.adjpercapita_resid  l4.d.klarnerranney l3.d.adjpercapita_resid  l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1  i.state_fips i.year if year >1980 & oldsouth==1

. 
. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       270{col 27}-875.4848{col 38}-805.2834{col 49}    56{col 58} 1722.567{col 69} 1924.078
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ******PARTISAN COMPETITION EQUATION*********

. 
. 
. 
. newey d.klarnerranney  l.klarnerranney l.adjpercapita_resid l.d.klarnerranney d.adjpercapita_resid  l2.d.klarnerranney  l.d.adjpercapita_resid  l3.d.klarnerranney l2.d.adjpercapita_resid  l4.d.klarnerranney l3.d.adjpercapita_resid  l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1  i.state_fips i.year if year >1980 & oldsouth==1, lag(5) force

{txt}Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       270
{txt}maximum lag: {res}5{col 49}{txt}F( 55,       214){col 67}= {res}     10.28
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 19}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 20}{c |}{col 32}  Newey-West
{col 1}   D.klarnerranney{col 20}{c |}      Coef.{col 32}   Std. Err.{col 44}      t{col 52}   P>|t|{col 60}     [95% Con{col 73}f. Interval]
{hline 19}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 15}L1. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.1855904{col 32}{space 2} .0440125{col 43}{space 1}   -4.22{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4}-.2723439{col 73}{space 3} -.098837
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 15}L1. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  .000185{col 32}{space 2} .0010754{col 43}{space 1}    0.17{col 52}{space 3}0.864{col 60}{space 4}-.0019347{col 73}{space 3} .0023047
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 5}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 15}LD. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0022351{col 32}{space 2} .0641551{col 43}{space 1}    0.03{col 52}{space 3}0.972{col 60}{space 4}-.1242217{col 73}{space 3} .1286919
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 15}D1. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0002421{col 32}{space 2} .0014999{col 43}{space 1}   -0.16{col 52}{space 3}0.872{col 60}{space 4}-.0031985{col 73}{space 3} .0027144
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 5}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 14}L2D. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .1089434{col 32}{space 2} .0804197{col 43}{space 1}    1.35{col 52}{space 3}0.177{col 60}{space 4}-.0495729{col 73}{space 3} .2674597
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 15}LD. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0003956{col 32}{space 2}  .002157{col 43}{space 1}    0.18{col 52}{space 3}0.855{col 60}{space 4}-.0038562{col 73}{space 3} .0046473
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 5}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 14}L3D. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0787578{col 32}{space 2} .0541093{col 43}{space 1}    1.46{col 52}{space 3}0.147{col 60}{space 4}-.0278977{col 73}{space 3} .1854132
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 14}L2D. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0009484{col 32}{space 2} .0015527{col 43}{space 1}   -0.61{col 52}{space 3}0.542{col 60}{space 4} -.004009{col 73}{space 3} .0021122
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 5}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 14}L4D. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.2396228{col 32}{space 2} .0890245{col 43}{space 1}   -2.69{col 52}{space 3}0.008{col 60}{space 4}-.4150999{col 73}{space 3}-.0641457
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
adjpercapita_resid {c |}
{space 14}L3D. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .0001134{col 32}{space 2} .0021221{col 43}{space 1}    0.05{col 52}{space 3}0.957{col 60}{space 4}-.0040695{col 73}{space 3} .0042963
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 9}gov_party {c |}
{space 15}L1. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} -5.89652{col 32}{space 2} 2.143068{col 43}{space 1}   -2.75{col 52}{space 3}0.006{col 60}{space 4}-10.12074{col 73}{space 3}-1.672296
{txt}{space 15}LD. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 3.482663{col 32}{space 2} 2.814593{col 43}{space 1}    1.24{col 52}{space 3}0.217{col 60}{space 4}-2.065214{col 73}{space 3} 9.030539
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 7}dem_unified {c |}
{space 15}L1. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 6.009144{col 32}{space 2} 2.536151{col 43}{space 1}    2.37{col 52}{space 3}0.019{col 60}{space 4} 1.010108{col 73}{space 3} 11.00818
{txt}{space 15}LD. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-4.340454{col 32}{space 2} 2.918562{col 43}{space 1}   -1.49{col 52}{space 3}0.138{col 60}{space 4}-10.09327{col 73}{space 3} 1.412357
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 7}rep_unified {c |}
{space 15}L1. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-8.079529{col 32}{space 2}  1.85728{col 43}{space 1}   -4.35{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4}-11.74044{col 73}{space 3}-4.418623
{txt}{space 15}LD. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 5.342498{col 32}{space 2} 4.417108{col 43}{space 1}    1.21{col 52}{space 3}0.228{col 60}{space 4}-3.364114{col 73}{space 3} 14.04911
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 4}electedjudges1 {c |}
{space 15}L1. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 4.640995{col 32}{space 2} 1.454061{col 43}{space 1}    3.19{col 52}{space 3}0.002{col 60}{space 4}  1.77488{col 73}{space 3} 7.507111
{txt}{space 15}LD. {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-1.878859{col 32}{space 2} 2.885203{col 43}{space 1}   -0.65{col 52}{space 3}0.516{col 60}{space 4}-7.565916{col 73}{space 3} 3.808198
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 8}state_fips {c |}
{space 16}5  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-2.892217{col 32}{space 2} 1.690899{col 43}{space 1}   -1.71{col 52}{space 3}0.089{col 60}{space 4}-6.225167{col 73}{space 3} .4407336
{txt}{space 15}21  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 4.377122{col 32}{space 2} 1.520348{col 43}{space 1}    2.88{col 52}{space 3}0.004{col 60}{space 4} 1.380346{col 73}{space 3} 7.373897
{txt}{space 15}22  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-.0884647{col 32}{space 2} 1.178783{col 43}{space 1}   -0.08{col 52}{space 3}0.940{col 60}{space 4}-2.411977{col 73}{space 3} 2.235047
{txt}{space 15}28  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .2006508{col 32}{space 2} 1.758466{col 43}{space 1}    0.11{col 52}{space 3}0.909{col 60}{space 4}-3.265482{col 73}{space 3} 3.666784
{txt}{space 15}40  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 5.900259{col 32}{space 2} 2.660741{col 43}{space 1}    2.22{col 52}{space 3}0.028{col 60}{space 4} .6556416{col 73}{space 3} 11.14488
{txt}{space 15}45  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 10.32926{col 32}{space 2} 2.518209{col 43}{space 1}    4.10{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 5.365593{col 73}{space 3} 15.29294
{txt}{space 15}47  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 6.589182{col 32}{space 2} 2.457085{col 43}{space 1}    2.68{col 52}{space 3}0.008{col 60}{space 4} 1.745993{col 73}{space 3} 11.43237
{txt}{space 15}54  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-3.270564{col 32}{space 2} 1.371052{col 43}{space 1}   -2.39{col 52}{space 3}0.018{col 60}{space 4} -5.97306{col 73}{space 3} -.568068
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 14}year {c |}
{space 13}1982  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}-1.141187{col 32}{space 2} 2.114059{col 43}{space 1}   -0.54{col 52}{space 3}0.590{col 60}{space 4}-5.308232{col 73}{space 3} 3.025858
{txt}{space 13}1983  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .6319537{col 32}{space 2} 2.446116{col 43}{space 1}    0.26{col 52}{space 3}0.796{col 60}{space 4}-4.189612{col 73}{space 3}  5.45352
{txt}{space 13}1984  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} .2691759{col 32}{space 2} 1.680964{col 43}{space 1}    0.16{col 52}{space 3}0.873{col 60}{space 4} -3.04419{col 73}{space 3} 3.582542
{txt}{space 13}1985  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 7.833285{col 32}{space 2} 3.565325{col 43}{space 1}    2.20{col 52}{space 3}0.029{col 60}{space 4} .8056323{col 73}{space 3} 14.86094
{txt}{space 13}1986  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 1.021759{col 32}{space 2} 2.014325{col 43}{space 1}    0.51{col 52}{space 3}0.613{col 60}{space 4}-2.948701{col 73}{space 3} 4.992218
{txt}{space 13}1987  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2}  3.77907{col 32}{space 2} 2.699166{col 43}{space 1}    1.40{col 52}{space 3}0.163{col 60}{space 4}-1.541286{col 73}{space 3} 9.099427
{txt}{space 13}1988  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 1.237979{col 32}{space 2} 1.860012{col 43}{space 1}    0.67{col 52}{space 3}0.506{col 60}{space 4}-2.428312{col 73}{space 3} 4.904271
{txt}{space 13}1989  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 3.888072{col 32}{space 2} 2.965645{col 43}{space 1}    1.31{col 52}{space 3}0.191{col 60}{space 4}-1.957544{col 73}{space 3} 9.733689
{txt}{space 13}1990  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 3.012079{col 32}{space 2} 2.012132{col 43}{space 1}    1.50{col 52}{space 3}0.136{col 60}{space 4} -.954058{col 73}{space 3} 6.978216
{txt}{space 13}1991  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 5.529206{col 32}{space 2} 2.728889{col 43}{space 1}    2.03{col 52}{space 3}0.044{col 60}{space 4}  .150262{col 73}{space 3} 10.90815
{txt}{space 13}1992  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 3.371672{col 32}{space 2} 2.484169{col 43}{space 1}    1.36{col 52}{space 3}0.176{col 60}{space 4}-1.524902{col 73}{space 3} 8.268245
{txt}{space 13}1993  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 4.630746{col 32}{space 2} 2.671859{col 43}{space 1}    1.73{col 52}{space 3}0.085{col 60}{space 4}-.6357845{col 73}{space 3} 9.897277
{txt}{space 13}1994  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 4.720543{col 32}{space 2} 2.478051{col 43}{space 1}    1.90{col 52}{space 3}0.058{col 60}{space 4}-.1639721{col 73}{space 3} 9.605058
{txt}{space 13}1995  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 16.76018{col 32}{space 2} 4.016744{col 43}{space 1}    4.17{col 52}{space 3}0.000{col 60}{space 4} 8.842728{col 73}{space 3} 24.67763
{txt}{space 13}1996  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 10.21305{col 32}{space 2} 4.804427{col 43}{space 1}    2.13{col 52}{space 3}0.035{col 60}{space 4} .7429899{col 73}{space 3} 19.68311
{txt}{space 13}1997  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 6.517112{col 32}{space 2} 3.645161{col 43}{space 1}    1.79{col 52}{space 3}0.075{col 60}{space 4}-.6679065{col 73}{space 3} 13.70213
{txt}{space 13}1998  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 5.838961{col 32}{space 2} 3.504527{col 43}{space 1}    1.67{col 52}{space 3}0.097{col 60}{space 4}-1.068853{col 73}{space 3} 12.74677
{txt}{space 13}1999  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 9.872283{col 32}{space 2} 3.978135{col 43}{space 1}    2.48{col 52}{space 3}0.014{col 60}{space 4} 2.030937{col 73}{space 3} 17.71363
{txt}{space 13}2000  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 9.402597{col 32}{space 2} 3.818238{col 43}{space 1}    2.46{col 52}{space 3}0.015{col 60}{space 4} 1.876426{col 73}{space 3} 16.92877
{txt}{space 13}2001  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 11.54354{col 32}{space 2} 4.829715{col 43}{space 1}    2.39{col 52}{space 3}0.018{col 60}{space 4} 2.023639{col 73}{space 3} 21.06345
{txt}{space 13}2002  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 8.617819{col 32}{space 2}   4.0359{col 43}{space 1}    2.14{col 52}{space 3}0.034{col 60}{space 4} .6626102{col 73}{space 3} 16.57303
{txt}{space 13}2003  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 13.57592{col 32}{space 2} 4.267251{col 43}{space 1}    3.18{col 52}{space 3}0.002{col 60}{space 4} 5.164698{col 73}{space 3} 21.98715
{txt}{space 13}2004  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 10.53403{col 32}{space 2} 4.632023{col 43}{space 1}    2.27{col 52}{space 3}0.024{col 60}{space 4} 1.403793{col 73}{space 3} 19.66426
{txt}{space 13}2005  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 13.69589{col 32}{space 2} 4.598008{col 43}{space 1}    2.98{col 52}{space 3}0.003{col 60}{space 4} 4.632702{col 73}{space 3} 22.75907
{txt}{space 13}2006  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 10.18723{col 32}{space 2} 4.511296{col 43}{space 1}    2.26{col 52}{space 3}0.025{col 60}{space 4} 1.294965{col 73}{space 3}  19.0795
{txt}{space 13}2007  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 12.53135{col 32}{space 2} 4.923239{col 43}{space 1}    2.55{col 52}{space 3}0.012{col 60}{space 4} 2.827094{col 73}{space 3}  22.2356
{txt}{space 13}2008  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 12.02454{col 32}{space 2} 4.774031{col 43}{space 1}    2.52{col 52}{space 3}0.013{col 60}{space 4} 2.614395{col 73}{space 3} 21.43469
{txt}{space 13}2009  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 10.64317{col 32}{space 2} 4.798898{col 43}{space 1}    2.22{col 52}{space 3}0.028{col 60}{space 4} 1.184011{col 73}{space 3} 20.10233
{txt}{space 13}2010  {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} 12.65072{col 32}{space 2} 5.936797{col 43}{space 1}    2.13{col 52}{space 3}0.034{col 60}{space 4} .9486279{col 73}{space 3}  24.3528
{txt}{space 18} {c |}
{space 13}_cons {c |}{col 20}{res}{space 2} -.250203{col 32}{space 2} 2.206965{col 43}{space 1}   -0.11{col 52}{space 3}0.910{col 60}{space 4}-4.600377{col 73}{space 3} 4.099971
{txt}{hline 19}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. predict klarnerranneyhatallpost if year>1980 & oldsouth==1
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(3,069 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * 

. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION ERROR CORRECTION RATE *

. 
. 
. 
. test l.klarnerranney = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,   214) ={res}   17.78
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0000

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *Weak Exogeneity Tests*

. 
. 
. 
. testnl _b[l.adjpercapita_resid]/-_b[l.klarnerranney] = 0

{col 3}{txt}(1){res}{col 8}{bind:_b[l.adjpercapita_resid]/-_b[l.klarnerranney] = 0}

{txt}{ralign 22:chi2({res:1})} =  {res}      0.03
{txt}{ralign 22:Prob > chi2} =  {res}      0.8644{txt}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * GRANGER CAUSLITY TEST *

. 
. 
. 
. test d.adjpercapita_resid  =  l.d.adjpercapita_resid  =  l2.d.adjpercapita_resid =  l3.d.adjpercapita_resid = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.adjpercapita_resid - LD.adjpercapita_resid = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} D.adjpercapita_resid - L2D.adjpercapita_resid = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 3)}{space 1} D.adjpercapita_resid - L3D.adjpercapita_resid = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 4)}{space 1} D.adjpercapita_resid = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  4,   214) ={res}    0.12
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.9759

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENEITY)*

. 
. 
. 
. test l.klarnerranney = l.adjpercapita_resid = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.klarnerranney - L.adjpercapita_resid = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,   214) ={res}    9.24
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0001

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *

. 
. 
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. lincom  d.adjpercapita_resid  +  l.d.adjpercapita_resid  +  l2.d.adjpercapita_resid  +  l3.d.adjpercapita_resid 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.adjpercapita_resid + LD.adjpercapita_resid + L2D.adjpercapita_resid + L3D.adjpercapita_resid = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}klarnerran~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0006815{col 26}{space 2} .0032026{col 37}{space 1}   -0.21{col 46}{space 3}0.832{col 54}{space 4}-.0069942{col 67}{space 3} .0056312
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
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. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *

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. nlcom _b[l.adjpercapita_resid]/-_b[l.klarnerranney]

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.adjpercapita_resid]/-_b[l.klarnerranney]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}klarnerran~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0009966{col 26}{space 2} .0058358{col 37}{space 1}    0.17{col 46}{space 3}0.864{col 54}{space 4}-.0104414{col 67}{space 3} .0124345
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
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. sum adjpercapita_resid   if klarnerranneyhatallpost!=. & year > 1980 & oldsouth==1, detail

                          {txt}Residuals
{hline 61}
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%    {res}-2148.253      -2301.858
{txt} 5%    {res}-1335.225      -2267.334
{txt}10%    {res}-919.7417      -2148.253       {txt}Obs         {res}        270
{txt}25%    {res} 155.0752       -1862.49       {txt}Sum of Wgt. {res}        270

{txt}50%    {res} 1177.678                      {txt}Mean          {res} 1092.619
                        {txt}Largest       Std. Dev.     {res} 1376.718
{txt}75%    {res}  2164.83       3596.152
{txt}90%    {res} 2832.477       4072.971       {txt}Variance      {res}  1895351
{txt}95%    {res} 3109.119       4258.248       {txt}Skewness      {res}-.2023736
{txt}99%    {res} 4072.971       5187.913       {txt}Kurtosis      {res} 2.625344

{com}. 
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. * TOTAL/DYNAMIC MULTIPLIER & BASELINE LONG-RUN EFFECTS  OF  adjpercapita_resid ON klarnerranney:  75TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF adjpercapita_resid MINUS 25TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF adjpercapita_resid FOR EFFECTIVE SAMPLE PERIOD 

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. nlcom  (_b[l.adjpercapita_resid] / - _b[l.klarnerranney])* 14367.06   -  (_b[l.adjpercapita_resid] / - _b[l.klarnerranney])* 11208.2

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}(_b[l.adjpercapita_resid] / - _b[l.klarnerranney])* 14367.06 - (_b[l.adjpercapita_resid] / - _b[l.klarnerranney])* 11208.2

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}klarnerran~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 3.148067{col 26}{space 2} 18.43447{col 37}{space 1}    0.17{col 46}{space 3}0.864{col 54}{space 4}-32.98282{col 67}{space 3} 39.27896
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
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. restore

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. log close
      {txt}name:  {res}<unnamed>
       {txt}log:  {res}C:\Users\matt_zarit\Dropbox\Pitt\Krause\May 2019 Work\Log files\welfare_federal_funding_05_01_2019_3.smcl
  {txt}log type:  {res}smcl
 {txt}closed on:  {res} 1 May 2019, 13:49:11
{txt}{.-}
{smcl}
{txt}{sf}{ul off}